The point is that some poor schleps will read your "system" and believe it's gold. I seriously doubt you made 6 figures betting on baseball last year. This same method is applied to blackjack and other such 50/50 props. The problem is that at some point the bubble will burst and you end up losing huge. At some point you will reach your books limit(just like the table limit on a bj table) and cannot keep chasing. That being said I'll keep playing my closest to Detroit system and we'll see how that turns out.. GL to all!
Current record 29-0
5-23-09
Det (game 1)
It's called having multiple online &/or street accounts to disperse the money to avoid such limits. DUH
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Quote Originally Posted by swamppdonkey77:
The point is that some poor schleps will read your "system" and believe it's gold. I seriously doubt you made 6 figures betting on baseball last year. This same method is applied to blackjack and other such 50/50 props. The problem is that at some point the bubble will burst and you end up losing huge. At some point you will reach your books limit(just like the table limit on a bj table) and cannot keep chasing. That being said I'll keep playing my closest to Detroit system and we'll see how that turns out.. GL to all!
Current record 29-0
5-23-09
Det (game 1)
It's called having multiple online &/or street accounts to disperse the money to avoid such limits. DUH
Kenronr, you are wrong. Bettors who bet to win pitcher vs pitcher will lose more times then not. System bettors seek out profitable series and win more times then regular bettors. We like to consider ourselves to the 5% club.
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Kenronr, you are wrong. Bettors who bet to win pitcher vs pitcher will lose more times then not. System bettors seek out profitable series and win more times then regular bettors. We like to consider ourselves to the 5% club.
Same system with a lot of positive discussion in it about possible
tweaks. I like the -1 RL tweak a lot because what it does is allows you
to have added insurance thanks to a PUSH from a 1 run win letting you
not continue the chase, but to revert to the same chase again.
And since typically home teams will have the juiciest ML (but not the
juiciest RL...thanks to the lack of a bottom of the 9th in a win), the
-1 play becomes especially applicable to a system like this, which will
involve a lot of home team bets.
I'm probably going to start this with the -1 RL. Obivously more juice
paid, but the amount of pushes should work out okay. I also have a
slightly smaller bank roll than I would like, so while the indvidual
game bets will probably be higher, the potential 6 game chase will have
a lower chance of occurring.
Same system with a lot of positive discussion in it about possible
tweaks. I like the -1 RL tweak a lot because what it does is allows you
to have added insurance thanks to a PUSH from a 1 run win letting you
not continue the chase, but to revert to the same chase again.
And since typically home teams will have the juiciest ML (but not the
juiciest RL...thanks to the lack of a bottom of the 9th in a win), the
-1 play becomes especially applicable to a system like this, which will
involve a lot of home team bets.
I'm probably going to start this with the -1 RL. Obivously more juice
paid, but the amount of pushes should work out okay. I also have a
slightly smaller bank roll than I would like, so while the indvidual
game bets will probably be higher, the potential 6 game chase will have
a lower chance of occurring.
Another question for ya man and this is more or less because I plan on playing -1's which will have significantly more juiced lines than what you're playing:
Are you playing to WIN a unit or a RISK of a unit and is there a distinction between dogs and favorites for this. I've seen both used before. I would imagine there is, but just curious as to what you do exactly.
I know normally when I make bets (non-system), favorites are to WIN a unit and dogs are a RISK of a unit.
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Another question for ya man and this is more or less because I plan on playing -1's which will have significantly more juiced lines than what you're playing:
Are you playing to WIN a unit or a RISK of a unit and is there a distinction between dogs and favorites for this. I've seen both used before. I would imagine there is, but just curious as to what you do exactly.
I know normally when I make bets (non-system), favorites are to WIN a unit and dogs are a RISK of a unit.
biggest favorite of the day...play the run line...chase to six. thats the part i dont understand...everyday there is a different, "biggest fav 'o the day" so everyday you are playing a diff favorite? until you win?
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biggest favorite of the day...play the run line...chase to six. thats the part i dont understand...everyday there is a different, "biggest fav 'o the day" so everyday you are playing a diff favorite? until you win?
Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.
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Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.
Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.
Do as you wish. I didn't post the -1 run line system because there haven't been many 1-run games that have burned us.
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Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:
Yo man...question. Do you mind if I post my own thread that is basically this system but with a RL -1 and using the OPENING favorite and not the favorite after betting? Weird question, I know, but I don't want to step on any toes here.
Do as you wish. I didn't post the -1 run line system because there haven't been many 1-run games that have burned us.
Good stuff. The play I made yesterday actually ended up being a one gamer...the opening line on NYM was the largest and they won 2-1, interestingly.
So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right? That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss. You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.
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Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:
Good stuff. The play I made yesterday actually ended up being a one gamer...the opening line on NYM was the largest and they won 2-1, interestingly.
So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right? That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss. You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.
So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right? That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss. You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.
Yep, it is a push. I did list it as a push, so it stays "Series A/Game A." System plays are now 1-0 (Philly today as well) with total plays being 1-0-1.
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Quote Originally Posted by prof8t:
So the Mets won the play, however, your profit was nil due to a push right? That method of play is cool, however, there is no clear win-loss. You'll need to post those occurrences as a push so that some people don't get it confused as a system win.
Yep, it is a push. I did list it as a push, so it stays "Series A/Game A." System plays are now 1-0 (Philly today as well) with total plays being 1-0-1.