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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    u can go with odds BLIND

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    Danrules24
    DoughDoubling
    sunshine11
    bulichm
    samrock67
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    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 6:05 PM ET #26

    I included series were there was a push in game one just for a complete record, but yes I would skip those too.

    The NL gave back some profits.

    AL and NL totals - 178 wins, 16 3 game losses, 7 2 game losses, 1 4 game loss. The 16 3 game losses would be 132 units, the 2 game losses would be 24 units, and the 4 game loss 18 units. Wins totaled 178 units, losses totaled 174 units. Leaves very little profit. I'll do some more investigating, I have an idea.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I included series were there was a push in game one just for a complete record, but yes I would skip those too.

    The NL gave back some profits.

    AL and NL totals - 178 wins, 16 3 game losses, 7 2 game losses, 1 4 game loss. The 16 3 game losses would be 132 units, the 2 game losses would be 24 units, and the 4 game loss 18 units. Wins totaled 178 units, losses totaled 174 units. Leaves very little profit. I'll do some more investigating, I have an idea.

     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 9:18 PM ET #27

    2-0 +100

    On to the next one
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    2-0 +100

    On to the next one
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 9:25 PM ET #28

    Theres been 16 3 game under in a series. I hope ur not looking for 3 in a row... because if it goes under on the last game of one series and then under for the first two games of the next series and then over thats a win.

    Also make sure ur not double counting the interleague plays or any other series. Remember its per series and 2 game series is not included
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    Theres been 16 3 game under in a series. I hope ur not looking for 3 in a row... because if it goes under on the last game of one series and then under for the first two games of the next series and then over thats a win.

    Also make sure ur not double counting the interleague plays or any other series. Remember its per series and 2 game series is not included
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 9:30 PM ET #29

    Lemme know cuz I dont want to start looking over everything
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    Lemme know cuz I dont want to start looking over everything
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 9:33 PM ET #30

    Also omit/acknowledge the first series of the year if u can
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    Also omit/acknowledge the first series of the year if u can
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 9:34 PM ET #31

    And im thinking of jumpimg into the series for the chase when the first game is under especially if its a 4 game series.
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    And im thinking of jumpimg into the series for the chase when the first game is under especially if its a 4 game series.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 22, 2014 - 11:14 PM ET #32

    I counted all series including at the beginning of the year. I did not count 2 game series. The 2 game series I showed as losses were when the first game were 2 Unders and a Push in the series. No overlapping with last game in one series and first two in another, just strict 3 games or more series and I did not double count the losses from interleague.

    The idea I had didn't work out. I've been trying to come up with a good totals system for a few years now. Will keep plugging away.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I counted all series including at the beginning of the year. I did not count 2 game series. The 2 game series I showed as losses were when the first game were 2 Unders and a Push in the series. No overlapping with last game in one series and first two in another, just strict 3 games or more series and I did not double count the losses from interleague.

    The idea I had didn't work out. I've been trying to come up with a good totals system for a few years now. Will keep plugging away.

     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 1:06 AM ET #33

    So betting every series isnt the way to go, It wasnt my intention in the first place. if you want to be perfectly safe you make one pick on a friday and monday. Everytime you pick u have a 13 out of 15 chance to win. Thats above 90 percent
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    So betting every series isnt the way to go, It wasnt my intention in the first place. if you want to be perfectly safe you make one pick on a friday and monday. Everytime you pick u have a 13 out of 15 chance to win. Thats above 90 percent
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 1:14 AM ET #34

    Maybe the NL has more unders because pitchers have to hit resulting in many wasted opportunities to score runs.
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    Maybe the NL has more unders because pitchers have to hit resulting in many wasted opportunities to score runs.
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 8:20 AM ET #35

    Never give up! I'll be back if I have any plays. It's also a 3 game chase. If I win. I'll share you the secret how I do it. Lol
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    Never give up! I'll be back if I have any plays. It's also a 3 game chase. If I win. I'll share you the secret how I do it. Lol
     
    bulichm
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 9:10 AM ET #36

    DAN ---------------------- RULES.
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    DAN ---------------------- RULES.
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:12 AM ET #37

    5/23

    Two series:
    Bos/rays
    Game 1: ov7.5 1u

    Mil/mia
    Game 1 ov 7 1u
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    5/23

    Two series:
    Bos/rays
    Game 1: ov7.5 1u

    Mil/mia
    Game 1 ov 7 1u
     
    samrock67
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:32 AM ET #38

    Dan-

    If you have the time to do it, maybe try taking a look at the Over record for the top 5 teams in terms of runs scored and the Under record for the bottom 5. A quick look at 3-4 teams and I noticed that in any 3 or 4 game series, the high scoring teams always hit at least 1 over and the low scoring teams always hit at least 1 under. So, this wouldn't be a continuous chase, but would start with each 3 or 4 game series and ends when the team hits the O or U. 
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    Dan-

    If you have the time to do it, maybe try taking a look at the Over record for the top 5 teams in terms of runs scored and the Under record for the bottom 5. A quick look at 3-4 teams and I noticed that in any 3 or 4 game series, the high scoring teams always hit at least 1 over and the low scoring teams always hit at least 1 under. So, this wouldn't be a continuous chase, but would start with each 3 or 4 game series and ends when the team hits the O or U. 
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:57 AM ET #39

    Guys think of it like this because the numbers doesnt tell the true situation.

    For example yesterday and today there are 15 series, there will not be more than 2 of those series all going under, maybe none. But no more than two.

    So there are 13 out of 15 winners.. choose one of the 13.. blindly choose 1 and ur chances of winning is over 90 percent.. doing ur homework and choosing ur chances should be closer to 100 percent
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    Guys think of it like this because the numbers doesnt tell the true situation.

    For example yesterday and today there are 15 series, there will not be more than 2 of those series all going under, maybe none. But no more than two.

    So there are 13 out of 15 winners.. choose one of the 13.. blindly choose 1 and ur chances of winning is over 90 percent.. doing ur homework and choosing ur chances should be closer to 100 percent
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:59 AM ET #40

    Im already being a little more risky and I am choosing 2 out of the fifteen but the odds are still with me.. im just trying to win more at a time so when I lose I would have made double already..
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    Im already being a little more risky and I am choosing 2 out of the fifteen but the odds are still with me.. im just trying to win more at a time so when I lose I would have made double already..
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 12:02 PM ET #41

    Here we go! We got one different.  
    5/23
    Also I look for the best lines! I play at like three different sports books. 
    And get the best lines after I know what I'm gonna play. 

    Under 7.5 -125 Red Sox (A)
    Under 9 -110 Orioles (A)
    Under 9 -105 Toronto (A)
    Under 8.5 -115 Tigers -115 (A)
    Over 7 -130 SF  (A)
    Over 7  -115 Cards (A)
    Over 7 -120 Arizona  (A)
    Over 7 +100 Cubs (A)

    More plays than usual. Somedays there are none! You may have trouble finding these soft lines. One place I play at is Heritage Sports. 
    They put you on a waiting list! Really. I've been there for a few years 
    now. Good luck. 

    Almost forgot. I always play a $100 on each because it's so much easier to figure out than $50. Lol it is. $57.50 to make $50. To much 
    confusion. 

    So hopefully they do well today. And whatever loses. Will play that 
    again Sat and Sun. if needed. Also it does not have to be the first 
    game of the series. 

    So whatever we win today. I pocket the winnings. And Sat. I would play to win $200 on each if needed. And to win $400 each on Sunday 
    If needed. Kinda confusing. Read it a few times. Lol

    So always bet to win $100 on (A) game etc.
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    Here we go! We got one different.  
    5/23
    Also I look for the best lines! I play at like three different sports books. 
    And get the best lines after I know what I'm gonna play. 

    Under 7.5 -125 Red Sox (A)
    Under 9 -110 Orioles (A)
    Under 9 -105 Toronto (A)
    Under 8.5 -115 Tigers -115 (A)
    Over 7 -130 SF  (A)
    Over 7  -115 Cards (A)
    Over 7 -120 Arizona  (A)
    Over 7 +100 Cubs (A)

    More plays than usual. Somedays there are none! You may have trouble finding these soft lines. One place I play at is Heritage Sports. 
    They put you on a waiting list! Really. I've been there for a few years 
    now. Good luck. 

    Almost forgot. I always play a $100 on each because it's so much easier to figure out than $50. Lol it is. $57.50 to make $50. To much 
    confusion. 

    So hopefully they do well today. And whatever loses. Will play that 
    again Sat and Sun. if needed. Also it does not have to be the first 
    game of the series. 

    So whatever we win today. I pocket the winnings. And Sat. I would play to win $200 on each if needed. And to win $400 each on Sunday 
    If needed. Kinda confusing. Read it a few times. Lol

    So always bet to win $100 on (A) game etc.
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 12:04 PM ET #42

    Also anyway to copy and paste this in the MLB section so we can 
    help out other people win with our great minds. 
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    Also anyway to copy and paste this in the MLB section so we can 
    help out other people win with our great minds. 
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 8:53 PM ET #43

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    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:06 PM ET #44

    3-0 for series +150

    Boston/Rays series (-55 for now)
    Game 2 over (whatever the line is) 2u

    Im tempted to jump ship on this series (because both clubs have really been cold for the past week) and roll with game 2 of another series that went under in game 1, like rockies/atl, or dodger/phillies.

    what u guys think?
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    3-0 for series +150

    Boston/Rays series (-55 for now)
    Game 2 over (whatever the line is) 2u

    Im tempted to jump ship on this series (because both clubs have really been cold for the past week) and roll with game 2 of another series that went under in game 1, like rockies/atl, or dodger/phillies.

    what u guys think?
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:07 PM ET #45

    Dodger phillies look good, seems like they can total eight runs easier right now than bos+rays
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    Dodger phillies look good, seems like they can total eight runs easier right now than bos+rays
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:18 PM ET #46

    Looks like 5-2 right now! One suspended. I will post when there final. 
    And I'll let you know about your question after I study for Sat.
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    Looks like 5-2 right now! One suspended. I will post when there final. 
    And I'll let you know about your question after I study for Sat.
     
    DoughDoubling
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    Posted: May. 23, 2014 - 11:26 PM ET #47

    Nice job
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    Nice job
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 24, 2014 - 9:16 AM ET #48

    Thanks! Keep up your good work also!
    Recap 5-2  one game suspended. 

    Season 5-0 

    The two totals I lost checking the lines now for the best one. Back in 
    awhile. 
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    Thanks! Keep up your good work also!
    Recap 5-2  one game suspended. 

    Season 5-0 

    The two totals I lost checking the lines now for the best one. Back in 
    awhile. 
     
    sunshine11
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    Posted: May. 24, 2014 - 9:53 AM ET #49

    Yesterday won $500 and lost $225 so it's a good start!

    5/24

    Under 9 -130 Tigers (B) risk $260 to win $200
    Line is from sportbet! Others had it 8.5. It pays to shop around!!

    Under 8.5 -125 Orioles (B) risk $250 to win $200

    Over 7 -125 Arizona (A) risk $125 to win $100 
    Since game was called off last night. We try again!

    Hopefully we will get these today if not Sunday. Good luck today people!
    Reply
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    Yesterday won $500 and lost $225 so it's a good start!

    5/24

    Under 9 -130 Tigers (B) risk $260 to win $200
    Line is from sportbet! Others had it 8.5. It pays to shop around!!

    Under 8.5 -125 Orioles (B) risk $250 to win $200

    Over 7 -125 Arizona (A) risk $125 to win $100 
    Since game was called off last night. We try again!

    Hopefully we will get these today if not Sunday. Good luck today people!
     
     
    DoughDoubling
    DoughDoubling
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 96
    Posted: May. 24, 2014 - 12:50 PM ET #50

    Boston over 7.5 2u
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    Boston over 7.5 2u
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