MLB RPI SYSTEM

This is what I love about this group. Most of you can carry on an intelligent conversation and not jump my shit for a post like that. I want to help everyone make money and I want help too.

B2W, what were the unoffical plays yesterday. I got confused, I believe those were all "B" games.

OH HELL YES!, I dropped a dime on CUBS OVER 4.5 in the first 5 innings. I knew that game was going to go over.

The system is just a basis IMO. Chasing/betting the games is still in our own hands. If you don't like it, then don't chase it. I felt like a sucker for not pulling the trigger on DET last night but what the hell? I don't think its worth the risk. We should be responsible for all our actions.

I believe we have some picks for tomorrow, I only like to post early because I know juice increases for the favorite (typically) toward game time.  So I try to jump on the line early.

For Thursday I'm seeing,

Boston @ KC - RPI 58

NY Yankees @ Twins - RPI 48  (Sabathia 1st game = high juice)

Both are a 4 game series!  GL

@bookiecrusher - i got phi at -245.

i agree with everyone about limiting our risk. instead of trying to think of reasons for why we should play a game, we should think of reasons why we SHOULDN'T play certain games/series. thats what i learned from my poker playing days.

I'm a hockey fan, and was thinking chasing a good hockey team would work pretty good with the two way bet ( includes overtime and shootout wins). You just chase the top couple hockey teams like  the Vancouver Canucks - 54 wins, 28 loses throughout the season. Hockey teams don't rest top players like baseball teams, and there's no pitching matchups to worry about.

I just placed my bet on the NYY ML.

Is boston a play for 2mr as well?

Any unofficials?

yes.

@trychome

you got a better line than I did.

Are these unofficial bettor?

i believe they are official. i got nyy @ -195 and bos @ -182. juice doesnt seem too bad considering the ridiculous juice on the other games (phi). anyone get a better line than mine? if so, what sports book are you using?

I am thinking of laying a small amount on a parlay with the Yanks, Bos, Dodgers, Angels, and Philly. 

What are todays plays for Thursday?

I didn't think there were plays yesterday, so I didn't double check missed out on philly....won with MIL and got crushed with NYY (bases loaded with 1 out in the 9th)

b2w can you add me as a friend?

Man that Yankees game killed me on a 5 team parlay last night.... they were my only loss for the parlay.  How the heck can the yanks not score with bases loaded and only one out ! 

b2w, ortiz being injured still considered a play?

You laying more juice than normal on these bets?

sorry, both NYY & BOS are system plays. 

So NYY and Boston today?

I have  a dime on each RL for these teams and I've done something I've never done before and put 3 units on RL parlay.

I got Yanks at -200 ML and Sox at -182. That's not bad, when they go above -240 I get nervous.

2011 Record 66 - 1 - 0
2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

46
 "A" games are first bets won

17
"B" games mean you lost your "A" bet and you need to double up on that team that lost.

5
"C" games mean you have lost both A and B and need to triple up on that team to make money on them.

19 - 0

SYSTEM
The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

FILTERS
1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

JUICE
This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.

VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
HOME = 35 RP

 

July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (H41 "A" Game)  WIN
July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (H41 "B" Game) WIN
July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN
July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) LOSS
July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN
July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69 B GAME) WIN
July 22 - BOSTON -136 (H50 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - YANKEES -172 (H43 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - TAMPA BAY -102 (V42 A GAME) LOSS
July 23 - PHILADELPHIA -137 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 23 - SAN FRANCISCO -134 ("B" GAME) UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 23 - TAMPA BAY -118 ("B" GAME) LOSS
July 24 - TAMPA BAY -102 ("C" GAME) WIN
July 25 - YANKEES -190 (H56 "A" GAME) WIN
*July 25 - BOSTON -270 (H61 "A" GAME) LOSS
July 25 - ST. LOUIS -230 (V46 "A" GAME) WIN
July 26 - BOSTON -175 (H61 "B" GAME) WIN
July 29 - YANKEES -190 (H47 "A" GAME) LOSS
*July 29 - PHILADELPHIA -270 (H41 "A" GAME) WIN
July 29 - MILWAUKEE -176 (H54 "A" GAME) WIN
July 29 - BOSTON +100 (V42 "A" GAME) LOSS
July 30 - YANKEES -220 (H54 "B" GAME) WIN
July 30 - BOSTON -150 (V42 "B" GAME) WIN
*Aug 01 - PHILADELPHIA -270 (H44 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 06 - MILWAUKEE -208 (H52 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 08 - BOSTON -113 (V48 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 08 - ARIZONA -180 (H51 "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 08 - PHILADELPHIA -159 (V56 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 09 - ARIZONA -187 (H51 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 12 - ATLANTA -136 (H43 "A" GAME) WIN
*Aug 12 - PHILADELPHIA -267 (H46 "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 12 - BOSTON -145 (V46 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 15 - YANKEES -151 (V58 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 18 - YANKEES -200 (V45 "A" GAME) PENDING
Aug 18 - BOSTON -182 (V40 "A" GAME) PENDING

B2W --- I sent you a friend request, could you accept me