Posted:
#1
Mai Hontama (+220)
Bartunkova/Tararudee o21.5 (-125)
Timofeeva/Bejlek o21.5 (-118)
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Prague
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Posted:
#2
The spread or over in Hontama match is the safer play but I have her as basically a coinflip to win straight up so personally I'm rolling with ML.
I have the other two dogs rated highly as well but not sure if the home crowd might push the Czechs over the line so I'm sticking with the overs. But honestly if not for that I'd probably be on Rudee ML.
A couple of the early favorites over in Hamburg hold a lot of value as well.
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Posted:
#5
Should've played +4.5
Tagger has grown so quickly that she seems a bit lanky and awkwardly tall at moments. But when she settles in and becomes a bit more comfortable with her height and uses that to her advantage watch out. Also needs to mature a bit closing out matches but no trouble there today.
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Posted:
#6
Well the Feeva didn't show up to play today but also to her credit Bejlek really brought it. She probably looked as good as I've seen her since Abu Dhabi. Since winning that title she's battled some injuries but she seems to have put that behind her for the most part although she's still sporting that thigh cast. She definitely looked 150% better than she looked when we backed her against Tauson last week which suggests to me that national pride could play a role here.
Tagger was solid as well, not spectacular but solid. Definitely like Bejlek to beat her again tomorrow as a moderate favorite. They just played last week with Bejlek beating her 2 and 2 in clean straight sets. I would expect Tagger to put up a little more resistance this time around but no reason to believe that she'll get the victory this time and should struggle to win a set, especially with Bejlek's superior ability to handle the pressure situations.
Rudee was able to pull off the impressive victory over Bartunkova. Most impressive part is fighting back in the third set after serving at 1-5 and 15-40. Saves the two match points along with another in the tiebreak. And obviously soared over the total with 35 games. I wonder how high the odds got. That's about as big of a comeback as you'll see all year. I like Rudee's chances tomorrow against Snigur, who is having a great season but is not quite as good on hard as she is on grass. Rudee is the opposite, she's basically a hard court specialist who sucks on natural surfaces.
Over in Hamburg OleO and the Sherif came through with victories as expected. Sets up an interesting Badosa-Sherif rematch. And another day, another win as a moderate favorite for OleOli. The third time I've liked her at similar odds over the past two weeks and the third time she's come through. Each time I've really liked her to advance but still hesitant on taking a spread as she can be prone to sprinkling in a second set bagel here and there (for or against). I like her in a similar situation tomorrow as well against the surging Elina Avanesyan.
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Posted:
#7
Elsewhere in Prague I like the matchup for Bouzkova over Valentova. Bouzkova has quietly hit a career high ranking and has already won a pair of 250 tournaments this year. Marie owns a 2-0 h2h and has won this event twice, which were actually her only two tour-level titles before this season. She is the current defending champion as well so she actually needs some more wins here if she wants to retain that aforementioned career high ranking.
When a player wins a home country tournament two of the past three times they entered you absolutely have to pay attention. 
Looks like Bouzkova might be a good one to pair with Bejlek for +151
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