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NHL 2 Team road parlay system

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Posted: #2926

Quote Originally Posted by BlueStar57:

NYR played some inspired hockey, and TB did not; can't believe they would let them score 3 goals in 1 period of play. I wonder if TB was looking past the rangers for their game tonight at BOS, and kind of put it on cruise control? Let's get the next one!

an_light

 
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Posted: #2927
Thursday, Game 5, Edm -145 and Dallas -115, $80 to win $172.71
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2928

THURSDAY NIGHT WINNER!

2018/2019 won/loss: -$1,019.20

Current Betting Bankroll: $1,338.49 (adjust when $2,220)

Original Bankroll (2016-2017) : $740

Pocket Bank: $740

Total Bank: $2,078.49 (180.8 % total gain)

Since posting in 2014-2015 season

Overall 194-4 (+$3,765.29)

  • Game 1  66-132
  • Game 2  44-88
  • Game 3  33-55
  • Game 4  18-37
  • Game 5  10-27
  • Game 6  14-13
  • Game 7   4-9
  • Game 8   5-4
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2929
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Thursday, Game 5, Edm -145 and Dallas -115, $80 to win $172.71
 Danrules24
 
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Posted: #2930
 EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WIN

A stat worthy of a look 

Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560  "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)

Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....

 
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Posted: #2931

Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WINA stat worthy of a look Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560  "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....

Great stuff s_N, thanks for sharing! peace_5

 
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Posted: #2932

Whatever happened to Chaser15?

 
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Posted: #2933
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

 EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WIN

A stat worthy of a look 

Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560  "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)

Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....


Maybe too late this year....but you might consider doing a separate thread on your PL system idea.  I know there are SDQL nerds in these Forums that might help with back-testing.
 
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Posted: #2934
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

 EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WIN

A stat worthy of a look 

Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560  "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)

Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....


Darn it S/N, now I have something else to test!  Hahaha

Thanks for the stats, much appreciated. 68.47% at mostly +odds is gold!
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2935

Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Whatever happened to Chaser15?
"Thank You Sir! May I have another?" Best I can do on short notice. Not the same as the originator, though. Miss him.

 
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Posted: #2936

68.47% of the winning games or including losses? 

 
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Posted: #2937

Quote Originally Posted by dimegoat:

68.47% of the winning games or including losses?

"Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.7% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL..."

s_N stated it clearly.....It includes ALL games, meaning wins and losses

 
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Posted: #2938
Friday, Game 1, Vegas -175 and Philly -125, $10 to win $18.29
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2939

Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

EDM responded with another 'road-favorite' +205 PL WINA stat worthy of a look Danrules24; over the past three NHL season,s YTD, has posted 560  "road-favorite" Twin Parlay's (including today; all documented in this thread)Of the 1,120 teams who participated as a twin play, 68.47% WON their designated game on the -1.5 PL....

Do you have all of this data compiled somewhere to take a look at it? Because what would be interesting to know is when both teams in the parlay win on the -1.5 PL right?

 
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Posted: #2940

I asked because the number seemed too nice to be true. At these odds, 69%is easy money and there is no need at all to risk a parlay. 

 
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Posted: #2941

FRIDAY NIGHT WINNER!

2018/2019 won/loss: -$1,000.91

Current Betting Bankroll: $1,356.78 (adjust when $2,220)

Original Bankroll (2016-2017) : $740

Pocket Bank: $740

Total Bank: $2,096.78 (183.3 % total gain)

Since posting in 2014-2015 season

Overall 195-4 (+$3,783.58)

  • Game 1  67-132
  • Game 2  44-88
  • Game 3  33-55
  • Game 4  18-37
  • Game 5  10-27
  • Game 6  14-13
  • Game 7   4-9
  • Game 8   5-4
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2942
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Friday, Game 1, Vegas -175 and Philly -125, $10 to win $18.29
 
 Danrules24


last night's 'home-favorite' results on the -1.5 PL 
VEGAS -125 PL  
PHI       +224 PL 
WAS     +240 PL 
MON     +226 PL 

this trend appears to be "on fire" 
 
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Posted: #2943
Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

Do you have all of this data compiled somewhere to take a look at it? Because what would be interesting to know is when both teams in the parlay win on the -1.5 PL right?

The data is compiled,and documented within the confines of the thread; I simply scrolled through, and counted them...the answer you seek in regards to the twin double PL hit is also at your disposal  throughout the thread, unfortunately i don't have this stat available to share, it would be interesting confirmation.
 
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Posted: #2944
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

 
 Danrules24


last night's 'road-favorites' results on the -1.5 PL 
VEGAS -125 PL  
PHI       +224 PL 
WAS     +240 PL 
MON     +226 PL 

this trend appears to be "on fire" 
* correction: typo error  'road favorites'
 
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Posted: #2945

Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149. 

Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139. 

Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.

 
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Posted: #2946
Quote Originally Posted by SBT:

Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149. 

Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139. 

Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.


That 1/3rd number of PL wins makes sense on an overall basis.  I think the higher % number  that Sports Network has from this system only is due to Dan's selection of the "heaviest" favorite on the card each night.

Dimegoat raises a good question here, as 54%+ at even money would be a win on an individual game basis.

Great discussion.


 
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Posted: #2947
Saturday, Game 1, Chicago -115 and Carolina -110, $10 to win $25.69
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2948
Quote Originally Posted by SBT:

Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149. 

Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139. 

Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.


Good stuff. Is there any way to filter out top 2 for each day? If not, would you mind either posting on here or PM me the SDQL query and I can do it manually?
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2949

Going to post it here for sharing is caring and we're all here to help each other out. =) Not sure if SDQL is the best way to figure out what you need for I'm not sure if it can filter top 2 for each day. Please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anyone else that's familiar with SDQL. This query has all the elements I used to figure out my data provided earlier. Remove what's necessary.

A and line<-110 and margin>=2 and season>=2013

Let me know if you can't figure it out. I've also requested a friends request so we can PM also but I rarely ever check it. Please share your findings good or bad. Good luck!

 
 
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Posted: #2950
Sunday, Game 2, Was -150 and Nash -140, $20 to win $37.14
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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