7/7/26 Wimbledon Discussion

@FresnoHawk68

 I can only imagine. And UFC wasn't as global as it was back then. So the quality of women doing that would be much higher. Chuck was a great fighter he just got his head hit too many times. Interesting to see the science behind some of these fighters in years to come. Nate Diaz brother, Bu Penn, etc.....

I lived in Vegas as well, I play poker professionally. I'm going to head back next summer and stay for the Wsop side games. 

Gentleman we close the day on one of my personal best not in terms of units but clean. And a 9 game winning streak.

I told you before I'm high volume. I look for spots. I plan my moves and have back ups. I need to clean this up because I would go undefeated today but my mind told me to try for 10-0 so I will lose the Diamondback game.

Anyhow I chose 9 underdogs today and hit them all for an overall profit of 26 units including my self proclaimed counted loss. 

I have won 19 out of my last 22 days and only had 6 losing days in the month of June including 1 losing day in July. My graph is soaring and my over ROI in both months is 18% with over 1200 wagers places with an overall losing record.  There are some things I need to look at. 

I have profited a total of 690 units on this run. Is it sustainable, who knows. I'm just stating facts. My best sport is tennis by a mile that's why I enjoy hovering around here and learning even more from the better handicappers like Bringit and Wgomel21.

Preview for tomorrow

We have Fritz vs Zverez probably not going to study this.

I will look into Paolini and Marta , Paolini might be injured she was hobbling at the end of the last match and couldn't break Eala until the end. Eala was with 1 leg and serving 75 MPH second serves.

I will take a close look at Mertens and Noskova , I have been watching Noskova game for the last 2 months.

Have a good night

Kostyuk a much better server and been on a roll....got to like her over Paolini at this point....especially with Paolini not at full strength

I'm going to be doing some live betting I don't see any value in any bets, I don't like parlays for these matches even though Noskova+ Kostyuk makes the most sense.

Paolini is a dog though I want to see her movement I might put something on her. this can't be that easy.

I woke up a bit later than usual I wasn't too excited. Another possibility ai was looking at was Kostyuk in straight sets but I'm not hitting that. All my plays today will be live betting with my eyes. Good luck all

I don't pay juice normally. I'll be looking at Mertens and Paolini and see what happens because Noskova is susceptible too losing today so it Kostyuk 

Mertens first live bet........ Smallish 1 unit

I'm going to take a peek at paolini vs kostyuk here in a second.

Mertens will fight hard.

Zverez vs Fritz I'm going to pre match this alfor the plus money. This match is a toss up but I favor the man who hasn't lost in a month or so. Will be a good match 

I want to see 3 or 4 points in this match but I'm going to hope to place it on Paolini because she is an animal. I hope her leg is okay.

noskova straight dominating fight now

Kostyuk looks good.

No play yet.

I'm going to use my 30% profit boost and load up on Zverez- 10 units here.

Risky, but I will ride the streak he has been on, sure fritz looks good and has won the last 5 but Zverez is no Bublik. I can't judge that last match to a guy who torches points like that. For an even match I got +140 with the boost I have to accept that.

That's the day hopefully ends well. Goog luck all 

Mertens I don't mind losing because she is fighting. What a shot, hopefully that propelled her to this set.

Easy money in the big play..... Zverez. Nothing is easy, but that was a no brainer and no sweat. Max value

Thoughts on tomorrow's WTA?

@YELAWOLF

 I had her today, have her to make the finals +225 & to win it all +700. Had she lost today it would have sucked balls.

Tomorrow's Early thoughts.......

Gauff vs Muchova 

Gauff owns Muchova overall but this is Wimbledon. I'm going to lean Gauff here my only worry is she has been finding herself playing the same types of players and finds herself pulling through. She has been running all around and had more than 2 hours of time on court than Muchova, but I don't think I'm going to bet against Gauff. Her serve and forehand are the Achilles and these are needed. Taking the over might be a play and if she loses set 1(Gauff) winning a second set is highly probable. This has over potential written all over it.

Marta, ahhhh she reminds me of my ex. Such a beautiful brunette. Playing high level tennis. Even though Paolini reminds me of a dachshund a scrappy fighter, she really isn't that good of a tennis player compared to Marta. I'm going to ride Marta. Marta is an elite returner and will finally punish Noskova second serves. Noskova has been playing very well. 

These are my thoughts on the top of my head without any direction. I will give a comprehensive plan to my plays tomorrow.

@JoseAlonso787

I just hammered Gauff heavy. I’m not going to overthink this. Biggest play of Wimbledon. 

@jpitty

Gauff definitely looks like she can win Wimbledon 

@elmaniac8

The fighters will develop serious health issues as they age.

It wouldn't matter if Coco had 8 more hours on court....her fitness is the best in the sport....she even said the other day that she never gets tired....the worry with her is her inconsistent forehand....she has been serving well this tourney

Gauff 3.5 Units and even will make a live play if she loses set 1 and I see even money 

Kostyuk adding later not sure how much yet

Good luck all

Marta to win it all 1.5 units while I can get plus money

I give Coco the edge because her athleticism, movement, and defense force opponents to play one extra shot over and over. Muchova has the variety and creativity to trouble anyone, but she also has to maintain a very high level for the entire match.

If Coco serves well and keeps her unforced errors under control, I trust her consistency and physicality to wear Muchova down. Over the course of the match, I think Gauff's speed, returning ability, and mental toughness become the difference.

I'm backing Kostyuk because she's playing some of the best tennis of her career. Her aggressive baseline game, improved serve, and ability to dictate rallies have been outstanding throughout this tournament. She comes into this match full of confidence after a dominant run and has won 22 of her last 23 matches.

If she stays aggressive and keeps the pressure on from the first ball, I like her chances.

Noskova is playing great tennis additionally. It's hard to bet against Marta this is a gut feeling. I'm not taking anything away from Noskova backers but Marta is on fire. I'll ride that energy.

Gauff is finished

@JR7302001

 Perhaps but I have seen this pattern many times.