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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    "Key Parlays" after 71 days & Continued.

    123456 Next Last»
    rickbrown86
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    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2006 - 1:01 AM ET #1

    The Rules of the Key System are "keying" the opening line highest juice team in 2-team parlays with next 3 opening line teams with highest juice. If there is a tie -- ist tie-break is total points of teams (a little leeway here..if a team with 27 point playing a team wit 10 and team with 29 points playing team with 25 -- go with larger diff in points) 2nd tie-break is Home over Away. These will become parlays (A) (B) and (C). The other rule is the unit level we bet, and this is determined only by the "key" We start at a base unit (never go under whatever base is) after a loss we increase 1 unit & after a win we decrease 1 unit. There are streaks in any system or even straight plays, and by only using whether the "key" wins or loses -- we will be at base level most of the time as it is winning at about 70%.
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    The Rules of the Key System are "keying" the opening line highest juice team in 2-team parlays with next 3 opening line teams with highest juice. If there is a tie -- ist tie-break is total points of teams (a little leeway here..if a team with 27 point playing a team wit 10 and team with 29 points playing team with 25 -- go with larger diff in points) 2nd tie-break is Home over Away. These will become parlays (A) (B) and (C). The other rule is the unit level we bet, and this is determined only by the "key" We start at a base unit (never go under whatever base is) after a loss we increase 1 unit & after a win we decrease 1 unit. There are streaks in any system or even straight plays, and by only using whether the "key" wins or loses -- we will be at base level most of the time as it is winning at about 70%.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2006 - 1:05 AM ET #2

    Bringing last day of old thread here to start off: Fwd +$272 12/19 Day 71 level (1) $100 Key is Pittsburgh with: [A] Ottawa 100/106 [B] Toronto 100/122 [C] Carolina 100/126 Result was: Fwd: +$272 Day 71 Key Lost Day <300> After 71 days <28> level now (2) $200
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    Bringing last day of old thread here to start off: Fwd +$272 12/19 Day 71 level (1) $100 Key is Pittsburgh with: [A] Ottawa 100/106 [B] Toronto 100/122 [C] Carolina 100/126 Result was: Fwd: +$272 Day 71 Key Lost Day <300> After 71 days <28> level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2006 - 1:54 AM ET #3

    After 71 days tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: Key team -- 50W / 21L = 70.42% (A) team -- 42W / 29L = 59.15% (B) team -- 42W / 25L = 62.69% (C) team -- 37W / 18L = 67.27% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 26W/45L= 36.62% <$2,048> (B) team -- 28W/39L= 41.79% +$361 (C) team -- 25W/30L= 45.45% +$1,659 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --79W/114L= 40.93% <$28> So far the results over 212 parlays in MLB were far better, but you can see some similarities (big difference was that overall parlays hit @ nearly 3% higher, and hit more at the higher levels) MLB after 212 Parlays: Key team -- 55W / 22L = 71.43% (A) team -- 47W / 30L = 61.04% (B) team -- 43W / 26L = 62.32% (C) team -- 44W / 22L = 66.67% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 33W/44L= 42.86% +$615 (B) team -- 30W/39L= 43.48% +$695 (C) team -- 30W/36L= 45.45% +$1,625 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --93W/119L= 43.87% +$2,935
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    After 71 days tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: Key team -- 50W / 21L = 70.42% (A) team -- 42W / 29L = 59.15% (B) team -- 42W / 25L = 62.69% (C) team -- 37W / 18L = 67.27% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 26W/45L= 36.62% <$2,048> (B) team -- 28W/39L= 41.79% +$361 (C) team -- 25W/30L= 45.45% +$1,659 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --79W/114L= 40.93% <$28> So far the results over 212 parlays in MLB were far better, but you can see some similarities (big difference was that overall parlays hit @ nearly 3% higher, and hit more at the higher levels) MLB after 212 Parlays: Key team -- 55W / 22L = 71.43% (A) team -- 47W / 30L = 61.04% (B) team -- 43W / 26L = 62.32% (C) team -- 44W / 22L = 66.67% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 33W/44L= 42.86% +$615 (B) team -- 30W/39L= 43.48% +$695 (C) team -- 30W/36L= 45.45% +$1,625 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --93W/119L= 43.87% +$2,935
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2006 - 3:07 PM ET #4

    Fwd <28> 12/20 Day 72 level (2) $200 Key is Detroit with: [A] Anaheim 200/220 [B] Nashville 200/300 [C] short card—no game
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    Fwd <28> 12/20 Day 72 level (2) $200 Key is Detroit with: [A] Anaheim 200/220 [B] Nashville 200/300 [C] short card—no game
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2006 - 12:56 AM ET #5

    Fwd: <28> Day 71 Key Won (with A & B) Day +520 After 71 days +492 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: <28> Day 71 Key Won (with A & B) Day +520 After 71 days +492 level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2006 - 3:09 AM ET #6

    Fwd +492 12/21 Day 72 level (1) $100 Key is Montreal with: [A] Ottawa 100/ (about 110) [B] San Jose 100/ (about 110) [C] Atlanta 100/ (about 120)
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    Fwd +492 12/21 Day 72 level (1) $100 Key is Montreal with: [A] Ottawa 100/ (about 110) [B] San Jose 100/ (about 110) [C] Atlanta 100/ (about 120)
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2006 - 8:24 PM ET #7

    Fwd +492 12/21 Day 72 level (1) $100 Key is Montreal with: [A] Ottawa 100/106 [B] San Jose 100/100 [C] Atlanta 100/109
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    Fwd +492 12/21 Day 72 level (1) $100 Key is Montreal with: [A] Ottawa 100/106 [B] San Jose 100/100 [C] Atlanta 100/109
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2006 - 11:51 AM ET #8

    Fwd: +492 Day 72 Key Won (with C) Day <91> After 72 days +401 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: +492 Day 72 Key Won (with C) Day <91> After 72 days +401 level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2006 - 12:47 PM ET #9

    Fwd +401 12/21 Day 73 level (1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Carolina 100/131 [B] Chicago 100/153 [C] Columbus 100/157
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    Fwd +401 12/21 Day 73 level (1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Carolina 100/131 [B] Chicago 100/153 [C] Columbus 100/157
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2006 - 1:41 AM ET #10

    Fwd: +401 Day 73 Key Won (Sweep) Day +441 After 73 days +842 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: +401 Day 73 Key Won (Sweep) Day +441 After 73 days +842 level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2006 - 12:53 PM ET #11

    gotta remember to change what day number is. 12/20 was day 72 / 12/21 was day 73 / 12/22 was day 74
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    gotta remember to change what day number is. 12/20 was day 72 / 12/21 was day 73 / 12/22 was day 74
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2006 - 12:54 PM ET #12

    Fwd +401 12/23 Day 75 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/96 [B] Anaheim 100/94 [C] Ottawa 100/104
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    Fwd +401 12/23 Day 75 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/96 [B] Anaheim 100/94 [C] Ottawa 100/104
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2006 - 1:54 AM ET #13

    correction: Fwd +842 12/23 Day 75 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/96 [B] Anaheim 100/94 [C] Ottawa 100/104
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    correction: Fwd +842 12/23 Day 75 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/96 [B] Anaheim 100/94 [C] Ottawa 100/104
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2006 - 1:54 AM ET #14

    Fwd: +842 Day 75 Key Won (with C) Day <96> After 75 days +746 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: +842 Day 75 Key Won (with C) Day <96> After 75 days +746 level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2006 - 3:50 AM ET #15

    After 75 days (204 parlays) tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: Key team -- 54W / 21L = 72.00% (A) team -- 44W / 31L = 58.67% (B) team -- 44W / 27L = 61.97% (C) team -- 40W / 18L = 68.97% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 28W/47L= 37.33% <$1,897> (B) team -- 30W/41L= 42.25% +$614 (C) team -- 28W/30L= 48.28% +$2,029 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --86W/118L= 42.16% +$746
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    After 75 days (204 parlays) tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: Key team -- 54W / 21L = 72.00% (A) team -- 44W / 31L = 58.67% (B) team -- 44W / 27L = 61.97% (C) team -- 40W / 18L = 68.97% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 28W/47L= 37.33% <$1,897> (B) team -- 30W/41L= 42.25% +$614 (C) team -- 28W/30L= 48.28% +$2,029 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --86W/118L= 42.16% +$746
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2006 - 4:07 AM ET #16

    Fwd +746 12/26 Day 76 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/ [B] Calgary 100/ [C] Carolina 100/
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    Fwd +746 12/26 Day 76 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/ [B] Calgary 100/ [C] Carolina 100/
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 27, 2006 - 12:40 AM ET #17

    Fwd +746 12/26 Day 76 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/88 [B] Calgary 100/100 [C] Carolina 100/106 Fwd: +746 Day 76 Key Won (with A&C) Day +94 After 76 days +840 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd +746 12/26 Day 76 level (1) $100 Key is Nashville with: [A] Buffalo 100/88 [B] Calgary 100/100 [C] Carolina 100/106 Fwd: +746 Day 76 Key Won (with A&C) Day +94 After 76 days +840 level now (1) $100
     
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    Posted: Dec. 27, 2006 - 1:26 PM ET #18

    Fwd +840 12/27 Day 77 level (1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Ottawa 100/120 [B] Florida 100/116 [C] Montreal 100/128
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    Fwd +840 12/27 Day 77 level (1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Ottawa 100/120 [B] Florida 100/116 [C] Montreal 100/128
     
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2006 - 2:00 AM ET #19

    Fwd: +840 Day 77 Key Won (sweep) Day +364 After 77 days +1,204 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: +840 Day 77 Key Won (sweep) Day +364 After 77 days +1,204 level now (1) $100
     
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2006 - 6:45 AM ET #20

    Fwd +$1,204 12/28 Day 78 level (1) $100 Key is San Jose with: [A] Tampa Bay 100/ [B] Edmonton 100/ [C] Buffalo 100/
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    Fwd +$1,204 12/28 Day 78 level (1) $100 Key is San Jose with: [A] Tampa Bay 100/ [B] Edmonton 100/ [C] Buffalo 100/
     
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2006 - 7:49 PM ET #21

    Fwd +$1,204 12/28 Day 78 level (1) $100 Key is San Jose with: [A] Tampa Bay 100/80 [B] Edmonton 100/88 [C] Buffalo 100/102 prices stingy tonight
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    Fwd +$1,204 12/28 Day 78 level (1) $100 Key is San Jose with: [A] Tampa Bay 100/80 [B] Edmonton 100/88 [C] Buffalo 100/102 prices stingy tonight
     
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2006 - 11:37 AM ET #22

    Fwd: +$1,204 Day 78 Key Lost Day <300> After 78 days +$904 level now (2) $200
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    Fwd: +$1,204 Day 78 Key Lost Day <300> After 78 days +$904 level now (2) $200
     
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2006 - 2:03 PM ET #23

    Nearly even in Parlay samples, but results a lot different: NHL after 213 Parlays: Key team -- 56W / 22L = 71.79% (A) team -- 46W / 32L = 58.97% (B) team -- 45W / 29L = 60.81% (C) team -- 43W / 18L = 70.49% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 30W/48L= 38.46% <$1,789> (B) team -- 31W/43L= 41.89% +$530 (C) team -- 30W/31L= 49.18% +$2,163 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --91W/122L= 42.72% +$904 MLB after 212 Parlays Key team -- 55W / 22L = 71.43% (A) team -- 47W / 30L = 61.04% (B) team -- 43W / 26L = 62.32% (C) team -- 44W / 22L = 66.67% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 33W/44L= 42.86% +$615 (B) team -- 30W/39L= 43.48% +$695 (C) team -- 30W/36L= 45.45% +$1,625 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --93W/119L= 43.87% +$2,935
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    Nearly even in Parlay samples, but results a lot different: NHL after 213 Parlays: Key team -- 56W / 22L = 71.79% (A) team -- 46W / 32L = 58.97% (B) team -- 45W / 29L = 60.81% (C) team -- 43W / 18L = 70.49% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 30W/48L= 38.46% <$1,789> (B) team -- 31W/43L= 41.89% +$530 (C) team -- 30W/31L= 49.18% +$2,163 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --91W/122L= 42.72% +$904 MLB after 212 Parlays Key team -- 55W / 22L = 71.43% (A) team -- 47W / 30L = 61.04% (B) team -- 43W / 26L = 62.32% (C) team -- 44W / 22L = 66.67% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 33W/44L= 42.86% +$615 (B) team -- 30W/39L= 43.48% +$695 (C) team -- 30W/36L= 45.45% +$1,625 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --93W/119L= 43.87% +$2,935
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2006 - 2:05 PM ET #24

    Fwd +$904 12/29 Day 79 level (2) $200 Key is Colorado with: [A] Calgary 200/178 [B] New Jersey 200/220 [C] Ottawa 200/250
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    Fwd +$904 12/29 Day 79 level (2) $200 Key is Colorado with: [A] Calgary 200/178 [B] New Jersey 200/220 [C] Ottawa 200/250
     
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2006 - 2:13 AM ET #25

    Fwd: +$904 Day 79 Key Lost Day <600> After 79 days +304 level now (3) $300
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    Fwd: +$904 Day 79 Key Lost Day <600> After 79 days +304 level now (3) $300
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