The Yons NBA Totals (3)

Question

It&#x27;s a pain in the ... scrolling down a long thread so I started part 3 of this thread, here is part 2, and here is part 1.&#xD;&#xA;Last nite was good.  I went 2-1 if you followed my picks and 1-1 if you just followed the system picks above 10, but I did recommend staying away from the SA game, so that woulda been 1-0 on system picks.  I&#x27;m not sure what is up with SA ... I mean they almost pulled that game out with a 67 point 4th, after only 36 in the 2nd.&#xD;&#xA;The system is definately biased towards the over, not sure why, but if it keeps picking winners then I will stay with it. I don&#x27;t really have any leans on these picks ... I&#x27;ll prob play the Char/Dal game and maybe a little on Por/Utah.&#xD;&#xA;Charlotte/Dallas Over 191.5 (15.8)Portland/Utah Over 193.5 (9.7)Boston/Washington Over 196.5 (8.9)

kenyonlv · Answer

It&#x27;s a pain in the ... scrolling down a long thread so I started part 3 of this thread, here is part 2, and here is part 1.&#xD;&#xA;Last nite was good.  I went 2-1 if you followed my picks and 1-1 if you just followed the system picks above 10, but I did recommend staying away from the SA game, so that woulda been 1-0 on system picks.  I&#x27;m not sure what is up with SA ... I mean they almost pulled that game out with a 67 point 4th, after only 36 in the 2nd.&#xD;&#xA;The system is definately biased towards the over, not sure why, but if it keeps picking winners then I will stay with it. I don&#x27;t really have any leans on these picks ... I&#x27;ll prob play the Char/Dal game and maybe a little on Por/Utah.&#xD;&#xA;Charlotte/Dallas Over 191.5 (15.8)Portland/Utah Over 193.5 (9.7)Boston/Washington Over 196.5 (8.9)

iownthemlb · Answer

Niiiice fresh thread, I was going mad on the other one! lol
Things are picking up again, let's hope for a nice 2-1 tonight at least.
Great stuff k!!!

btw I am not THAT good at Excel, but I can help out if needed

Stake24 · Answer

I&#x27;ll buy you a beer this weekend.

kenyonlv · Answer

Charlotte loses Richardson (18.7 ppg) but gets Bell (9.6) and Diaw (8.3) ... anybody know if these guys are playing tonight for sure.  I&#x27;m assuming they are, but can&#x27;t find anything definitive, just that they will probably be starters.  I still like the over ... these two Pho guys know the Mavs team well, and I expect them to make a statement if they start since they weren&#x27;t getting the minutes they wanted in Pho.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Stake ... Meet for a beer at Texas Station on Fri or Sat???

HeaVin-Cent · Answer

Im going to stay off the Charlotte game, nothing is settled with trades and players.&#xA0;I do like the Utah Over tho. BOL

kenyonlv · Answer

HeaVin are you saying Bell and Diaw won&#x27;t play tonight???  I haven&#x27;t bet yet and was waiting till the end to see if the line comes down.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Yea, Por/Uta should be ok ... I&#x27;m a little afraid of the Bos/Was over tho, Bos might totally shut Was down on Off, but it&#x27;s what the system picked.

HeaVin-Cent · Answer

Im not sure if they are playing but usually it takes a few games to get a feel for the other guys around you. I think they will make them pass a physical unless they handled it yesterday. Id rather stay off personally.

I can never get a good read with Boston.

kenyonlv · Answer

I going with my hunch and going to play Char/Dal over.  Damn, it went up 1/2 point.  If they go over and I didn&#x27;t play it I&#x27;d be pissed, if they go under, oh well I tried.  Char scored 89 w/o Richardson against NO last nite and Dal has worse Def #&#x27;s and better Off #&#x27;s.  Not trying to change your opinion HeaVin, I&#x27;m just babbling.  So I&#x27;ve got Por/Uta (even tho not above 10) and Cha/Dal over for tonight&#x27;s hot picks.

kenyonlv · Answer

So much for my hunch ... Well the newcomers didn&#x27;t play, but Char still held up thier end.  It was Dal that let me down, thier 3rd lowest at home this year.  Well still looking for a split (2-1 nite if you count NFL) so all is not lost.

iownthemlb · Answer

How does our beloved system like the Under in the pistons pacers game?

kenyonlv · Answer

You can blame for the Por/Uta loss last nite, I jinxed it when I posted at halftime about a split. I won't do that again. Going 0-2 last nite set me back to 10-6.

I revised the system so I'm calling this version 3.1. I now produce my curves based on the teams with the highest correlation between my predicitions and the actual scores. Guess what team was at the bottom of my list ... SA. They are the most unpredictable. I'll post the whole list after this post. What this means is I assign a percent next to each game. I still have the rating, but you must use this with the percent as well. The higher the percent the more confident I am that these two teams will score close to the prediction, and if this happens hopefully the OU will be correct as well. I like the three games in bold below as my hot picks tonight.

Atlanta/Miami Over 192.5 (11) 72%
San Antonio/Minnesota Over 192.5 (11) 57%
LA Clippers/Portland Over 189.5 (9.5) 69%
New Orleans/Boston Over 189 (9.3) 63%
Philadelphia/Cleveland Over 190 (8.8) 72%
Indiana/Detroit Over 200 (4.3) 64%
Sacramento/LA Lakers Under 215 (2.4) 77%
Orlando/Phoenix Under 209.5 (1.8) 80%
Chicago/Memphis Under 199.5 (1.5) 72%
Houston/Golden State Under 215 (0.8) 70%
Toronto/New Jersey Under 205 (0.8) 69%

kenyonlv · Answer

Here is my list of teams predictability, the higher the number the better ...

Oklahoma City 356
Utah 327
Milwaukee 307
Phoenix 280
Cleveland 269
LA Lakers 268
Orlando 266
Denver 266
Memphis 261
Sacramento 258
Portland 250
Toronto 248
Minnesota 248
Atlanta 247
Golden State 243
Miami 243
Houston 234
Chicago 234
New York 233
LA Clippers 224
Indiana 224
Boston 223
New Jersey 222
Philadelphia 221
Charlotte 221
Dallas 221
Detroit 211
New Orleans 209
Washington 209
San Antonio 140

kenyonlv · Answer

New York/Sacramento Under 218 (14) 77%Indiana/Milwaukee Under 206 (13.2) 81%Golden State/Denver Under 229 (9) 77%Orlando/Utah Over 200.5 (6.2) 91%Houston/LA Clippers Under 191 (4.6) 70%Oklahoma City/Dallas Over 205.5 (3.6) 83%Washington/Philadelphia Under 195.5 (2.4) 65%Cleveland/Atlanta Over 187.5 (1.1) 76%Detroit/Charlotte Under 184 (0.8) 65%New Jersey/Chicago Over 204.5 (0.7) 71%

kenyonlv · Answer

Went 1-2 last nite to fall to 11-7 ... &#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;My hot picks from the above list are these two games.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Indiana/Milwaukee Under 206 (13.2) 81%&#xD;&#xA;Orlando/Utah Over 200.5 (6.2) 91%

nvmclovin · Answer

kenyonlv,  are you only betting your hot picks or are you betting all of those picks for the day.  Thanks for your info.

kenyonlv · Answer

As long as the hot picks stay above 60% I&#x27;ll just bet them.

nvmclovin · Answer

Thanks for all of your hard work!

kenyonlv · Answer

I can&#x27;t add, I was 10-6 and went 1-2, that is 11-8 and I reported it as 11-7 and nobody caught it.  The system goes 7-3 and I pick two losers out of that as "hot picks", what are the odds of that?   I ask for input and with 100&#x27;s of views per day nobody responds ... my NFL system tooks years to develop, looks like the NBA will take that long as well.   I&#x27;ll post again next year after going 60% this year.

kwr · Answer

yon...does that mean you&#x27;re done for the &#x27;08 year?? There really is a lot of work done by you here, maybe a little time for adjustments? Just asking.

maniilaq · Answer

damn, your work made me some good $$$.&#xD;&#xA;thank !

pennywisewins · Answer

Hi Kenyon,&#xD;&#xA;was with you on your nba picks, are you going to continue posting the picks, what is the update.thanks.

kenyonlv · Answer

No, not done, just thru posting here ... I was looking for feedback and I asked a few questions but never got any responses.  It was pretty much a black hole, except for HeaVin.  I can understand since I can&#x27;t explain the system so others can use it.  If I start posting again it will be on the general NBA forum.

mcfarlanehissdogg · Answer

everyone give yon a hand i havint been following the past week been real busy,sucks your done posting i looked forward to ur plays every day. thanks yon

Plaxico · Answer

Kenyon,

Big fan of your picks! Your numbers help me out big time! I compare them with my own system to help decide where I have an advantage, Even if you are no longer going to bet the system i'm sure we would all greatly appreciate if you can still post the numbers each day. I can put in my 2 cents as well when a strong pick in is agreement with one of yours. What do you think? Thanks!!!

nvmclovin · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by kenyonlv] &#xD;&#xA;No, not done, just thru posting here ... I was looking for feedback and I asked a few questions but never got any responses.  It was pretty much a black hole, except for HeaVin.  I can understand since I can&#x27;t explain the system so others can use it.  If I start posting again it will be on the general NBA forum.&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;I never responded to anything because I am new to all of this.  I would have put in my 2 cents if I thought it was appropriate to do so.  Your input and knowledge is very helpful to me and a lot of others.  Just look at the views.  It also sounds like you have made some people a lot of money along the way.  I have looked for you in other forums and have had no luck.  So with that said Mr. Kenyonlv,  I am begging you to continue posting here where we know where to find you!

The Yons NBA Totals (3)

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