NCAA f-ball

I was directed to this site by a cohort asking for advice about a posted system.  I have utilized a system for 5+ years that was developed by an associate collegiate math professor and has never produced a season total under 65%, and has never dipped below 80% during College Bowl Seasons.  Enough to make a consistent profit!  The system does NOT do well with the NFL.

 

It is a "weighted" system based on only one set of football statistics, that being both offensive and defensive RUSHING numbers.  The other "weighted" factors are based primarily on intangibles, i.e. scheduling, revenge factors, weather, bye weeks, and COACH.  Each factor is carried a different "weight" multiplier that varies from the others, but is always a constant number.  Don't know if this system ever discussed or utilized here or if any readers use it. 

 

Last weekend's plays Minnesota, Miss St, ND, Akron (L), Miami OH, Air Force, San Jose, and So Miss (L)...6-2

Yes tell us more.  While rushing yards help control time of possession, passing yards also allow the ball to move down the field fast.  Both depend on what the opposing defence can stop, and a bad turnover can mess up the best of systems...

I will not argue passing yds/passing defense as a handicapping tool, some handicappers swear by it.  This system ignores it and still cashes lucratively.  There are so many systems out there based on various angles and trends, simply impossible to account for everything!  As to turnovers...yes, how many games are changed and decided by one (0r two!)...but almost impossible to handicap TO's with any regularity.  The weather factor mentioned certainly can have an effect on TO's...

 

In a nutshell, once the factors are computed by their weight factor, both teams will have a mathematical number.  If the difference in the number is more than "10" advantage-variant of the actual line,  that team is a play.  Antyhing more than a "15" a very strong play.

if you have a winning system like that no reason to play anything else

willo you be posting this weeks selections?

Please post them.. I made $25g's tailing you last time.  Will be waiting....

I will post late Fri or early Sat once I get updated weather and injury reports

System Plays for 10/18.  There are an additional 3 "STRONG" plays that I will post after 11 EST Sat., once I am in.  These lines were current as of 8:45 pm.  Unfortunately systems don't always land on the glamour games.  Take 'em or leave 'em, Good Luck either way.

(327) Miami OH + 9.5

(330) Cental MI + 2

(333) Miss St + 7.5

(341) Colo St + 22

(344) A & M + 21

(383) UTEP + 18.5

(388) SMU + 13.5

(391) Air Force - 4

(313) Memphis + 8

(356) Virg + 4

(362) UAB + 3

 

I'll play your strong 3 for a try and see what happens.... Thanks

I went 2-3 on your strong plays, good job!!!!

 

I'm looking at the late games you have, but Air Force has alot of injuries and UTEP QB might be out, so not sure....

Great Job Buc.......Thanks for sharing.  Looking forward to the upcoming week.

 

Continued success to you.

Ok wasn't sure, glad I decided not to play those games.  This is very intersting and I appreciate the sharing of picks.  How good have the strong plays been?  Have you ever parlayed a couple to increase your payout?  I never parlay, but if your strong plays are pretty good, maybe do a couple 2 team different combo parlays...

As I originally posted, I have been using this System ONLY for over 5 yrs.  I have been "playing" FB for over 25 yrs and have found nothing nearly as consistent with NCAA.  I do not parlay, I do not tease.  Any Bookie loves those that do...

 

My strategy is simple.  I play each "PLAY" for the same amount...

The STRONG plays...I PLAY that same amount on the Money Line and DOUBLE my play with the Points...

 

Like any tool, it takes a lot of time and can't account for every aspect of a game. Unlike 15-20 years ago, todays linesmakers are SUPERSHARP.  I think the advantage is in looking at those games the majority of the public cares less about and any betting value can usually be found in the dog...face it, the general public loves the favorite, loves the "OVER", and loves the Big Time USCs, OSUs, OKLAs, etc.  Think the $ystem I use is successful because it does not differentiate between the glamour schools and the Miami OH's, UAB's on the schedule.  It's worked for me, that'$ all I can $ay..

Good Luck...

Good stuff, can't wait till this weekend

System Plays for 10/25.  There are 4 "STRONG" plays which I will Post between 11-Noon Sat.

 

(111) NC St.  + 12

(119) BC  + 2.5

(122) UConn + 2.5

(155) Okie St + 12

(158) LSU - 1

(163) VaTech + 6

(184) Memphis + 4

(186) Wash + 10.5

Here we go, hope the ball bounces the right way...Good Luck

 

(137) Duke + 10

(147) Oregon - 3.5

(177) TexTech + 1

(192) Hawaii + 3.5

4-4 split on regular plays (2 dogs outright)

4-0 on "strong" plays (all 3 dogs outright)

Will take it anyday....

 

Might want to look at the "OVER" 45 in Phi/Atl today...

10-28

 

Marshall + 7.5 as play tonight

PLease keep these games coming, I am struggling in ncaaf right now and need a redemmeing system that wont go tout on me. The last two i folowed just so happened to go tout so I am just lost at the moment.