Modified Sweep Chase 122-3 in AL in 2009

Thought Here  What About When A Team Starts A Series, Wins Gm1 But Loses Gm2, Did U Ever Think About Or Look Into Why They Lose The 2nd Or 3rd Gm And Maybe The 1st Gm?

Hey, Maybe It's Working Out The Losses Early Into The Season, So Then The Winners Will Start Rolling In Later!!!  You Did List A Lil' Amount Of Losses From The Backtested Ones If I'm Not Mistaken.

Rizz, can you give me a quick tutorial on martingale vs. labby?  I think I am doing the former which I believe you commented was poor money management.

I basically continue to play to hit one unit, which really stings and becomes expensive when the Dodgers lose at -300 but got it back, just took a big gulp to get there.

Series Record = 19-4-0

pick em's = 3-0

Plays for 5/3:  (please do not play these games unless you are using labouchere money management, we are on a horrible cold streak!!!)

Series #24 (game 1) 7:05             TOR +104@ cle

Series #25 (game 1) 7:10              laa @ BOS-150    

Series #26 (game 1) 8:10              kc @ CWS -170

Series #27 (game 1) 10:10            TEX +117 @ oak

 

 

Pending:

atl @ WAS (5/4)--fading atl on the road

sf @ FLA (5/4) -- fading SF on the road

CHIC @ pit--- fading pit at home

CHC @ pit 5/4

TB @ sea 5/4 -- fading sea at home

sf @ NYM (5/7)

lad @ AZ (5/10) - fading lad on the road

nyy @ DET (5/10)

sea @ BAL (5/11)

hou @ STL (5/11)-- fading hou on the road

bos @ DET (5/14) -- fading bos on the road

ariz @ ATL (5/14)

Game 1 wins= 10

Game 2 wins = 7

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses: 4, -36.4U

*U lost reflects playing system for ML on all plays straight martingale to win 1U, would obviously not recommend doing so. 

If you look in my opening game favorite thread, it is discussed well in the last two pages.  Feel free to PM me if you have specific questions after you check it out

  Just Want To See What You Think About This Logic.  For TOR/CLE Gm.

B. Cecil's Stats:  ERA: 3.55, Ks: 11, BB: 2, Errors: 0

B. Jays Stats: Offense: In The Low 2Digit Ranking Besides BA,  Defense: In The Single Digit Ranking Besides ERA

Bullpen Ranked 25

M. Talbot's Stats: ERA: 2.05, Ks: 7, BB: 11, Errors: 0

Indians Stats: Offense: In The Mid 2 Digit Ranking.  Defense: They Have A Couple Of Mid to High 2 Digit Rankings

Bullpen Ranked 13

Series Record = 19-4-0

pick em's = 3-0

Plays for 5/3:  (please do not play these games unless you are using labouchere money management, we are on a horrible cold streak!!!)

Series #24 (game 1) 7:05             TOR +104@ cle

Series #25 (game 1) 7:10              laa @ BOS-174    

Series #26 (game 1) 8:10              kc @ CWS -174

Series #27 (game 1) 10:10            TEX +126 @ oak

Series Prices                          TR diff

TOR -105                                +3.5

CWS  -240                              -2.4

BOS -240                                -3.3

TEX -115                                 +0.3

 

 

Pending:

atl @ WAS (5/4)--fading atl on the road

sf @ FLA (5/4) -- fading SF on the road

CHIC @ pit--- fading pit at home

CHC @ pit 5/4

TB @ sea 5/4 -- fading sea at home

sf @ NYM (5/7)

lad @ AZ (5/10) - fading lad on the road

nyy @ DET (5/10)

sea @ BAL (5/11)

hou @ STL (5/11)-- fading hou on the road

bos @ DET (5/14) -- fading bos on the road

ariz @ ATL (5/14)

Game 1 wins= 10

Game 2 wins = 7

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses: 4, -36.4U

*U lost reflects playing system for ML on all plays straight martingale to win 1U, would obviously not recommend doing so. 

Sample 3 line labby for today

5-5-5-5                     TEX 10, BOS/CWS 17, TOR 10

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Guys I was so pissed when we lost on the houston series I forgot to add the plays.  We missed a win with CIN at STL, and we should be playing on AZ to beat HOU tonight.  I guess if HOU wins game 1 we could jump in for a two game chase.... very sorry.  If anyone notices sweeps we miss please let me know!  I don't know how I missed this but I saw a houston at home score flash on the tv and I was thinking OH CRAP!

Series Record = 22-4-0

pick em's = 3-0

Plays for 5/4:  (please do not play these games unless you are using labouchere money management, we are on a horrible cold streak!!!)

Series #27 (game 1) 10:10            TEX +126 @ oak   pending

Series #28 (game 1) 7:05              atl @ WAS -102

Series #29 (game  1) 7:05             CHC -150 @ pit

Series #30 (game 1) 7:10              sf @ FLA +159

Series #31(game 1) 10:10            TB -138 @ sea

Series Prices                          TR diff

 

 

 

Pending:

sf @ NYM (5/7)

lad @ AZ (5/10) - fading lad on the road

nyy @ DET (5/10)

sea @ BAL (5/11)

hou @ STL (5/11)-- fading hou on the road

bos @ DET (5/14) -- fading bos on the road

ariz @ ATL (5/14)

Game 1 wins= 13

Game 2 wins = 7

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses: 4, -36.4U

*U lost reflects playing system for ML on all plays straight martingale to win 1U, would obviously not recommend doing so. 

Today 4-0! +42, so in this example you would clear your first line twice, and could increase your units by 10%.  Just think about if you had carried half your loss from the last two series up to line 1.  You would likely have recovered most of your loss just today.  This is the power of the labby.  For example say you lost 80 on the game 3 plays last week, if you play the aggressive labby your lines before today would have been

5-5-5-5-40

5-5-5-?

5-5-5-45

You would have made four wagers to win 45 today.  You would have won 180 today recovering your game 3 losses.  This is a ballsy way to play it but this is what I do.  That being said I also am playing a very small portion of my bankroll on these plays.. playing to win 0.5U per series or about 1/200th of my bankroll.

Rizz, I noticed that occassionally you will have to play both teams based on the Modified Sweep & Open Line. Do you just follow the systems and play both so do you pick a side?  i.e. SF @ FLA tomorrow.

So therizz,  Are The Nats, Cubs, Marlins, & Rays Plays For Today?

Yep.  Lets get it done tonight!

Depends on the series.  Usually I just play both sides, but occassianally will sit out game 1 and play the opposite for a two game chase.

Series Record = 23-4-0

pick em's = 3-0

Plays for 5/4:  (please do not play these games unless you are using labouchere money management, we are on a horrible cold streak!!!)

Series #28 (game 1) 7:05              atl @ WAS -102

Series #29 (game  1) 7:05             CHC -150 @ pit

Series #30 (game 1) 7:10              sf @ FLA +159

Series #31(game 1) 10:10            TB -138 @ sea

Series Prices                          TR diff

WAS +110                                 +1.1

CHC -170                                   +2.6

FLA +115                                   +0.4

TB -140                                      +8.2

 

 

 

Pending:

sf @ NYM (5/7)

lad @ AZ (5/10) - fading lad on the road

nyy @ DET (5/10)

sea @ BAL (5/11)

hou @ STL (5/11)-- fading hou on the road

bos @ DET (5/14) -- fading bos on the road

ariz @ ATL (5/14)

Game 1 wins= 14

Game 2 wins = 7

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses: 4, -36.4U

*U lost reflects playing system for ML on all plays straight martingale to win 1U, would obviously not recommend doing so. 

Series Record = 25-4-0

pick em's = 3-0

Results for 5/4:  (please do not play these games unless you are using labouchere money management, we are on a horrible cold streak!!!)

Series #28 (game 1) 7:05              atl @ WAS -102   

Series #29 (game  1) 7:05             CHC -150 @ pit     

Series #30 (game 1) 7:10              sf @ FLA +159     

Series #31(game 1) 10:10            TB -138 @ sea ---

Series Prices                          TR diff

 

 

 

Pending:

sf @ NYM (5/7)

lad @ AZ (5/10) - fading lad on the road

nyy @ DET (5/10)

sea @ BAL (5/11)

hou @ STL (5/11)-- fading hou on the road

bos @ DET (5/14) -- fading bos on the road

ariz @ ATL (5/14)

Game 1 wins= 16

Game 2 wins = 7

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses: 4, -36.4U

*U lost reflects playing system for ML on all plays straight martingale to win 1U, would obviously not recommend doing so. 

More sweeps are piling up:

TOR sweeps cle

TOR @ cws (5/6)

DET @ cle (5/7) -- fading cle at home

 

MIN sweeps det

bal @ MIN 5/6

det @ CLE (5/7)--fading det on the road

 

bal swept by NYY --pending

bal @ MIN (5/6) --fading bal on road

min @ NYY

 

 

sample aggressive labby lines based on last nights plays

Won 20

Lost 7 on FLA, 15 on CHC crossing off our wins we clear line 1, then add half of our losses on line 1 and half on line 2

5-5-5-5-11   --- crossed off line 1 and brought in a new one.

5-5-5-16

5-5-5-5

afer yesterday we would be -2, two games to win 21 tonight

Series Record = 25-4-0

pick em's = 3-0

Results for 5/5:  (please do not play these games unless you are using labouchere money management, we are on a horrible cold streak!!!)

Series #29 (game  2) 7:05             CHC -150 @ pit   

Series #30 (game 2) 7:10              sf @ FLA +110    

Series Prices                          TR diff

 

 

 

Pending:

TOR @ cws (5/6)

bal @ MIN (5/6) --fading bal on road

bal @ MIN 5/6

DET @ cle (5/7) -- fading cle at home

det @ CLE (5/7)--fading det on the road

sf @ NYM (5/7)

lad @ AZ (5/10) - fading lad on the road

nyy @ DET (5/10)

sea @ BAL (5/11)

hou @ STL (5/11)-- fading hou on the road

bos @ DET (5/14) -- fading bos on the road

min @ NYY (5/14)

ariz @ ATL (5/14)

Game 1 wins= 16

Game 2 wins = 7

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses: 4, -36.4U

*U lost reflects playing system for ML on all plays straight martingale to win 1U, would obviously not recommend doing so.