I appreciate all the encouragement, hopefully I'll get some responses in the future on my general BB questions. The reason I am not comfortable posting right now is I am not seing the results I want. I'm working on a lot of different things to see if I can do better on the overall record. I think I need it at 60% to make it work and its at about 55% right now and that is borderline. I know people want "hot picks" and I just don't see that happening right now. My ratings worked a few days and then didn't, so I need more reliability there. When I get good results for more then a few days I'll start posting again.
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I appreciate all the encouragement, hopefully I'll get some responses in the future on my general BB questions. The reason I am not comfortable posting right now is I am not seing the results I want. I'm working on a lot of different things to see if I can do better on the overall record. I think I need it at 60% to make it work and its at about 55% right now and that is borderline. I know people want "hot picks" and I just don't see that happening right now. My ratings worked a few days and then didn't, so I need more reliability there. When I get good results for more then a few days I'll start posting again.
While aiming for 60% is a nice goal, professionals normally hit at about 55%. The reason is because you will actually make much more money by playing several games at a 55% clip than if you were to play a few hot games at a 60% clip. Looking forward to your picks. You the man!
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Kenyon,
While aiming for 60% is a nice goal, professionals normally hit at about 55%. The reason is because you will actually make much more money by playing several games at a 55% clip than if you were to play a few hot games at a 60% clip. Looking forward to your picks. You the man!
Yes, I knew someone would say that about 60% after I posted it. I'm shooting for 60% in my back testing experiments, with certain filters. I don't expect the final numbers to be that high overall. Sorry for any confusion. Keep an eye on my NBA Daily 3 play record for progress. Today is first day with some new stuff in effect.
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Yes, I knew someone would say that about 60% after I posted it. I'm shooting for 60% in my back testing experiments, with certain filters. I don't expect the final numbers to be that high overall. Sorry for any confusion. Keep an eye on my NBA Daily 3 play record for progress. Today is first day with some new stuff in effect.
Here's a fun fact for this NBA season to date. So far about 1 out of 10 lines is under 185.5 and 61.1% of the time the under wins. So there is a simple system to give a whirl.
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Here's a fun fact for this NBA season to date. So far about 1 out of 10 lines is under 185.5 and 61.1% of the time the under wins. So there is a simple system to give a whirl.
Nice job K. Sorry to see you are not posting regularly what kind of changes do you make to a new system? I'm sure it can't be anything major just maybe a few weighted stats?
I'll be up at red rock tomorrow night if you want to come out and have a beer.
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Nice job K. Sorry to see you are not posting regularly what kind of changes do you make to a new system? I'm sure it can't be anything major just maybe a few weighted stats?
I'll be up at red rock tomorrow night if you want to come out and have a beer.
Stake , went out Friday to Texas ... probably can't make it to the Rock on Sat. maybe some other time. Actually it is a totally new system plus the old one. Different concept although it uses the same stat base. The back testing is at 60.5%. Look for my NBA Saturday picks on the main NBA forum.
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Stake , went out Friday to Texas ... probably can't make it to the Rock on Sat. maybe some other time. Actually it is a totally new system plus the old one. Different concept although it uses the same stat base. The back testing is at 60.5%. Look for my NBA Saturday picks on the main NBA forum.