Posted:
#51
good stuff
0
Some of the best long term NFL systems are active today
Posted:
#54
Quote Originally Posted by thegamblino:
Here is my play #2:
Road teams that won last game and covered the line by 5 or more points while out rushed and out passed by opponent are 65-100 ATS. This system is 2-18 ATS since 2010. This season alone we had two upset losses in this situation, as Buffalo beat Baltimore and Cleveland beat Cincinnati. So, can New England "upset" New Orleans ? I think they can, as they own the best home ATS record against teams with more wins in the NFL in last 15 years (21-9 ATS). Play: New England moneyline.
P.S. Baltimore fits one of the systems from last week (Arizona won last week) but I will stay away because they are the only team in the NFL that was never in that situation before. Hard to believe but easy to explain. Baltimore is almost never a home dog. So, no play.
Here is my play #2:
Road teams that won last game and covered the line by 5 or more points while out rushed and out passed by opponent are 65-100 ATS. This system is 2-18 ATS since 2010. This season alone we had two upset losses in this situation, as Buffalo beat Baltimore and Cleveland beat Cincinnati. So, can New England "upset" New Orleans ? I think they can, as they own the best home ATS record against teams with more wins in the NFL in last 15 years (21-9 ATS). Play: New England moneyline.
P.S. Baltimore fits one of the systems from last week (Arizona won last week) but I will stay away because they are the only team in the NFL that was never in that situation before. Hard to believe but easy to explain. Baltimore is almost never a home dog. So, no play.
I would think that should make this play stronger 
0
Posted:
#56
5-1 systems...
here is another simple system: Faves after covering by more than 6 and no more than 11 as home dogs last game, in which opponent scored at least 23: 0-32 ATS. SD Chargers +1.
Not sure why this thread was moved to the systems forum...Those are my plays, not only based on systems.
here is another simple system: Faves after covering by more than 6 and no more than 11 as home dogs last game, in which opponent scored at least 23: 0-32 ATS. SD Chargers +1.
Not sure why this thread was moved to the systems forum...Those are my plays, not only based on systems.
0
Posted:
#61
Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheSpread:
So? There are plenty of bettors out there, myself included, that chooses situations/systems to help formulate plays. The systems are a basis for his plays.
He was wondering why this thread was moved to the systems section of the forum. I was just giving the possible reason for the move. If the systems are the basis for the plays, then it belongs in this section. Understand now?
0
good work
Posted:
#67
Tennessee +3
Home dogs after covering ATS as road dogs not more than 7 days ago are 61-34 ATS if they scored less than 15 in that game.
After adding some info:
If they turned the ball over at least once, rushed for less than 69 yards and passed for less than 250 yards in that road dog cover, they are 21-0 ATS in the following game. They also won all 12 outright where they were underdogs of 5 or less.
Home dogs after covering ATS as road dogs not more than 7 days ago are 61-34 ATS if they scored less than 15 in that game.
After adding some info:
If they turned the ball over at least once, rushed for less than 69 yards and passed for less than 250 yards in that road dog cover, they are 21-0 ATS in the following game. They also won all 12 outright where they were underdogs of 5 or less.
0
Posted:
#69
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:
For every trend with numerous factors that you find there is at least one pointing the other way. The last be you showed made me laugh very ridiculous.
For every trend with numerous factors that you find there is at least one pointing the other way. The last be you showed made me laugh very ridiculous.
That maybe so, but his trends are doing well so far,
unlike the college halves system, I think that worked best in the beginning before books knew the lines, but as the season goes it appears to be a better fade, atleast if its a ranked team. BOL
0
Hot Forum Topics
