NYR played some inspired hockey, and TB did not; can't believe they would let them score 3 goals in 1 period of play. I wonder if TB was looking past the rangers for their game tonight at BOS, and kind of put it on cruise control? Let's get the next one!
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Quote Originally Posted by BlueStar57:
NYR played some inspired hockey, and TB did not; can't believe they would let them score 3 goals in 1 period of play. I wonder if TB was looking past the rangers for their game tonight at BOS, and kind of put it on cruise control? Let's get the next one!
EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WINA stat worthy of a look Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560 "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....
Great stuff s_N, thanks for sharing!
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WINA stat worthy of a look Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560 "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....
EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WIN
A stat worthy of a look
Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560 "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)
Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....
Maybe too late this year....but you might consider doing a separate thread on your PL system idea. I know there are SDQL nerds in these Forums that might help with back-testing.
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WIN
A stat worthy of a look
Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560 "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)
Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....
Maybe too late this year....but you might consider doing a separate thread on your PL system idea. I know there are SDQL nerds in these Forums that might help with back-testing.
EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WINA stat worthy of a look Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560 "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....
Do you have all of this data compiled somewhere to take a look at it? Because what would be interesting to know is when both teams in the parlay win on the -1.5 PL right?
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WINA stat worthy of a look Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560 "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....
Do you have all of this data compiled somewhere to take a look at it? Because what would be interesting to know is when both teams in the parlay win on the -1.5 PL right?
Do you have all of this data compiled somewhere to take a look at it? Because what would be interesting to know is when both teams in the parlay win on the -1.5 PL right?
The data is compiled,and documented within the confines of the thread; I simply scrolled through, and counted them...the answer you seek in regards to the twin double PL hit is also at your disposal throughout the thread, unfortunately i don't have this stat available to share, it would be interesting confirmation.
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Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:
Do you have all of this data compiled somewhere to take a look at it? Because what would be interesting to know is when both teams in the parlay win on the -1.5 PL right?
The data is compiled,and documented within the confines of the thread; I simply scrolled through, and counted them...the answer you seek in regards to the twin double PL hit is also at your disposal throughout the thread, unfortunately i don't have this stat available to share, it would be interesting confirmation.
Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149.
Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139.
Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.
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Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149.
Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139.
Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.
Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149.
Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139.
Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.
That 1/3rd number of PL wins makes sense on an overall basis. I think the higher % number that Sports Network has from this system only is due to Dan's selection of the "heaviest" favorite on the card each night.
Dimegoat raises a good question here, as 54%+ at even money would be a win on an individual game basis.
Great discussion.
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Quote Originally Posted by SBT:
Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149.
Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139.
Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.
That 1/3rd number of PL wins makes sense on an overall basis. I think the higher % number that Sports Network has from this system only is due to Dan's selection of the "heaviest" favorite on the card each night.
Dimegoat raises a good question here, as 54%+ at even money would be a win on an individual game basis.
Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149.
Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139.
Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.
Good stuff. Is there any way to filter out top 2 for each day? If not, would you mind either posting on here or PM me the SDQL query and I can do it manually?
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by SBT:
Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149.
Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139.
Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.
Good stuff. Is there any way to filter out top 2 for each day? If not, would you mind either posting on here or PM me the SDQL query and I can do it manually?
Going to post it here for sharing is caring and we're all here to help each other out. =) Not sure if SDQL is the best way to figure out what you need for I'm not sure if it can filter top 2 for each day. Please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anyone else that's familiar with SDQL. This query has all the elements I used to figure out my data provided earlier. Remove what's necessary.
A and line<-110 and margin>=2 and season>=2013
Let me know if you can't figure it out. I've also requested a friends request so we can PM also but I rarely ever check it. Please share your findings good or bad. Good luck!
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Going to post it here for sharing is caring and we're all here to help each other out. =) Not sure if SDQL is the best way to figure out what you need for I'm not sure if it can filter top 2 for each day. Please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anyone else that's familiar with SDQL. This query has all the elements I used to figure out my data provided earlier. Remove what's necessary.
A and line<-110 and margin>=2 and season>=2013
Let me know if you can't figure it out. I've also requested a friends request so we can PM also but I rarely ever check it. Please share your findings good or bad. Good luck!
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