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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA Spot play

    «First Previous 12
    Whaddaplay
    bruin95
    milton024
    orhane
    leo81
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    «First Previous 12
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 1:50 AM ET #26

    Mavs are 6-0 SU & ATS in this spot play TY
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    Mavs are 6-0 SU & ATS in this spot play TY
     
    bruin95
    bruin95
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 4:22 AM ET #27

    IND is a potential play, depending on total.  My guess is that the total will below 198, though.
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    IND is a potential play, depending on total.  My guess is that the total will below 198, though.
     
    milton024
    milton024
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 10:26 AM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by Whaddaplay:

    Mavs are 6-0 SU & ATS in this spot play TY
    GOOD AND ADD WASHINGTON 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Whaddaplay:

    Mavs are 6-0 SU & ATS in this spot play TY
    GOOD AND ADD WASHINGTON 
     
    orhane
    orhane
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 10:38 AM ET #29

    do you have other spot up plays like this? i have some for covers.com consensus/expert picks.
    for example:

    if the line for the away team is between -1 and +5,5 and the experts are mainly on the away team the record for the last 8 years:
    604-519
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    do you have other spot up plays like this? i have some for covers.com consensus/expert picks.
    for example:

    if the line for the away team is between -1 and +5,5 and the experts are mainly on the away team the record for the last 8 years:
    604-519
     
    milton024
    milton024
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 11:14 AM ET #30

    Quote Originally Posted by Whaddaplay:

    Mavs are 6-0 SU & ATS in this spot play TY
    ur have any system for ncaab ?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Whaddaplay:

    Mavs are 6-0 SU & ATS in this spot play TY
    ur have any system for ncaab ?
     
    orhane
    orhane
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 11:31 AM ET #31

    i checked the website and for ncaab the database is not complete yet.
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    i checked the website and for ncaab the database is not complete yet.
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 1:34 PM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by milton024:

    GOOD AND ADD WASHINGTON 

    WAS are at home and do not fall into this spot.
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    Quote Originally Posted by milton024:

    GOOD AND ADD WASHINGTON 

    WAS are at home and do not fall into this spot.
     
    bruin95
    bruin95
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 9:15 PM ET #33

    Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

    do you have other spot up plays like this? i have some for covers.com consensus/expert picks.
    for example:

    if the line for the away team is between -1 and +5,5 and the experts are mainly on the away team the record for the last 8 years:
    604-519

    That's 53%.  Honestly, it's not worth the risk.
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    Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

    do you have other spot up plays like this? i have some for covers.com consensus/expert picks.
    for example:

    if the line for the away team is between -1 and +5,5 and the experts are mainly on the away team the record for the last 8 years:
    604-519

    That's 53%.  Honestly, it's not worth the risk.
     
    orhane
    orhane
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 9:54 PM ET #34

    Depends on the odds you play. I have odd around 1.95 then 53 or more is enough for profit.
    this is one example as i said. i have systems with 56% and above.
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    Depends on the odds you play. I have odd around 1.95 then 53 or more is enough for profit.
    this is one example as i said. i have systems with 56% and above.
     
    leo81
    leo81
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2014 - 12:20 PM ET #35

    Arn't we playing an away favorite after a SU loss as a favorite?
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    Arn't we playing an away favorite after a SU loss as a favorite?
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2014 - 2:29 AM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    Arn't we playing an away favorite after a SU loss as a favorite?


    The spot play is very simple and is spelled out like this...

    Play an away favourite when the total is >= 198 (after a SU loss as a fav or dog).

    It can be 0 rest or 1 or more days of rest since the SU loss. It does not involve the spread in any way with regard to the SU loss.

    Example from last night:
    Sacramento is playing at Philadelphia as a -9.5 Away Favourite and the total is 216.5.


    Their previous game was at Detroit last night. They lost 89-99 to Detroit.

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    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    Arn't we playing an away favorite after a SU loss as a favorite?


    The spot play is very simple and is spelled out like this...

    Play an away favourite when the total is >= 198 (after a SU loss as a fav or dog).

    It can be 0 rest or 1 or more days of rest since the SU loss. It does not involve the spread in any way with regard to the SU loss.

    Example from last night:
    Sacramento is playing at Philadelphia as a -9.5 Away Favourite and the total is 216.5.


    Their previous game was at Detroit last night. They lost 89-99 to Detroit.

     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2014 - 2:32 AM ET #37

    Spot play went 3-0 last night. SAC = win, DAL = win, DEN = win

    Now sits at 51-19-2 (3.03, 72.9%) ATS for this season
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    Spot play went 3-0 last night. SAC = win, DAL = win, DEN = win

    Now sits at 51-19-2 (3.03, 72.9%) ATS for this season
     
    orhane
    orhane
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2014 - 11:11 AM ET #38

    i found several situational systems, just have to check if there is a patern for single sports. if i found some, i will post them here
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    i found several situational systems, just have to check if there is a patern for single sports. if i found some, i will post them here
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2014 - 1:28 PM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

    i found several situational systems, just have to check if there is a patern for single sports. if i found some, i will post them here

    Thanks orhane. I find some patterns like league scheduling and such similar in different sports but they do fluctuate from season to season. Just try to find edges that the books don't quickly react towards or have no real controls in place to adjust even over time.
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    Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

    i found several situational systems, just have to check if there is a patern for single sports. if i found some, i will post them here

    Thanks orhane. I find some patterns like league scheduling and such similar in different sports but they do fluctuate from season to season. Just try to find edges that the books don't quickly react towards or have no real controls in place to adjust even over time.
     
    orhane
    orhane
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2014 - 4:10 PM ET #40

    Here are some i found good looking:
    MLB:
    https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query?sdql=Sum%28%28+line%2B0%3C0+and+o%3Apoints%3Cpoints+%29*100+or+%28+0%3C0%2Bline+and+points%3Co%3Apoints+%29*%28-100%29+or+%28+runs+is+not+None+%29*%28line%2B0%29%40team+and+season+and+line%3C-105%29[team+and+season-1+and+line%3C-105]%3E1200+and+site%3Daway+and+line%3E%3D-130+and+season&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    NCAAB
    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?sdql=A+and+P%3AL+and+Po%3Apoints+%3E+74+and+WP+%3E%3D+40+and+WP+%3C%3D+49+and+o%3AWP+%3E+29+and+o%3AWP+%3C+54+and+rest+%3E+0&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    O/U System
    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?sdql=H+and+total%3C%3D116.5+&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?sdql=%28Average%28points%40team%20and%20season%29%3C%3D64%20and%20po%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20ppo%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20%28site%3D%3D%27away%27%20and%20line%3E0%29%20and%20line%3E5%29%20as%20%22Average%28points%40team%20and%20season%29%3C%3D64%20and%20po%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20ppo%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20AD%20and%20line%3E5%22

    NBA
    https://b2b.sportsdatabase.com/nba/query?sdql=AF+and+-3%3C%3Dats+streak%3C%3D-1+and+1%3C%3Do%3Aats+streak%3C%3D2+and+1%3C%3D+rest%3C%3D+2+and+32%3CWP%3C78+and+playoffs%3D0+and+season%3E%3D2002+&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    NCAAF
    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=p%3Amargin%3E34+and+site%3D%3D%27home%27&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=p%3Apoints%3E49+and+site%3D%3Dhome+and+po%3Apoints%3Cp%3Apoints+and+line%3E-32.5+and+p%3Aline%3C0+and+site%3D%3Dhome+and+line%3C0&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    NHL
    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20F%20and%20p%3AA%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20date%3E%3D20111022%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%20120-44%20since%20Oct%2022%2C%202011%20as%20a%20home%20favorite%20after%20a%20win%20as%20a%20road%20favorite%22

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28A%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20date%3E%3D20131012%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%2093-66%20since%20Oct%2012%2C%202013%20on%20the%20road%20after%20a%20loss%20as%20a%20favorite%22

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AH%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20date%3E%3D20120116%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%2064-104%20since%20Jan%2016%2C%202012%20as%20a%20home%20dog%20after%20a%20game%20as%20a%20home%20favorite%22

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AH%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20date%3E%3D20091106%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%2075-115%20since%20Nov%2006%2C%202009%20as%20a%20home%20dog%20after%20a%20win%20as%20a%20home%20favorite%22

    NFL
    https://killersports.com/nfl.py/query?sid=guest_678192&sort=ATS_PL&text=Sum%28ats+margin%3E0%40team+and+season%2C+N%3D6%29%3C2+and+WP%3C25+and+site!%3Dp%3Asite&submit=query

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=week%3E7+and+wins%3D0+and+line%3E5&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    more to come
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    Here are some i found good looking:
    MLB:
    https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query?sdql=Sum%28%28+line%2B0%3C0+and+o%3Apoints%3Cpoints+%29*100+or+%28+0%3C0%2Bline+and+points%3Co%3Apoints+%29*%28-100%29+or+%28+runs+is+not+None+%29*%28line%2B0%29%40team+and+season+and+line%3C-105%29[team+and+season-1+and+line%3C-105]%3E1200+and+site%3Daway+and+line%3E%3D-130+and+season&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    NCAAB
    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?sdql=A+and+P%3AL+and+Po%3Apoints+%3E+74+and+WP+%3E%3D+40+and+WP+%3C%3D+49+and+o%3AWP+%3E+29+and+o%3AWP+%3C+54+and+rest+%3E+0&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    O/U System
    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?sdql=H+and+total%3C%3D116.5+&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?sdql=%28Average%28points%40team%20and%20season%29%3C%3D64%20and%20po%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20ppo%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20%28site%3D%3D%27away%27%20and%20line%3E0%29%20and%20line%3E5%29%20as%20%22Average%28points%40team%20and%20season%29%3C%3D64%20and%20po%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20ppo%3Apoints%3C%3D60%20and%20AD%20and%20line%3E5%22

    NBA
    https://b2b.sportsdatabase.com/nba/query?sdql=AF+and+-3%3C%3Dats+streak%3C%3D-1+and+1%3C%3Do%3Aats+streak%3C%3D2+and+1%3C%3D+rest%3C%3D+2+and+32%3CWP%3C78+and+playoffs%3D0+and+season%3E%3D2002+&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    NCAAF
    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=p%3Amargin%3E34+and+site%3D%3D%27home%27&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=p%3Apoints%3E49+and+site%3D%3Dhome+and+po%3Apoints%3Cp%3Apoints+and+line%3E-32.5+and+p%3Aline%3C0+and+site%3D%3Dhome+and+line%3C0&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    NHL
    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20F%20and%20p%3AA%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20date%3E%3D20111022%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%20120-44%20since%20Oct%2022%2C%202011%20as%20a%20home%20favorite%20after%20a%20win%20as%20a%20road%20favorite%22

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28A%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20date%3E%3D20131012%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%2093-66%20since%20Oct%2012%2C%202013%20on%20the%20road%20after%20a%20loss%20as%20a%20favorite%22

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AH%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20date%3E%3D20120116%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%2064-104%20since%20Jan%2016%2C%202012%20as%20a%20home%20dog%20after%20a%20game%20as%20a%20home%20favorite%22

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nhl/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AH%20and%20p%3AF%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20date%3E%3D20091106%29%20as%20%22Teams%20are%2075-115%20since%20Nov%2006%2C%202009%20as%20a%20home%20dog%20after%20a%20win%20as%20a%20home%20favorite%22

    NFL
    https://killersports.com/nfl.py/query?sid=guest_678192&sort=ATS_PL&text=Sum%28ats+margin%3E0%40team+and+season%2C+N%3D6%29%3C2+and+WP%3C25+and+site!%3Dp%3Asite&submit=query

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=week%3E7+and+wins%3D0+and+line%3E5&submit=S+D+Q+L+!

    more to come
     
    reaptherewards
    reaptherewards
    Prospect
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    Posts: 130
    Posted: Mar. 14, 2014 - 9:33 PM ET #41

    Orhane, I believe that your lines got cut off, short of the end.
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    Orhane, I believe that your lines got cut off, short of the end.
     
    orhane
    orhane
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    Posted: Mar. 14, 2014 - 10:50 PM ET #42

    these are not mine, i don't really know which lines sportsdatabase uses in the end. but there are some systems that work.
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    these are not mine, i don't really know which lines sportsdatabase uses in the end. but there are some systems that work.
     
    Kababayan
    Kababayan
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 12:21 AM ET #43

    Thank you for the info
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    Thank you for the info
     
    maidenguy
    maidenguy
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 12:31 PM ET #44

    2-1 last night and a  play on Memphis tonight
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    2-1 last night and a  play on Memphis tonight
     
    sfg8
    sfg8
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 3:11 PM ET #45

    over 70% with the nba spot plays...i'll keep an eye on these...so far it been great...any idea how many yrs it's been working???
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    over 70% with the nba spot plays...i'll keep an eye on these...so far it been great...any idea how many yrs it's been working???
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posts: 51
    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 3:37 PM ET #46

    Here is an historical link to this spot play back to 1995...

    https://g.sportsdatabase.com/nba/query?sdql=season%3D+2013%2C2012%2C2011%2C2010%2C2009%2C2008%2C2007%2C2006%2C2005%2C2004%2C2003%2C2002%2C2001%2C2000%2C1999%2C1998%2C1997%2C1996%2C1995+and+AF+and+p%3AL+and+total+%3E%3D198+and+playoffs+%3D0&submit=S+D+Q+L+!
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    Here is an historical link to this spot play back to 1995...

    https://g.sportsdatabase.com/nba/query?sdql=season%3D+2013%2C2012%2C2011%2C2010%2C2009%2C2008%2C2007%2C2006%2C2005%2C2004%2C2003%2C2002%2C2001%2C2000%2C1999%2C1998%2C1997%2C1996%2C1995+and+AF+and+p%3AL+and+total+%3E%3D198+and+playoffs+%3D0&submit=S+D+Q+L+!
     
    sfg8
    sfg8
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 6:15 PM ET #47

    couldn't open the link but with the results from this yr alone seems like it 's a winner..u wouldn't happen to have the results for the lst 2-3 yrs. would u???
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    couldn't open the link but with the results from this yr alone seems like it 's a winner..u wouldn't happen to have the results for the lst 2-3 yrs. would u???
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 8:58 PM ET #48

    If you put your cursor over the entire link and highlight it like you would copy and then paste, then right click your mouse and you should be able to see your browser commands to open the link.

    If that doesn't work use this...

    https://tinyurl.com/m9ffn8x
    Reply
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    If you put your cursor over the entire link and highlight it like you would copy and then paste, then right click your mouse and you should be able to see your browser commands to open the link.

    If that doesn't work use this...

    https://tinyurl.com/m9ffn8x
     
     
    Whaddaplay
    Whaddaplay
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    Posts: 51
    Posted: Mar. 15, 2014 - 10:03 PM ET #49

    Grizzlies -14 cash in tonight winning by 26.

    Golden ST at -1.5 on tap for Sunday
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    Grizzlies -14 cash in tonight winning by 26.

    Golden ST at -1.5 on tap for Sunday
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