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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA teams with win percent below 425 fade

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    Knoxpoker
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    Air1
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 10:41 AM ET #26

    Hey Air1 another thing I noticed is that after the bottom 6 teams cover ATS they lose the next game .. The teams are NJ  TOR  DET  CHAR  WASH  NO these teams are awful.. I might start  to fade these as soon as they cover one ATS.. I will look into it ..

    NO plays tonight for the original system

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    Hey Air1 another thing I noticed is that after the bottom 6 teams cover ATS they lose the next game .. The teams are NJ  TOR  DET  CHAR  WASH  NO these teams are awful.. I might start  to fade these as soon as they cover one ATS.. I will look into it ..

    NO plays tonight for the original system

     
    BigTenWatto
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 11:52 AM ET #27

    I believe Sac is a play tonight from the original system. They are 6-10, which is a .375 winning percentage and they have covered two in a row.
    I also believe NJ and Char fit the bad teams who covered their last game model.
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    I believe Sac is a play tonight from the original system. They are 6-10, which is a .375 winning percentage and they have covered two in a row.
    I also believe NJ and Char fit the bad teams who covered their last game model.
     
    Air1
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 3:46 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

    NO plays tonight for the original system


    I thought you meant new orleans is a play for the system tonight, lol. almost went with it. good thing I double checked.

    Also when you say the bottom 6 teams lose the next game after covering ats, you mean they lost ats right? I will see if I can back test this to previous seasons later tonight.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

    NO plays tonight for the original system


    I thought you meant new orleans is a play for the system tonight, lol. almost went with it. good thing I double checked.

    Also when you say the bottom 6 teams lose the next game after covering ats, you mean they lost ats right? I will see if I can back test this to previous seasons later tonight.
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 4:25 PM ET #29

    Fading SAC  is a play tonight ... good looking out ..

    Memphis -9.5    (A) game

     

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    Fading SAC  is a play tonight ... good looking out ..

    Memphis -9.5    (A) game

     

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 4:35 PM ET #30

    the other system of fading the bottom 6 teams after an ATS win  would be up 10 units .. so far this year .. 10 units @ 45.45 per

    -110 bet if you were a 50.00 better would be up 454.50 and the season is very young .. I will try to back test last yr...

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    the other system of fading the bottom 6 teams after an ATS win  would be up 10 units .. so far this year .. 10 units @ 45.45 per

    -110 bet if you were a 50.00 better would be up 454.50 and the season is very young .. I will try to back test last yr...

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 4:54 PM ET #31

    So I checked up on it ... last yr fading the bottom 9 teams that were below 415 win percent after an ATS win you would have been up 28 units ... When I have time I will do earlier yrs just to make sure its solid. I am not sure which would be better to play . To play the team after 1 ATS or chase 2 games after they win  2 ATS in a row .. I think both are ok ...
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    So I checked up on it ... last yr fading the bottom 9 teams that were below 415 win percent after an ATS win you would have been up 28 units ... When I have time I will do earlier yrs just to make sure its solid. I am not sure which would be better to play . To play the team after 1 ATS or chase 2 games after they win  2 ATS in a row .. I think both are ok ...
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 10:16 PM ET #32

    1/21/12  Memphis -9.5 (A)  Winner

    System record  4-0

    A 3-1

    B 1-0     +4 units

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    1/21/12  Memphis -9.5 (A)  Winner

    System record  4-0

    A 3-1

    B 1-0     +4 units

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2012 - 10:49 PM ET #33

    I back tested the 2009-2010 NBA season .. Playing against the bottom 10 teams with a win percent of below 350 and fading them  after a ATS win you would have won 30 units .. If I am missing something somebody chime in . But this seems to easy ..

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    I back tested the 2009-2010 NBA season .. Playing against the bottom 10 teams with a win percent of below 350 and fading them  after a ATS win you would have won 30 units .. If I am missing something somebody chime in . But this seems to easy ..

     
    BigTenWatto
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2012 - 1:44 AM ET #34

    I think I will stick with the original system of fading a team after two ATS wins. It seems golden. Mem was money tonight.
    Char covered tonight so, the second system seems a little less solid. I will keep checking in though.
    Thanks again for this.
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    I think I will stick with the original system of fading a team after two ATS wins. It seems golden. Mem was money tonight.
    Char covered tonight so, the second system seems a little less solid. I will keep checking in though.
    Thanks again for this.
     
    BigTenWatto
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2012 - 1:57 AM ET #35

    Will be fading WAS and CHAR on Sunday as both are two covering streaks.

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    Will be fading WAS and CHAR on Sunday as both are two covering streaks.

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2012 - 11:52 AM ET #36

    2 plays today           SYSTEM RESULTS     +4 units

                                  A- 3-1

                                  B 1-0

    Boston -4.5 (A)

    NJ  -5 (A)

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    2 plays today           SYSTEM RESULTS     +4 units

                                  A- 3-1

                                  B 1-0

    Boston -4.5 (A)

    NJ  -5 (A)

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2012 - 6:16 PM ET #37

    Boston (A)  Winner  System results  + 5 units

                                    A - 4-1

                                    B - 1-0

    Pending plays -    NJ - 5

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    Boston (A)  Winner  System results  + 5 units

                                    A - 4-1

                                    B - 1-0

    Pending plays -    NJ - 5

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2012 - 8:20 PM ET #38

    NJ -5 Winner  System results . +6 units

    A Games   5-1

    B Games  1-0

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    NJ -5 Winner  System results . +6 units

    A Games   5-1

    B Games  1-0

     
    BigTenWatto
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 1:31 PM ET #39

    3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?
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    3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?
     
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 1:55 PM ET #40

    nwo=new world order? lol wut
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    nwo=new world order? lol wut
     
    BigTenWatto
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 3:48 PM ET #41

    NWO = New Orleans. Shouldn't be that hard to figure out.
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    NWO = New Orleans. Shouldn't be that hard to figure out.
     
    Handsdown
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 5:35 PM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:

    3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?


    This system definitely calls for a play on Atlanta going against Milwaukee.  MIL has covered 2 games in a row ATS.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:

    3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?


    This system definitely calls for a play on Atlanta going against Milwaukee.  MIL has covered 2 games in a row ATS.
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 6:09 PM ET #43

    1/23/12  System Plays    

    Dallas -5   ALL  (A) plays   good luck ..

    San Antonio -4

    Atlanta -1.5 

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    1/23/12  System Plays    

    Dallas -5   ALL  (A) plays   good luck ..

    San Antonio -4

    Atlanta -1.5 

     
    glefkb01
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 9:33 PM ET #44

    These teams are not doing very well through the 3rd... hope they come out strong in the 4th and close this out.

    Been trailing and havent lost yet, if I lose tonight its time to pay the piper in the morning.

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    These teams are not doing very well through the 3rd... hope they come out strong in the 4th and close this out.

    Been trailing and havent lost yet, if I lose tonight its time to pay the piper in the morning.

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 11:06 PM ET #45

    1/23/12                               System Results  + 7 units

    Dallas -5   Winner                      A 8- 2     

    San Antonio -4 Loser                 B  1-0 

    Atlanta -1.5   Winner

     

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    1/23/12                               System Results  + 7 units

    Dallas -5   Winner                      A 8- 2     

    San Antonio -4 Loser                 B  1-0 

    Atlanta -1.5   Winner

     

     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2012 - 11:15 PM ET #46

    Sorry wrong results ..... System Results  +  7 units

                                       A  7-2

                                       B 1-0     

    Pending plays we are fading New Orleans on 1/25/12

                                      

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    Sorry wrong results ..... System Results  +  7 units

                                       A  7-2

                                       B 1-0     

    Pending plays we are fading New Orleans on 1/25/12

                                      

     
    glefkb01
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2012 - 8:11 AM ET #47

    I love this system
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    I love this system
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2012 - 5:31 PM ET #48

    Any plays for today?
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    Any plays for today?
     
    Handsdown
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2012 - 5:31 PM ET #49

    No plays in this system for 1/24
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    No plays in this system for 1/24
     
     
    Knoxpoker
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2012 - 6:53 PM ET #50

    No plays tonight .. Tommorow we are fading New Orleans for the B game ..
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    No plays tonight .. Tommorow we are fading New Orleans for the B game ..
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