do you go through every single game for ncaab? it's just too much game to calculate every game. any thoughts on how to narrow it down on specific games to look at?
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hey sergio,
do you go through every single game for ncaab? it's just too much game to calculate every game. any thoughts on how to narrow it down on specific games to look at?
Bobcats 190 = PLAY OVER 178 Grizzlies 208 = PLAY UNDER 221
Indiana and the LA Clips were plays but had worse ats records than their opponents, so NO PLAY on those...
Yes, I run all the games for ncaab. I have not figured a way to run less games, but on these monster cards, i can start with just doing the core games and run the added games later.
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nba plays
Bobcats 190 = PLAY OVER 178 Grizzlies 208 = PLAY UNDER 221
Indiana and the LA Clips were plays but had worse ats records than their opponents, so NO PLAY on those...
Yes, I run all the games for ncaab. I have not figured a way to run less games, but on these monster cards, i can start with just doing the core games and run the added games later.
I can't reply unless you friend me, so i'll post my reply here.
These numbers are found here: https://www.statfox.com/nba/gamematchup.asp
scroll down half way to the team statistics section. In today's matchup with houston, using rounded #'s we have 101+101+101 for their avg offensive production overall, last 5 and road games. Add this to Orlando's defensive production in the same categories which are 97+96+97. Add all 6 and divide by 6 = 99 pts for Houston.
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Skills,
I can't reply unless you friend me, so i'll post my reply here.
These numbers are found here: https://www.statfox.com/nba/gamematchup.asp
scroll down half way to the team statistics section. In today's matchup with houston, using rounded #'s we have 101+101+101 for their avg offensive production overall, last 5 and road games. Add this to Orlando's defensive production in the same categories which are 97+96+97. Add all 6 and divide by 6 = 99 pts for Houston.
Skills, i think you're looking at the %'s. You need to look at the total points scored for and against to get your ppg #. i'll show the work for some added plays for today;
canisius Off (66+68+62) + NO Def (66+69+73) = 404/6 = 67 NO Off (63+60+61) + can Def (69+73+67) = 393/6 = 65.5 (when it lands right on the .5, i keep it)
ppg line says Canisius wins by 1.5, vegas has Canisius winning by 7.5 = PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS +7.5 (6 pt diff)
N Fl 59 S Miss 59.5 = PLAY N FL +13 (13 pt diff)
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Skills, i think you're looking at the %'s. You need to look at the total points scored for and against to get your ppg #. i'll show the work for some added plays for today;
canisius Off (66+68+62) + NO Def (66+69+73) = 404/6 = 67 NO Off (63+60+61) + can Def (69+73+67) = 393/6 = 65.5 (when it lands right on the .5, i keep it)
ppg line says Canisius wins by 1.5, vegas has Canisius winning by 7.5 = PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS +7.5 (6 pt diff)
As a note, I've really been laying off the fade plays as they have not been profitable. I'll post those plays and leave it up to you to decide what to do with these plays. I'll also include plays that are close to being plays, given more favorable line movement. Some lines may not be currently available, so wait until the price is right.
PORT 71 NEV 77.5 - 6.5/-6 148.5/154 = PLAY UNDER 154
FUR 71 UC SB 71.5 -.5/-5 142.5/141
UT VAL 66 CAL 73 +14 = 87 -21/-26 = PLAY UT VALLEY +27+
NOR ST 67 UTEP 85 -18/-29.5 = NP OR FADE NORFOLK ST (1-2 ATS) 152/156.5
WF 74 UNCG 63 +3 = 66 +8/+17 = PLAY UNCG +17
E WASH 66 GON 77 +6 = 83 -17/-23.5 = NP OR FADE E WASH (2-5 ATS)
DEN 71 N COL 75 -4/-6.5 146/141.5 = PLAY OVER 141
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sunday recap
1-1 sides
Monday
As a note, I've really been laying off the fade plays as they have not been profitable. I'll post those plays and leave it up to you to decide what to do with these plays. I'll also include plays that are close to being plays, given more favorable line movement. Some lines may not be currently available, so wait until the price is right.
SF A 69.5 BING 64 +4 = 68 +1.5/+10 = PLAY BINGHAMTON +10 133.5/
HOW 61 ST M 76 -15/-31 = NP OR FADE HOWARD (LOSING ATS RECORD) 137/
tuesday recap
5-3 sides 4-3 totals
as a reminder, records are kept for tracking purposes only. all calculations and recommendations are deemed reliable but not verified. please run your own #'s...
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SF A 69.5 BING 64 +4 = 68 +1.5/+10 = PLAY BINGHAMTON +10 133.5/
HOW 61 ST M 76 -15/-31 = NP OR FADE HOWARD (LOSING ATS RECORD) 137/
tuesday recap
5-3 sides 4-3 totals
as a reminder, records are kept for tracking purposes only. all calculations and recommendations are deemed reliable but not verified. please run your own #'s...
Hey Sergio, Awesome job...i have been really busy this month with family and stuff..but your formulas are looking good...keep up the great work...now back to the grind...
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Hey Sergio, Awesome job...i have been really busy this month with family and stuff..but your formulas are looking good...keep up the great work...now back to the grind...
It's a grind, that's for sure...
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