From now on, document every line that closes at 3, 6, and 13 and watch the road dog cover, and then come in here and apologize to me at the end of the nba playoffs...Nobody begging bruh, don't be a kunt...baron man nobody gives shhitt about your picks, stop talking, nobody understands you...you're a piece of shiit and can't even make drinks.
Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper
From now on, document every line that closes at 3, 6, and 13 and watch the road dog cover, and then come in here and apologize to me at the end of the nba playoffs...Nobody begging bruh, don't be a kunt...baron man nobody gives shhitt about your picks, stop talking, nobody understands you...you're a piece of shiit and can't even make drinks.
From now on, document every line that closes at 3, 6, and 13 and watch the road dog cover, and then come in here and apologize to me at the end of the nba playoffs...Nobody begging bruh, don't be a kunt...baron man nobody gives shhitt about your picks, stop talking, nobody understands you...you're a piece of shiit and can't even make drinks.
So, you're saying 206-213 is NOT close to 63%?
So, you're saying 206-213 is NOT close to 63%?
Sure, sometimes you get stuck with positions you don't want (as another poster mentioned) but that's not the goal here. Whether you are instantly selling/middling your position, you are using multiple sites against each other to get an advantage. Pregame betting/halftime lines don't offer this. The prices are what they are give or take 0.5.
"Capping" involves studying players/teams. I don't do any of that. My capping is studying numbers/prices during the game across multiple sites at the same time.
I like to think I am more investing than gambling, but at the end of the day, we are all gambling. Both forms of have their own advantages/disadvantages. Part of me wishes I was able to simply "cap" games because it wouldn't be as time consuming. I know most enjoy watching the games for action purposes but they don't have to watch the games. I have to be watching the games. (or at the very least, in front of my computer with access to every site I have at the same time)
Despite how different they are in terms of the bet making process, I am still a strong believer in what I/others have mentioned in regards to discipline. If a play falls into your system (whatever that system is) you should play it no matter how many games you have played on the day. It is your responsibility to make sure your judgement isn't clouded by emotions of being up or down on that specific session. THAT is the discipline that is needed. That said, if you spend hours capping games (I'd imagine the games of the entire day from start to finish), then I do understand you could make the argument that the game would have stood out in your capping session if it needed to be played. Not “oh I’m up/down on the night, lets stay disciplined and take the rest of the night off” There seems to be a great divide on the entire concept.
Sure, sometimes you get stuck with positions you don't want (as another poster mentioned) but that's not the goal here. Whether you are instantly selling/middling your position, you are using multiple sites against each other to get an advantage. Pregame betting/halftime lines don't offer this. The prices are what they are give or take 0.5.
"Capping" involves studying players/teams. I don't do any of that. My capping is studying numbers/prices during the game across multiple sites at the same time.
I like to think I am more investing than gambling, but at the end of the day, we are all gambling. Both forms of have their own advantages/disadvantages. Part of me wishes I was able to simply "cap" games because it wouldn't be as time consuming. I know most enjoy watching the games for action purposes but they don't have to watch the games. I have to be watching the games. (or at the very least, in front of my computer with access to every site I have at the same time)
Despite how different they are in terms of the bet making process, I am still a strong believer in what I/others have mentioned in regards to discipline. If a play falls into your system (whatever that system is) you should play it no matter how many games you have played on the day. It is your responsibility to make sure your judgement isn't clouded by emotions of being up or down on that specific session. THAT is the discipline that is needed. That said, if you spend hours capping games (I'd imagine the games of the entire day from start to finish), then I do understand you could make the argument that the game would have stood out in your capping session if it needed to be played. Not “oh I’m up/down on the night, lets stay disciplined and take the rest of the night off” There seems to be a great divide on the entire concept.
believe it or not at MOST sportsbooks here in vegas u CAN"T buy the half pt for hoops... I happened to go to one today where u could.
that amazes me.
believe it or not at MOST sportsbooks here in vegas u CAN"T buy the half pt for hoops... I happened to go to one today where u could.
that amazes me.
A losing record. ![]()
Not only is it not 63%, but it in fact would lose you money.
TDog has suddenly gone silent.
![]()
A losing record. ![]()
Not only is it not 63%, but it in fact would lose you money.
TDog has suddenly gone silent.
![]()
Scal - I don't want to answer for Rangerz as he is very capable of doing a better job than me...
But I do think he meant that one team he can bet at +5, and the OTHER SIDE can be bet at -3 at close to the same time.
That's not an 8 point middle, its a 2 point "middle" - in the first bet the fav is -5 and in the second bet the fav is -3.
![]()
Scal - I don't want to answer for Rangerz as he is very capable of doing a better job than me...
But I do think he meant that one team he can bet at +5, and the OTHER SIDE can be bet at -3 at close to the same time.
That's not an 8 point middle, its a 2 point "middle" - in the first bet the fav is -5 and in the second bet the fav is -3.
![]()
Sorry - should have read further before responding.
![]()
Sorry - should have read further before responding.
![]()
CG - Great start and continued success on your Journey. I've enjoyed reading this thread since you originally posted it.
Plenty of interesting comments and theories - I had not heard of the 3 -6 - 13 theory in my many years of betting, therefore - I have put the hypothesis to the test. Based on games played between last 2/18 - 2/25, based on the opening line listed on donbest.com; there have been 19 games with an opening line of either 3, 6 or 13 (for the home team only) - record stands at 9 -10 - meaning - 9 dogs covered and 10 favs covered.
It's a sample size of a week - however, not sure i'd hang my hat on the 3 -6-13 theory. Resources that may help you or someone else:
1. donbest.com for the opening line
2. sagarin.com for rankings and schedule strength (someone mentioned this earlier)
3. statfox.com only site that I know of that breaks down home and away data
4. many have mentioned the amounts that you should bet - the Kelly Criterion may help you figure that out - look it up.
5. Whatever data you use to hang your hat on - collect, record and analyze it to ensure it's consistent and profitable. You will be around for a long time.
7. Good luck on your plays.
CG - Great start and continued success on your Journey. I've enjoyed reading this thread since you originally posted it.
Plenty of interesting comments and theories - I had not heard of the 3 -6 - 13 theory in my many years of betting, therefore - I have put the hypothesis to the test. Based on games played between last 2/18 - 2/25, based on the opening line listed on donbest.com; there have been 19 games with an opening line of either 3, 6 or 13 (for the home team only) - record stands at 9 -10 - meaning - 9 dogs covered and 10 favs covered.
It's a sample size of a week - however, not sure i'd hang my hat on the 3 -6-13 theory. Resources that may help you or someone else:
1. donbest.com for the opening line
2. sagarin.com for rankings and schedule strength (someone mentioned this earlier)
3. statfox.com only site that I know of that breaks down home and away data
4. many have mentioned the amounts that you should bet - the Kelly Criterion may help you figure that out - look it up.
5. Whatever data you use to hang your hat on - collect, record and analyze it to ensure it's consistent and profitable. You will be around for a long time.
7. Good luck on your plays.
CG - Great start and continued success on your Journey. I've enjoyed reading this thread since you originally posted it.
Plenty of interesting comments and theories - I had not heard of the 3 -6 - 13 theory in my many years of betting, therefore - I have put the hypothesis to the test. Based on games played between last 2/18 - 2/25, based on the opening line listed on donbest.com; there have been 19 games with an opening line of either 3, 6 or 13 (for the home team only) - record stands at 9 -10 - meaning - 9 dogs covered and 10 favs covered.
It's a sample size of a week - however, not sure i'd hang my hat on the 3 -6-13 theory. Resources that may help you or someone else:
1. donbest.com for the opening line
2. sagarin.com for rankings and schedule strength (someone mentioned this earlier)
3. statfox.com only site that I know of that breaks down home and away data
4. many have mentioned the amounts that you should bet - the Kelly Criterion may help you figure that out - look it up.
5. Whatever data you use to hang your hat on - collect, record and analyze it to ensure it's consistent and profitable. You will be around for a long time.
7. Good luck on your plays.
Nice List, Thank You.
8. Get CG an AVATAR
CG - Great start and continued success on your Journey. I've enjoyed reading this thread since you originally posted it.
Plenty of interesting comments and theories - I had not heard of the 3 -6 - 13 theory in my many years of betting, therefore - I have put the hypothesis to the test. Based on games played between last 2/18 - 2/25, based on the opening line listed on donbest.com; there have been 19 games with an opening line of either 3, 6 or 13 (for the home team only) - record stands at 9 -10 - meaning - 9 dogs covered and 10 favs covered.
It's a sample size of a week - however, not sure i'd hang my hat on the 3 -6-13 theory. Resources that may help you or someone else:
1. donbest.com for the opening line
2. sagarin.com for rankings and schedule strength (someone mentioned this earlier)
3. statfox.com only site that I know of that breaks down home and away data
4. many have mentioned the amounts that you should bet - the Kelly Criterion may help you figure that out - look it up.
5. Whatever data you use to hang your hat on - collect, record and analyze it to ensure it's consistent and profitable. You will be around for a long time.
7. Good luck on your plays.
Nice List, Thank You.
8. Get CG an AVATAR
Just trying to be constructive.
Just trying to be constructive.
3, 6, 13 is BASED ON THE CLOSING LINE.
3, 6, 13 is BASED ON THE CLOSING LINE.
CG - Great start and continued success on your Journey. I've enjoyed reading this thread since you originally posted it.
Plenty of interesting comments and theories - I had not heard of the 3 -6 - 13 theory in my many years of betting, therefore - I have put the hypothesis to the test. Based on games played between last 2/18 - 2/25, based on the opening line listed on donbest.com; there have been 19 games with an opening line of either 3, 6 or 13 (for the home team only) - record stands at 9 -10 - meaning - 9 dogs covered and 10 favs covered.
It's a sample size of a week - however, not sure i'd hang my hat on the 3 -6-13 theory. Resources that may help you or someone else:
1. donbest.com for the opening line
2. sagarin.com for rankings and schedule strength (someone mentioned this earlier)
3. statfox.com only site that I know of that breaks down home and away data
4. many have mentioned the amounts that you should bet - the Kelly Criterion may help you figure that out - look it up.
5. Whatever data you use to hang your hat on - collect, record and analyze it to ensure it's consistent and profitable. You will be around for a long time.
7. Good luck on your plays.
CG - Great start and continued success on your Journey. I've enjoyed reading this thread since you originally posted it.
Plenty of interesting comments and theories - I had not heard of the 3 -6 - 13 theory in my many years of betting, therefore - I have put the hypothesis to the test. Based on games played between last 2/18 - 2/25, based on the opening line listed on donbest.com; there have been 19 games with an opening line of either 3, 6 or 13 (for the home team only) - record stands at 9 -10 - meaning - 9 dogs covered and 10 favs covered.
It's a sample size of a week - however, not sure i'd hang my hat on the 3 -6-13 theory. Resources that may help you or someone else:
1. donbest.com for the opening line
2. sagarin.com for rankings and schedule strength (someone mentioned this earlier)
3. statfox.com only site that I know of that breaks down home and away data
4. many have mentioned the amounts that you should bet - the Kelly Criterion may help you figure that out - look it up.
5. Whatever data you use to hang your hat on - collect, record and analyze it to ensure it's consistent and profitable. You will be around for a long time.
7. Good luck on your plays.
Everyone last one really like this one I was on someone's thread on nba & I gave my pick .They are about 50/ 50 Went on line did research . LAst time I gave winner Boston+7.5/Suns I said Drago & Isah Thomas gone . I told you Issah Thomas revenge being traded to Boston .He didn't like that he said.Isah came through 21 points 7 assists . Boston wins out right . However It seems Jennings coming over is starting play very well avg 18 Game . Also Okc not same Perkings gone center this year , Steve Adams stepping very good However Steve Adams & Steve Novack out Durrant Out. Like home court. & points Okc is missing 2 starters & Novack of bench Center now was backup & Utah this year. Not very good.$33-30 . Again my main bets College pick Michigan st & College & my pick Cavs -3 Bought half like covers Good luck any real bettors have any picks out there. Good Luck to all .Out
Everyone last one really like this one I was on someone's thread on nba & I gave my pick .They are about 50/ 50 Went on line did research . LAst time I gave winner Boston+7.5/Suns I said Drago & Isah Thomas gone . I told you Issah Thomas revenge being traded to Boston .He didn't like that he said.Isah came through 21 points 7 assists . Boston wins out right . However It seems Jennings coming over is starting play very well avg 18 Game . Also Okc not same Perkings gone center this year , Steve Adams stepping very good However Steve Adams & Steve Novack out Durrant Out. Like home court. & points Okc is missing 2 starters & Novack of bench Center now was backup & Utah this year. Not very good.$33-30 . Again my main bets College pick Michigan st & College & my pick Cavs -3 Bought half like covers Good luck any real bettors have any picks out there. Good Luck to all .Out
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