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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Run Line Blitz System

    «First Previous 789 ... 181920 Next Last»
    TONYALLDAY3
    prof8t
    King-of-the-NFL
    JoeMoney1440
    Martin55
    ...
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    «First Previous 789 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    TONYALLDAY3
    TONYALLDAY3
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 2:54 AM ET #151

    lmao @ closest to Det system!!!  
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    lmao @ closest to Det system!!!  
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 2:06 PM ET #152

    Current Record 26-0

    5-28-09
    No Play Today

    Due to the number of games today and the fact that there is no strong favorite, there is no play today.

    Good Luck
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    Current Record 26-0

    5-28-09
    No Play Today

    Due to the number of games today and the fact that there is no strong favorite, there is no play today.

    Good Luck
     
    King-of-the-NFL
    King-of-the-NFL
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 3:12 PM ET #153

    Quote Originally Posted by swamppdonkey77:

    The point is that some poor schleps will read your "system" and believe it's gold. I seriously doubt you made 6 figures betting on baseball last year.  This same method is applied to blackjack and other such 50/50 props. The problem is that at some point the bubble will burst and you end up losing huge. At some point you will reach your books limit(just like the table limit on a bj table) and cannot keep chasing. That being said I'll keep playing my closest to Detroit system and we'll see how that turns out.. GL to all! 
    Current record 29-0
    5-23-09
    Det (game 1)

    It's called having multiple online &/or street accounts to disperse the money to avoid such limits. DUH
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    Quote Originally Posted by swamppdonkey77:

    The point is that some poor schleps will read your "system" and believe it's gold. I seriously doubt you made 6 figures betting on baseball last year.  This same method is applied to blackjack and other such 50/50 props. The problem is that at some point the bubble will burst and you end up losing huge. At some point you will reach your books limit(just like the table limit on a bj table) and cannot keep chasing. That being said I'll keep playing my closest to Detroit system and we'll see how that turns out.. GL to all! 
    Current record 29-0
    5-23-09
    Det (game 1)

    It's called having multiple online &/or street accounts to disperse the money to avoid such limits. DUH
     
    JoeMoney1440
    JoeMoney1440
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 3:24 PM ET #154

    haha.. yeah You learn that in Sports Investing 101!
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    haha.. yeah You learn that in Sports Investing 101!
     
    Martin55
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 4:27 PM ET #155

    Kenronr, you are wrong. Bettors who bet to win pitcher vs pitcher will lose more times then not. System bettors seek out profitable series and win more times then regular bettors. We like to consider ourselves to the 5% club.
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    Kenronr, you are wrong. Bettors who bet to win pitcher vs pitcher will lose more times then not. System bettors seek out profitable series and win more times then regular bettors. We like to consider ourselves to the 5% club.
     
    andy88c
    andy88c
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 3:00 AM ET #156

    https://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/166494-system-integrity.html?redirect=false

    Same system with a lot of positive discussion in it about possible tweaks. I like the -1 RL tweak a lot because what it does is allows you to have added insurance thanks to a PUSH from a 1 run win letting you not continue the chase, but to revert to the same chase again.

    And since typically home teams will have the juiciest ML (but not the juiciest RL...thanks to the lack of a bottom of the 9th in a win), the -1 play becomes especially applicable to a system like this, which will involve a lot of home team bets.

    I'm probably going to start this with the -1 RL. Obivously more juice paid, but the amount of pushes should work out okay. I also have a slightly smaller bank roll than I would like, so while the indvidual game bets will probably be higher, the potential 6 game chase will have a lower chance of occurring.
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    https://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/166494-system-integrity.html?redirect=false

    Same system with a lot of positive discussion in it about possible tweaks. I like the -1 RL tweak a lot because what it does is allows you to have added insurance thanks to a PUSH from a 1 run win letting you not continue the chase, but to revert to the same chase again.

    And since typically home teams will have the juiciest ML (but not the juiciest RL...thanks to the lack of a bottom of the 9th in a win), the -1 play becomes especially applicable to a system like this, which will involve a lot of home team bets.

    I'm probably going to start this with the -1 RL. Obivously more juice paid, but the amount of pushes should work out okay. I also have a slightly smaller bank roll than I would like, so while the indvidual game bets will probably be higher, the potential 6 game chase will have a lower chance of occurring.
     
    andy88c
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 3:08 AM ET #157

    Another question for ya man and this is more or less because I plan on playing -1's which will have significantly more juiced lines than what you're playing:

    Are you playing to WIN a unit or a RISK of a unit and is there a distinction between dogs and favorites for this. I've seen both used before. I would imagine there is, but just curious as to what you do exactly.

    I know normally when I make bets (non-system), favorites are to WIN a unit and dogs are a RISK of a unit.
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    Another question for ya man and this is more or less because I plan on playing -1's which will have significantly more juiced lines than what you're playing:

    Are you playing to WIN a unit or a RISK of a unit and is there a distinction between dogs and favorites for this. I've seen both used before. I would imagine there is, but just curious as to what you do exactly.

    I know normally when I make bets (non-system), favorites are to WIN a unit and dogs are a RISK of a unit.
     
    diamonddicer
    diamonddicer
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 1:21 PM ET #158

    phils or yanks today?..my line has the ml both at -165...but for some reason has the phils rl at +125 and mets rl at +120
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    phils or yanks today?..my line has the ml both at -165...but for some reason has the phils rl at +125 and mets rl at +120
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 1:50 PM ET #159

    Current Record 26-0

    5-29-09
    LAA (Game 1)


    Good Luck
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    Current Record 26-0

    5-29-09
    LAA (Game 1)


    Good Luck
     
    cabofiddy
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 11:31 PM ET #160

    LAA (game 1)  Can you explain what this means...over, under, or what?  i have read thru the thread but i dont understand.  Someone please help.
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    LAA (game 1)  Can you explain what this means...over, under, or what?  i have read thru the thread but i dont understand.  Someone please help.
     
    cabofiddy
    cabofiddy
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 11:46 PM ET #161

    biggest favorite of the day...play the run line...chase to six.  thats the part i dont understand...everyday there is a different, "biggest fav 'o the day" so everyday you are playing a diff favorite? until you win?
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    biggest favorite of the day...play the run line...chase to six.  thats the part i dont understand...everyday there is a different, "biggest fav 'o the day" so everyday you are playing a diff favorite? until you win?
     
    cabofiddy
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 12:29 AM ET #162

    Read the whole thread...understand completely.  Thanks
     
    "...In it to win it!" 
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    Read the whole thread...understand completely.  Thanks
     
    "...In it to win it!" 
     
    andy88c
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 1:47 AM ET #163

    Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.
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    Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 12:24 PM ET #164

    Quote Originally Posted by cabofiddy:

    LAA (game 1)  Can you explain what this means...over, under, or what?  i have read thru the thread but i dont understand.  Someone please help.

    You are playing the run line on these.
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    Quote Originally Posted by cabofiddy:

    LAA (game 1)  Can you explain what this means...over, under, or what?  i have read thru the thread but i dont understand.  Someone please help.

    You are playing the run line on these.
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 12:27 PM ET #165

    Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:

    Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.

    Do as you wish.  I didn't post the -1 run line system because there haven't been many 1-run games that have burned us.
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    Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:

    Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.

    Do as you wish.  I didn't post the -1 run line system because there haven't been many 1-run games that have burned us.
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 12:29 PM ET #166

    Current Record 26-0

    5-30-09
    PHI (Game 2)


    Good Luck
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    Current Record 26-0

    5-30-09
    PHI (Game 2)


    Good Luck
     
    andy88c
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 12:55 PM ET #167

    Quote Originally Posted by prof8t:


    Do as you wish.  I didn't post the -1 run line system because there haven't been many 1-run games that have burned us.


    Good stuff. The play I made yesterday actually ended up being a one gamer...the opening line on NYM was the largest and they won 2-1, interestingly.
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    Quote Originally Posted by prof8t:


    Do as you wish.  I didn't post the -1 run line system because there haven't been many 1-run games that have burned us.


    Good stuff. The play I made yesterday actually ended up being a one gamer...the opening line on NYM was the largest and they won 2-1, interestingly.
     
    cabofiddy
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 10:24 PM ET #168

    system just went to 27-0
     
    Philly 9 Wash 6
     
    nice...
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    system just went to 27-0
     
    Philly 9 Wash 6
     
    nice...
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 10:44 PM ET #169

    Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:



    Good stuff. The play I made yesterday actually ended up being a one gamer...the opening line on NYM was the largest and they won 2-1, interestingly.

    So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right?  That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss.  You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.
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    Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:



    Good stuff. The play I made yesterday actually ended up being a one gamer...the opening line on NYM was the largest and they won 2-1, interestingly.

    So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right?  That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss.  You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.
     
    andy88c
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 12:00 AM ET #170

    Quote Originally Posted by prof8t:


    So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right?  That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss.  You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.


    Yep, it is a push. I did list it as a push, so it stays "Series A/Game A."  System plays are now 1-0 (Philly today as well) with total plays being 1-0-1.
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    Quote Originally Posted by prof8t:


    So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right?  That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss.  You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.


    Yep, it is a push. I did list it as a push, so it stays "Series A/Game A."  System plays are now 1-0 (Philly today as well) with total plays being 1-0-1.
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 12:22 PM ET #171

    Sunday 5/31

    GM1:
    MIL -1.5 (+110)
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    Sunday 5/31

    GM1:
    MIL -1.5 (+110)
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 1:08 PM ET #172

    Current Record 27-0

    5-31-09
    MIL (Game 1)


    Good Luck
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    Current Record 27-0

    5-31-09
    MIL (Game 1)


    Good Luck
     
    cabofiddy
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 8:04 PM ET #173

    28-0
     
    Muchas gracias. 
     
    Any other indicators that would lead to a larger bet?
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    28-0
     
    Muchas gracias. 
     
    Any other indicators that would lead to a larger bet?
     
    cabofiddy
    cabofiddy
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 12
    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 10:50 PM ET #174

    Quote Originally Posted by cabofiddy:

    28-0
     
    Muchas gracias. 
     
    Any other indicators that would lead to a larger bet?

    Other than the number of games into the system?  Team ERA, batting avg...or other stat?

     

    "...in it to win it!"

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    Quote Originally Posted by cabofiddy:

    28-0
     
    Muchas gracias. 
     
    Any other indicators that would lead to a larger bet?

    Other than the number of games into the system?  Team ERA, batting avg...or other stat?

     

    "...in it to win it!"

     
     
    cabofiddy
    cabofiddy
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 12
    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 10:51 PM ET #175

    Hola Amigos,
     
    I'm looking for a spreadsheet to track games and numbers, preferrably with the mlb games already listed...any help/suggestions.
     
    Thanks in advance...
     
    "...in it to win it!"
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    Hola Amigos,
     
    I'm looking for a spreadsheet to track games and numbers, preferrably with the mlb games already listed...any help/suggestions.
     
    Thanks in advance...
     
    "...in it to win it!"
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