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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    PERA-BICS (Pitchers' ERA-Biorhythm Index Chase System)

    12 Next Last»
    HappyKane
    indiobear
    Tomspeople
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 2533
    Posts: 47
    12 Next Last»
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
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    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jun. 25, 2008 - 4:34 PM ET #1

    Those who don't know me or need a primer on biorhythms, i suggest Google.com.

    Qualifying games are rare, under the 4 criterias listed below. So hopefully, this should be a good system to chase with.

    MAIN FILTERS:

    1) Pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    2) Pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts and/or corresponding home/away ERA must be lower than his current ERA.

    3) Opposing pitcher must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts and/or corresponding home/away ERA must be higher than his current ERA.

    CONTINGENT FILTERS:

    1) Bullpen ERA?

    2) The pitcher's home/away ERA must be 1.00 lower than the pitcher's season ERA if that ERA is more than 4.50.

    3 The home/away ERA must be 1.00 higher than the pitcher's current ERA if that ERA is less than 4.50.

    TABS:

    1) Road pitchers W/L: 0-0

    2) Home pitchers W/L: 0-0

    3) Underdogs W/L: 0-0

    4) Favorites W/L: 0-0

    5) Unders/Overs: 0-0

    Reply
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Those who don't know me or need a primer on biorhythms, i suggest Google.com.

    Qualifying games are rare, under the 4 criterias listed below. So hopefully, this should be a good system to chase with.

    MAIN FILTERS:

    1) Pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    2) Pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts and/or corresponding home/away ERA must be lower than his current ERA.

    3) Opposing pitcher must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts and/or corresponding home/away ERA must be higher than his current ERA.

    CONTINGENT FILTERS:

    1) Bullpen ERA?

    2) The pitcher's home/away ERA must be 1.00 lower than the pitcher's season ERA if that ERA is more than 4.50.

    3 The home/away ERA must be 1.00 higher than the pitcher's current ERA if that ERA is less than 4.50.

    TABS:

    1) Road pitchers W/L: 0-0

    2) Home pitchers W/L: 0-0

    3) Underdogs W/L: 0-0

    4) Favorites W/L: 0-0

    5) Unders/Overs: 0-0

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jun. 25, 2008 - 4:47 PM ET #2

    06/25 Seattle Mariners (Miguel Batista) versus NY Mets (John Maine)
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML +195
     
    1) Miguel Batista's biorhythm chart = good.
     
    2) Miguel Batista's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Batista's season ERA = 6.26
    Batista's last 3 ERA = 4.86
    Batista's road ERA = 4.93
     
    3) John Maine's biorhythm chart = bad.
     
    4) John Maine's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Maine's season ERA = 3.78
    Maine's last 3 ERA = 5.00
    Maine's home ERA = 3.95
     
     
    I can't imagine the Mariners sweeping the Mets but i'll just stick with the system.
     
    I'll start out with a $250 wager on the Mariners. If this bet loses, i'll martingale $350-$500 on the next qualifying game.
     
     
     
     
     
    Miguel Batista
     
    versus
     
    John Maine
     
    Seattle Mariners ML +195 Risking 250.00   To Win 487.50
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    06/25 Seattle Mariners (Miguel Batista) versus NY Mets (John Maine)
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML +195
     
    1) Miguel Batista's biorhythm chart = good.
     
    2) Miguel Batista's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Batista's season ERA = 6.26
    Batista's last 3 ERA = 4.86
    Batista's road ERA = 4.93
     
    3) John Maine's biorhythm chart = bad.
     
    4) John Maine's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Maine's season ERA = 3.78
    Maine's last 3 ERA = 5.00
    Maine's home ERA = 3.95
     
     
    I can't imagine the Mariners sweeping the Mets but i'll just stick with the system.
     
    I'll start out with a $250 wager on the Mariners. If this bet loses, i'll martingale $350-$500 on the next qualifying game.
     
     
     
     
     
    Miguel Batista
     
    versus
     
    John Maine
     
    Seattle Mariners ML +195 Risking 250.00   To Win 487.50
     
    indiobear
    indiobear
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 871
    Posted: Jun. 25, 2008 - 6:15 PM ET #3

    I'm on pins and needles, rooting for ya bro
     
    Indio
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    I'm on pins and needles, rooting for ya bro
     
    Indio
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jun. 26, 2008 - 12:16 PM ET #4

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 0-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 0-0

    Underdogs W/L: 0-1

    Favorites W/L: 0-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = -$250.00

    Financial suicide to put money on Miguel Batista yesterday.

    NY Mets win 8-2.

    Reply
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    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 0-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 0-0

    Underdogs W/L: 0-1

    Favorites W/L: 0-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = -$250.00

    Financial suicide to put money on Miguel Batista yesterday.

    NY Mets win 8-2.

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jun. 26, 2008 - 12:44 PM ET #5

    06/26 Texas Rangers (Kevin Millwood) versus Houston Astros (Wandy Rodríguez)
     
    PICK: Texas Rangers ML +130
     
    1) Kevin Millwood's biorhythm chart = good.
     
    2) Kevin Millwood's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Millwood's season ERA = 4.61
    Millwood's last 3 ERA = 4.50
    Millwood's road ERA = 4.40
     
    3) Wandy Rodríguez's biorhythm chart = bad.
     
    4) Wandy Rodríguez's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Rodríguez's season ERA = 2.81
    Rodríguez's last 3 ERA = 3.63
    Rodríguez's home ERA = 2.10
     
    Rodríguez's low home ERA should indicate that he have pitched better on the home bump, but, he is just 1-2 for the record.
     
    I'll take a shot at this road dog. Besides, i only have to martingale $135 to gain double what i've lost yesterday. Good deal.
     
    Other game notes:
     
    Rangers are 8-6 with Millwood on the mound.
     
    Millwood averages 4.97 run support.
     
    A few Astros sluggers have seen PA's against Millwood and have pegged him at a .272 clip.
     
    Millwood is 6-3 against the Astros with an 3.48 ERA.
     
    Astros are 4-5 in Wandy Rodríguez's starts.
     
    Wandy Rodríguez gets an average of 3.99 runs in offensive support.
     
    Ian Kinsler is 5-6 (.833) against Rodríguez. A few others in the Rangers lineup have hit Rodríguez at about a .265 clip.
     
    Wandy Rodríguez is 2-0 against the Rangers with an 4.76 ERA.
     
     
     
     
    Kevin Millwood
     
    versus
     
    Wandy Rodríguez
     
    Texas Rangers ML +130 Risking 385.00   To Win 500.50
    Reply
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    06/26 Texas Rangers (Kevin Millwood) versus Houston Astros (Wandy Rodríguez)
     
    PICK: Texas Rangers ML +130
     
    1) Kevin Millwood's biorhythm chart = good.
     
    2) Kevin Millwood's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Millwood's season ERA = 4.61
    Millwood's last 3 ERA = 4.50
    Millwood's road ERA = 4.40
     
    3) Wandy Rodríguez's biorhythm chart = bad.
     
    4) Wandy Rodríguez's ERA index = qualify.
     
    Rodríguez's season ERA = 2.81
    Rodríguez's last 3 ERA = 3.63
    Rodríguez's home ERA = 2.10
     
    Rodríguez's low home ERA should indicate that he have pitched better on the home bump, but, he is just 1-2 for the record.
     
    I'll take a shot at this road dog. Besides, i only have to martingale $135 to gain double what i've lost yesterday. Good deal.
     
    Other game notes:
     
    Rangers are 8-6 with Millwood on the mound.
     
    Millwood averages 4.97 run support.
     
    A few Astros sluggers have seen PA's against Millwood and have pegged him at a .272 clip.
     
    Millwood is 6-3 against the Astros with an 3.48 ERA.
     
    Astros are 4-5 in Wandy Rodríguez's starts.
     
    Wandy Rodríguez gets an average of 3.99 runs in offensive support.
     
    Ian Kinsler is 5-6 (.833) against Rodríguez. A few others in the Rangers lineup have hit Rodríguez at about a .265 clip.
     
    Wandy Rodríguez is 2-0 against the Rangers with an 4.76 ERA.
     
     
     
     
    Kevin Millwood
     
    versus
     
    Wandy Rodríguez
     
    Texas Rangers ML +130 Risking 385.00   To Win 500.50
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Jun. 27, 2008 - 12:45 AM ET #6

    maybe this is fade material, neither team even came close to winning, both losing by 5+
    Reply
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    maybe this is fade material, neither team even came close to winning, both losing by 5+
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 2, 2008 - 3:27 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople:

    maybe this is fade material, neither team even came close to winning, both losing by 5+

    Could be. I'll give it another try on Wednesday night.

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople:

    maybe this is fade material, neither team even came close to winning, both losing by 5+

    Could be. I'll give it another try on Wednesday night.

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 2, 2008 - 3:32 PM ET #8

    07/02 Toronto Blue Jays (Dustin McGowan) versus Seattle Mariners (Jarrod Washbrun)
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML -104
     
     
     
     
     
    Dustin McGowan
     
    versus
     
    Jarrod Washburn
     
    Seattle Mariners ML -104 Risking 1025.00   To Win 985.58
    Reply
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    07/02 Toronto Blue Jays (Dustin McGowan) versus Seattle Mariners (Jarrod Washbrun)
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML -104
     
     
     
     
     
    Dustin McGowan
     
    versus
     
    Jarrod Washburn
     
    Seattle Mariners ML -104 Risking 1025.00   To Win 985.58
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 3, 2008 - 12:18 PM ET #9

    07/02 - Mariners won 4-2.

    Mariners were a home dog yesterday, no? Line was moving in Toronto's direction.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 0-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 1-0

    Underdogs W/L: 1-1

    Favorites W/L: 0-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$350.58

    Reply
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    07/02 - Mariners won 4-2.

    Mariners were a home dog yesterday, no? Line was moving in Toronto's direction.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 0-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 1-0

    Underdogs W/L: 1-1

    Favorites W/L: 0-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$350.58

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 3, 2008 - 2:34 PM ET #10

    I'm modifying the main filters.
     
    Taking out: the corresponding home/away ERA's.
     
    Putting in: pitchers' Power/Finesse ratio which is definded by "strikeouts plus walks divided by innings pitched".
     
    Its easy to calculate but you can easily access the P/F numbers here:
     
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pfY4RWLPLUkRbtH9SB_egCw&gid=2
     
    Many thanks to nawlins51 for keeping that spreadsheet updated.
     
    The numbers you'll need to extract from that spreadsheet is under the P/F column.
     
    For examples, Dana Eveland = 1.14, Sidney Ponson = 0.80, C.C. Sabathia = 1.31, Jon Lester = 0.99.
     
    The median is 1.20.
     
    According to nawlins51: "Any pitcher that is 1.2 or above is a power pitcher, meaning he doesn't rely on his defense as much as anyone below 1.2 does."
     

    Pitchers with high PFR's (over 1.2) have great control over their destiny each time they take the mound because they are issuing a high amount of walks and strikeouts.

    Pitcher's with low PFR's (under 1.2) are reliant upon their defense because they give up a great amount of hits. These are the pitchers with low K/9 ratios and few walks. They are very hittable.

    Reply
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    I'm modifying the main filters.
     
    Taking out: the corresponding home/away ERA's.
     
    Putting in: pitchers' Power/Finesse ratio which is definded by "strikeouts plus walks divided by innings pitched".
     
    Its easy to calculate but you can easily access the P/F numbers here:
     
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pfY4RWLPLUkRbtH9SB_egCw&gid=2
     
    Many thanks to nawlins51 for keeping that spreadsheet updated.
     
    The numbers you'll need to extract from that spreadsheet is under the P/F column.
     
    For examples, Dana Eveland = 1.14, Sidney Ponson = 0.80, C.C. Sabathia = 1.31, Jon Lester = 0.99.
     
    The median is 1.20.
     
    According to nawlins51: "Any pitcher that is 1.2 or above is a power pitcher, meaning he doesn't rely on his defense as much as anyone below 1.2 does."
     

    Pitchers with high PFR's (over 1.2) have great control over their destiny each time they take the mound because they are issuing a high amount of walks and strikeouts.

    Pitcher's with low PFR's (under 1.2) are reliant upon their defense because they give up a great amount of hits. These are the pitchers with low K/9 ratios and few walks. They are very hittable.

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 3, 2008 - 3:02 PM ET #11

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    2) Pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    3) Opposing pitcher must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

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    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    2) Pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    3) Opposing pitcher must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 4, 2008 - 12:45 PM ET #12

    07/04 Texas Rangers (Vicente Padilla) versus Baltimore Orioles (Jeremy Guthrie)
     
    PICK: Baltimore Orioles ML -128
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Jeremy Guthrie's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Jeremy Guthrie's season ERA = 3.50.

    Jeremy Guthrie's last 3 ERA = 2.57.

    3) Opposing pitcher must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Vicente Padilla's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Vicente Padilla's season ERA = 4.13.

    Vicente Padilla's last 3 ERA = 5.21.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Texas Rangers = 4.41 ERA.

    Baltimore Orioles = 3.02 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Vicente Padilla PFR = 1.07.

    Jeremy Guthrie PFR = 0.94

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Vicente Padilla = 1.11.

    Jeremy Guthrie = 0.90.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Texas Rangers DER =  .695.

    Baltimore Orioles DER = .714.

     

     

     

    Vicente Padilla

    versus

    Jeremy Guthrie

    Baltimore Orioles ML -128 Risking 200.00   To Win 156.25
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    07/04 Texas Rangers (Vicente Padilla) versus Baltimore Orioles (Jeremy Guthrie)
     
    PICK: Baltimore Orioles ML -128
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Jeremy Guthrie's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Jeremy Guthrie's season ERA = 3.50.

    Jeremy Guthrie's last 3 ERA = 2.57.

    3) Opposing pitcher must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Vicente Padilla's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Vicente Padilla's season ERA = 4.13.

    Vicente Padilla's last 3 ERA = 5.21.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Texas Rangers = 4.41 ERA.

    Baltimore Orioles = 3.02 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Vicente Padilla PFR = 1.07.

    Jeremy Guthrie PFR = 0.94

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Vicente Padilla = 1.11.

    Jeremy Guthrie = 0.90.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Texas Rangers DER =  .695.

    Baltimore Orioles DER = .714.

     

     

     

    Vicente Padilla

    versus

    Jeremy Guthrie

    Baltimore Orioles ML -128 Risking 200.00   To Win 156.25
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2008 - 2:04 PM ET #13

    07/04 - Orioles won 10-4.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 0-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 1-2

    Favorites W/L: 1-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$506.83

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    07/04 - Orioles won 10-4.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 0-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 1-2

    Favorites W/L: 1-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$506.83

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:04 PM ET #14

    07/07 Florida Marlins (Ricky Nolasco) versus San Diego Padres (Greg Maddux)
     
    PICK: Florida Marlins ML +102
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Biorhythm chart for wagered pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Ricky Nolasco's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Ricky Nolasco's season ERA = 3.94.

    Ricky Nolasco's last 3 ERA = 2.45.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Greg Maddux's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Greg Maddux's season ERA = 4.04.

    Greg Maddux's last 3 ERA = 7.79.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Florida Marlins = 3.60 ERA.

    San Diego Padres = 3.55 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Ricky Nolasco PFR = 1.02.

    Greg Maddux PFR = 0.69

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Ricky Nolasco = 0.82.

    Greg Maddux = 1.50.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Florida Marlins DER =  .707.

    San Diego Padres DER = .708.

    DER's could be negligible, as Florida ranks next to last with 77 errors committed. Meanwhile the Padres ranks 2nd from the top of the league with only 45 errors stacked against them.

    5) ? ? ?

     

     

     

     

    Ricky Nolasco
     
    versus
     
    Greg Maddux
     
    Florida Marlins ML +102 Risking 200.00   To Win 204.00
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    07/07 Florida Marlins (Ricky Nolasco) versus San Diego Padres (Greg Maddux)
     
    PICK: Florida Marlins ML +102
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Biorhythm chart for wagered pitcher's red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Ricky Nolasco's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Ricky Nolasco's season ERA = 3.94.

    Ricky Nolasco's last 3 ERA = 2.45.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Greg Maddux's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Greg Maddux's season ERA = 4.04.

    Greg Maddux's last 3 ERA = 7.79.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Florida Marlins = 3.60 ERA.

    San Diego Padres = 3.55 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Ricky Nolasco PFR = 1.02.

    Greg Maddux PFR = 0.69

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Ricky Nolasco = 0.82.

    Greg Maddux = 1.50.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Florida Marlins DER =  .707.

    San Diego Padres DER = .708.

    DER's could be negligible, as Florida ranks next to last with 77 errors committed. Meanwhile the Padres ranks 2nd from the top of the league with only 45 errors stacked against them.

    5) ? ? ?

     

     

     

     

    Ricky Nolasco
     
    versus
     
    Greg Maddux
     
    Florida Marlins ML +102 Risking 200.00   To Win 204.00
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
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    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 8, 2008 - 12:37 AM ET #15

    07/07 Result - Marlins won 3-1.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 1-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 2-2

    Favorites W/L: 1-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$710.83

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    07/07 Result - Marlins won 3-1.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 1-1

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 2-2

    Favorites W/L: 1-0

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$710.83

     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
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    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 10, 2008 - 3:02 PM ET #16

    07/10 Seattle Mariners (R.A. Dickey) versus Oakland Athletics (Greg Smith)
     
    PICK: Oakland Athletics ML +152
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    R.A. Dickey's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    R.A. Dickey's season ERA = 4.36.

    R.A. Dickey's last 3 ERA = 1.86.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Greg Smith's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Greg Smith's season ERA = 3.62.

    Greg Smith's last 3 ERA = 4.12.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Seattle Mariners = 1.36 ERA.

    Oakland Athletics = 3.06 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    R.A. Dickey PFR = 1.07.

    Greg Smith PFR = 1.13

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    R.A. Dickey = 1.40.

    Greg Smith = 1.32.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Seattle Mariners DER =  .698.

    Oakland Athletics DER = .728.  Wow! #1 defense in the league!

    5) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    R.A. Dickey
     
    versus
     
    Greg Smith
     
    Seattle Mariners ML +152 Risking 175.00   To Win 266.00
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    07/10 Seattle Mariners (R.A. Dickey) versus Oakland Athletics (Greg Smith)
     
    PICK: Oakland Athletics ML +152
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    R.A. Dickey's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    R.A. Dickey's season ERA = 4.36.

    R.A. Dickey's last 3 ERA = 1.86.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Greg Smith's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Greg Smith's season ERA = 3.62.

    Greg Smith's last 3 ERA = 4.12.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Seattle Mariners = 1.36 ERA.

    Oakland Athletics = 3.06 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    R.A. Dickey PFR = 1.07.

    Greg Smith PFR = 1.13

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    R.A. Dickey = 1.40.

    Greg Smith = 1.32.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Seattle Mariners DER =  .698.

    Oakland Athletics DER = .728.  Wow! #1 defense in the league!

    5) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    R.A. Dickey
     
    versus
     
    Greg Smith
     
    Seattle Mariners ML +152 Risking 175.00   To Win 266.00
     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2008 - 3:08 PM ET #17

    Mistyped the header.
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML +152
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    Mistyped the header.
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML +152
     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2008 - 5:40 PM ET #18

    07/10 Seattle Mariners (R.A. Dickey) versus Oakland Athletics (Greg Smith)
     
    PICK: Oakland Athletics ML +152
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Mark Buehrle's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Mark Buehrle's season ERA = 3.91.

    Mark Buehrle's last 3 ERA = 2.18.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Zach Greinke's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Zach Greinke's season ERA = 3.62.

    Zach Greinke's last 3 ERA = 5.29.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Chicago White Sox = 2.56 ERA.

    Kansas City Royals = 3.32 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Mark Buehrle's PFR = 0.85.

    Zach Greinke's PFR = 1.12.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Mark Buehrle = 1.31.

    Zach Greinke = 1.47.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Chicago White Sox DER =  .714.  #2 overall defense in the league!

    Kansas City Royals DER = .703.  #26 overall defense in the league.

    5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.

    Mark Buehrle's road ERA = 4.43.

    Zach Greinke's home ERA = 2.57.

    6) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    Mark Buehrle
     
    versus
     
    Zach Greinke
     
    Chicago White Sox ML +104 Risking 225.00   To Win 234.00
     
    With the Seattle Mariners wager pending, if in case that wager loses, i will double-down on the Chicago White Sox, risking $335.00 to win $348.40.
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    07/10 Seattle Mariners (R.A. Dickey) versus Oakland Athletics (Greg Smith)
     
    PICK: Oakland Athletics ML +152
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Mark Buehrle's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Mark Buehrle's season ERA = 3.91.

    Mark Buehrle's last 3 ERA = 2.18.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Zach Greinke's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Zach Greinke's season ERA = 3.62.

    Zach Greinke's last 3 ERA = 5.29.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Chicago White Sox = 2.56 ERA.

    Kansas City Royals = 3.32 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Mark Buehrle's PFR = 0.85.

    Zach Greinke's PFR = 1.12.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Mark Buehrle = 1.31.

    Zach Greinke = 1.47.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Chicago White Sox DER =  .714.  #2 overall defense in the league!

    Kansas City Royals DER = .703.  #26 overall defense in the league.

    5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.

    Mark Buehrle's road ERA = 4.43.

    Zach Greinke's home ERA = 2.57.

    6) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    Mark Buehrle
     
    versus
     
    Zach Greinke
     
    Chicago White Sox ML +104 Risking 225.00   To Win 234.00
     
    With the Seattle Mariners wager pending, if in case that wager loses, i will double-down on the Chicago White Sox, risking $335.00 to win $348.40.
     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2008 - 5:42 PM ET #19

    Again, mistyped header.
     
    Bleh!
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    Again, mistyped header.
     
    Bleh!
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2008 - 5:01 PM ET #20

    07/11 Seattle Mariners (Félix Hernández) versus Kansas City Royals (Luke Hochevar)
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML -115
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Félix Hernández's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Félix Hernández's season ERA = 2.83.

    Félix Hernández last 3 ERA = 1.80.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Luke Hochevar's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Luke Hochevar's season ERA = 5.40.

    Luke Hochevar's last 3 ERA = 7.50.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Seattle Mariners Sox = 2.99 ERA.

    Kansas City Royals = 3.44 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Félix Hernández's PFR = 1.21.

    Luke Hochevar's PFR = 1.03.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Félix Hernández = 0.70.

    Luke Hochevar = 1.56.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Seattle Mariners DER =  .699. #18 overall defense.

    Kansas City Royals DER = .703. #26 overall defense.

    5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.

    Félix Hernández's road ERA = 1.90.

    Luke Hochevar's home ERA = 3.89.

    6) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    Félix Hernández
     
    versus
     
    Luke Hochevar
     
    Seattle Mariners ML -115 Risking 825.00   To Win 717.39
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    07/11 Seattle Mariners (Félix Hernández) versus Kansas City Royals (Luke Hochevar)
     
    PICK: Seattle Mariners ML -115
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    Félix Hernández's biorhythm chart = good.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    Félix Hernández's season ERA = 2.83.

    Félix Hernández last 3 ERA = 1.80.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Luke Hochevar's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Luke Hochevar's season ERA = 5.40.

    Luke Hochevar's last 3 ERA = 7.50.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Seattle Mariners Sox = 2.99 ERA.

    Kansas City Royals = 3.44 ERA.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    Félix Hernández's PFR = 1.21.

    Luke Hochevar's PFR = 1.03.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    Félix Hernández = 0.70.

    Luke Hochevar = 1.56.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Seattle Mariners DER =  .699. #18 overall defense.

    Kansas City Royals DER = .703. #26 overall defense.

    5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.

    Félix Hernández's road ERA = 1.90.

    Luke Hochevar's home ERA = 3.89.

    6) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    Félix Hernández
     
    versus
     
    Luke Hochevar
     
    Seattle Mariners ML -115 Risking 825.00   To Win 717.39
     
    indiobear
    indiobear
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2008 - 6:52 PM ET #21

     I like the under better
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     I like the under better
     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2008 - 5:09 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by indiobear:

     I like the under better

    Sonofabish! Why does this system keep giving me the Seattle Mariners!?!?. LOL.

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    Quote Originally Posted by indiobear:

     I like the under better

    Sonofabish! Why does this system keep giving me the Seattle Mariners!?!?. LOL.

     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2008 - 5:28 PM ET #23

    07/12 Chicago White Sox (John Danks) versus Texas Rangers (Kevin Millwood)
     
    PICK: Chicago White Sox ML -111
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    John Danks ' biorhythm chart = excellent.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    John Danks' season ERA = 2.52.

    John Danks' last 3 ERA = 1.33.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Kevin Millwood's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Kevin Millwood's season ERA = 4.93.

    Kevin Millwood's last 3 ERA = 6.60.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Chicago White Sox = 2.57 ERA. #1 ranked bullpen.

    Texas Rangers = 4.13 ERA. #29 ranked bullpen.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    John Danks' PFR = 1.09.

    Kevin Millwood's PFR = 1.06.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    John Danks = 0.93.

    Kevin Millwood = 2.00.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Chicago White Sox DER =  .713. #2 overall defense.

    Texas Rangers DER = .696. #29 overall defense.

    5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.

    John Danks' road ERA = 1.46.  John Danks is 3-1 on the road.

    Kevin Millwood's home ERA = 4.86. Kevin Millwood is 4-0 on the home bump, though.

    6) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    John Danks
     
    versus
     
    Kevin Millwood
     
    Chicago White Sox ML -111 Risking 1200.00   To Win 1081.08
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    07/12 Chicago White Sox (John Danks) versus Texas Rangers (Kevin Millwood)
     
    PICK: Chicago White Sox ML -111
     

    MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias

    1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.

    John Danks ' biorhythm chart = excellent.

    2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.

    John Danks' season ERA = 2.52.

    John Danks' last 3 ERA = 1.33.

    3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.

    Kevin Millwood's biorhythm chart = bad.

    4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.

    Kevin Millwood's season ERA = 4.93.

    Kevin Millwood's last 3 ERA = 6.60.

    SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager

    1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.

    Chicago White Sox = 2.57 ERA. #1 ranked bullpen.

    Texas Rangers = 4.13 ERA. #29 ranked bullpen.

    2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.

    John Danks' PFR = 1.09.

    Kevin Millwood's PFR = 1.06.

    3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.

    John Danks = 0.93.

    Kevin Millwood = 2.00.

    4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.

    Chicago White Sox DER =  .713. #2 overall defense.

    Texas Rangers DER = .696. #29 overall defense.

    5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.

    John Danks' road ERA = 1.46.  John Danks is 3-1 on the road.

    Kevin Millwood's home ERA = 4.86. Kevin Millwood is 4-0 on the home bump, though.

    6) Future contingent filter(s)...

     

     

     

     

    John Danks
     
    versus
     
    Kevin Millwood
     
    Chicago White Sox ML -111 Risking 1200.00   To Win 1081.08
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2008 - 1:07 PM ET #24

    07/10 Results - Oakland beat Seattle 3-2 and Kansas City beat the White Sox 4-1. 2 losses.

    07/11 Result - Loss: Seattle loses 1-3 to Kansas City.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 1-4

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 2-4

    Favorites W/L: 1-1

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = -$624.17

    Reply
    Quote Post
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    Report User

    07/10 Results - Oakland beat Seattle 3-2 and Kansas City beat the White Sox 4-1. 2 losses.

    07/11 Result - Loss: Seattle loses 1-3 to Kansas City.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 1-4

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 2-4

    Favorites W/L: 1-1

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = -$624.17

     
     
    HappyKane
    HappyKane
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 34979
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2008 - 1:09 PM ET #25

    07/12 Result - Win: Chicago White Sox beat Texas Rangers 9-7.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 2-4

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 2-4

    Favorites W/L: 2-1

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$456.91

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    07/12 Result - Win: Chicago White Sox beat Texas Rangers 9-7.

    TABS:

    Road pitchers W/L: 2-4

    Home pitchers W/L: 2-0

    Underdogs W/L: 2-4

    Favorites W/L: 2-1

    Overs/Unders: 0-0

    $$$ = +$456.91

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