Posted:
#101
SF game was another under game, something to keep an eye on
sorry for taking over your thread was only trying to help people win some cash,
BOL
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Second game of 2 game NFL Road Trip 2010
Posted:
#105
Hey All,
So i put together a spreadsheet for the 2012 season to keep track of the plays
You can download from here
https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbYkVFWFYzVVBqUE0
So a quick summary:
1) in purple it lists every team and their schedule from left to right
2) I also list the team record and their opponents record - stats are automatically updated from ESPN you click the update button
3) In the "week" box - you can enter the current week and it will display their current opponent and their record
4) I highlighted in yellow for each team when they are on a 2 game road-trip
** Note that some teams were on a BYE this week and the site I used to pull in the schedules doesn't display the schedule if on a BYE - so I will grab them tomorrow and update the file so all teams are populated - stay tuned.
So how do you use this?
1) Well click the update button each week to get the updated ESPN standings
2) Find the current week along the header - and look down to see if they are on a 2nd Road Game (highlighted in yellow
3) If they are then check if they covered the previous week (I left a column to enter if they did called "last week"
4) If they didn't cover then it's a play (note: I'm unsure of what other filters you may use - that's why i included record - because I saw some talk about using record, but did not see anything difinitive)
Well thats about it
Can someone tell me for sure if their are defintely filters?
I saw these - but are they definite?
Road team favs with better record or equal records over .500 are 3-1 ATS
Home team with better record or equal records under .500 are 4-2 ATS
unders in these games hit at 10-3, if the road team is the underdog they are 6-1, if the road team is the underdog and the total is 43 or less they are 3-0
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Posted:
#108
Degen those we stats from the first 13 games of last season, looking at the final thing i posted
unders in these games hit at 10-3, if the road team is the underdog they are 6-1, if the road team is the underdog and the total is 43 or less they are 3-0
for this season
WEEK 3 - Under 1-1 both totals over 43
WEEK 4 - NO UNDERDOGS ON ROAD
WEEK 5 - Under 2-0 one total 44 other total 42.5
WEEK 6 - Under 1-1 total of 44 was under total of 47.5 was over
WEEK 7 - NO UNDERDOGS ON ROAD
So if we keep the filter at total of 43 it sits at 4-0 for what has been backchecked.
and road underdog unders would be at 10-3
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Posted:
#109
checked the rest of what kirby posted as last years plays some were incorrect as they were part of three game road trips so i didnt include those
in total road underdog unders: 14-8
total under 43: 7-2, both losses came when road teams were over 7 point underdogs and the total was 38 and 38.5
tomorrow i will look through more of this thread and try to continue to backcheck further to see if another filter can be added successfully
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Posted:
#110
so if we add the filter of not playing under if road underdog is more than a 7 point underdog and the total is 43 or less: 4-0 through this year and last year, really cuts down the plays but gives us a perfect record
if we move the line to 44: 6-1
also road favs favored by 3.5 or more and record of .500 or higher: 5-1 and favored by 4 or more 4-0
any road favs record of .500 or higher: 7-2
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in at the end of the season so i hope
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