NHL road trip UNDER

5-0 with this one so far this year, so thought I'd post it. I play the UNDER when the visitor has just played on the road the previous night. Hawks, Habs, Flyers, Blues, and Knights have all played B2B games and the second game of their respective trips have been well under. I do not chase this scenario, just SU wagers. Will discontinue if it falls ten units.

Thurs 10/12 play:

pens/bolts UNDER 6  +108   1U

Thanks for sharing chaser.

rivermonsterz

Would very much like to see the SDQL results for this!

Thurs 10/12 result:

pens/bolts UNDER 6  +108    loss -1U

YTD: -1U

Friday 10/13 play:

wings/knights UNDER 5  +132   .76U to win 1U

Ha, second consecutive night my "under" pic had the most goals scored! Posting on covers seems to be this system's "cooler". Onward

Caps/flyers 10 goals .  Again, the highest total of the day 

Saturday 10/14 results: laughable 

No plays today; Next play 10/17 Bolts@Devils

 Extremist...appreciate it!

Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

 Extremist...appreciate it!

sorry didn't mean for the season , I meant for the month of October. the rest of the games have not been entered in the sdql yet.

Extremist - nice work my friend, much appreciated.

Chaser - great find, I will be joining you this season, playing on a labby line.  Best of luck brother, lets make some ca$h

Tuesday 10/17 play:

have you thought about playing the under TT for the team on back-to-back road games no rest? Intuitively would seem to make more sense. based on the SDQL results and assuming every TT is 2.5 it would be 6-6

tough to tell the exact record if some TT were 3 or 3.5 though

I'll keep track of the TT under going forward just to see how it compares

You are absolutely correct! The percentages are higher if you play goals under 2.5 vs playing the Under. When I looked at the Under I didn't see the amount of pushes, I just looked at over/unders but when you consider the pushes the % is actually under 50% for every year. Here's the query that compares both systems vs eachother: TT under is the better choice. Click on the below link or use the query below that:

https://killersports.com/nhl/query?sdql=A%28goals%3C2.5%29+as+%27%25+of+TT+under+2.5%27%2CA%28U%29+as+%27%25+of+Under%27%40+A+and+p%3AA+and+rest%3D0+and+season%3D2016%2C2015%2C2014%2C2013+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

A(goals<2.5) as '% of TT under 2.5',A(U) as '% of Under'@ A and p:A and rest=0 and season=2016,2015,2014,2013 

Let me know what you guys think 

sorry the thread got cut off when I posted the link. here it is again.

I did notice that so far this year the Unders would've been better choice because over 2.5 has been hitting at a high rate but that will drop down to below 50% in the next couple of weeks. if you comparing trends from year to year I would say go with the TT, it has worked for the past 4 years

Good input and observations men. While the percentages do appear stronger for the TT play, the juice is concerning as it seems to be priced in the -115 to -120 range. The "under" play so far (including today's) is priced much more favorably...average price through 9 games is +108. Given this, I think either play yields a fairly small profit, if any profit at all by straight wagering. Chasing the way to go here ya think?

Extremist - is it possible to bring in the odds for those TT unders and see if the 54-57% is actually profitable?

Wednesday 10/18 play:

Habs/Kings under 5 +125  risking 1U

No, SDQL doesnt' have the odds for the Under 2.5. 

Habs under 2.5 (-135) hit