Posted:
#9276
Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:
CG LETS GO BABY TIME FOR THAT COMEBACK.
CG LETS GO BABY TIME FOR THAT COMEBACK.
hop on the SPARTANS with me brotha
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Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper
Posted:
#9277
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
tired of all ur opinions and suggestions. I will refuse every word all like always
time to go on a run... SPARTANS start the comeback for the ages this evening
I cancelled with the Asian milf this game is to big to enjoy a dinner with her not knowing what the hell is going on with my ballgame
And then you wonder why people take joy in your demise...
I personally don't, but gdamn.
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Posted:
#9278
So before your bet is made, you refer to yourself as a LEGEND...but when your bet loses, you want sympathy? Cant have your cake and eat it too.
The chances of you making it in vegas went from like 30% to about 2% when you made that 5k kings bet. Win or lose it was a wrap from that split second.
Certainly don't want you to lose your money but I don't see any other outcome. Goodluck 
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Posted:
#9283
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Maybe someone here who actually knows college hoops can tell me what the odds of MSU winning by exactly 1 are tonight.
11-1 this guy took. Jeesh.
Van- With the line being at a pick em' which is what he bought it down to, there is roughly a 2% chance this game lands exactly on MSU winning by 1.
He would have been better off driving down to Primm and dropping $400 on scratch offs.
Not my own math, so someone please correct me if I'm wrong.
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Posted:
#9284
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Oh you attended?
Thanks for coming. I was the featured (only) speaker.
The seminar went like this and consisted of two powerpoint slides:
Slide 1: How not to manage your money
Slide 2: Don't be like 'this guy' (accompanied by a picture of CG and his coked up MILF).
"Thank you all for coming" were the only words I spoke.
After a standing ovation, I was escorted out of the building by armed security to avoid the paparazzi as people screamed "You've changed my life!" and "I now know the secret!". Oprah left me a voicemail and I may get to it after watching tonight's MSU game.
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Posted:
#9285
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Watch out for Oklahoma. Remember what I said about having an 'angle' to cap a game, outside of records/rankings/streaks/spreads/public support which is the standard capping quintet?
Watch out for Oklahoma. Remember what I said about having an 'angle' to cap a game, outside of records/rankings/streaks/spreads/public support which is the standard capping quintet?
Oklahoma appears to be strongly riding this racist frat fiasco into the ground by playing with pride on the court and bringing respectability and positive press back to the University, while their fraternities bring them down.
Most people think this kind of thing is complete and utter bullsh** but I've been capping my entire life and these psychological motivators (i.e. That Okies are now playing with very intense school pride) are very, very powerful, especially among the younger generation of which college students are.
You will be fading such an angle to take MSU and Izzo for....what angle? None other than you like MSU and they've paid you in the past. That's not much to go with.
Be very very careful with this game CG.
Is there any game you have not said to be careful about? What game has he picked that you agreed with beforehand?
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Posted:
#9286
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Watch out for Oklahoma. Remember what I said about having an 'angle' to cap a game, outside of records/rankings/streaks/spreads/public support which is the standard capping quintet?
Watch out for Oklahoma. Remember what I said about having an 'angle' to cap a game, outside of records/rankings/streaks/spreads/public support which is the standard capping quintet?
Oklahoma appears to be strongly riding this racist frat fiasco into the ground by playing with pride on the court and bringing respectability and positive press back to the University, while their fraternities bring them down.
Most people think this kind of thing is complete and utter bullsh** but I've been capping my entire life and these psychological motivators (i.e. That Okies are now playing with very intense school pride) are very, very powerful, especially among the younger generation of which college students are.
You will be fading such an angle to take MSU and Izzo for....what angle? None other than you like MSU and they've paid you in the past. That's not much to go with.
Be very very careful with this game CG.
CG be very careful. Just dont forget to cash that ticket for $9GS after you win
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Posted:
#9288
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
had to... u seen my losses by a half and one pt.. so many of them.... cant have a situation where I lose half of my remaining savings bc sparty wins by one... I look at it like this... I need a winner so bad, I am basically screwed with a loser, so give myself as much insurance as I can.. the extra $400 risked in vig is worth it in my opinion... I could have took the ML at -130 but that would be foolish bc at least now I can't lose... a push would suck, but at least I get my 4.8K risked back then...
Obviously we have established that you are not a pro. No biggie, not many are. But seriously this mindset and this kind of wager are so close to a complete novice it's not even funny.
Seriously man, your brain is completely unhinged from reality. You're betting scared, and it's a recipe for disaster, even more so than all the other red flags.
I'll be rooting for Sparty with you though (for my own reasons), so I hope you win and get back on track, but as many have said many times, it really doesn't matter if you win or lose, you are going to end up at $0 at some point anyway. Unless you drastically change your approach.
BOL..............
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Posted:
#9292
Kaufree- I got like 46K in my 401K I would be ashamed to have to go into that and promised myself I wont
here is my plan... if I LOSE tonight, which I DONT EXPECT
then I gotta somehow grind $100 or so a game with my remaining 5.2K I don't have to pay rent again until June... so just have to try to start winning like $500-$600 a week and grinding and just forget what happened
u know if my sick brain tho that will be near impossible
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Posted:
#9293
Quote Originally Posted by zooyorkinc:
I agree. Pick your spots man. This next pick is the most important pick of your life. I'm not saying this to talk you out of Mich State. This just seems like a coin flip to me.
He did pick his spot, supposedly. What game/line do you NOT consider a coin flip? Maybe that is better than simply saying this game is a coin flip?
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Posted:
#9294
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Watch out for Oklahoma. Remember what I said about having an 'angle' to cap a game, outside of records/rankings/streaks/spreads/public support which is the standard capping quintet?
Watch out for Oklahoma. Remember what I said about having an 'angle' to cap a game, outside of records/rankings/streaks/spreads/public support which is the standard capping quintet?
Oklahoma appears to be strongly riding this racist frat fiasco into the ground by playing with pride on the court and bringing respectability and positive press back to the University, while their fraternities bring them down.
Most people think this kind of thing is complete and utter bullsh** but I've been capping my entire life and these psychological motivators (i.e. That Okies are now playing with very intense school pride) are very, very powerful, especially among the younger generation of which college students are.
You will be fading such an angle to take MSU and Izzo for....what angle? None other than you like MSU and they've paid you in the past. That's not much to go with.
Be very very careful with this game CG.
I really had to reread this, some of your points are salient, but this ranks up with the time you said the odds of splitting 2 bets is 33%
your idea that these players care about any racist frat publicity as motivation??? oh man thats reaching. The fact that most of the public is on this game and the line hasnt moved is scary, not the idea of an OU team playing for their school. With that being said I like Mich State as well.
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Posted:
#9296
Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:
He did pick his spot, supposedly. What game/line do you NOT consider a coin flip? Maybe that is better than simply saying this game is a coin flip?
Every spread in theory is a "coin flip."
Whether it actually is or not, is in the eye of the beholder. So I do find it funny when people chime in and say a game is a coin flip.
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Posted:
#9299
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
This is the problem.
You are accepting terrible odds on that extra 400 bucks you paid for this half point because of desperation. Not that it makes sense, not that it is good value - but you are paying over 2-1 for a 400 dollar wager that it will land on exactly MSU winning by 1. You do realize that you are doing that right?
When you buy a half point, you can think of it like you are making a separate wager that it will matter. In your case, you made a 400 dollar wager that MSU will win by exactly 1 point to win 4,400. You laid 11-1 that MSU will win by exactly a point. What are the true odds of this? I don't know, but not 11-1 - that is an absolutely horrific value bet.
All in the name of desperation.
Great post Van, CG has extreme biases at this point, he has let two flukey random events make him paranoid
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Posted:
#9300
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:
Every spread in theory is a "coin flip."
Whether it actually is or not, is in the eye of the beholder. So I do find it funny when people chime in and say a game is a coin flip.
That was my point. If it was so easy to find non-coin flip games, we would all love that.
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