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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    XLR8's NBA O/U Power System

    «First Previous 234 ... 151617 Next Last»
    scubasquad
    dj_destroyer
    XLR8
    primetime27
    Tunicaraider
    ...
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    «First Previous 234 ... 151617 Next Last»
     
    scubasquad
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 3:25 PM ET #26

    haha alright i just wanted to know some of these factors before trying this system of yours out. you sound intelligent and 150 games is a pretty solid sample. Best of luck this year and i hope you can stay a daily poster. thank you for your time and effort man.

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    haha alright i just wanted to know some of these factors before trying this system of yours out. you sound intelligent and 150 games is a pretty solid sample. Best of luck this year and i hope you can stay a daily poster. thank you for your time and effort man.

     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 3:34 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by XLR8:


    The system i came up with gives me a hypothetical number that lets me know whether the game will go over or under. If the "Hypothetical Number" gets to a certain point, it is considered a "Power Play". The games that are "power plays" I will bet 6%, the rest will be 2% games.

    The games that I don't play my system considers a push and I don't bet on it.

    If I get to $1500, then 2% plays are $30 and power plays (6%) are $90.



    If you're using percentages, you calculate the percentage EVERY bet. If you're using static bets, you move up or down as you hit new levels or fall back to old ones. Or I guess you can mix like you're doing...
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    Quote Originally Posted by XLR8:


    The system i came up with gives me a hypothetical number that lets me know whether the game will go over or under. If the "Hypothetical Number" gets to a certain point, it is considered a "Power Play". The games that are "power plays" I will bet 6%, the rest will be 2% games.

    The games that I don't play my system considers a push and I don't bet on it.

    If I get to $1500, then 2% plays are $30 and power plays (6%) are $90.



    If you're using percentages, you calculate the percentage EVERY bet. If you're using static bets, you move up or down as you hit new levels or fall back to old ones. Or I guess you can mix like you're doing...
     
    XLR8
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 3:40 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    If you're using percentages, you calculate the percentage EVERY bet. If you're using static bets, you move up or down as you hit new levels or fall back to old ones. Or I guess you can mix like you're doing...

    Ok, now I got u DJ.

     I will be using static bets. I never used that term before, sorry.

    When I get to $1500 I will raise bets to $30, $90 and so on.

    thanks

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    If you're using percentages, you calculate the percentage EVERY bet. If you're using static bets, you move up or down as you hit new levels or fall back to old ones. Or I guess you can mix like you're doing...

    Ok, now I got u DJ.

     I will be using static bets. I never used that term before, sorry.

    When I get to $1500 I will raise bets to $30, $90 and so on.

    thanks

     

     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:13 PM ET #29

    at what number is it a no play. +/- 4 points. example. if the over for the GS is 204 and your system puts out 201, do you play the under or is it a pass? I think this is crucial and would be worth tracking if possible. May be helpful to gain further success.
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    at what number is it a no play. +/- 4 points. example. if the over for the GS is 204 and your system puts out 201, do you play the under or is it a pass? I think this is crucial and would be worth tracking if possible. May be helpful to gain further success.
     
    Tunicaraider
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:14 PM ET #30

    XLR8, than you for your time and effort.  I will follow closely and bet conservatively.  It is a long season and I hope you do well.  Good luck with the system and let's get the cash.  I have a poker tournament I want to blow it on in June.  Good luck to you and everyone else here.
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    XLR8, than you for your time and effort.  I will follow closely and bet conservatively.  It is a long season and I hope you do well.  Good luck with the system and let's get the cash.  I have a poker tournament I want to blow it on in June.  Good luck to you and everyone else here.
     
    lvporta
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:17 PM ET #31

    What is the "variance" on your total. For instance, my book has Cle/Phl at 197.  Your system pick is Over 196.  Since my line is a point higher would you bet under in this case or stick with the Over.  TIA
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    What is the "variance" on your total. For instance, my book has Cle/Phl at 197.  Your system pick is Over 196.  Since my line is a point higher would you bet under in this case or stick with the Over.  TIA
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:21 PM ET #32

    Beginning Balance: $1000 on Dec 7, 2010

    Here are todays plays, posted in a thread here at covers.

    1. NJ/Atl under 185

    2. Den/Cha under 201

    3. Cle/Phi over 196

    4. Det/Hou under 200.5

    5. GS/Dal under 205.5

    6. Was/LAL under 206

    7. Pho/Por Over 204  

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    Beginning Balance: $1000 on Dec 7, 2010

    Here are todays plays, posted in a thread here at covers.

    1. NJ/Atl under 185

    2. Den/Cha under 201

    3. Cle/Phi over 196

    4. Det/Hou under 200.5

    5. GS/Dal under 205.5

    6. Was/LAL under 206

    7. Pho/Por Over 204  

     
    The_MathMan
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:26 PM ET #33

    good luck XLR8! :-)

     

       

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    good luck XLR8! :-)

     

       

     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:27 PM ET #34

    A lot of line movement. Most in our favor. Don't know if that is good as far as what the movement means for those that track those things.

    I got:

    185.5

    202.5

    197.5

    202

    205

    207.5

    204

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    A lot of line movement. Most in our favor. Don't know if that is good as far as what the movement means for those that track those things.

    I got:

    185.5

    202.5

    197.5

    202

    205

    207.5

    204

     
    XLR8
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:31 PM ET #35

    Primetime27,

    My system gives me a 3-4 point range where the game will fall. I will not touch it if it is within 3 points of the range. The GS/Dall game I got at 205.5, computer is saying 197-200. This is a pick. If the computer would'v e spit out a range for that game of 191-194 then it becomes a "power play".

    Tunica,

    Thanks for the well wishes. I too am a Poker Player, I played in 4 WSOP tourneys, 1 in 2009, 3 this year. Cashed in 2. I plan on going this year again. I usually play the $1500 NLH events.

    LVporta,

    For your example, my system had it 200-203, So i would not play it at all. I have to be strict. Or else there is no order.

     

    Hope it helps 

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    Primetime27,

    My system gives me a 3-4 point range where the game will fall. I will not touch it if it is within 3 points of the range. The GS/Dall game I got at 205.5, computer is saying 197-200. This is a pick. If the computer would'v e spit out a range for that game of 191-194 then it becomes a "power play".

    Tunica,

    Thanks for the well wishes. I too am a Poker Player, I played in 4 WSOP tourneys, 1 in 2009, 3 this year. Cashed in 2. I plan on going this year again. I usually play the $1500 NLH events.

    LVporta,

    For your example, my system had it 200-203, So i would not play it at all. I have to be strict. Or else there is no order.

     

    Hope it helps 

     
    assadman
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:35 PM ET #36

    hey i have the same picks for today games exept for the lal/was under... nice!
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    hey i have the same picks for today games exept for the lal/was under... nice!
     
    lvporta
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:36 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by XLR8:

    Primetime27,

    My system gives me a 3-4 point range where the game will fall. I will not touch it if it is within 3 points of the range. The GS/Dall game I got at 205.5, computer is saying 197-200. This is a pick. If the computer would'v e spit out a range for that game of 191-194 then it becomes a "power play".

    Tunica,

    Thanks for the well wishes. I too am a Poker Player, I played in 4 WSOP tourneys, 1 in 2009, 3 this year. Cashed in 2. I plan on going this year again. I usually play the $1500 NLH events.

    LVporta,

    For your example, my system had it 200-203, So i would not play it at all. I have to be strict. Or else there is no order.

     

    Hope it helps 



    Would be able to display the "range" of the total when you post your picks so we could ignore certain games depending on what our totals are?  TIA
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    Quote Originally Posted by XLR8:

    Primetime27,

    My system gives me a 3-4 point range where the game will fall. I will not touch it if it is within 3 points of the range. The GS/Dall game I got at 205.5, computer is saying 197-200. This is a pick. If the computer would'v e spit out a range for that game of 191-194 then it becomes a "power play".

    Tunica,

    Thanks for the well wishes. I too am a Poker Player, I played in 4 WSOP tourneys, 1 in 2009, 3 this year. Cashed in 2. I plan on going this year again. I usually play the $1500 NLH events.

    LVporta,

    For your example, my system had it 200-203, So i would not play it at all. I have to be strict. Or else there is no order.

     

    Hope it helps 



    Would be able to display the "range" of the total when you post your picks so we could ignore certain games depending on what our totals are?  TIA
     
    XLR8
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:37 PM ET #38

    Thanks Nole,

    I have had 2 pushes in the last week. 1-2 point line moves has affected me maybe 3 or 4 times in the last 21 days.

     Actually I have found that games when there there is big late line move, it tends to finish the other way.

     

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    Thanks Nole,

    I have had 2 pushes in the last week. 1-2 point line moves has affected me maybe 3 or 4 times in the last 21 days.

     Actually I have found that games when there there is big late line move, it tends to finish the other way.

     

     
    Gator11
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:48 PM ET #39

    XLR8,I hope you don't mind me riding along with ya?

    Lets make some cash! BOL to ya...

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    XLR8,I hope you don't mind me riding along with ya?

    Lets make some cash! BOL to ya...

     
    RiverboatGamblr
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 4:59 PM ET #40

    will keep an eye on it
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    will keep an eye on it
     
    HappyCappers
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 5:01 PM ET #41

    Well you got your wish after your "hello" on my thread.  Ive got $22 to win $20 on each of these.  Lets cash it!

     

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    Well you got your wish after your "hello" on my thread.  Ive got $22 to win $20 on each of these.  Lets cash it!

     

     
    primetime27
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 5:07 PM ET #42

    Thanks for clarifying. Wish you great success and hope you hit your percentages.
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    Thanks for clarifying. Wish you great success and hope you hit your percentages.
     
    Petee28
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 5:07 PM ET #43

    Hey bud whats. Just wanted to thank u for the 6 and 1 last night. I found you yesterday on some guy's blog about the NBA. I checked your O/U picks and you were number 1 so i played them all. I rarely make any posts but i figured i had to after last night. Im really impressed with ur past success and wish u the best with your system.  BOL and GO NOLES!
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    Hey bud whats. Just wanted to thank u for the 6 and 1 last night. I found you yesterday on some guy's blog about the NBA. I checked your O/U picks and you were number 1 so i played them all. I rarely make any posts but i figured i had to after last night. Im really impressed with ur past success and wish u the best with your system.  BOL and GO NOLES!
     
    Pintonator
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 5:50 PM ET #44

    XLR8 ... I will be following you .. thank you for your time ... good luck
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    XLR8 ... I will be following you .. thank you for your time ... good luck
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:18 PM ET #45

    I like this.. and you've had past success, and current.

    Best of Luck 
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    I like this.. and you've had past success, and current.

    Best of Luck 
     
    jimmyrickards
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:22 PM ET #46

    This is really impressive.  62% last year and 64% so far this year is outstanding, but what really amazes me is the volume of plays.  When you claim to be betting about 75% of games and hitting at that rate...WOW.

    I have a hard time believing that you can keep this pace long-term, but hey, even if your percentage dropped down to 55%, with this many plays, you're still set.

    Well done, XLR8.  Really hope this continues to work for you.
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    This is really impressive.  62% last year and 64% so far this year is outstanding, but what really amazes me is the volume of plays.  When you claim to be betting about 75% of games and hitting at that rate...WOW.

    I have a hard time believing that you can keep this pace long-term, but hey, even if your percentage dropped down to 55%, with this many plays, you're still set.

    Well done, XLR8.  Really hope this continues to work for you.
     
    XLR8
    XLR8
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:24 PM ET #47

    Now watch me lay an egg tonight.

    Egg tonight or not, the key is consistency and moeny management. I just hope everyone who follows the picks is betting the recommended percentages. If not, i feel  for u.

    Now lets have a good night.

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    Now watch me lay an egg tonight.

    Egg tonight or not, the key is consistency and moeny management. I just hope everyone who follows the picks is betting the recommended percentages. If not, i feel  for u.

    Now lets have a good night.

     
    fishsticks
    fishsticks
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:42 PM ET #48

    BOL Bro, going to ride with you.
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    BOL Bro, going to ride with you.
     
    bookiepunisher
    bookiepunisher
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:45 PM ET #49

    This looks like a nice system, xlr could you elaborate to us how you come up with the selections?
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    This looks like a nice system, xlr could you elaborate to us how you come up with the selections?
     
     
    softballmaniac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:53 PM ET #50

    BOL 
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    BOL 
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