The Testing Phase For 1 Halfs in NBA

Guys i can tell you how this works so just stay tight and enjoy the ride, last 3 weeks hiting at 72%, astonishing I know but works most of the time, anyways i will be updating this thread for am while.

Feb 17 th

1H SA/Ind U 103

1H O 95 Det/Orl

1H U 110 Mem/Tor

1H O 103 Minn/Wash

1H U 95 Mia/NJ

1H O 101.5 Chic/NY

1H O 100 Utah/NO

1H O 113 Sac/GS

1H U 99.5 Atl/LAC

the other games do not fit the system good luck everybody

just for fun can you give an example on what figures you use or give a live example?

Record 6-3  so far, i have back tested this and have gotten awsome results in the 70% range like last night proving ti you it can hit pretty close to 70%, if you do the math it was 66% last night with 1 losing by 1 point and 1 loosing by a half

Feb 18

1H Denv/Clev O 105

1H Bost/LAL O 95

GL Everyone

ok can you confirm the calulations are correct.

Denver:

last 5 game totals = 548

divide 548 by 5= 109.6

divide 109.6 by 2=  54.8

Clev:

Home total avg points per game is101.61

divide 101.61 by 2=50.8

if you round up then it would be 55 plus 51 = 106.

The over/under is set at 104.5

if this is correct i understand who the calulations are done 

Please give an example of a game that does not fit the "rules" and is considered not a play

heres an example

Phoenix/Dallas line was 108.5 form Feb 17

1H O (111.4L5)     1H  (101.2 HG)

hope this helps

ok please forgive me but i am slow.  for the dallas phoe game this is what i got.

Half time line for dallas phoenix was 109.5

dallas last five games were: 108, 110, 112, 108, 99 = 537 total for 5 home game divide by 5 = 107.4

Phoenix last 5 away game were: 109, 114, 109, 109, 115 = 556 total for last 5 away games divide by 5= 111.2

so b.c phoenix was at 111.2 and dallas was at 107.4 with the line being 108.5 then no bet.

If this is correct amended totals for the denver vs clev game:  The half time line was 104.5

Denver: last 5 away games 106, 126, 103, 84, 97 = 516 /2 = 103.2 is average total points per game

Clev: last 5 home games 115, 104, 113, 102, 105 = 539 /2= 107.5 is average total points per game

Then with one fig, the visitor total below the total of 104.5 and the home total is above 104.5 then is this a conflict?  and not been a bet?

jake I made that mistake, i am glad you caught that in a hurry today, you are absolutely correct, only thing you need to take clevelands average home games for the season,and if it correlates in between the 1h line

so thanks for catching that mistake

Ok no problem, then based on the fig for the season long home pts scored and the last 5 away games for den:

denver vs clev game:  The half time line was 104.5

Denver: last 5 away games 106, 126, 103, 84, 97 = 516 /2 = 103.2 is average total points per game

Clev:

Home total avg points per game is101.61

Then if i am understanding then, the play would have been on the under for the Clev/Den game tonight

ok Jake here is an example

Boston vs LAL tonight

Bostons last 5 opponents games were 48.2 average of the 1st half

LA Lakers home games averges of the season of the 1half were 47.4

ok now take last 5 games if it is larger or smaller than the 1h line it would conflict, tonights number for last 5 games is 49.2, therefore it does not matter making it go over 1 half hope this helps

yeah you are correct, i am very confused.  is there a way you can go step by step including the figures that was used like i did above, please?  If you can use the cleveland/ denver game since i have those figures in front of me.

This will help me understand not only the math involved but also the complete method so i can get it right.

Thanks again for the help

ok jake here  is an example of Cleveland/Denver 1H

Denver last 5 opponent games at 1h is 56.6

Cleveland home games opponent averages through out the season is 48.9

Clevelands last 5 games opponents averages are 51

so  56.8 +48.9= 105.7 so there last 5 games opponents is even higher should of been over, i seen Shaq mised like 4 lay ups, so 8 points on to 98 would of made it closer, hope this helps again

ok we are making progress.  i finally got the clev last 5 figures to match.  had to go back to each game and wrote down the opponents half time scores:

date   oppen half time score

2-11  63

2-9    49

2-6   54

2-4 52

2-2  37

total is 255 the divide by 5 = 51  that is great.  The problem was i was taking the avg final score and dividing 5 last home games by 2, this gave me a wrong half time score. but i have fixed that

Now having a problem matching the clev home game oppon avg, according to nba,com clev opp points per game is 94.2 the divide by 2 = 47.1.   this has to be the wrong stat since A: if does not match your figure of 48.9.  I dont have the avg half time oppon points per game and you cant just cut the total points per game in half since it give wrong info.

Finally Denver last 5 road oppents.....went back to the last 5 road games which start on 1-27 and end on 2-6 figures are the oppon scored 51, 51, 41, 66, 54.  the total is 263 divide by 5 get an avg of 52.6.

now if i took just the last 5 oppent for denver regardless of road or home game, from 2-3 to 2-11.  The half time oppen scores are 60, 54, 66, 39, 54.  the total is 273 then divide by 5 = 54.6

now jake you have 54.6, which is the AVERAGE TEAM SCORE for Denver not OPPONENTS average halftime score.

You cannot use full game score for opponents and divide by 2, because some teams score more 1h than another, so the CLEVELAND average halftime opponents score is 48.9

Awesome so for the home opp avg half time score for any nba team, is there a web site which has this information or do I have to go to through out each home game per team and get the average? 

Either way, once the per team home opp avg half time score is calulated, then 2 out 3 stats I can understand.

Sorry jake for confusing you, but yes that the disadvantage, you have to manually do that everytime. Back to the system were are now at 7-4, manageable for a profit.

Back with todays games later