Posted:
#1351
Quote Originally Posted by SidePiece:
Not sure you'd have a chance if you're of the Caucasian persuasion.....
oh man I was really digging her. anymore pics of her?
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Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper
Posted:
#1352
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:
You clearly have a tough time with reading comprehension. Scal was not trashing him for taking the Clippers, he was responding to the notion that the Clippers have a good bench.
I know so many of you struggle with this concept, but Scal is 100000% right about that.
CG won the bet and at the end of the day, that is the most important thing. I'd rather have the wrong analysis and win compared to having the right analysis and losing. But it doesn't make him right about the bench simply because they had a good night.
Ok, sorry. ..... he was not trashing his Clippers pick, he was ragging on him about his assessment on the Clippers bench. Either way, he can GTFO, because he was trashing how he capped the game. Same shiit different pile
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Posted:
#1359
If you're interested I calculated the confidence intervall around your hitting percentage at the alpha=0.1 level
At 28 bets (push is omitted) there's a 90% probability that your long term true hitting% is somewhere in the range of 49.03% - 94.34%.
(28 bets is a small sample size to judge a bettor by ...)
If you can keep hitting 64% after 100 bets there's a 90% probability that your true long term hitting% is in the range of 55.97% - 80.50%.
That's when I start tailing you for real 
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Posted:
#1360
Quote Originally Posted by Bermax:
If you're interested I calculated the confidence intervall around your hitting percentage at the alpha=0.1 level
If you're interested I calculated the confidence intervall around your hitting percentage at the alpha=0.1 level
At 28 bets (push is omitted) there's a 90% probability that your long term true hitting% is somewhere in the range of 49.03% - 94.34%.
(28 bets is a small sample size to judge a bettor by ...)
If you can keep hitting 64% after 100 bets there's a 90% probability that your true long term hitting% is in the range of 55.97% - 80.50%.
That's when I start tailing you for real
Statistics class ftw!
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Posted:
#1362
Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (-110) $550/$500. This team played some great ball right before all star break with the exception there last game b4 the break in Chicago. Cavs are confident and want to get the number two seed in the east... Wizards struggled before the break and Beale probably won't play and even if he was 100% healthy I would still like Cleveland in this spot
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Posted:
#1363
Toronto Raptors +5.5 (-110) $550/$500. This Toronto team does a nice job on the road. The Hawks had an unbelievable first half of the season and have a ridiculous spread record... I could see both falling back to earth some. In this particular spot we are getting +5.5 with a Raptors team who is 2-1 SU vs Atlanta this season. Very good value to me for the reasons mentioned and hence why i made this play.
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Posted:
#1368
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:
You clearly have a tough time with reading comprehension. Scal was not trashing him for taking the Clippers, he was responding to the notion that the Clippers have a good bench.
I know so many of you struggle with this concept, but Scal is 100000% right about that.
CG won the bet and at the end of the day, that is the most important thing. I'd rather have the wrong analysis and win compared to having the right analysis and losing. But it doesn't make him right about the bench simply because they had a good night.
CG, read what someone else here says about your critique on the Clippers bench if you have a problem with me (he goes a bit further and says you're 100000% wrong...I tried to be a bit milder calling it a mere blatant falsehood).
Again, there isn't a single word here trashing the pick. I didn't even care who won the game and if you'd did post your retort during the game, I take back the trolling comment. But that doesn't excuse the content of your post and your attempts to be the biggest swinging dic* round these parts by posting a record (a percentage I matched last year in 3 sports with, might I say,"a wee bit more" than a paragraph of write up with blatant falsehoods.)
You are not a poster here for shi*s and giggles. You are living in Las Vegas with a bankroll.
Man up and take constructive criticism. Being wrong about a stat, trend, or one player is excusable and I wouldn't even bother correcting it.
When you praise one of the weakest benches in the NBA, and one that is downright embarrassing among all playoff contenders, and further, you don't even know who actually is on the bench, as a reason for your selection, you are the guy who spikes the ace on the river and squeals with joy...only to be eliminated from the tournament a half hour later after titling because his pocket jacks got cracked.
PS - Your comparison between Hawks/Pats and Denver/Jets is laughable. One was for a win. The other game was already won and it was only about a cover for the opposing team, who didn't even have the ball.
Are you really comparing a running play at the one WITH the ball to get a win, to a pick 6, when 95% of the time the defender drops to the ground if they have the lead WHEN, if you had Denver in that spot, you didn't even have the ball and still needed a TD there for a cover?
Oh wait, you must have had Denver. Nice pick!
Hutch
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Posted:
#1369
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
Tsw- you summed it up.. Also 3 hour round trip commute it was with the Pulaski skyway down getting into jersey city... I made 2 months salary my first week out here. Big deal I know I know I have to sustain it but I know I can. I am very, very passionate about this. Hopefully Pitt can hold on. Staying humble is the biggest thing which I plan on doing. Not to high after wins not to low after losses
Tsw- you summed it up.. Also 3 hour round trip commute it was with the Pulaski skyway down getting into jersey city... I made 2 months salary my first week out here. Big deal I know I know I have to sustain it but I know I can. I am very, very passionate about this. Hopefully Pitt can hold on. Staying humble is the biggest thing which I plan on doing. Not to high after wins not to low after losses
Live in Hoboken and have clients all over Jersey and NYC so I hear you on that for sure. Living the dream bro. Definitely envious and wish you the best. Keep packing lips, banging milfs, and cashing tickets.
Riding with you tonight on the Raptors. GL
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Posted:
#1370
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
CG, read what someone else here says about your critique on the Clippers bench if you have a problem with me (he goes a bit further and says you're 100000% wrong...I tried to be a bit milder calling it a mere blatant falsehood).
Again, there isn't a single word here trashing the pick. I didn't even care who won the game and if you'd did post your retort during the game, I take back the trolling comment. But that doesn't excuse the content of your post and your attempts to be the biggest swinging dic* round these parts by posting a record (a percentage I matched last year in 3 sports with, might I say,"a wee bit more" than a paragraph of write up with blatant falsehoods.)
You are not a poster here for shi*s and giggles. You are living in Las Vegas with a bankroll.
Man up and take constructive criticism. Being wrong about a stat, trend, or one player is excusable and I wouldn't even bother correcting it.
When you praise one of the weakest benches in the NBA, and one that is downright embarrassing among all playoff contenders, and further, you don't even know who actually is on the bench, as a reason for your selection, you are the guy who spikes the ace on the river and squeals with joy...only to be eliminated from the tournament a half hour later after titling because his pocket jacks got cracked.
PS - Your comparison between Hawks/Pats and Denver/Jets is laughable. One was for a win. The other game was already won and it was only about a cover for the opposing team, who didn't even have the ball.
Are you really comparing a running play at the one WITH the ball to get a win, to a pick 6, when 95% of the time the defender drops to the ground if they have the lead WHEN, if you had Denver in that spot, you didn't even have the ball and still needed a TD there for a cover?
Oh wait, you must have had Denver. Nice pick!
Hutch
The Clipper bench last night was 3 deep:
-Crawford (great bench player but streaky)
-Big Baby (huge spark last night but averages 3.6 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 0.4 apg)
Turkoglu (2.8/1.4/0.5)
Really all that needs to be said.
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Posted:
#1371
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:
The Clipper bench last night was 3 deep:
-Crawford (great bench player but streaky)
-Big Baby (huge spark last night but averages 3.6 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 0.4 apg)
Turkoglu (2.8/1.4/0.5)
Really all that needs to be said.
And a little footnote to add to that.
The Clippers think so highly of him, he was being shopped at the trade deadline making an already weak bench, completely MIA (And I wouldn't call the potential return any real upgrade either).
https://www.foxsports.com/west/story/jamal-crawford-la-clippers-guard-discusses-trade-rumors-it-is-frustrating-021815
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Posted:
#1372
Scal- I didn't have Denver that game. U obviously don't pay attention to how I bet. I would never take a -9.5 on the road ... I rarely take square games. Cleveland tonight is an exception... I post all my plays in every sport and keep my record and have been doing so in years. Not sure why u have a problem with that either... But regardless good luck on any of ur plays today. And yea there was 10 min left in the Clippers game when I was commenting back to u... The game was not over. It was late on the east coast tbough so I understand why u thought maybe the game was over but it was not
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