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NHL Logical Chase 2015

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Posts: 57

BIGfnPOO

MVP

Joined: Jun, 2006

Posts: 18880

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 3:03 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

Also in regards to Chicago game 3, stumbled upon this stat -
NHL teams are 624-617 (50.3%) following b2b OT games from 2006 onwards.

i dig all this info in this thread, but very respectfully i inquire as to the above statement. i believe its true and doesnt 50.3 mean it is a losing bet either way we bet? so we shd wait for a better bet? just asking. thx.

bigFnPOO

rivermonsterz

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2013

Posts: 1033

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 3:31 PM ET #52

By itself it's actually not very useful. You would need to investigate what the money lines usually are and even then to use this for a one off game would probably be silly

AppleMunch25

Rookie

Joined: Feb, 2015

Posts: 694

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 3:37 PM ET #53

The Blackhawks are a very good team, they won't lose all their on a homestand. I expect them to win tomorrow, NJ isn't very good. Only thing is the line will be very high and could get messy, if the Blackhawks don't show up tomorrow. If they care enough to want to get a W, this would be the game to do it.

GhostNL

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 191

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 4:30 PM ET #54

Unfortunately tomorrow isn't the last play of the homestand ;)

Goodsy

Rookie

Joined: Aug, 2013

Posts: 528

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 8:01 PM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by GhostNL:

Unfortunately tomorrow isn't the last play of the homestand ;)

I'll play only up to C otherwise it's a loss and I will move on.. if a team can't win within 3 games at home then it's not worth continuing the chase IMO. Regardless whether they win or lose in the 4th if it gets that far.

I would be more angry at myself for chasing the 4th and it loses again, then not playing the 4th and it wins.

I expect CHI to win tomorrow, despite the heavy line I will go slightly aggressive in recouping a couple of the losses from SJS loss.

I'm going to open up a home play today on Avs personally.. won't get heavy juice and should win 1 of the 3 in altitude. Open the stand up as a dog so a cheap start.

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 10:01 PM ET #56

All this chasing on heavy faves is making me appreciate my 2 team parlay system.

I can no longer do any chase involving faves on anything other than a labby line. Even that I'm starting to rethink.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

Goodsy

Rookie

Joined: Aug, 2013

Posts: 528

Posted: Feb. 12, 2015 - 11:38 PM ET #57

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

All this chasing on heavy faves is making me appreciate my 2 team parlay system.

I can no longer do any chase involving faves on anything other than a labby line. Even that I'm starting to rethink.

Yep I'm hearing ya Dan.. I'm looking forward to MLB season as I only bet on dogs or faves on RL-1.5

I like the idea of the system in this thread... the ability to pick and choose chases. I am going to toy around with it in different ways so that it is similar to my baseball setup.

I want to remove juice.. I am think of only fading home teams or playing on away teams. Might not restrict to home stands and away trips.. going to look at different angles.

I'm fortunate to be in a position where I have 3 BR's in 3 books that I can play with... one of them I consider my main and the other 2 are for trialling.

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