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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    The Testing Phase For 1 Halfs in NBA

    «First Previous 1234
    therizz
    Blue_Chips
    Luongo
    rydaphotoguy
    AMMO1
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    «First Previous 1234
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 1:47 AM ET #76

    So really with the second half chase you are 5-0.....  Have you looked at this trend in any of your previous losses?  Maybe you should only chase if second half numbers from the last 5 games fit also???  Either way good luck Luongo.  Seems like you are definitely getting the kinks worked out.
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    So really with the second half chase you are 5-0.....  Have you looked at this trend in any of your previous losses?  Maybe you should only chase if second half numbers from the last 5 games fit also???  Either way good luck Luongo.  Seems like you are definitely getting the kinks worked out.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 1:58 AM ET #77

    I guess if you could hit 70% in each half, the odds to lose both would be 9% with 91% winners.  That would be a more profitable system with some more risk... each loss would be 3-3.5U, with about +60U out of 100 plays/chases..
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    I guess if you could hit 70% in each half, the odds to lose both would be 9% with 91% winners.  That would be a more profitable system with some more risk... each loss would be 3-3.5U, with about +60U out of 100 plays/chases..
     
    Blue_Chips
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 10:57 AM ET #78

    Good job Luongo! I like Ryda's idea too.

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    Good job Luongo! I like Ryda's idea too.

     
    Luongo
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 12:20 PM ET #79

    Guys I have tried if 1st half don't hit try second half ,photoguy you were lucky yesterday, because it don't always work that way, so its also in a testing phase so don't get to excited thanks
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    Guys I have tried if 1st half don't hit try second half ,photoguy you were lucky yesterday, because it don't always work that way, so its also in a testing phase so don't get to excited thanks
     
    rydaphotoguy
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 12:49 PM ET #80

    I am not getting excited just pointing something out that might want to keep an eye on. Do you have a record of the not hitting 1half double on second? I know it won't hit every time but nothing ever does. But even if you went 2-1 yesterday on 2half doubles you still come out ahead and that is if you have 3 that don't hit 1half which 16-9 (I think is current record) would mean that out of the 9 losses you would have to hit 6-3 to stay ahead but again. 6-3 would give you better money than 16-0. So overall your record would be 22-3. Each win you win $100 and each loss you lose $300. So by my figures you would be ahead $1300. And at 16-9 you are only up $700. And to me it only makes sense that if two teams score more than they are used to scoring in 1half then they would slow down by 4th quarter which every game did yesterday. I understand it could have been a fluke. But I am going to role with it. BOL today!
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    I am not getting excited just pointing something out that might want to keep an eye on. Do you have a record of the not hitting 1half double on second? I know it won't hit every time but nothing ever does. But even if you went 2-1 yesterday on 2half doubles you still come out ahead and that is if you have 3 that don't hit 1half which 16-9 (I think is current record) would mean that out of the 9 losses you would have to hit 6-3 to stay ahead but again. 6-3 would give you better money than 16-0. So overall your record would be 22-3. Each win you win $100 and each loss you lose $300. So by my figures you would be ahead $1300. And at 16-9 you are only up $700. And to me it only makes sense that if two teams score more than they are used to scoring in 1half then they would slow down by 4th quarter which every game did yesterday. I understand it could have been a fluke. But I am going to role with it. BOL today!
     
    rydaphotoguy
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 12:50 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by rydaphotoguy:

    I am not getting excited just pointing something out that might want to keep an eye on. Do you have a record of the not hitting 1half double on second? I know it won't hit every time but nothing ever does. But even if you went 2-1 yesterday on 2half doubles you still come out ahead and that is if you have 3 that don't hit 1half which 16-9 (I think is current record) would mean that out of the 9 losses you would have to hit 6-3 to stay ahead but again. 6-3 would give you better money than 16-9. So overall your record would be 22-3. Each win you win $100 and each loss you lose $300. So by my figures you would be ahead $1300. And at 16-9 you are only up $700. And to me it only makes sense that if two teams score more than they are used to scoring in 1half then they would slow down by 4th quarter which every game did yesterday. I understand it could have been a fluke. But I am going to role with it. BOL today!

    Fixed typo above.

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    Quote Originally Posted by rydaphotoguy:

    I am not getting excited just pointing something out that might want to keep an eye on. Do you have a record of the not hitting 1half double on second? I know it won't hit every time but nothing ever does. But even if you went 2-1 yesterday on 2half doubles you still come out ahead and that is if you have 3 that don't hit 1half which 16-9 (I think is current record) would mean that out of the 9 losses you would have to hit 6-3 to stay ahead but again. 6-3 would give you better money than 16-9. So overall your record would be 22-3. Each win you win $100 and each loss you lose $300. So by my figures you would be ahead $1300. And at 16-9 you are only up $700. And to me it only makes sense that if two teams score more than they are used to scoring in 1half then they would slow down by 4th quarter which every game did yesterday. I understand it could have been a fluke. But I am going to role with it. BOL today!

    Fixed typo above.

     
    Luongo
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 2:43 PM ET #82

    ok rydaphotoguy heres proof from past games i posted about if 1st half don't hit try 2nd half

    Lalakers/Houst  March 27

    1h U 102 

    1half points were 107
    2nd half line was 97  it went over again hit 103

    26th of MARCH


    MIL/MIAMI

    1h o 92 hit like 85
    2h  line was 94 went way under again hit 78

    so theres 2 examples i just found

    hope this helps in your luckiness from yesterday
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    ok rydaphotoguy heres proof from past games i posted about if 1st half don't hit try 2nd half

    Lalakers/Houst  March 27

    1h U 102 

    1half points were 107
    2nd half line was 97  it went over again hit 103

    26th of MARCH


    MIL/MIAMI

    1h o 92 hit like 85
    2h  line was 94 went way under again hit 78

    so theres 2 examples i just found

    hope this helps in your luckiness from yesterday
     
    rydaphotoguy
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 2:53 PM ET #83

    Ok so lets take yesterday for instance. If one would have missed. You are still up 1U. Still better than being down 1U. If 2 out of three miss you are down 2U instead of down 1U.  I think it is worth a shot to say that at least 2 out of three games will be opposite of first halfs plus the money made off normal system. I am still confident in it. You might be right but this is one of those things that I will have to see for myself.

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    Ok so lets take yesterday for instance. If one would have missed. You are still up 1U. Still better than being down 1U. If 2 out of three miss you are down 2U instead of down 1U.  I think it is worth a shot to say that at least 2 out of three games will be opposite of first halfs plus the money made off normal system. I am still confident in it. You might be right but this is one of those things that I will have to see for myself.

     
    Luongo
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 3:20 PM ET #84

    Like i said its still in a testing phase, and it might work might not
    GL what ever you play.


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    Like i said its still in a testing phase, and it might work might not
    GL what ever you play.


     
    therizz
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 3:42 PM ET #85

    Luongo,

    Maybe we should cap second halfs of the games you are going to play just to follow.  For example, if the first half loses you will already have a number for second half.  If the line is significantly over/under what you capped it may be worthwhile chasing.  I am just thinking if you can hit 65-70% each half the odds of losing both would only be around 10% which would give you around 60U profit out of 100 plays.

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    Luongo,

    Maybe we should cap second halfs of the games you are going to play just to follow.  For example, if the first half loses you will already have a number for second half.  If the line is significantly over/under what you capped it may be worthwhile chasing.  I am just thinking if you can hit 65-70% each half the odds of losing both would only be around 10% which would give you around 60U profit out of 100 plays.

     
    Luongo
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2010 - 3:52 PM ET #86

    well capped the games today none fit my nba system so
    NO GAMES TODAY
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    well capped the games today none fit my nba system so
    NO GAMES TODAY
     
    AMMO1
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2010 - 2:45 PM ET #87

    Long time follower not big on post, BUT, this has my attention and i think someone tried it before many years ago on Covers.

    Would tonights games 3/31 be as follows?:

    Lakers 47.6/Hawks 49.8 = 97 (my book has 98 1/2) small play

    Bucks 46/Cavs 53.4 = 99 (my book has 97 1/2) no play

    clips 46.6/Raps 46.6 = 93 (my book has 105) strong play

    76ers 47.8/cats 47.8 = 96 ( my book has 95 1/2) no play

    Thunder 58/Celts 52.6 = 111 (my book has 97) PLAY OVER ???

    Heat 50.6/Pistons 45.6 = 96 (my book has 94 1/2) no play

    Suns 59.8/Nets 45 = 105 (my book has 107 1/2) small play

    wizards 45.4/Hornet 45.8 = 91 (my book has 99 1/2) large play

    kings 47.6/timber 47.4 = 95 (my book has 104 1/2) play

    Mav 56.6/Grizz 55 = 112 (my book has 103 1/2) PLAY OVER???

    i didnt calculate the last three games, am i on the right track?....totally off with one side or the other?....totally off with both???

    Thanks for you help!

    CHEERS!!!!

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    Long time follower not big on post, BUT, this has my attention and i think someone tried it before many years ago on Covers.

    Would tonights games 3/31 be as follows?:

    Lakers 47.6/Hawks 49.8 = 97 (my book has 98 1/2) small play

    Bucks 46/Cavs 53.4 = 99 (my book has 97 1/2) no play

    clips 46.6/Raps 46.6 = 93 (my book has 105) strong play

    76ers 47.8/cats 47.8 = 96 ( my book has 95 1/2) no play

    Thunder 58/Celts 52.6 = 111 (my book has 97) PLAY OVER ???

    Heat 50.6/Pistons 45.6 = 96 (my book has 94 1/2) no play

    Suns 59.8/Nets 45 = 105 (my book has 107 1/2) small play

    wizards 45.4/Hornet 45.8 = 91 (my book has 99 1/2) large play

    kings 47.6/timber 47.4 = 95 (my book has 104 1/2) play

    Mav 56.6/Grizz 55 = 112 (my book has 103 1/2) PLAY OVER???

    i didnt calculate the last three games, am i on the right track?....totally off with one side or the other?....totally off with both???

    Thanks for you help!

    CHEERS!!!!

     
    Luongo
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2010 - 2:55 PM ET #88

    AMMO Defense and offense not just offense
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    AMMO Defense and offense not just offense
     
     
    Luongo
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2010 - 5:17 PM ET #89

    Plays Today

    1 h U 98.5  LAL/Atl

    1 h O 96 Phil/Char

    1 h U 97.5 Mil/Clev

    1 h O  97  OKC/Bost

    1 h U 104.5 Sac/MInn

    1 h U 99 Wash/NO

    1 h U 101 SA/Houst

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    Plays Today

    1 h U 98.5  LAL/Atl

    1 h O 96 Phil/Char

    1 h U 97.5 Mil/Clev

    1 h O  97  OKC/Bost

    1 h U 104.5 Sac/MInn

    1 h U 99 Wash/NO

    1 h U 101 SA/Houst

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