Posted:
#1
First of all, underdogs after losing by more than 30 as underdogs are great ATS bets: (103-57 ATS).
The only situation where they do not do well is when they are play on the road after a home game. So, I will take the Jaguars out of equation. The best situation for them is when they play on the road after a road game (28-9 ATS). The Eagles are in this situation this week. And if their opponent is without a win, my bounce back teams are 9-0 ATS. So, I am all over Philadelphia +1.5.
My second long term winning system is to bet on home dogs if they won as road dogs last week and if the opponent won last game at home. These teams are 83-36 ATS. They are especially effective if their previous week win came in a close, defensive battle. They are 18-3 ATS if they won that game by 4 or less, scoring less than 17 points. Arizona fits this system, however, I will only play them in a teaser because Carolina won its home game two weeks ago. More about that teaser later.
My third system says: always take the 1-3 team after a loss, if the opponent won last game but not more than last 3 in a row. These 1-3 teams are 41-16 ATS. They are particularly effective if their opponent has more than 1 loss: 23-5 ATS. There is one 1-3 team this week that fits all those parameters and it is Oakland. I am taking them with 4.5 points.
My final system says: Always go against small favorites of 3.5 points or less if they played last game in overtime and either won it or lost by 3 or less. These teams are 45-81 ATS. Actually, they are on a 0-14 ATS run recently. Their worst time of the year is in first 8 weeks (11-40 ATS). My final ATS play is Indianapolis +3. This is also the play I am teasing with Arizona in a 7 points, 2 teamer.
Plays:
Philadelphia +1.5
Indianapolis +3
Oakland +4.5
Teaser Indianapolis +10 and Arizona +8.5
The only situation where they do not do well is when they are play on the road after a home game. So, I will take the Jaguars out of equation. The best situation for them is when they play on the road after a road game (28-9 ATS). The Eagles are in this situation this week. And if their opponent is without a win, my bounce back teams are 9-0 ATS. So, I am all over Philadelphia +1.5.
My second long term winning system is to bet on home dogs if they won as road dogs last week and if the opponent won last game at home. These teams are 83-36 ATS. They are especially effective if their previous week win came in a close, defensive battle. They are 18-3 ATS if they won that game by 4 or less, scoring less than 17 points. Arizona fits this system, however, I will only play them in a teaser because Carolina won its home game two weeks ago. More about that teaser later.
My third system says: always take the 1-3 team after a loss, if the opponent won last game but not more than last 3 in a row. These 1-3 teams are 41-16 ATS. They are particularly effective if their opponent has more than 1 loss: 23-5 ATS. There is one 1-3 team this week that fits all those parameters and it is Oakland. I am taking them with 4.5 points.
My final system says: Always go against small favorites of 3.5 points or less if they played last game in overtime and either won it or lost by 3 or less. These teams are 45-81 ATS. Actually, they are on a 0-14 ATS run recently. Their worst time of the year is in first 8 weeks (11-40 ATS). My final ATS play is Indianapolis +3. This is also the play I am teasing with Arizona in a 7 points, 2 teamer.
Plays:
Philadelphia +1.5
Indianapolis +3
Oakland +4.5
Teaser Indianapolis +10 and Arizona +8.5
0
Good job
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