Posted:
#26
Another Seattle game qualifies for Sunday. 
Carlos Silva versus Kyle Davies.
Dare i bet on Seattle again?
0
PERA-BICS (Pitchers' ERA-Biorhythm Index Chase System)
Posted:
#28
07/18 Texas Rangers (Kevin Millwood) versus
Minnesota Twins (Glen Perkins)
PICK: Minnesota Twins ML -117
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Glen Perkins' biorhythm chart = good.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Glen Perkins' season ERA = 4.14.
Glen Perkins' last 3 ERA = 3.15. 
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Kevin Millwood's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Kevin Millwood's season ERA = 5.11.
Kevin Millwood's last 3 ERA = 5.28.
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Texas Rangers = 4.55 ERA. #29 ranked bullpen.
Minnesota Twins = 3.24 ERA. #13 ranked bullpen.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Glen Perkins' PFR = 0.79.
Kevin Millwood's PFR = 1.09.
3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Glen Perkins = 1.20.
Kevin Millwood = 1.89.
4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Minnesota Twins DER = .694. #20 overall defense.
Texas Rangers DER = .692. #29 overall defense.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Kevin Millwood's road ERA = 4.97.
Glen Perkins' home ERA = 4.53.
6) Run support:
Kevin Millwood = 5.15.
Glen Perkins = 5.80.
7) Pitchers' splits:
Kevin Millwood's night ERA = 6.20, day ERA = 3.09.
Glen Perkins' night ERA = 4.87, day ERA = 3.18
Kevin Millwood's career versus the Twins = 0-5 with an 5.86 ERA.
Glen Perkins' career versus the Rangers = 1-0 with an 1.80 ERA.
Kevin Millwood's Metrodome stats = 0-3 with an 3.41 ERA.
Glen Perkins' Metrodome stats = 3-2 with an 4.14 ERA.
8) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
Minnesota Twins ML -117 Risking 225.00 To Win 192.31
0
Posted:
#30
07/19 Toronto Blue Jays (Roy Halladay) versus
Tampa Bay Rays (Matt Garza)
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays ML -103
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Roy Halladay's biorhythm chart = good.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Roy Halladay's season ERA = 2.71.
Roy Halladay's last 3 ERA = 0.72.
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Matt Garza's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Matt Garza's season ERA = 3.96.
Matt Garza's last 3 ERA = 4.82.
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Toronto Blue Jays = 2.83 ERA. #4 ranked bullpen.
Tampa Bay Rays = 2.87 ERA. #7 ranked bullpen.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Roy Halladay's PFR = 0.97.
Matt Garza's PFR = 1.00.
3) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Roy Halladay = 0.56.
Matt Garza = 1.55.
4) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Toronto Blue Jays DER = .715. #3 overall defense.
Tampa Bay Rays DER = .723. #5 overall defense.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Roy Halladay's road ERA = 2.44. Halladay is 6-4 on the road.
Matt Garza's home ERA = 2.38. Garza is 5-1 at home.
6) Run support:
Roy Halladay = 3.81.
Matt Garza = 4.47.
7) Pitchers' splits:
Roy Halladay's night ERA = 2.56, day ERA = 3.26.
Matt Garza's night ERA = 3.92, day ERA = 4.03.
Roy Halladay's career versus the Rays = 9-5 with an 3.76 ERA.
Matt Garza's career versus the Blue Jays = 0-2 with an 7.71 ERA. 
Roy Halladay's Tropicana Field stats = 7-2 with an 3.02 ERA.
Matt Garza's Tropicana Field stats = 5-1 with an 2.38 ERA.
8) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
Toronto Blue Jays ML -103 Risking 175.00 To Win 169.90
0
Posted:
#31
07/19 Detroit Tigers (Nate Robertson) versus
Baltimore Orioles (Daniel Cabrera)
PICK: Baltimore Orioles ML -118
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Daniel Cabrera's biorhythm chart = good.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Daniel Cabrera's season ERA = 4.33.
Daniel Cabrera's last 3 ERA = 3.20. 
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Nate Robertson's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Nate Robertson's season ERA = 5.26.
Nate Robertson's last 3 ERA = 5.40. 
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Detroit Tigers = 3.93 ERA. #22 ranked bullpen.
Baltimore Orioles = 3.26 ERA. #9 ranked bullpen. This bullpen is much better off without the services of Ryan Bukvich.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Daniel Cabrera's PFR = 0.90.
Nate Robertson's PFR = 0.91.
3) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Baltimore Orioles DER = .715. #25 overall defense.
Detroit Tigers DER = .709. #22 overall defense.
4) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Nate Robertson = 1.45.
Daniel Cabrera = 1.47.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Nate Robertson's road ERA = 6.03. Nate Robertson is 3-5 on the road.
Daniel Cabrera's home ERA = 4.60. Daniel Cabrera is 3-0 at home.
6) Run support:
Nate Robertson = 4.82.
Daniel Cabrera = 4.70.
7) Pitchers' splits:
Nate Robertson's night ERA = 5.86, day ERA = 4.47.
Daniel Cabrera's night ERA = 4.27, day ERA = 4.43.
Nate Robertson's career versus the Orioles = 4-1 with an 3.05 ERA. 
Daniel Cabrera's career versus the Tigers = 3-1 with an 5.61 ERA. 
Nate Robertson's Camden Yards stats = 2-1 with an 3.94 ERA.
Daniel Cabrera's Camden Yards stats = 23-28 with an 4.96 ERA.
8) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
Baltimore Orioles ML -118 Risking 225.00 To Win 190.68
0
Posted:
#33
07/20 NY Mets (Mike Pelfrey) versus
Cincinnati Reds (Edinson Vólquez)
PICK: NY Mets ML +129
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Mike Pelfrey's biorhythm chart = good.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Mike Pelfrey's season ERA = 3.64.
Mike Pelfrey's last 3 ERA = 0.41.
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Edinson Vólquez's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Edinson Vólquez's season ERA = 2.29.
Edinson Vólquez's last 3 ERA = 3.44.
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
NY Mets = 3.07 ERA. #12 ranked bullpen.
Cincinnati Reds = 3.30 ERA. #10 ranked bullpen.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Edinson Vólquez's PFR = 1.55. 
Mike Pelfrey's PFR = 0.99. 
3) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
NY Mets DER = .720. #22 overall defense. Very good fielding percentage!
Cincinnati Reds DER = .696. #12 overall defense.
4) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Mike Pelfrey = 0.77.
Edinson Vólquez = 1.42.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Mike Pelfrey's road ERA = 5.56. Mike Pelfrey is 4-2 on the road.
Edinson Vólquez's home ERA = 2.43. Edinson Vólquez is 6-0 at home!
6) Run support:
Mike Pelfrey = 5.27.
Edinson Vólquez = 5.33.
7) Pitchers' splits:
Mike Pelfrey's night ERA = 3.68, day ERA = 3.56.
Edinson Vólquez's night ERA = 2.48, day ERA = 2.00.
8) Pitchers' career stats and ball park stats:
Mike Pelfrey's career versus the Reds = 1-1 with an 3.38 ERA.
Edinson Vólquez career versus the Mets = N/A.
Mike Pelfrey's Great American Ball Park stats = 1-0 with an 3.00 ERA.
Edinson Vólquez's Great American Ball Park stats = 6-0 with an 2.43 ERA.
9) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
NY Mets ML +129 Risking 175.00 To Win 225.75
0
Posted:
#35
07/20 Boston Red Sox (Tim Wakefield) versus
LA Angels (Jon Garland)
PICK: Boston Red Sox ML +101
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Tim Wakefield's biorhythm chart = good.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Tim Wakefield's season ERA = 3.60.
Tim Wakefield's last 3 ERA = 2.21.
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Jon Garland's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Jon Garland's season ERA = 4.20.
Jon Garland's last 3 ERA = 5.09. 
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Boston Red Sox = 3.64 ERA. #18 ranked bullpen.
LA Angels = 3.20 ERA. #20 ranked bullpen.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Tim Wakefield's PFR = 1.07.
Jon Garland's PFR = 0.75.
3) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Boston Red Sox DER = .717. #8 overall defense.
LA Angels DER = .713. #7 overall defense.
4) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Tim Wakefield = 0.79.
Jon Garland = 1.53.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Tim Wakefield's road ERA = 4.04. Wakefield is 1-4 on the road.
Jon Garland's home ERA = 4.22. Garland is 3-4 on the home bump.
6) Run support:
Tim Wakefield = 5.27.
Jon Garland = 3.84.
7) Pitchers' splits:
Tim Wakefield's night ERA = 3.59, day ERA = 3.68.
Jon Garland's night ERA = 4.26, day ERA = 4.00.
8) Pitchers' career stats and ball park stats:
Tim Wakefield's career versus the Angels = 9-11 with an 4.79 ERA.
Jon Garland's career versus the Red Sox = 4-5 with an 5.57 ERA.
Tim Wakefield's Angel Stadium stats = 5-6 with an 4.77 ERA.
Jon Garland's Angel Stadium stats = 5-8 with an 4.51 ERA.
9) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
Boston Red Sox ML +101 Risking 275.00 To Win 277.75
0
Posted:
#38
Quote Originally Posted by eppy224:
Happy, this looks very interesting. How long have you been using this system, and what have your overall results been like?
Thanks Happy, I appreciate any feedback you provide.
I just started this system about 3 weeks ago, less than a month.
After a rough start its in the black on the tab sheet. I hope to sail over the $1500 mark at the end of this week. Only 3-6 games qualify each week. If this turns out to be a good week, i'd like to hit the $2K mark.
So far, home teams are 4-0. So when the next home pitcher qualifies, i'm going to make an extra big wager on the home team.
Tonight a road team qualifies: Nick Blackburn versus Sidney Ponson.
0
Posted:
#39
07/21 Minnesota Twins (Nick Blackburn) versus
NY Yankees (Sidney Ponson)
PICK: Minnesota Twins ML +120
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Nick Blackburn's biorhythm chart = good.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Nick Blackburn's season ERA = 3.65.
Nick Blackburn's last 3 ERA = 1.74.
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Sidney Ponson's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Sidney Ponson's season ERA = 3.96.
Sidney Ponson's last 3 ERA = 4.24.
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Minnesota Twins = 3.17 ERA. #13 ranked bullpen.
Twins rested long men: Matt Guerrier (3.35 ERA), Craig Breslow (2.08 ERA), Jesse Crain (2.95 ERA), Joe Nathan (1.11 ERA).
NY Yankees = 3.17 ERA. #8 ranked bullpen.
Yankees rested long men & closer: Billy Traber (5.84 ERA), Dan Giese (2.70 ERA), LaTroy Hawkins (5.63 ERA), Mariano Rivera (1.22 ERA).
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Nick Blackburn's PFR = 0.69. 
Sidney Ponson's PFR = 0.74.
3) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Minnesota Twins DER = .698. #16 overall defense.
NY Yankees DER = .698. #12 overall defense.
4) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Nick Blackburn = 0.82.
Sidney Ponson = 1.65.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Nick Blackburn's road ERA = 4.52. Blackburn is 2-3 on the road.
Sidney Ponson's home ERA = 4.93. Ponson is 2-0 at home when he was with the Rangers.
6) Pitchers' run support:
Nick Blackburn = 4.82.
Sidney Ponson = 8.54. This has to be tops in the league! 8-4 for the team(s) when Sidney Ponson is on the mound.
0
Posted:
#40
7) Pitchers' splits:
Nick Blackburn's night ERA = 4.48, day ERA = 1.89. 
Sidney Ponson's night ERA = 4.05, day ERA = 3.72.
8) Pitchers' career stats and ball park stats:
Nick Blackburn's career versus the Yankees = 0-0 with an 2.08 ERA.
Sidney Ponson's career versus the Twins = 10-2 with an 2.42 ERA. 
Nick Blackburn's Yankee Stadium stats = N/A.
Sidney Ponson's Yankee Stadium stats = 4-3 with an 4.94 ERA.
9) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
Minnesota Twins ML +120 Risking 375.00 To Win 450.00
0
Posted:
#42
07/22 Milwaukee Brewers (Jeff Suppan) versus
St Louis Cardinals (Kyle Lohse)
PICK: St Louis Cardinals ML -138
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Kyle Lohse's biorhythm chart = okay.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Kyle Lohse's season ERA = 3.35.
Kyle Lohse's last 3 ERA = 1.71.
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Jeff Suppan's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Jeff Suppan's season ERA = 4.71.
Jeff Suppan's last 3 ERA = 9.64.
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Milwaukee Brewers = 4.06 ERA. #21 ranked bullpen.
St Louis Cardinals = 3.99 ERA. #25 ranked bullpen.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Jeff Suppan's PFR = 0.98.
Kyle Lohse's PFR = 0.74.
3) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Milwaukee Brewers DER = .713. #14 overall defense.
St Louis Cardinals DER = .706. #15 overall defense.
4) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Jeff Suppan = 2.00.
Kyle Lohse = 1.14.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Jeff Suppan's road ERA = 6.04. Suppan is 3-5 on the road.
Kyle Lohse's home ERA = 2.73. Lohse is 6-1 at home.
6) Pitchers' run support:
Jeff Suppan = 4.32.
Kyle Lohse = 4.72. 
7) Pitchers' splits:
Jeff Suppan's night ERA = 4.68, day ERA = 4.73.
Kyle Lohse's night ERA = 2.20, day ERA = 4.57.
8) Pitchers' career stats and ball park stats:
Jeff Suppan's career versus the Cardinals = 6-2 with an 3.12 ERA. Quite impressive!
Kyle Lohse's career versus the Brewers = 3-3 with an 5.50 ERA.
Jeff Suppan's Busch Stadium stats = 8-2 with an 3.16 ERA. Very impressive!
Kyle Lohse's Busch Stadium stats = 7-2 with an 2.78 ERA.
9) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
St Louis Cardinals ML -138 Risking 1150.00 To Win 833.33
0
Posted:
#45
07/23 Atlanta Braves (Tim Hudson) versus
Florida Marlins (Ricky Nolasco)
PICK: Florida Marlins ML -102
MAIN FILTERS: qualifying criterias
1) Wagered pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines must be in the positive phase.
Ricky Nolasco's biorhythm chart = okay.
2) Wagered pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be lower than his current ERA.
Ricky Nolasco's season ERA = 3.78.
Ricky Nolasco's last 3 ERA = 3.00.
3) Opposing pitcher's biorhythm chart must have the red line or at least 2 lines in the negative phase.
Tim Hudson's biorhythm chart = bad.
4) Opposing pitcher's ERA in the last 3 starts must be higher than his current ERA.
Tim Hudson's season ERA = 3.31.
Tim Hudson's last 3 ERA = 3.48.
SECONDARY/CONTINGENT FILTERS: used to alter strength of wager
1) Remaining Bullpen ERA's.
Atlanta Braves = 3.53 ERA. #5 ranked bullpen.
Florida Marlins = 3.10 ERA. #16 ranked bullpen.
2) Wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio should be better than opposing pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio. If not, decrease units wagered.
Tim Hudson's PFR = 0.89.
Ricky Nolasco's PFR = 1.02.
3) In the case that wagered pitcher's Power Finesse Ratio is lower than the opposing pitcher's, the wagered team's DER (Defense Efficiency Ratio) should be considered.
Atlanta Braves DER = .723. #8 overall defense.
Florida Marlins DER = .713. #25 overall defense.
4) Pitchers' last 3 WHIP.
Tim Hudson = 1.11.
Ricky Nolasco = 0.90.
5) Pitchers' corresponding away/home ERA's.
Tim Hudson's road ERA = 4.09. Tim Hudson is 2-6 on the road.
Ricky Nolasco's home ERA = 3.60. Ricky Nolasco is 4-3 at home.
6) Pitchers' run support:
Tim Hudson = 4.65.
Ricky Nolasco = 4.68.
7) Pitchers' splits:
Tim Hudson's night ERA = 3.15, day ERA = 3.67.
Ricky Nolasco's night ERA = 4.35, day ERA = 1.71.
8) Pitchers' career stats and ball park stats:
Tim Hudson's career versus the Marlins = 6-2 with an 2.84 ERA.
Ricky Nolasco's career versus the Braves = 1-3 with an 4.63 ERA.
Tim Hudson's Dolphin Stadium stats = 4-1 with an 2.95 ERA.
Ricky Nolasco's Dolphin Stadium stats = 9-9 with an 4.66 ERA.
9) Future contingent filters(s)...
versus
Florida ML -102 Risking 1500.00 To Win 1470.59
Florida ML -102 Risking 500.00 To Win 490.20
0
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