Posted:
#26
BOL aerojackel 
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Soccer Draws
Posted:
#27
I'll do a recap of the games so far and some additions. Hasn't been going so well so far but last week was a pleasant surprise. Hope we can grind out some profit.
Recap: These are all draw plays
France - Nat - Amiens 
Austrailia - A - N Queenland
Italy - Serie B - Padova
Italy - Serie B - Empoli
Spain Segunda - Huesca
Spain Segunda - Cordoba 
Ouch - 1 Draw and 5 losses - so far we have - 2.91 Units. Will tally everything at the end of the plays for Fri-Sun
Additional plays: Sat/Sun -
Austrailia -A - Wellington/Adelaide + 240
Italy - Serie B - Torino/Siena + 197
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- game winning goal scored in 90th minute
Posted:
#30
Off to a bad start 
- hopefully it will turn around. The select plays just aren't coming in. The other plays that I am tracking are at least making some money but I track 20 - 30 games from Fri-Sun. That is a lot to play over a 2-3 day span. Have a few more to post ( to draw):
Spain - Segunda - Salamanca/Rayo Vallecano +218
Spain - Segunda - Albacete/Barcelona-B +211
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Posted:
#32
I used to use a free sports betting site (advertisers put up $1 that you
can bet with) for tracking purposes. The owner of the site has the
ability to see all the bets made and which ones are most and least
profitable. Anyways, he recently did a radio interview and said that
bettors, on average, lost money on every single bet type except
one--soccer draws, on which they broke-even. So if a bunch of casual
bettors can break-even, I'm confident someone tracking plays like
yourself can squeeze out some profit.
Regarding the selections, you previously mentioned that betting only certain draws would've netted you 100+ units so far. Are those results specifically from the "profitable" leagues you've identified?
Regarding the selections, you previously mentioned that betting only certain draws would've netted you 100+ units so far. Are those results specifically from the "profitable" leagues you've identified?
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Posted:
#34
That is very interesting about soccer draws at least breaking even. Would definately like to be on the positive side with taking the draw. I am going to update my tracking when I get some time. Even though the plays I have posted the last few weeks have been slowly losing. My overall tracking is showing a slight gain.
Yes the 100 Units I talked about was from a select few leagues. One play for today: (for the draw) betting 1 Unit
Austrailia - A - New Castle/Gold Coast +235
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Posted:
#35
Another loss brings thread total to 3.37 Units. Not many draws happening in the Ausrtailia A league right now.
Have tracked games in the UEFA-Europa League with the noted criteria at the begining of the thread and they have not done well. That is not to say draws don't happen in these soccer matches.
2 games that I will be tracking are ( I am NOT playing these):
AEK Athens/Zenit St. Peter
Debrecin/Sampdoria
In the 3-4 weeks that I have posted some draws - all plays have done better than the select ones. Gotta get an update soon.
Wonder what Fri-Sun will bring this week - GL
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Posted:
#36
you have to stick with certain leagues and follow just them
i 'm elabroating two systems in draws the last 3.5 months in
Bundesliga,Ligue 1,Ligue 2,Primera,Serie A,Serie B,Premier League,Greek Superleague
one of those systems is to bet on the draw when two teams which met have as most common result of the season--in terms of numbers--the draw
i.e. Team A 5w-8d-3l vs Team B 4w-7d-5l , in this case I notice that these teams end their games more often in draws than any other result,so I ll bet the draw to come
i 'm elabroating two systems in draws the last 3.5 months in
Bundesliga,Ligue 1,Ligue 2,Primera,Serie A,Serie B,Premier League,Greek Superleague
one of those systems is to bet on the draw when two teams which met have as most common result of the season--in terms of numbers--the draw
i.e. Team A 5w-8d-3l vs Team B 4w-7d-5l , in this case I notice that these teams end their games more often in draws than any other result,so I ll bet the draw to come
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Posted:
#37
Quote Originally Posted by tomius:
you have to stick with certain leagues and follow just them
i 'm elabroating two systems in draws the last 3.5 months in
Bundesliga,Ligue 1,Ligue 2,Primera,Serie A,Serie B,Premier League,Greek Superleague
one of those systems is to bet on the draw when two teams which met have as most common result of the season--in terms of numbers--the draw
i.e. Team A 5w-8d-3l vs Team B 4w-7d-5l , in this case I notice that these teams end their games more often in draws than any other result,so I ll bet the draw to come
you have to stick with certain leagues and follow just them
i 'm elabroating two systems in draws the last 3.5 months in
Bundesliga,Ligue 1,Ligue 2,Primera,Serie A,Serie B,Premier League,Greek Superleague
one of those systems is to bet on the draw when two teams which met have as most common result of the season--in terms of numbers--the draw
i.e. Team A 5w-8d-3l vs Team B 4w-7d-5l , in this case I notice that these teams end their games more often in draws than any other result,so I ll bet the draw to come
Like it - has it been profitable for you?
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Posted:
#40
Quote Originally Posted by aerojackel:
Like it - has it been profitable for you?
Well,since October 29th when I started using this method the outcome is 16 won - 35 lost , but the last couple of weeks it went 1 won - 11 lost , so before it was profitable,now it's almost even.
there was a week where the draws went 10 won - 1 lost,so counting out the best and the worst the numbers are 5 won - 23 lost which is not profitable at all.
On the long run I ll see if it worths it or not
The most common resutls were 6 times 0-0,9 times 1-1 and 1 time 2-2.
now the 0-0 has odds like 8.50 and the 1-1 6.00/6.50,so maybe betting on the correct score is better.
another thing is the following,these numbers 16w-35l I have so far are in games where there are teams which have the same frequency of draw and of any other result,i.e. 4-8d-8- vs 5-9d-6
I calculated those games where the opponents have records like in the example I wrote the other day,which was 5-8d-3 vs 4-7d-5 , in this case from Oct 29th till Dic 16th the results are 11 won - 19 lost,going 1 won - 5 lost the last couple of weeks
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Posted:
#44
Quote Originally Posted by tomius:
wow!!
you got all the draws in segunda!!!
i followed you on the last one
Excellent!
have you ever thought to combine draws from the same league?
wow!!
you got all the draws in segunda!!!
i followed you on the last one
Excellent!
have you ever thought to combine draws from the same league?
It has been a good weekend so far.
I have not done any combos for draws but they could be quite profitable on days like today. Maybe doing a rotation of 2 game combo would work.
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Posted:
#46
Strange odds in Italy -Serie B game today. It is between Albinoleffe and Piacenza and the odds are -235 for the draw. A negative? The books are that sure it will be a draw? People betting are that sure it will be a draw?
Normally Italy Serie B - games are a play with the right O/U and spread. These odds are really strange - mistake? Will not be playing this. Could be some value on taking one side or the other though - Albinoleffe is +300 and Piacenza is +1030.
Any thoughts?
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Posted:
#47
also here in Italy,I m Greek but I live in Italy,the local books did not accept bets on the draw in this game,not even in other results for the game
something suspicious is going there
but
since they are almost 1.5 million euros on the draw,I suppose that the books will not wanna lose so much money if the game ends in a draw
considering that the opening line for the draw was 3.00 the books are risking today to lose big in this one
consider that Bwin a sportsbook which is the main sponsor for Serie B don't even have the game anymore in bets!!!
personally i placed some money on the home win and less on the away win,having as main bet the over 2.5 goals
p.s. as for draws I ll ride with the Ligue 2 match LeHavre-Nantes
something suspicious is going there
but
since they are almost 1.5 million euros on the draw,I suppose that the books will not wanna lose so much money if the game ends in a draw
considering that the opening line for the draw was 3.00 the books are risking today to lose big in this one
consider that Bwin a sportsbook which is the main sponsor for Serie B don't even have the game anymore in bets!!!
personally i placed some money on the home win and less on the away win,having as main bet the over 2.5 goals
p.s. as for draws I ll ride with the Ligue 2 match LeHavre-Nantes
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Posted:
#48
Definately something suspicious going in that match - was also thinking of putting some very small amounts on each side.
Good Luck on the Ligue 2 game - does not qualify for a play for me but I will be tracking it. I have to get my weekend totals for tracking but last time I checked all draws I tracked from Fri-Sun was a plus 11 Units (includes my 3 posted plays). It was a good weekend for draws. Here is hoping it continues for the game you are on. 
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