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ALL I will do from now on is post my parlays....

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Posted: #226
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

Hi,

I normally don't post picks because I hit at a high rate.

I wont give any writeups as to keep my way of capping a secret.


Feel free to fade or follow. Let's see how long I last before I get boxed. lol


Play for Sunday- 

***Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons Over 45***

-------------------------------------------------------------

Well we will see just how bad I am when I post my picks. I mainly did this to prove this guy wrong again because he's telling everyone my picks are no good.

As for winning at a high rate, they will box you if you in too many plays. Last time I posted I hit over 80% and was boxed.

--------------------------------------------------------------

I dont blame you for liking the Under....I mean, if you look at past stats, just about every single Minnesota game is low scoring.

But that is why I like the Over here.(You might not get this...and thats ok, the public doesn't understand how sports betting works that well)

 I see a 30 to 31 game.




Final score nov 29 2015

minnesota vikings 20

atlanta falcons 10
 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

 

The Carolina game will probably go under(total gives it away)....


Instead of Carolina getting Td's they will get field goals. Then it goes under


they(carolina) score 9 to 16 pts....Dallas scores between 10 and 29

I have a feeling the dallas defense is gonna get after em today. And keep em out of the endzone




 



here is another post by mgmprofits this week on nfl cuz he hits at such a high rate, and covers boxed him for it.

he wants to keep his capping method a secret cuz he is so successful.

over under carolina dallas 45.5 game total


final score nov 26 2015 


carolina 33

dallas 14
 
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Posted: #228
10k hits on the public service announcement.

BOL mgmprofits, i am done now.
 
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Posted: #229
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

havent been keeping up with NBA. Are they still undefeated?

If so, they will lose when the spread is low.

If sports wasn't rigged, then they'd go 82-0

I truly believe that....there is no team in the NBA (or in the world) that can compete with them.



The spread tonight is probably another mind game by vegas to fool people into betting Utah.

They got me, I have Utah +8...lol

But then again, vegas knows people are progressing on GS's opponents ML

I would be safe and wait for 25 wins before I started any progression on them. Luckily you dont need to progress right away, if they are heavy favs in their games. But like I said, they will lose, if you see a spread of PK and they are undefeated, that is the time to bet against them.

I just doubt that will happen.

Progressing is stupid anyway when you think about it, its a good way to blow your bankroll. Only progress when you are on win streaks, not after losses. And set a stop limit, so you can make tons of money, easily....if you're good enough to hit 4 in a row (which really isn't that hard at all....just takes discipline to be able to ride winnings)


in reference to nba basketball game between goldenstate on the road against utah.

mgmprofits saying its fixed so warriors lose tonight, cuz they are currently undefeated, low spread mgmprofits saying tells you vegas fix it so they lose.

final score

nov 19 2015

golden state warriors 106

utah jazz             103

 
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Posted: #230
thought an update would be good

Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:


Anyone like Pacers ML tonight?

I kinda like them.

I actually have Sac and LAC both in my parlay as well



Monday Dec 21 NBA Scores

Spurs 106
Pacers 92

Kings 99
Wizards 113

Thunder 100
Clippers 99

another members response to mgmprofits post and picks on dec 21 2015 for nba

Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:


Lol you're awful
 
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Posted: #231
mgmfailures
 
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Posted: #232
I wish I was perfect...but I'm not.

And neither is anyone else.
 
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Posted: #233
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

 

Well according to those "Roulette Wheel has no memory" people, if they went 23 -0 why can't they go 46-0?  They just don't understand the basics such as law of averages. Somehow it goes over their head.

I'd like to post my parlay but unfortunately it pays out far too much to make it public. If even 200 people followed it, Vegas would lose millions.

So, have to keep it to myself. 

The parlay pays +34,000 

so for $100 bet you get back almost $35,000.00

Imagine if 200 people were even betting $20 to $50 on this. Vegas is not in the business of losing....

So you can understand now why I can't post it.


Please gtfo out of my thread trolls.

You guys are losers, you dont deserve my parlays anyway.


I dont do write ups, I dont cap the traditional way.

But i do hit big winners. So that's all that counts.



members response to mgmprofits remarks


Quote Originally Posted by best_bets:

Are you on drugs?

 
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Posted: #234
updated so you could see what he writes in his threads, and so you could get a good laugh out of it lol.

stuff is too funny not to post and update.
 
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Posted: #235
lol
 
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Posted: #236
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

lol

i agree, the as.s clown should be a comedian that writes well i am not perfect lol and then goes on to write stuff like i cant post my parlays cuz vegas would lose millions lol.

and then goes trying to sound like a mathematician when he didnt finish grade 9 math , by saying people dont understand the law of averages it, they dont understand it, it just goes over their head lol.
 
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Posted: #237
I dont understand how they don't get that each trial is not 50/50

If it were, you'd win that final game in your parlay 50% of the time.

But it's only about 10% of the time. It's really simple. It just goes over their head because they can't grasp the law of averages and how things aren't random.
 
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Posted: #238
i understand it completely.

What they are missing is that it takes INFINITE trials to even out

And nobody's lives are infinite, so that's why their method of thinking is flawed. Honestly people would do far better in gambling if they knew this simple truth.
 
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Posted: #239
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

I dont understand how they don't get that each trial is not 50/50

If it were, you'd win that final game in your parlay 50% of the time.

But it's only about 10% of the time. It's really simple. It just goes over their head because they can't grasp the law of averages and how things aren't random.

thats because its not law of averages for multiple events lol.

its called probability of multiple independent events lol


 
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Posted: #240
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

i understand it completely.

What they are missing is that it takes INFINITE trials to even out

And nobody's lives are infinite, so that's why their method of thinking is flawed. Honestly people would do far better in gambling if they knew this simple truth.

this statement say you dont understand it at all lol
 
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Posted: #241
its why i told you your monkey math and monkey theories dont make any sense lol.
 
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Posted: #242
buts its funny, in your attempt to show your knowledge and understanding of mathematics and how it applies to parlays and the probability of multiple independent events, you made more comedy in your explanation.
 
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Posted: #243
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

I dont understand how they don't get that each trial is not 50/50

If it were, you'd win that final game in your parlay 50% of the time.

But it's only about 10% of the time. It's really simple. It just goes over their head because they can't grasp the law of averages and how things aren't random.

Wow. You keep bringing the comedy!
 
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Posted: #244
You guys just look at it in a different way, and a more flawed way. You believe that you have a 50% chance to flip a coin on heads 50 times in a row. That simply isn't true,you are undeer the illusion that it's true. Only in the infinite would that be true. We dont play for infinity so I prefer to look at it my way...,hat during one(or more) of those 50 flips you will have a 100% (well actually 99.9999999999999999999999999999999%)chance of flipping on a different side. Thats far from 50% that you guys claim.
 
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Posted: #245
That is indeed the law of averegas when you have infinite flips and it evens out to 50/50 long term.

You can believe what you read in books, I prefer to think for myself. That's the only way you'll ever find the truth.

Books are not god. lol
 
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Posted: #246
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

That is indeed the law of averegas when you have infinite flips and it evens out to 50/50 long term.

You can believe what you read in books, I prefer to think for myself. That's the only way you'll ever find the truth.

Books are not god. lol

whats funny is he actually believes this and he believes he is right applying to the probability of parlays lol.

he doesnt even realize what he has just said implies about his understanding of math, or even basic reading skills.  cuz he doesnt know how to apply it lol

he just reads something online, thinks he understands it, and thinks he can just apply it to everything without even knowing the basic first principles or purpose of that formula lol.

my appologies mgmprofits you are truly an advance mathematician lol.
 
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Posted: #247
you could like teach mgmprofits math 101 in university.

and offer your services using your math calculations nasa when they work on sending a man to mars.

i wonder what would have happened if they used your math calculations when they sent a man to the moon.
 
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Posted: #248
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

 

You guys just look at it in a different way, and a more flawed way. You believe that you have a 50% chance to flip a coin on heads 50 times in a row. That simply isn't true,you are undeer the illusion that it's true. Only in the infinite would that be true. We dont play for infinity so I prefer to look at it my way...,hat during one(or more) of those 50 flips you will have a 100% (well actually 99.9999999999999999999999999999999%)chance of flipping on a different side. Thats far from 50% that you guys claim. 

That is indeed the law of averegas when you have infinite flips and it evens out to 50/50 long term.

You can believe what you read in books, I prefer to think for myself. That's the only way you'll ever find the truth.

Books are not god. lol

 

when i read a response like this, i think wow.

product of the florida elementary, middle school and grade 9 system of education.

and florida educational system gre certificate of high school level education equilvalent.
 
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Posted: #249
the problem here is you dont understand what you read, and so you apply something that is meant for single event, and think its ok to apply it to multiple independent events lol.

its not ok to apply it to the probability of multiple independent events so you know.

and you read that off the internet also and didnt even understand it properly so dont go around saying you cant find truth in books lol.  

see you didnt understand the math or the language of it so you apply the mathematical principle inproperly and think its ok when its not.
 
 
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Posted: #250
I know exactly what you mean. You just don't understand what I mean.

You're better off thinking about it my way, if you want to win. Because in your way, you tend to believe that if you have only ONE probability at 50/50 then you believe those are your odds. When in fact it matters how many games or spins you had before that, will affect your outcome.
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