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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

    «First Previous 116117118 ... 117118119 Next Last»
    trychome
    rp-rt
    DegenGamble
    akuwudikeeze
    Pendo
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 406025
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    «First Previous 116117118 ... 117118119 Next Last»
     
    trychome
    trychome
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 12:19 AM ET #2876

    ^the post season thing makes a lot of sense.  thats what i would have assumed. i guess im glad good luck was on my side this month seeing as i did no research and just went in like the degenerate that i am. haha. looks like theres only 1 more series left this month and im done. 
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    ^the post season thing makes a lot of sense.  thats what i would have assumed. i guess im glad good luck was on my side this month seeing as i did no research and just went in like the degenerate that i am. haha. looks like theres only 1 more series left this month and im done. 
     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 10:39 AM ET #2877

    And ATL wins with 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th. Wahooo!
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    And ATL wins with 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th. Wahooo!
     
    trychome
    trychome
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 9:14 PM ET #2878

    tomorrow

    MIL A

    possible

    BAL A
    ARI A

    will check tomorrow morning. are you guys playing the last series? theres only 1 more after tomorrows series.
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    tomorrow

    MIL A

    possible

    BAL A
    ARI A

    will check tomorrow morning. are you guys playing the last series? theres only 1 more after tomorrows series.
     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 10:55 AM ET #2879

    MIL A - is the only play I see for today. MIL still have a very very very slim chance to make the playoffs which is a plus. I'm playing this series and probably any others that show up till the end of the season.
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    MIL A - is the only play I see for today. MIL still have a very very very slim chance to make the playoffs which is a plus. I'm playing this series and probably any others that show up till the end of the season.
     
    trychome
    trychome
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 6:59 PM ET #2880

    yup checked it again this morning and now. MIL is the only play.  im also going to take it to the end of the season. fortune favors the bold!
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    yup checked it again this morning and now. MIL is the only play.  im also going to take it to the end of the season. fortune favors the bold!
     
    trychome
    trychome
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2012 - 1:25 AM ET #2881

    tomorrow 

    MIL B
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    tomorrow 

    MIL B
     
    trychome
    trychome
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 10:59 PM ET #2882

    tomorrow

    NYY A
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    tomorrow

    NYY A
     
    trychome
    trychome
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2012 - 10:11 PM ET #2883

    one more A game win to close out the season!  thanks to b2w and everyone else that contributed.  see ya next season!
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    one more A game win to close out the season!  thanks to b2w and everyone else that contributed.  see ya next season!
     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2012 - 10:29 AM ET #2884

    Now that the season is over, I'll give you a basic recap of how my season went. I'm curious as to how my results compared to the official stats for the system.

    I started the system plays on 4/30/12.

    My system ending (9/1/12) results were 87-4

    My system extended ending (10/1/12) results were 105-4

    My four game "C" losses were; 5/2/12 NYM, 5/3/12 SFG, 5/30/12 LAD and 8/8/12 CIN.

    My largest two plays of the season were; 8/8/12 LAD "C" game and 8/12/12/ PIT "C" game.

    I have to admit that 8/8/12 was a nail biting day.

    The season was an excellent positive. Thanks again bettor2win.

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    Now that the season is over, I'll give you a basic recap of how my season went. I'm curious as to how my results compared to the official stats for the system.

    I started the system plays on 4/30/12.

    My system ending (9/1/12) results were 87-4

    My system extended ending (10/1/12) results were 105-4

    My four game "C" losses were; 5/2/12 NYM, 5/3/12 SFG, 5/30/12 LAD and 8/8/12 CIN.

    My largest two plays of the season were; 8/8/12 LAD "C" game and 8/12/12/ PIT "C" game.

    I have to admit that 8/8/12 was a nail biting day.

    The season was an excellent positive. Thanks again bettor2win.

     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2012 - 4:10 PM ET #2885

    Quote Originally Posted by rp-rt:

    Now that the season is over, I'll give you a basic recap of how my season went. I'm curious as to how my results compared to the official stats for the system.

    I started the system plays on 4/30/12.

    My system ending (9/1/12) results were 87-4

    My system extended ending (10/1/12) results were 105-4

    My four game "C" losses were; 5/2/12 NYM, 5/3/12 SFG, 5/30/12 LAD and 8/8/12 CIN.

    My largest two plays of the season were; 8/8/12 LAD "C" game and 8/12/12/ PIT "C" game.

    I have to admit that 8/8/12 was a nail biting day.

    The season was an excellent positive. Thanks again bettor2win.

    I am curious on how you bet the B and C games - how many units?  Did you bet to cover your losses? in the previous game(s)

    Because 105 - 4 seems to not make much profit.

    Example:

    105 wins - regardless if they were A game, B game or C game wins - if you bet to cover yourt losses in the previous game(s) - it would yield 105 UNITS

    4 loses - assuming you bet A,B,C and lost each game - and the odds are -200 on each bet.  If you bet 1 unit on A game and lost that's -2 UNITS, then you bet 3 UNITS on B game and lost, that's -6 UNITS, then you bet 9 UNITS on C game and lost that's -18 UNITS - for a total of -26 UNITS PER LOSS

    So those 4 losses total -104 units.

    Now the odds could have been less than -200 so give or take some units here or there.

    Can you explain your betting strategy that made this profitable.

    The way I see it - the official system can support 1 loss to make it profitable.

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    Quote Originally Posted by rp-rt:

    Now that the season is over, I'll give you a basic recap of how my season went. I'm curious as to how my results compared to the official stats for the system.

    I started the system plays on 4/30/12.

    My system ending (9/1/12) results were 87-4

    My system extended ending (10/1/12) results were 105-4

    My four game "C" losses were; 5/2/12 NYM, 5/3/12 SFG, 5/30/12 LAD and 8/8/12 CIN.

    My largest two plays of the season were; 8/8/12 LAD "C" game and 8/12/12/ PIT "C" game.

    I have to admit that 8/8/12 was a nail biting day.

    The season was an excellent positive. Thanks again bettor2win.

    I am curious on how you bet the B and C games - how many units?  Did you bet to cover your losses? in the previous game(s)

    Because 105 - 4 seems to not make much profit.

    Example:

    105 wins - regardless if they were A game, B game or C game wins - if you bet to cover yourt losses in the previous game(s) - it would yield 105 UNITS

    4 loses - assuming you bet A,B,C and lost each game - and the odds are -200 on each bet.  If you bet 1 unit on A game and lost that's -2 UNITS, then you bet 3 UNITS on B game and lost, that's -6 UNITS, then you bet 9 UNITS on C game and lost that's -18 UNITS - for a total of -26 UNITS PER LOSS

    So those 4 losses total -104 units.

    Now the odds could have been less than -200 so give or take some units here or there.

    Can you explain your betting strategy that made this profitable.

    The way I see it - the official system can support 1 loss to make it profitable.

     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2012 - 7:48 PM ET #2886

    DegenGamble,

    Let me send you an example spreadsheet. It is way easier than explaining it.

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    DegenGamble,

    Let me send you an example spreadsheet. It is way easier than explaining it.

     
    akuwudikeeze
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2012 - 3:17 PM ET #2887

    rp-rt, I had the same question on mind. Cos the numbers were not adding up. Please PM me the sample spreadsheet. I have also sent you a friend request.
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    rp-rt, I had the same question on mind. Cos the numbers were not adding up. Please PM me the sample spreadsheet. I have also sent you a friend request.
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2012 - 5:04 PM ET #2888

    Quote Originally Posted by rp-rt:

    DegenGamble,

    Let me send you an example spreadsheet. It is way easier than explaining it.

    rp-rt - Friend Request sent - thanks

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by rp-rt:

    DegenGamble,

    Let me send you an example spreadsheet. It is way easier than explaining it.

    rp-rt - Friend Request sent - thanks

     

     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2012 - 7:55 PM ET #2889

    DegenGamble,

        I sent you the detail in an email. I would have rather sent the actual spreadsheet but it doesn't look like I could do that. If you have any questions, let me know.

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    DegenGamble,

        I sent you the detail in an email. I would have rather sent the actual spreadsheet but it doesn't look like I could do that. If you have any questions, let me know.

     
    Pendo
    Pendo
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2012 - 11:48 PM ET #2890

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    Pendo
    Pendo
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2012 - 12:01 AM ET #2891

    rp-rt - Friend Request sent also, so as to garner detail-email please and thank you


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    rp-rt - Friend Request sent also, so as to garner detail-email please and thank you


     
    bruin95
    bruin95
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2012 - 2:51 AM ET #2892

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    I am curious on how you bet the B and C games - how many units?  Did you bet to cover your losses? in the previous game(s)

    Because 105 - 4 seems to not make much profit.

    Example:

    105 wins - regardless if they were A game, B game or C game wins - if you bet to cover yourt losses in the previous game(s) - it would yield 105 UNITS

    4 loses - assuming you bet A,B,C and lost each game - and the odds are -200 on each bet.  If you bet 1 unit on A game and lost that's -2 UNITS, then you bet 3 UNITS on B game and lost, that's -6 UNITS, then you bet 9 UNITS on C game and lost that's -18 UNITS - for a total of -26 UNITS PER LOSS

    So those 4 losses total -104 units.

    Now the odds could have been less than -200 so give or take some units here or there.

    Can you explain your betting strategy that made this profitable.

    The way I see it - the official system can support 1 loss to make it profitable.


    I looked back at these plays and used the closing lines in each of the games.  The total approximate units lost for the 4 losses was about 36.5 units.  That makes the profit for the system, if played all the way through, 68.5 units.  If you stopped in August, the profit was 50.5 units.   There were several games where the teams were underdogs or very small favorites.  The largest closing line was the C game involving the Dodgers at -160.  The other 11 games were considerably less than that.

    Breakdown as follows:

    NYM 7.75 units lost
    SFG 9 units lost
    LAD 11.5 units lost
    CIN 8.25 units lost

    If you waited until June to start, you only had one loss for the whole year.  Maybe something to consider for next season.  Give it that extra month for the RPI numbers to get stronger.
     
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    I am curious on how you bet the B and C games - how many units?  Did you bet to cover your losses? in the previous game(s)

    Because 105 - 4 seems to not make much profit.

    Example:

    105 wins - regardless if they were A game, B game or C game wins - if you bet to cover yourt losses in the previous game(s) - it would yield 105 UNITS

    4 loses - assuming you bet A,B,C and lost each game - and the odds are -200 on each bet.  If you bet 1 unit on A game and lost that's -2 UNITS, then you bet 3 UNITS on B game and lost, that's -6 UNITS, then you bet 9 UNITS on C game and lost that's -18 UNITS - for a total of -26 UNITS PER LOSS

    So those 4 losses total -104 units.

    Now the odds could have been less than -200 so give or take some units here or there.

    Can you explain your betting strategy that made this profitable.

    The way I see it - the official system can support 1 loss to make it profitable.


    I looked back at these plays and used the closing lines in each of the games.  The total approximate units lost for the 4 losses was about 36.5 units.  That makes the profit for the system, if played all the way through, 68.5 units.  If you stopped in August, the profit was 50.5 units.   There were several games where the teams were underdogs or very small favorites.  The largest closing line was the C game involving the Dodgers at -160.  The other 11 games were considerably less than that.

    Breakdown as follows:

    NYM 7.75 units lost
    SFG 9 units lost
    LAD 11.5 units lost
    CIN 8.25 units lost

    If you waited until June to start, you only had one loss for the whole year.  Maybe something to consider for next season.  Give it that extra month for the RPI numbers to get stronger.
     
     
    akuwudikeeze
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2012 - 3:23 AM ET #2893

    DegenGamble I PM you.
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    DegenGamble I PM you.
     
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2012 - 10:30 AM ET #2894

    bruin95,
        Your math is impeccable. The results pretty much fits in with what bettor2win said about the win amount potential. You have to risk quite a bit of cash to garner, lets say, a 9K profit. Which is about what he said he averages each year. But profit is profit.
        I have been thinking the same thing about the start date. This was my first year so I started on 4/30/12 (one day early) because new series were starting that day. Else I would have had to wait until 5/3/12 or 5/4/12 to start. And you know how hard it is to sit on the sidelines when visions of profits are dancing in your head.Losing has a way of bringing you back to reality pretty quickly. Next year I will probably wait until, at least, the middle of May to start. I will spend the offseason studying the spreadsheet, MLB schedule and moneyline for any hidden indicators that might exist.
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    bruin95,
        Your math is impeccable. The results pretty much fits in with what bettor2win said about the win amount potential. You have to risk quite a bit of cash to garner, lets say, a 9K profit. Which is about what he said he averages each year. But profit is profit.
        I have been thinking the same thing about the start date. This was my first year so I started on 4/30/12 (one day early) because new series were starting that day. Else I would have had to wait until 5/3/12 or 5/4/12 to start. And you know how hard it is to sit on the sidelines when visions of profits are dancing in your head.Losing has a way of bringing you back to reality pretty quickly. Next year I will probably wait until, at least, the middle of May to start. I will spend the offseason studying the spreadsheet, MLB schedule and moneyline for any hidden indicators that might exist.
     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2012 - 11:52 AM ET #2895

    Does anyone know the official numbers for this year or where they are posted? Does anyone have W/L numbers different than I had?
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    Does anyone know the official numbers for this year or where they are posted? Does anyone have W/L numbers different than I had?
     
    Pendo
    Pendo
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2012 - 9:07 PM ET #2896

    Mid-May start gives more robust RPI #'s...
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    Mid-May start gives more robust RPI #'s...
     
    bettor2win
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2012 - 10:51 PM ET #2897

    The numbers stilled earned a good profit. A lot of "C" games though, which takes a RODEO style of Balls to maximize profits. I need NHL to start to make some LOOT. Stay tuned if NHL starts.

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    The numbers stilled earned a good profit. A lot of "C" games though, which takes a RODEO style of Balls to maximize profits. I need NHL to start to make some LOOT. Stay tuned if NHL starts.

     
    nghia1973
    nghia1973
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 8:53 PM ET #2898

    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    The numbers stilled earned a good profit. A lot of "C" games though, which takes a RODEO style of Balls to maximize profits. I need NHL to start to make some LOOT. Stay tuned if NHL starts.



    Are you going to post the NHL plays here or starts a new thread?
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    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    The numbers stilled earned a good profit. A lot of "C" games though, which takes a RODEO style of Balls to maximize profits. I need NHL to start to make some LOOT. Stay tuned if NHL starts.



    Are you going to post the NHL plays here or starts a new thread?
     
    Pendo
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 11:51 PM ET #2899

    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    Posted: 10/28/2012 7:51:52 PM

    The numbers stilled earned a good profit. A lot of "C" games though, which takes a RODEO style of Balls to maximize profits. I need NHL to start to make some LOOT. Stay tuned if NHL starts.


    Nearly 3 months later...
    The approach of the NHL

    Now then, time to rake in some massive Moolah
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    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    Posted: 10/28/2012 7:51:52 PM

    The numbers stilled earned a good profit. A lot of "C" games though, which takes a RODEO style of Balls to maximize profits. I need NHL to start to make some LOOT. Stay tuned if NHL starts.


    Nearly 3 months later...
    The approach of the NHL

    Now then, time to rake in some massive Moolah
     
     
    Kennyman
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2013 - 1:30 PM ET #2900

    CanisMajor,
    Can I contact you directly via email?

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    CanisMajor,
    Can I contact you directly via email?

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