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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2013-14

    «First Previous 123 ... 202122
    dallasm
    Danrules24
    TheBeefMan
    Goodsy
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    «First Previous 123 ... 202122
     
    dallasm
    dallasm
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    Posts: 7133
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 3:15 AM ET #526

    Monday results: La loses on the C game.

    Tuesday: No games qualify
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    Monday results: La loses on the C game.

    Tuesday: No games qualify
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 11:31 AM ET #527

    Looking back over the results from when I was out is ugly. Way too many losses on this system. I think at this point we call it and save bankroll for baseball.

    If anyone wants the possible remaining plays for the season let me know and I will post them on here, but I'm personally done with this system.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Looking back over the results from when I was out is ugly. Way too many losses on this system. I think at this point we call it and save bankroll for baseball.

    If anyone wants the possible remaining plays for the season let me know and I will post them on here, but I'm personally done with this system.

     
    TheBeefMan
    TheBeefMan
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    Posts: 538
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 2:03 PM ET #528

    I've personally been chasing teams that have a winning percentage of over .530 and are starting a home stand. Basically this system but ignoring the -130 rule. It's still ugly, but not as bad. The breakdown:

    53-5
    A. 42-16
    B. 10-6
    C. 1-5

    As you can see, the winning percentage is actually pretty good. The C games are what's holding it back - but those are bound to catch up soon.

    If like the plays for the rest of the year if you don't mind Dan.
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    I've personally been chasing teams that have a winning percentage of over .530 and are starting a home stand. Basically this system but ignoring the -130 rule. It's still ugly, but not as bad. The breakdown:

    53-5
    A. 42-16
    B. 10-6
    C. 1-5

    As you can see, the winning percentage is actually pretty good. The C games are what's holding it back - but those are bound to catch up soon.

    If like the plays for the rest of the year if you don't mind Dan.
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Joined: May, 2012
    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 2:22 PM ET #529

    Here you go. If more than 3 games, I will note for any double dip opportunities.

    • Chicago 3/21, 3 games (this is a double dip)
    • Pitt 3/22, 4 games
    • Calgary 3/24
    • Van 3/25, 5 games
    • Florida 3/25
    • STL 3/27, 5 games
    • Ottawa 3/28 5 games
    • Toronto 3/29, 4 games
    • LA 3/29
    • Detroit 3/30
    • Anaheim 3/31
    • Tampa 4/1, 6 games
    • SJ 4/1
    • Florida 4/4, 5 games
    • Columbus 4/4
    • NYR 4/5
    • Edm 4/6, 4 games
    • Minn 4/8
    • Pitt 4/9

    Good luck.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Here you go. If more than 3 games, I will note for any double dip opportunities.

    • Chicago 3/21, 3 games (this is a double dip)
    • Pitt 3/22, 4 games
    • Calgary 3/24
    • Van 3/25, 5 games
    • Florida 3/25
    • STL 3/27, 5 games
    • Ottawa 3/28 5 games
    • Toronto 3/29, 4 games
    • LA 3/29
    • Detroit 3/30
    • Anaheim 3/31
    • Tampa 4/1, 6 games
    • SJ 4/1
    • Florida 4/4, 5 games
    • Columbus 4/4
    • NYR 4/5
    • Edm 4/6, 4 games
    • Minn 4/8
    • Pitt 4/9

    Good luck.

     
    Goodsy
    Goodsy
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    Posts: 528
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 4:39 PM ET #530

    Hey Beefman I've been doing something very similar. Just curious, have you been using form as a filter ? Example home team must have min 6w of L10 ?

    I like the look of ur results.

    Results have been tough lately..
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    Hey Beefman I've been doing something very similar. Just curious, have you been using form as a filter ? Example home team must have min 6w of L10 ?

    I like the look of ur results.

    Results have been tough lately..
     
    TheBeefMan
    TheBeefMan
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    Posts: 538
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 8:53 PM ET #531

    Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

    Hey Beefman I've been doing something very similar. Just curious, have you been using form as a filter ? Example home team must have min 6w of L10 ?

    I like the look of ur results.

    Results have been tough lately..

    No, I haven't looked at last 10. I started using labby lines after break so I'm about break even since then. 

    The only concern I have is that I follow the John Morrison system (which tails teams on a road trip)  using this filter as well and it's at 64-2. I'm thinking that road teams may have the edge in NHL, so it makes no sense to chase home teams. The A game win percentage has been doing so well on the home system though that I'm not sure. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

    Hey Beefman I've been doing something very similar. Just curious, have you been using form as a filter ? Example home team must have min 6w of L10 ?

    I like the look of ur results.

    Results have been tough lately..

    No, I haven't looked at last 10. I started using labby lines after break so I'm about break even since then. 

    The only concern I have is that I follow the John Morrison system (which tails teams on a road trip)  using this filter as well and it's at 64-2. I'm thinking that road teams may have the edge in NHL, so it makes no sense to chase home teams. The A game win percentage has been doing so well on the home system though that I'm not sure. 
     
    Goodsy
    Goodsy
    Rookie
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    Joined: Aug, 2013
    Posts: 528
    Posted: Mar. 20, 2014 - 9:50 PM ET #532

    Quote Originally Posted by TheBeefMan:


    No, I haven't looked at last 10. I started using labby lines after break so I'm about break even since then. 

    The only concern I have is that I follow the John Morrison system (which tails teams on a road trip)  using this filter as well and it's at 64-2. I'm thinking that road teams may have the edge in NHL, so it makes no sense to chase home teams. The A game win percentage has been doing so well on the home system though that I'm not sure. 

    I got tired of the juice and switched from ML to regulation win... you will get the extra ABorC loss.. but overall it has been working out better with the friendlier odds.. 

    I just figured that a loss is a loss ML or regulation.. when I go to OT I often lose anyways.. so got jack of it and just started on the regulation win.. I labby it as well, mix of aggressive and standard..the more favourable odds I come out ahead.

    I feel more comfortable with homes teams.. 

    I bet on strong home teams and fade weak away teams. 

    Ducks have been pissing me off lately with 2 series (3 games each) home losses just before and after break.
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheBeefMan:


    No, I haven't looked at last 10. I started using labby lines after break so I'm about break even since then. 

    The only concern I have is that I follow the John Morrison system (which tails teams on a road trip)  using this filter as well and it's at 64-2. I'm thinking that road teams may have the edge in NHL, so it makes no sense to chase home teams. The A game win percentage has been doing so well on the home system though that I'm not sure. 

    I got tired of the juice and switched from ML to regulation win... you will get the extra ABorC loss.. but overall it has been working out better with the friendlier odds.. 

    I just figured that a loss is a loss ML or regulation.. when I go to OT I often lose anyways.. so got jack of it and just started on the regulation win.. I labby it as well, mix of aggressive and standard..the more favourable odds I come out ahead.

    I feel more comfortable with homes teams.. 

    I bet on strong home teams and fade weak away teams. 

    Ducks have been pissing me off lately with 2 series (3 games each) home losses just before and after break.
     
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2012
    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Mar. 27, 2014 - 2:04 PM ET #533

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Here you go. If more than 3 games, I will note for any double dip opportunities.

    • Chicago 3/21, 3 games (this is a double dip)
    • Pitt 3/22, 4 games
    • Calgary 3/24
    • Van 3/25, 5 games
    • Florida 3/25
    • STL 3/27, 5 games
    • Ottawa 3/28 5 games
    • Toronto 3/29, 4 games
    • LA 3/29
    • Detroit 3/30
    • Anaheim 3/31
    • Tampa 4/1, 6 games
    • SJ 4/1
    • Florida 4/4, 5 games
    • Columbus 4/4
    • NYR 4/5
    • Edm 4/6, 4 games
    • Minn 4/8
    • Pitt 4/9

    Good luck.

    For those still following this, I made an error on the above post. Van on 3/25 should have been 3/29, 5 game homestand.

    Chicago won on the double dip A game and were done. Pitt won on the A game on 3/22, did not qualify for double dip. Cgy and Fla did not qualify for their games, which brings us to STL today.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Here you go. If more than 3 games, I will note for any double dip opportunities.

    • Chicago 3/21, 3 games (this is a double dip)
    • Pitt 3/22, 4 games
    • Calgary 3/24
    • Van 3/25, 5 games
    • Florida 3/25
    • STL 3/27, 5 games
    • Ottawa 3/28 5 games
    • Toronto 3/29, 4 games
    • LA 3/29
    • Detroit 3/30
    • Anaheim 3/31
    • Tampa 4/1, 6 games
    • SJ 4/1
    • Florida 4/4, 5 games
    • Columbus 4/4
    • NYR 4/5
    • Edm 4/6, 4 games
    • Minn 4/8
    • Pitt 4/9

    Good luck.

    For those still following this, I made an error on the above post. Van on 3/25 should have been 3/29, 5 game homestand.

    Chicago won on the double dip A game and were done. Pitt won on the A game on 3/22, did not qualify for double dip. Cgy and Fla did not qualify for their games, which brings us to STL today.

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