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NCAA f-ball

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Prospect
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Posted: #51
I like that idea...Are you playing NBA?
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by BucBacker:

LOL, no I won't change my pick...I've won a lot of $$ with my System, not a dime with his.  Not to say anything is wrong with his, but I have confidence in mine...
A good System is not 100% but simply shows consistency.  It also weighs enough factors that it doesn't become subjective to one or two factors.  I play evey game the System hits, not always a winner, but enough to make me stick with it and not second-guess what it gives me...Good Luck..

Good e'nuf for me.

 
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Posted: #53
Daniel--no I don't fool with the NBA, NHL, and only sporadically with the NFL.  I stick with what I consistently make money on, NCAA football.  I spend a lot of time doing it and there is no sense of me giving my winnings right back to the man...
 
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Posted: #54
Neither Mary/VaTech or TCU/Utah Qualify as System plays tonight.  After listening to Toledo last night, I'm glad...LOL!  I see why Tom Anstutz has resigned...
 
I am making a play on Utah + 2 (again, NOT a System play!!) simply based on the scheduling aspect.  I truly think TCU's the better team; but tough for a Texas team to travel to Vegas one week, then turn around and go UT-ing the next.  Tough place to play, WAC officiating generally home-field biased.  Hope the Horned Frogs had time to party in Vegas...
 
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Posted: #55
Buc, when will you post your solid play on saturday? I think one solid play this weekend is Vand +24 over Florida...
 
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Posted: #56
Pretty much hit the nail-on-the-head with Utah last night re: the WAC officials!!  Won't complain as I had the right side, but think TCU got shafted...
 
SAT 11/08   REGULAR SYSTEM PLAYS: Weather WILL be a factor tomorrow!!
(118) Indy   + 10
(120) NW   + 10
(146) A&M  + 27.5
(147) Army  + 10
(193) Cal    + 22.5
(196) SanJose - 7
 
Daniel, good luck with Vandy, I have no interest in that one!  STRONG PLAYS (6) will post between 11-Noon tomorrow....
 
 
 
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Posted: #57
Bucs, Comparing these games to my system, I only like A&M, Army, CAL
 
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Posted: #58
Daniel--please understand...I am NOT asking anyone to play my games.  As I've stated before, you can take 'em or leave 'em.  And not to sound rude, but I do not care about anyone else's picks.  Those will not sway mine.  The System has proven very profitable for those who utilize it...I play every game expecting to win; doesn't always turn out that way but in the long run, I'll be ahead.  Play YOUR games, don't be influenced by mine (or anyone else's).  It's your money...
 
STRONG SYSTEM PLAYS 11/08
(127)  VIRG   + 3.5
(129)  NC St  + 3.5
(131)  OK St  + 3.5
(157)  MARSH  + 8
(163)  IRISH     + 3.5
(189)  LOUIS   + 6.5
 
As always, GOOD LUCK...
EPP, check your messages
 
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Posted: #59
Thanks Buc....I don't mean anyways in harm for you...
 
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Posted: #60
bucbacker,
 
if you don't mind me asking, what are all the factors and what are the weighted values for each ??? i would like to track this too ... i could use a good system and haven't found one that's consistantly produced ... good luck with your plays this weekend !!!
 
anna 31204
 
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Posted: #61
Goodluck BucBacker, I think you have something good going on here.  Keep up the good picks.
 
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Posted: #62
Suckass day in a nutshell!  Virginia: 3 interceptions (1 for TD), 1 fumble....Louisville: 3 fumbles, 2 intercepts...ND: 1 fumble and 4 int's (1 for TD, 2 others in RedZone).  Marshall (cover) TO's in OT killing outright for ML.  No excuses, part of the game!
 
ReCap:  Reg Plays 2-4, total now 13-17 (7 outright dogs)
            Strong Plays 2-4, now 11-7 (7 outright)
 
I'll put it behind and move-on to new week...
 
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Posted: #63
Keep them coming BucBacker, you're onto a good thing here.
 
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Posted: #64

bucbacker,

suck ass day is right ... but if the systems goes off at 65% for the year the upcoming weeks should be kick ass ... BOL ...

anna31204

 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by BucBacker:

Suckass day in a nutshell!  Virginia: 3 interceptions (1 for TD), 1 fumble....Louisville: 3 fumbles, 2 intercepts...ND: 1 fumble and 4 int's (1 for TD, 2 others in RedZone).  Marshall (cover) TO's in OT killing outright for ML.  No excuses, part of the game!
 
ReCap:  Reg Plays 2-4, total now 13-17 (7 outright dogs)
            Strong Plays 2-4, now 11-7 (7 outright)
 
I'll put it behind and move-on to new week...

There will be other days like that one .  It goes with the territory.

 

Get back up on that horse and ride into some winners.

 
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Posted: #66
Miami OH + 19 Reg. SYSTEM PLAY
 
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Posted: #67
Good Luck Bucbacker.  Thanks for posting.
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by BucBacker:

 
It is a "weighted" system based on only one set of football statistics, that being both offensive and defensive RUSHING numbers.  The other "weighted" factors are based primarily on intangibles, i.e. scheduling, revenge factors, weather, bye weeks, and COACH.  Each factor is carried a different "weight" multiplier that varies from the others, but is always a constant number.  Don't know if this system ever discussed or utilized here or if any readers use it. 
 
How does he put on a number on intangibles? How can you put a value on revenge? Weather?
 
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Posted: #69
It's not rocket science to the guy that developed the system or to those who use it.  FYI, the mathematician/handicapper that developed the system was also one of the creators of the system that most midwesy states utilize for HS computer ratings.  And if you don't think weather, revenge, coaches, travel, etc. are tools of a handicapper, I'd venture to guess you pay more than you collect?
 
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Posted: #70
Well, you'd be worng. I do know what the tools of a handicapper are. I was asking how does he put a value on these, not if he does.
 
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Posted: #71
He's the mathematician...he developed the system...I cannot explain how he devised the weighting system he used or why he chose the factors he utilizes.  I only know they work...
 
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Posted: #72
interesting thread buc
 
good win tonight
 
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Posted: #73
Thanks for the win.
 
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Posted: #74
Wed. SYSTEM Play :  Central Mich + 4
 
Opinion on Kent/Temple in my "Payback" thread...
Lastly, there is a qualifying STRONG SYSTEM Play for Thurs, will have it posted after 6:30 tomorrow..
Good Luck
 
 
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Posted: #75
Another good win.
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