Absolutely huge night guys, everyone that played this should be able to take their profits and clear all their lines! So glad we double checked the two game series last night. This completely makes up for the last 3 weeks! After the profits from tonight I am considering calling it a season!
**meet o/u filter of 9+
TR diffs(for reference only)
Series Prices (for future reference only)
Game 1 wins =41
Game 2 wins = 15
Game 3 wins = 7
*Losses = 4 , -63.6U (Martingale)
+68.6 U aggressive labby updated 5/14 PM
x-x-x-x-x-x (won 455, lost 99=+356) clear all lines!
x-x-x-x-x -x
x-x-x-x-x
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Plays for 5/17:
System record 63-4-1
Additional series 3-0-0
2 game series: 7-0
Series Game Time Teams o/u TR diff
OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System) 5-0
*Series #6 (G1/2) 7:05 pit @ PHI -210, RL
*Series #7 (G1/2) 7:05 bos @ NYY -188
Series #9 (G1/2) 7:10 cle @ TB -183
*Series #10 (G1/2) 8:15 was @ STL -155
Series #11 (G1/2) 10:10 hou @ LAD -158
*Series #12 (G1/2) laa @ TEX -155
Series#13 (G1/2) sea @ OAK -159
Series #14 (G1/2) nym @ ATL -152
fla series did not qualify
Absolutely huge night guys, everyone that played this should be able to take their profits and clear all their lines! So glad we double checked the two game series last night. This completely makes up for the last 3 weeks! After the profits from tonight I am considering calling it a season!
**meet o/u filter of 9+
TR diffs(for reference only)
Series Prices (for future reference only)
Game 1 wins =41
Game 2 wins = 15
Game 3 wins = 7
*Losses = 4 , -63.6U (Martingale)
+68.6 U aggressive labby updated 5/14 PM
x-x-x-x-x-x (won 455, lost 99=+356) clear all lines!
There has been crickets chirping in this thread tonight. Please tell me everyone jumped on these plays tonight. We finally made the huge withdrawl from our labby lines we have been waiting for!!
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There has been crickets chirping in this thread tonight. Please tell me everyone jumped on these plays tonight. We finally made the huge withdrawl from our labby lines we have been waiting for!!
Hell of a night Rizz, glad you were able to finally pull some profit from all of this!
It's funny how the Optional Series have some so damn well, while the ones you're supposed to play have struggled. I'm having the same problems myself, where my filtered series have gone 4-0 with 4 Game 1 wins, while my play-on series have struggled with a 2-8 Game 1 record.
We keep saying it has to all balance out and revert to the norm in the end.. but what if it doesn't...
Anyway, cheers on an ass-kickin night!!
Continued Success
PS. I like the avatar change.. I honestly found the other picture a little "scary" HaHa
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Hell of a night Rizz, glad you were able to finally pull some profit from all of this!
It's funny how the Optional Series have some so damn well, while the ones you're supposed to play have struggled. I'm having the same problems myself, where my filtered series have gone 4-0 with 4 Game 1 wins, while my play-on series have struggled with a 2-8 Game 1 record.
We keep saying it has to all balance out and revert to the norm in the end.. but what if it doesn't...
Anyway, cheers on an ass-kickin night!!
Continued Success
PS. I like the avatar change.. I honestly found the other picture a little "scary" HaHa
Hell of a night Rizz, glad you were able to finally pull some profit from all of this!
It's funny how the Optional Series have some so damn well, while the ones you're supposed to play have struggled. I'm having the same problems myself, where my filtered series have gone 4-0 with 4 Game 1 wins, while my play-on series have struggled with a 2-8 Game 1 record.
We keep saying it has to all balance out and revert to the norm in the end.. but what if it doesn't...
Anyway, cheers on an ass-kickin night!!
Continued Success
PS. I like the avatar change.. I honestly found the other picture a little "scary" HaHa
I think the two game series were more of an oversight on my part in that I never really assessed them properly as they would have been profitable for the season in backtesting. Actually seeing you playing them sparked me looking into it more. I agree on the season, it has been an anomaly. Hopefully this week will be the turning point for all of us! The funny thing is I was thinking the exact same thing when you changed your avatar a few days ago, definitely prefer the current "kreatture"
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Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:
Hell of a night Rizz, glad you were able to finally pull some profit from all of this!
It's funny how the Optional Series have some so damn well, while the ones you're supposed to play have struggled. I'm having the same problems myself, where my filtered series have gone 4-0 with 4 Game 1 wins, while my play-on series have struggled with a 2-8 Game 1 record.
We keep saying it has to all balance out and revert to the norm in the end.. but what if it doesn't...
Anyway, cheers on an ass-kickin night!!
Continued Success
PS. I like the avatar change.. I honestly found the other picture a little "scary" HaHa
I think the two game series were more of an oversight on my part in that I never really assessed them properly as they would have been profitable for the season in backtesting. Actually seeing you playing them sparked me looking into it more. I agree on the season, it has been an anomaly. Hopefully this week will be the turning point for all of us! The funny thing is I was thinking the exact same thing when you changed your avatar a few days ago, definitely prefer the current "kreatture"
Since the schedules are cyclic year to year. I only looked at the two game series in the beginning of may, but last year would have been 14-2, with a lot of game 1 wins. Details are one page back in the thread.
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Quote Originally Posted by SKiLLsSoLoN:
Wow, I might have to jump on that now, lol.
So Playing 2 and now 3+ games?
What was the record like for 2 game series?
Since the schedules are cyclic year to year. I only looked at the two game series in the beginning of may, but last year would have been 14-2, with a lot of game 1 wins. Details are one page back in the thread.
Hi therizz, thanks for all the hard works you're doing. could you explain what meet o/u filter of 9+ is? maybe you explained it earlier and i missed it. thanks
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Hi therizz, thanks for all the hard works you're doing. could you explain what meet o/u filter of 9+ is? maybe you explained it earlier and i missed it. thanks
Be careful with these series, especially arizona. This line seems a fade of wellemeyer more than anything else... Look at the rankings, I don't think we have played one this skewed against us this year. CWS is also a bottom ten home team.
tb (1, 105.7) @ NYY (1, 103.9) = 0, -1.8
bal (28, 97.1) @ TEX (7, 101.6) = +21, +4.5
laa (25, 98.1) @ CWS (21, 98.7) = +4, +0.6
fla (12, 100.6) @ STL (9, 101.4) = +3, +0.8
sf (6, 101.8) @ AZ (27, 97.3) = -21, -4.5
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Be careful with these series, especially arizona. This line seems a fade of wellemeyer more than anything else... Look at the rankings, I don't think we have played one this skewed against us this year. CWS is also a bottom ten home team.
Hi therizz, thanks for all the hard works you're doing. could you explain what meet o/u filter of 9+ is? maybe you explained it earlier and i missed it. thanks
For whatever reason we are seeing a higher percentage of winners in series that start with an o/u set at 9 or higher in backtesting. It is described more thoroughly on pages 11-13 of the thread. Last year would have been 152-2 in those series. This year so far, playing home teams that meet the criteria and the filter are 24-0 (excluding the 2 Game series). The 2 game series are a bit of a different animal and are nonsystem but in backtesting proved to be profitable (described one page back). We are also tracking series prices and teamrankings away and home to establish more filters.
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Quote Originally Posted by kp4life82:
Hi therizz, thanks for all the hard works you're doing. could you explain what meet o/u filter of 9+ is? maybe you explained it earlier and i missed it. thanks
For whatever reason we are seeing a higher percentage of winners in series that start with an o/u set at 9 or higher in backtesting. It is described more thoroughly on pages 11-13 of the thread. Last year would have been 152-2 in those series. This year so far, playing home teams that meet the criteria and the filter are 24-0 (excluding the 2 Game series). The 2 game series are a bit of a different animal and are nonsystem but in backtesting proved to be profitable (described one page back). We are also tracking series prices and teamrankings away and home to establish more filters.
Be careful with these series, especially arizona. This line seems a fade of wellemeyer more than anything else... Look at the rankings, I don't think we have played one this skewed against us this year. CWS is also a bottom ten home team.
tb (1, 105.7) @ NYY (1, 103.9) = 0, -1.8
bal (28, 97.1) @ TEX (7, 101.6) = +21, +4.5
laa (25, 98.1) @ CWS (21, 98.7) = +4, +0.6
fla (12, 100.6) @ STL (9, 101.4) = +3, +0.8
sf (6, 101.8) @ AZ (27, 97.3) = -21, -4.5
Tonight supports the basis of this system that the linesmakers are smarter than us or at least me. I would have never guessed the line for SF/AZ would be this high and was worried about this game and then az cruises to the easiest win of the night... Same goes for the o/u filter... as arbitrary as it seems it is set by the linesmakers...
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Quote Originally Posted by therizz:
Be careful with these series, especially arizona. This line seems a fade of wellemeyer more than anything else... Look at the rankings, I don't think we have played one this skewed against us this year. CWS is also a bottom ten home team.
tb (1, 105.7) @ NYY (1, 103.9) = 0, -1.8
bal (28, 97.1) @ TEX (7, 101.6) = +21, +4.5
laa (25, 98.1) @ CWS (21, 98.7) = +4, +0.6
fla (12, 100.6) @ STL (9, 101.4) = +3, +0.8
sf (6, 101.8) @ AZ (27, 97.3) = -21, -4.5
Tonight supports the basis of this system that the linesmakers are smarter than us or at least me. I would have never guessed the line for SF/AZ would be this high and was worried about this game and then az cruises to the easiest win of the night... Same goes for the o/u filter... as arbitrary as it seems it is set by the linesmakers...
It is rediculous that STL keeps getting favored so high. They need to show that they can hit consistently before they are such high favorites. I don't care who is pitching for them.
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It is rediculous that STL keeps getting favored so high. They need to show that they can hit consistently before they are such high favorites. I don't care who is pitching for them.
Not looking good for the yanks. Guess what? That is the only 2 game series that I took from your lists this week. And I only wagered todays game. My bad guys.
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Not looking good for the yanks. Guess what? That is the only 2 game series that I took from your lists this week. And I only wagered todays game. My bad guys.
Not looking good for the yanks. Guess what? That is the only 2 game series that I took from your lists this week. And I only wagered todays game. My bad guys.
Nole you need to let us know who you are playing on before the games start...
Jayboss, haven't specifically looked at bullpens. If you see things that are helpful feel free to post here.
Well guys we did about as expected. Last year these series would have been 14-2, this year we went 10-1 which is actually better. looking at the rankings we were actually negative in the nyy and az series and we split them. If you followed your labby lines should definitely be ahead this week. We see interleague starting tomorrow. These are also optional series. Remember IL would have caused 3 of the 7 losses last year. We looked at these subset of plays with the o/u filter and they would have been 17-0 (details 1 or 2 pages back in the thread). I am only going to post the plays that pass the filter as optional series. I will keep track of the IL record separately.
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Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:
Not looking good for the yanks. Guess what? That is the only 2 game series that I took from your lists this week. And I only wagered todays game. My bad guys.
Nole you need to let us know who you are playing on before the games start...
Jayboss, haven't specifically looked at bullpens. If you see things that are helpful feel free to post here.
Well guys we did about as expected. Last year these series would have been 14-2, this year we went 10-1 which is actually better. looking at the rankings we were actually negative in the nyy and az series and we split them. If you followed your labby lines should definitely be ahead this week. We see interleague starting tomorrow. These are also optional series. Remember IL would have caused 3 of the 7 losses last year. We looked at these subset of plays with the o/u filter and they would have been 17-0 (details 1 or 2 pages back in the thread). I am only going to post the plays that pass the filter as optional series. I will keep track of the IL record separately.
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