All Forums | Systems & Strategies

NFL 09' strategic wagering...

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 47592
Posts: 641
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 26212
Posted: #276
SWEAP !!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 263
Posted: #277
[Quote: Originally Posted by Chapter13]
I think we're all like little kids the night before Christmas, wondering if this is the year Santa doesn't come - as we wait to see if any SN releases come. 

Oh yes, Santa did come.  Great work, SN.  Had to incur my wife's wrath as the family stands ready to head to church (that we're late for) as I hover over my computer, but it was worth it.

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #278
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2004
Posts: 7
Posted: #279
Hi What is the payoff for a 4 team 13 point teaser play at a sports book Thanks
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #280
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
NFL  09'  strategic wagering Matchup_Performance formula Sunday. October 11th.  2009
Week 5  
 
4team 13pt handicapp
 
Vikings+2.5 110...win
Eagles-2  110...win
Steelers+2.5 110...win
Giants-1.5 110...win
 
risk:5units
to win:4.5.......won+4.5units
 
NYG&PHI / twin ML   5units...win
 
MINN / ML  5units...win
 
CAR / ML   5units...win
 
 
SN
 
FINAL RESULTS:
7-0
units:+19.5
 
 
NFL 09' thru week 5
units: +38.5 sN
 
 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 26212
Posted: #281
sports_Network
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 119
Posted: #282
Nice work SN. Anyone! What online offers 13 pt TZRs?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 137
Posted: #283
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

NFL  09'  strategic wagering Matchup_Performanc formula Sunday. October 11th.  2009
Week 5  
 
4team 13pt handicapp
 
Vikings+2.5 110
Eagles-2  110
Steelers+2.5 110
Giants-1.5 110
 
risk:5units
to win:4.5
 
NYG&PHI / twin ML   5units
 
MINN / ML  5units
 
CAR / ML   5units
 
 
SN
 

is there anyway to post this on say friday? to get earlier lines etc. thanks appreciated.  

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 18
Posted: #284
Oh ok so now its not about risked units on those ML , its the amount you wanna win ... cause that was not the case in the past few weeks .... just a little change ....
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 289
Posted: #285
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

NFL  09'  strategic wagering Matchup_Performance formula Sunday. October 11th.  2009
Week 5  
 
4team 13pt handicapp
 
Vikings+2.5 110...win
Eagles-2  110...win
Steelers+2.5 110...win
Giants-1.5 110...win
 
risk:5units
to win:4.5.......won+4.5units
 
NYG&PHI / twin ML   5units...win
 
MINN / ML  5units...win
 
CAR / ML   5units...win
 
 
SN
 
FINAL RESULTS:
7-0
units:+19.5
 
 
NFL 09' thru week 5
units: +38.5 sN
 
 

Well done SN.  Anyone would be proud with a 4-0 week.

I do want to point out however that in all of your previous posts you have been stating ML favorites in terms of the amount of units to risk, however this week on your MLs you are claiming +15 units on three wagers of 5 units.  To be consistent with your previous 4 weeks you should be claiming far less than +15 units.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 2312
Posted: #286
I'm a little confused on this too.. previously it was always 'units risked'..

The Giants/Eagles parley pick didn't make any sense to me either.. the combined odds on that 2-teamer would have had to risk like 50 Units to win 5.. or risk 5 to win .5

Either way, it was a good day. It was yet another easy week picking NFL games.. you gotta think a correction is going to come over the next 2 weeks. Favorites are hitting at an insane clip.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 26212
Posted: #287
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

I'm a little confused on this too.. previously it was always 'units risked'..

The Giants/Eagles parley pick didn't make any sense to me either.. the combined odds on that 2-teamer would have had to risk like 50 Units to win 5.. or risk 5 to win .5

Either way, it was a good day. It was yet another easy week picking NFL games.. you gotta think a correction is going to come over the next 2 weeks. Favorites are hitting at an insane clip.


you're right, i missed that...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 2843
Posted: #288
please tell me you hadnt really missed this "anomoly" in book keeping. nice picks, but dont believe the #s. those early ml loses were calculated as units wagered equalling units lost, now this??
 
oh well no sketchier than aig, bookeeping and they dont pick any winners
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 200
Posted: #289
all of you questioning SN need to remember that when he was listing the "amount risked" it was always to win an even number of units like 3.4 to win 2 or 5.8 to win 1.

i do agree that he changed it up a little bit, but the pattern is not there to show that he initially meant amount risked and then when the games won he changed them to amount to win.

needless to say, you guys need to shut the bleep up because this guy has been free money since baseball season and I'd hate for him to stop posting because you guys wanted to argue over such small details.

he won the games didn't he??
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 263
Posted: #290
I would agree with hoop121.  I think most of us are capable of taking SN's unit amounts which would indicate his strength of the game, and putting our our own money mgmt to it.  If your season totals differ somewhat, fine.  We all know no one is forced to track or follow anyone on this website.  As I think perhaps SN has stated, if he wanted to get deep into money management he'd start a different thread about that and I imagine many of us would read that as well.  If anyone else is like me, money management and discipline isn't the problem, it is having the skill and time-committment necessary to be on the right side at a high enough percentage.  That's why I'm here. Incorporating film study into NFL handicapping is a fascinating thing. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2004
Posts: 91
Posted: #291
Quote Originally Posted by Chapter13:

I would agree with hoop121.  I think most of us are capable of taking SN's unit amounts which would indicate his strength of the game, and putting our our own money mgmt to it.  If your season totals differ somewhat, fine.  We all know no one is forced to track or follow anyone on this website.  As I think perhaps SN has stated, if he wanted to get deep into money management he'd start a different thread about that and I imagine many of us would read that as well.  If anyone else is like me, money management and discipline isn't the problem, it is having the skill and time-committment necessary to be on the right side at a high enough percentage.  That's why I'm here. Incorporating film study into NFL handicapping is a fascinating thing. 


Your damn right!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 2312
Posted: #292
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

I'm a little confused on this too.. previously it was always 'units risked'..

The Giants/Eagles parley pick didn't make any sense to me either.. the combined odds on that 2-teamer would have had to risk like 50 Units to win 5.. or risk 5 to win .5

Either way, it was a good day. It was yet another easy week picking NFL games.. you gotta think a correction is going to come over the next 2 weeks. Favorites are hitting at an insane clip.


I wasn't 'hatin', I have high respect for SN and have always defended him in the past. I've even been accused of defending him too much.

I was more asking about the Giants/Eagles Parley, if he was really risking around 50 Units to win 5. Just wanted a clarification of that play. It was about as solid of a lock as they come.
I parleyed the Giants/Eagles/Steelers myself. The odds sucked, but it was pretty easy money.


Keep up the solid work SN, looking forward to a tougher Week 6! 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #293
Quote Originally Posted by UsaSurfer:

Well done SN.  Anyone would be proud with a 4-0 week.

I do want to point out however that in all of your previous posts you have been stating ML favorites in terms of the amount of units to risk, however this week on your MLs you are claiming +15 units on three wagers of 5 units.  To be consistent with your previous 4 weeks you should be claiming far less than +15 units.

Their is nothing 'consistent' in my plays; in any sport I CHOOSE TO CAPP..your commentary comes from your imagination, and the transparent description you attach to your envious issues regarding handicapping the NFL..I RECOMMEND to you, and other "pure novices" / in-experienced cappers with no developed form, a) learn to 'read' a release sheet(final results included)     b) understand the objective of this thread is documentation, not impression, accept it, don't even try to challenge success, you will only embarass your screen name in your un-successful attempt.(as you clearly indicated; I went 4-0 instead of the correct 7-0) of course I UNDERSTAND the calculated reply(as stated above, there obvious) being frustrated, and having no MM application skills; does not warrant this type of commentary, simply because it's documented in advance, and your statements have NO foundation to stand on, other than to attract attention to yourself...

This is not only directed at you Surfer, but at those who fall into the same irritating category of mis-conception, and pure downright ignorance. ask yourself, What is the label of a person who degrades DOCUMENTED success? are they "mentally impaired"...or simply Idiots? or..are they followers of  the "Martha Stewart" approach to NFL handicapping.......

SN

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #294
Quote Originally Posted by Chapter13:

I would agree with hoop121.  I think most of us are capable of taking SN's unit amounts which would indicate his strength of the game, and putting our our own money mgmt to it.  If your season totals differ somewhat, fine.  We all know no one is forced to track or follow anyone on this website.  As I think perhaps SN has stated, if he wanted to get deep into money management he'd start a different thread about that and I imagine many of us would read that as well.  If anyone else is like me, money management and discipline isn't the problem, it is having the skill and time-committment necessary to be on the right side at a high enough percentage.  That's why I'm here. Incorporating film study into NFL handicapping is a fascinating thing. 

YES! incorporating film with Matchup_Performance is not only advantagious, but exciting, and brings new horizon's to advanced form..may you prosper always

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #295
Quote Originally Posted by 53percent:

please tell me you hadnt really missed this "anomoly" in book keeping. nice picks, but dont believe the #s. those early ml loses were calculated as units wagered equalling units lost, now this??
 
oh well no sketchier than aig, bookeeping and they dont pick any winners

little do you understand, as in all previous threads(NHL NBA MLB) I also document my "wager tickets" connected to the 'book'  in which they were made... sketchier? the only thing "sketchy" is your whim to be heard.........

SN

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #296
chapter13
               The best to you always
 
sN
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #297
Smitler
          your coming in clear...the best is still to come
 
sN
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #298
Quote Originally Posted by sheriff:

Hi What is the payoff for a 4 team 13 point teaser play at a sports book Thanks

As indicated on the Release Sheet, wager 5.00 win 4.50 (this will vary slightly by individual 'book')

sN

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #299

 K4ngur13  sports_Network

THX back at you.. the best to you

 

 

 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #300
Quote Originally Posted by BroadwayBob:

Nice work SN. Anyone! What online offers 13 pt TZRs?

Broadway, all Books who offer NFL wagering, offer 13pt capps, if not, look for a 'real' book.....

SN

All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.