Indian Wells

I'm tossing this into a parlay with Sinner 2-0 for some plus money

Damn that was a disappointing second set by Linda

Austin

Emerson Jones (+120)

swiatek has a way of crumbling, cold be run out of this match in a 6-3 6-2 kinda way

Who has Iga? 

@bringit

 I liked Emerson as well but as soon as she was on the way to losing the 1st set I cashed out...she is only 17 and is c definitely  on the rise...Bianca  still looking to regain her 2019 open champion form...

my dumb ass took her 

I had Jones also…gotta finish the day right fella’s…whatcha got??

3/13

Sabs - Nosko

Draftkings First X Games Props

First 4 Games Props: All Holds of Serve (+200)

Really good value here imo. Sabs is elite at a lot of things but defending against the ace isn't one of them. Nosko has third highest ace rate on tour so I would expect her to get some free points early while Sabs tries to get a read on her serve. And it would be shocking for Sabs to drop an early service game against a non-elite returner. Just need to get to 2-2 on serve here. 

More on this match later.

Semis

Linda Noskova +5.5 (-120)

Linda Noskova ML (+800)

Semis

Parlay: Rybakina 2-0 & Svitolina +5.5 (+267)

Super clutch break from Svit the at the end to snag the cover.

Thanks a lot man

Catched it in time

Never in doubt...

Very nice call! I use Kalshi and their parlay variety is shit…wish I could have played this one too!

Doubles Final

Siniakova/Townsend 2-0 (+105)

I'm not going huge here and if you need a parlay piece the moneyline is a safer option with the variance of no-ad doubles. 

There are definitely plausible reasons to avoid backing this duo here and that is the reason we're able to get them at a relatively good price. Siniakova injured her leg and was forced to retire in her singles match a few days ago so that is one concern. But I watched them play the Italians after that and they just completely dominated the top seeds. They don't move around the court as much as some teams do and certainly not nearly as much movement as is required in a singles match. There didn't seem too be any issues with her serve or double faults either so I didn't really see the injury affect their level at all in that match and now she's had two more days to rehab as well. 

The other thing is this is a rare matchup where the dream team is on the wrong side. They are 0-2 after losing to them last year at the French Open and most recently this year at AO which included an unbelievable third set bagel. This team is hyper competitive though and I think they'll be out for blood today. 

They will have the full force of the crowd behind them as they always do in America. They have had a lot of success here but haven't quite been able to convert that to an American title yet. The previous two times these teams played the dream team was not necessarily in the greatest form but right now they are in the middle of a rare patch when everything seems to be working for both players. Not only playing great together but both players are carrying confidence from their recent runs of success in singles. 

All that being said, I can see the potential for a bloodbath here.

Great match. Incredible serving performance from Townsend. In her 7 service games she held to love 6 times. That is unreal. Don't think I've ever seen a doubles match with someone that dominant on serve. Hopefully she carries that momentum to Miami with her.

Rybakina has shown us she has the confidence to beat Sabs. Notably in the Aussie Final and Indian Wells in 23. Until she proves us wrong no reason not to try it again. 

Rybakina ML +130

It’s Sinner so we know it’s dangerous but Med is on fire. Taking the value and hope for another upset. Yes spread is safer but let’s go after money line.

Medvedev ML +314

I'm on them both…..let’s get this!

Never bet against a woman with a 3 inch clit