All Forums | Systems & Strategies

NFL 1Q Chase

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 5514
Posts: 58
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #26
Today

No plays

YTD Chase Record: 6-1
Unit Count: -1.51

A. 5-4
B. 2-1
C. 0-0
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #27
Sorry, chase record should be 7-1
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #28
Today

B Vikings Fade (to win 2.54)

YTD Chase Record: 7-1
Unit Count: -1.51

A. 5-4
B. 2-1
C. 0-0
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #29
Not the best start.. two chase losses in the preseason; I believe the system was undefeated in the three years I back tested. Oh well, on to the regular season. I may tweak the teams a bit, but for now we have the first play of the regular season tonight. 

Today

A Seahawks (to win 2.54)

YTD Chase Record: 7-2
Unit Count: -5.07

A. 5-4
B. 2-2.
C. 0-0
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 11
Posted: #30
How do you know how the public is betting on your 1Q fades?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #31
Switching up the teams a  bit for the regular season. 

Chase teams:

Seattle
Denver
Green Bay
New Orleans
New England

Fade:

Jacksonville
Oakland
Cleveland
Tennessee
Buffalo
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by GrNivek:

How do you know how the public is betting on your 1Q fades?

Not sure what you mean.. I use 5dimes to get lines and a labby to determine how many units to bet. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 381
Posted: #33

 

Its preseason it doesn't mean much for certain teams...... NOW ITS FOOTBALL SEASON. 

So this system should rock looks promising. Wha bout home or away do you just do home teams???

 

Great work dude

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 381
Posted: #34
Maybe cut the teams down to four and fade four teams. it could maybe take away some losses. Just a though
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 11
Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by TheBeefMan:

Switching up the teams a  bit for the regular season. 

Chase teams:

Seattle
Denver
Green Bay
New Orleans
New England

Fade:

Jacksonville
Oakland
Cleveland
Tennessee
Buffalo

I'm running with the same Fade teams but using SF instead of GB.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2013
Posts: 191
Posted: #36
So is it only a play when one of the chase teams plays one of the fade teams?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 3549
Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by GhostNL:

So is it only a play when one of the chase teams plays one of the fade teams?

No. 

Play the Chase team when they are at home. 
Play against the Fade team when they are on the road. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #38
Today

A Bills fade (to win 1.86)
A Browns fade (to win 1.86)
A Jags fade: (to win 1.86)
A Titans fade (to win 1.86)
A Raiders fade (to win 1.86)
A Broncos (to win 1.86)

YTD Chase Record: 7-2
Unit Count: -9.52

A. 5-5
B. 2-2
C. 0-0

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by SoCal311:

 

Its preseason it doesn't mean much for certain teams...... NOW ITS FOOTBALL SEASON. 

So this system should rock looks promising. Wha bout home or away do you just do home teams???

 

Great work dude


Thanks, we chase the good teams at home.

Like I said, I didn't backtest this too thoroughly so a small unit size would probably be smart. But on the other hand, I used the same system in NBA last season and did well. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 381
Posted: #40

Hello

 

  If a team loses do you carry it to the next quarter? All the way to the 4th? Or just wait til next chase or fade?

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by SoCal311:

Hello
 
  If a team loses do you carry it to the next quarter? All the way to the 4th? Or just wait til next chase or fade?


No, wait for the next of the chase.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #42
Today

B Jaguars fade (to win 3.03)
A Packers (to win 2.17)
A Broncos (to win 1.56)

YTD Chase Record: 9-2
Unit Count: -13.61

A. 7-7
B. 2-2
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #43
Today

B Seattle (to win 2.35)
B. Raiders fade (to win 1.72)
A Patriots (to win 1.62)
A Saints (to win 2.04)
A Titans fade (to win 2.35)

YTD Chase Record: 11-2
Unit Count: -14.02

A. 8-8
B. 3-2
C. 0-0
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #44
Today

A Jags fade (to win 1.79)
A Titans fade (to win 2.38)
A Bills fade (to win 3.57)

YTD Chase Record: 13-2
Unit Count: -19.63

A. 10-9
B. 3-3
C. 0-0
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #45
Today

B Packers chase (to win 2.38)

YTD Chase Record: 13-2
Unit Count: -15.46

A. 12-9
B. 3-3
C. 0-0
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #46
Today

B Patriots (to win 3)
A Broncos (to win 2.27)
A Saints (to win 1.92)
A Bills fade (to win 2.63)
A Browns fade (to win 3)

YTD Chase Record: 14-2
Unit Count: -13.08

A. 12-9
B. 4-3
C. 0-0
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #47
Went a much-needed 6-0 last week. A profitable weekend should get us back in the green; keep your fingers crossed.

I'm switching up the teams for hopefully the final time .

Chase Teams

Bengals
Broncos
Seahawks
Patriots
Packers

Fade Teams

Jaguars
Raiders
Titans
Bills
Rams

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by TheBeefMan:

Went a much-needed 6-0 last week. A profitable weekend should get us back in the green; keep your fingers crossed.

I'm switching up the teams for hopefully the final time .

Chase Teams

Bengals
Broncos
Seahawks
Patriots
Packers

Fade Teams

Jaguars
Raiders
Titans
Bills
Rams


Whoops, meant to swap the Bills for the Bucs. Fade teams are too AFC-heavy.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #49
Today

B Seattle (to win 2)
A Bengals (to win 1.94)
A Jaguars fade (to win 1.94)

YTD Chase Record: 21-2
Unit Count: -.26

A. 16-9
B. 5-3
C. 
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 538
Posted: #50
Today

A New England (to win 1.94)

YTD Chase Record: 22-2
Uni Count: -5.24

A. 16-11
B. 6-3
C. 0-0
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.