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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA/NCAAF/NFL Betting System for week 11/11

    «First Previous 123
    danielmphan
    wizzy69
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2267
    Posts: 63
    «First Previous 123
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 15, 2008 - 3:05 PM ET #51

    CAL +3.5 over Oregon State
    Reply
    CAL +3.5 over Oregon State
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 15, 2008 - 4:08 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:

    ...could you split into separate threads your NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA picks so the thread does not have as many replies to go through....
     
    i love the info my man... 

    Next week, I will spit them out...

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:

    ...could you split into separate threads your NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA picks so the thread does not have as many replies to go through....
     
    i love the info my man... 

    Next week, I will spit them out...

     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 15, 2008 - 6:40 PM ET #53

    I shouldn't change my picks -- Most of the picks that I've changed my mind...there are the winners...
     
    I am playing all my games tonight...
     
    Good luck
    Reply
    I shouldn't change my picks -- Most of the picks that I've changed my mind...there are the winners...
     
    I am playing all my games tonight...
     
    Good luck
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2008 - 11:38 AM ET #54

    Public Teams this week...
    Arizona
    Cleveland
    Tenn
    NYG
    Phila
    NO
    Reply
    Public Teams this week...
    Arizona
    Cleveland
    Tenn
    NYG
    Phila
    NO
     
    wizzy69
    wizzy69
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    Posts: 537
    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 4:38 AM ET #55

    i  just read the whole page here and i like your insites, both phan and professor.ill be takin closer looks at your posts phan. gl to all
    Reply
    i  just read the whole page here and i like your insites, both phan and professor.ill be takin closer looks at your posts phan. gl to all
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 8:39 AM ET #56

    Week 11 picks based on the Offense & Defense
     
    NYJ
    CHIC 
    PHIL
    NO
    AZ
     
    The system was 3-2 for this week
    Reply
    Week 11 picks based on the Offense & Defense
     
    NYJ
    CHIC 
    PHIL
    NO
    AZ
     
    The system was 3-2 for this week
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 8:41 AM ET #57

    Week 11 Picks based on the opening line report
    Denver
    Pittsburg (I actually played SD at the last minutes cuz line was dropping)
    Jacksonsville
    Cleveland ~ pending
    Reply
    Week 11 Picks based on the opening line report
    Denver
    Pittsburg (I actually played SD at the last minutes cuz line was dropping)
    Jacksonsville
    Cleveland ~ pending
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 9:01 AM ET #58

    Break down analysis for CLE/BUFF Game
              OVERALL                          Home/Away
             Offense    Defense               Offense       Defense
    CLE   19.1         21.6                    16              17.8
    BUFF  21.3       21                        24.5           18.3
     
    Overall - BUFF +2.2 (Offense) +0.6 (defense) = +2.8
    H/A      - BUFF +8.5 (Offense) - 0.5 (defense) = +8
     
    Edge => BUFF +10.8
     
              Offense Yds                  Defense Yds          
              Rush      Pass  Tot        Rush   Pass   Tot
    CLE  101.3    180.1  281.4   145.2  226.9 372.1
    BUFF 90        213.8  303.8   103.3  205.9 205.3
     
    Buffalo has better offense & defense at home.  This usuall attracts people to bet more when a home team has good offense & defense.  Everything is pointing to Buffalo right now.
     
    The line is Buffalo -5/41.5 . Both teams score combines together is about 41.5 on both overall & home/away.
     
    O/U at 41.5 is very accurate.
     
    Given that Buffalo can win by at least 7 to 10 points, gambler is very jump to home team.
     
    On the other hand, Brady Quinn had excellent performance against Denver. Can he bring his team to win against a decent team like Buffalo?
     
    This will be the first road game for Brady Quinn. Another note, Buffalo is usually good at home.
     
     
    Reply
    Break down analysis for CLE/BUFF Game
              OVERALL                          Home/Away
             Offense    Defense               Offense       Defense
    CLE   19.1         21.6                    16              17.8
    BUFF  21.3       21                        24.5           18.3
     
    Overall - BUFF +2.2 (Offense) +0.6 (defense) = +2.8
    H/A      - BUFF +8.5 (Offense) - 0.5 (defense) = +8
     
    Edge => BUFF +10.8
     
              Offense Yds                  Defense Yds          
              Rush      Pass  Tot        Rush   Pass   Tot
    CLE  101.3    180.1  281.4   145.2  226.9 372.1
    BUFF 90        213.8  303.8   103.3  205.9 205.3
     
    Buffalo has better offense & defense at home.  This usuall attracts people to bet more when a home team has good offense & defense.  Everything is pointing to Buffalo right now.
     
    The line is Buffalo -5/41.5 . Both teams score combines together is about 41.5 on both overall & home/away.
     
    O/U at 41.5 is very accurate.
     
    Given that Buffalo can win by at least 7 to 10 points, gambler is very jump to home team.
     
    On the other hand, Brady Quinn had excellent performance against Denver. Can he bring his team to win against a decent team like Buffalo?
     
    This will be the first road game for Brady Quinn. Another note, Buffalo is usually good at home.
     
     
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 9:07 AM ET #59

    Here's Sportsbook.com's Game of the Day:

    After an impressive start to the season, the Bills have lost and failed to cover each of their last three games. In each of those three games, they lost by at least 9 points. The last 14 times the Browns played a team with a winning record, they covered 11 times. After struggling big time earlier this season, Cleveland's offense scored at least 23 points in four out of their last five games. Buffalo's offense has been the exact opposite; after an impressive start, they have put over 17 points on the board only once in their last five games. Considering the stats and trends above, it is interesting that only 42% of the early cash is on the Browns (+5).
    Reply
    Here's Sportsbook.com's Game of the Day:

    After an impressive start to the season, the Bills have lost and failed to cover each of their last three games. In each of those three games, they lost by at least 9 points. The last 14 times the Browns played a team with a winning record, they covered 11 times. After struggling big time earlier this season, Cleveland's offense scored at least 23 points in four out of their last five games. Buffalo's offense has been the exact opposite; after an impressive start, they have put over 17 points on the board only once in their last five games. Considering the stats and trends above, it is interesting that only 42% of the early cash is on the Browns (+5).
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 9:21 AM ET #60

    I am going with CLE +5 today. The main reason is that CLE has covered both offense & defense at HOME. Anytime when you have a team with BETTER OFFENSE & DEFENSE at HOME...You want to bet against them.
     
    Good luck.
    Reply
    I am going with CLE +5 today. The main reason is that CLE has covered both offense & defense at HOME. Anytime when you have a team with BETTER OFFENSE & DEFENSE at HOME...You want to bet against them.
     
    Good luck.
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 1:37 PM ET #61

    Look at the Division Standing...
     
    Miami Dolphins          6 4
    New England Patriots 6 4
    Buffalo Bills               5 4
     
    Buffalo will win the game tonight so that they can be 6-4. Then, it is easy for Vegas to set up the games as they have 3 teams with 6-4 records..
     

     
    Reply
    Look at the Division Standing...
     
    Miami Dolphins          6 4
    New England Patriots 6 4
    Buffalo Bills               5 4
     
    Buffalo will win the game tonight so that they can be 6-4. Then, it is easy for Vegas to set up the games as they have 3 teams with 6-4 records..
     

     
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 1:58 PM ET #62

    Weather info
    My buddy at Buffalo said there is no snow in buffalo, but it's like 20 degree cold...
    Reply
    Weather info
    My buddy at Buffalo said there is no snow in buffalo, but it's like 20 degree cold...
     
     
    danielmphan
    danielmphan
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    Posts: 340
    Posted: Nov. 17, 2008 - 8:24 PM ET #63

    CLE +5
    Under 40.5
    Reply
    CLE +5
    Under 40.5
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