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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB O/U Chase System: Wanted to Share

    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
    lpforsythe8
    TheBigDaddy33
    DeltaSigChi4
    rckb
    Obe1Kanobe
    ...
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    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    lpforsythe8
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2007 - 11:20 PM ET #51

    1-1 night...Let's finish 'em off tomorrow
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    1-1 night...Let's finish 'em off tomorrow
     
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 12:58 AM ET #52

    IP -  Called it: 1-1 tonight.  Playing to win 1.5 units tomorrow, will post in a second. 
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    IP -  Called it: 1-1 tonight.  Playing to win 1.5 units tomorrow, will post in a second. 
     
    DeltaSigChi4
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 2:01 AM ET #53

    1-1? I'll take it! We'll close the LAD/CIN game tomorrow. Hopefully we can get some runs out of LA.

    I was really close to playing the Florida/Philadelphia series. They had four [4] UNDERS in a row last season, which was the disqualifier. I guess you can say I was using your system's characteristics to draw attention to games which I think should be invested on the TOTAL PROP. Anyway, it would have been a winner, but I didn't play it. I can't speak highly enough of the TBD TOTALS system, even though I can't explain it well enough to convince friends of its effectiveness.

    E
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    1-1? I'll take it! We'll close the LAD/CIN game tomorrow. Hopefully we can get some runs out of LA.

    I was really close to playing the Florida/Philadelphia series. They had four [4] UNDERS in a row last season, which was the disqualifier. I guess you can say I was using your system's characteristics to draw attention to games which I think should be invested on the TOTAL PROP. Anyway, it would have been a winner, but I didn't play it. I can't speak highly enough of the TBD TOTALS system, even though I can't explain it well enough to convince friends of its effectiveness.

    E
     
    lpforsythe8
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 12:33 PM ET #54

    Yeah...I also tried convincing some people about this system (my dad) but he just doesn't understand it I just think he wasn't listening but that's because he likes making his own baseball picks...when it comes down to some NFL games and NCAAB totals he's all ears though
     
    Anyways...let's finish 'em off today Big
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    Yeah...I also tried convincing some people about this system (my dad) but he just doesn't understand it I just think he wasn't listening but that's because he likes making his own baseball picks...when it comes down to some NFL games and NCAAB totals he's all ears though
     
    Anyways...let's finish 'em off today Big
     
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 1:28 PM ET #55

    Running Total: 16-11-2
    Chase System Overall: 16-0 +18.5 units (1 series pending)

    (2/3): Dodgers @ Reds OVER 9 (2.6/2.6)


    Juice is against me, but I guess thats a good thing. Let's hope to get it done today, had a bad feeling about this series when I started.
     
    E - sorry you didn't make the play, man.  I think that it would have been a good move.  I just had to come up with criteria to weed out plays - if I had been playing any more than 3 series at a time, I would be in danger of running out of bankroll if all of the games went to Game 3's.  Otherwise, I think its a good move using the principles to find other games that might go OVER or UNDER :shake:
     
    IP - haha, some people just refuse to listen, even if things are working correctly.  I hope we finish it off today.  Like I said at the top, I was kind of worried about this series from the get go - I think because of the fact that it is an OVER and I hate betting OVERS - so many factors can contribute to a game not going to 10 runs or more.  Anyway, let's hope today's game does.  :shake:
     
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    Running Total: 16-11-2
    Chase System Overall: 16-0 +18.5 units (1 series pending)

    (2/3): Dodgers @ Reds OVER 9 (2.6/2.6)


    Juice is against me, but I guess thats a good thing. Let's hope to get it done today, had a bad feeling about this series when I started.
     
    E - sorry you didn't make the play, man.  I think that it would have been a good move.  I just had to come up with criteria to weed out plays - if I had been playing any more than 3 series at a time, I would be in danger of running out of bankroll if all of the games went to Game 3's.  Otherwise, I think its a good move using the principles to find other games that might go OVER or UNDER :shake:
     
    IP - haha, some people just refuse to listen, even if things are working correctly.  I hope we finish it off today.  Like I said at the top, I was kind of worried about this series from the get go - I think because of the fact that it is an OVER and I hate betting OVERS - so many factors can contribute to a game not going to 10 runs or more.  Anyway, let's hope today's game does.  :shake:
     
     
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 1:32 PM ET #56

    A stat that makes me feel better:  These two pitchers are 20-10 combined to the OVER lately.
     
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    A stat that makes me feel better:  These two pitchers are 20-10 combined to the OVER lately.
     
     
    lpforsythe8
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 8:32 PM ET #57

    Cincinnatti game is not looking good so far
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    Cincinnatti game is not looking good so far
     
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2007 - 10:24 PM ET #58

    Oh well...Hopefully we'll get it tomorrow
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    Oh well...Hopefully we'll get it tomorrow
     
    rckb
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 1:26 AM ET #59

    I will see how tomorrow goes for me but I have been following your system, looking to jump aboard, if a good day tomorrow will allow me 
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    I will see how tomorrow goes for me but I have been following your system, looking to jump aboard, if a good day tomorrow will allow me 
     
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 2:28 PM ET #60

    I missed the third game of the series today...Didn't realize it was an early afternoon game...but it looks like it is going under again
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    I missed the third game of the series today...Didn't realize it was an early afternoon game...but it looks like it is going under again
     
    Obe1Kanobe
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 3:11 PM ET #61

    I have been following this system since you started posting...there is no way you didn't know this was a day game. You had to have looked last night when the other game went under. Good call not taking it though becaue I did and am a little worried at this point. IF this game does go under are you going to update the record as a lose or just let it stand where it is now?
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    I have been following this system since you started posting...there is no way you didn't know this was a day game. You had to have looked last night when the other game went under. Good call not taking it though becaue I did and am a little worried at this point. IF this game does go under are you going to update the record as a lose or just let it stand where it is now?
     
    lpforsythe8
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 3:26 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by Obe1Kanobe:

    I have been following this system since you started posting...there is no way you didn't know this was a day game. You had to have looked last night when the other game went under. Good call not taking it though becaue I did and am a little worried at this point. IF this game does go under are you going to update the record as a lose or just let it stand where it is now?

    I don't know if this is aimed towards me but I have nothing to do with the record...this isn't my system, I'm not the original poster...you must've ssut made a mistake, but anyways, I didn't check today's game last night, as it was late and I figured I'd just place my wager the next day and when I went to place the wager the game was already into the 6th inning which is my own fault....but as I said before I have nothing to with the record because this isn't my system and I am not the OP

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    Quote Originally Posted by Obe1Kanobe:

    I have been following this system since you started posting...there is no way you didn't know this was a day game. You had to have looked last night when the other game went under. Good call not taking it though becaue I did and am a little worried at this point. IF this game does go under are you going to update the record as a lose or just let it stand where it is now?

    I don't know if this is aimed towards me but I have nothing to do with the record...this isn't my system, I'm not the original poster...you must've ssut made a mistake, but anyways, I didn't check today's game last night, as it was late and I figured I'd just place my wager the next day and when I went to place the wager the game was already into the 6th inning which is my own fault....but as I said before I have nothing to with the record because this isn't my system and I am not the OP

     
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 3:43 PM ET #63

    Hey guys -
     
    Internet was cut off at midnight last night for non-payment of my bill, a whopping fuckin $36.56.  Anyway, was not able to get on the internet to check the line or bet the game.  Would have missed it either way, didn't get up today until late.  Anyhow,  looks like the game is 4-4 in the Bottom of the 9th right now.  If it loses, will update the record to 16-1, minus the 3.6 units lost on the first two games
     
    IP - So glad you missed the first game, bro.  Very good luck there.  I told you I was worried about this series!!!!!
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    Hey guys -
     
    Internet was cut off at midnight last night for non-payment of my bill, a whopping fuckin $36.56.  Anyway, was not able to get on the internet to check the line or bet the game.  Would have missed it either way, didn't get up today until late.  Anyhow,  looks like the game is 4-4 in the Bottom of the 9th right now.  If it loses, will update the record to 16-1, minus the 3.6 units lost on the first two games
     
    IP - So glad you missed the first game, bro.  Very good luck there.  I told you I was worried about this series!!!!!
     
    joseuribe
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 3:57 PM ET #64

    Well you guys lucked out if you didn't play the game,but I think a true reflection of the system would put it at 16 - 1  + 8 units or so. The system would have lost about 9 - 10 units on this series correct ? I know I don't have the math exact here, just a rough estimate.
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    Well you guys lucked out if you didn't play the game,but I think a true reflection of the system would put it at 16 - 1  + 8 units or so. The system would have lost about 9 - 10 units on this series correct ? I know I don't have the math exact here, just a rough estimate.
     
    joseuribe
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 3:58 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by joseuribe:

    Well you guys lucked out if you didn't play the game,but I think a true reflection of the system would put it at 16 - 1  + 8 units or so. The system would have lost about 9 - 10 units on this series correct ? I know I don't have the math exact here, just a rough estimate.

    Of course the game is not over yet as I type 4 - 4 in the 11th...A minor miracle is still alive.Hopefully it will happen somehow ! 

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    Quote Originally Posted by joseuribe:

    Well you guys lucked out if you didn't play the game,but I think a true reflection of the system would put it at 16 - 1  + 8 units or so. The system would have lost about 9 - 10 units on this series correct ? I know I don't have the math exact here, just a rough estimate.

    Of course the game is not over yet as I type 4 - 4 in the 11th...A minor miracle is still alive.Hopefully it will happen somehow ! 

     
    lpforsythe8
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 4:03 PM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by TheBigDaddy33:

     
     
    IP - So glad you missed the first game, bro.  Very good luck there.  I told you I was worried about this series!!!!!

    Yeah, both of us are lucky, I believe the line was 10.5, so in order for that to win 3 runs are needed to be scored in extra innings, and I'm not saying it can't happen, but I just don't think it will...anyways, I'm looking forward to the next series

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheBigDaddy33:

     
     
    IP - So glad you missed the first game, bro.  Very good luck there.  I told you I was worried about this series!!!!!

    Yeah, both of us are lucky, I believe the line was 10.5, so in order for that to win 3 runs are needed to be scored in extra innings, and I'm not saying it can't happen, but I just don't think it will...anyways, I'm looking forward to the next series

     
    joseuribe
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 4:05 PM ET #67

    Only need Cincy to score one in the bottom of the 11th for the system to remain undefeated.      
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    Only need Cincy to score one in the bottom of the 11th for the system to remain undefeated.      
     
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 4:12 PM ET #68

    Jose -
     
    A true reflection of the system would be around 16-1 +10.5 units.  However, you have to realize that this isn't just a run of the system, this is me posting my plays that I have made.
     
    It wouldn't be accepted the opposite way.  If I hadn't posted any this series, but said I played all the games and made 2 units, that would not be accepted here. Plays must be posted to count towards records, that's just the way it is.  I don't want to misrepresent the system, but I did not play this game, and therefore will probably not count it in my units won/lost, but WILL count it in the system record. 
     
    On the other hand, if it wins, I will still subtract the 3.7 units lost, but the record will be a perfect 17-0...
     
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    Jose -
     
    A true reflection of the system would be around 16-1 +10.5 units.  However, you have to realize that this isn't just a run of the system, this is me posting my plays that I have made.
     
    It wouldn't be accepted the opposite way.  If I hadn't posted any this series, but said I played all the games and made 2 units, that would not be accepted here. Plays must be posted to count towards records, that's just the way it is.  I don't want to misrepresent the system, but I did not play this game, and therefore will probably not count it in my units won/lost, but WILL count it in the system record. 
     
    On the other hand, if it wins, I will still subtract the 3.7 units lost, but the record will be a perfect 17-0...
     
     
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 4:14 PM ET #69

    Game over guys, double play with a man on base.  Sorry for any who played this game, I was lucky enough to miss it.  No one said this system was going to go undefeated. 
     
    If I can go 16-1, 32-2, 64-4, then I am making $$$$, and thats all that matters.
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    Game over guys, double play with a man on base.  Sorry for any who played this game, I was lucky enough to miss it.  No one said this system was going to go undefeated. 
     
    If I can go 16-1, 32-2, 64-4, then I am making $$$$, and thats all that matters.
     
    TheBigDaddy33
    TheBigDaddy33
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 2261
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 4:31 PM ET #70

    Running Total: 16-13-2
    Overall Chase System: 16-1 (+14.8 units)

    Well, I made a mistake picking the LA/Cincy series. Said from the beginning that I was relaxing my criteria, and what do you know, it ended up being a loser. Game 3 was a loss. However, it was never posted due to the fact that my internet was cut off last night at midnight. Luckily, I didn't get it back until about 2pm today, and did not bet the game. I have acknowledged the 3.7 unit loss on Game 1 and 2. If you bet Game 3 on your own, you know that you would have bet to win 5.2 units, and the system unit amount would be at +9.8 units.

    No more relaxing criteria:

    Yankees @ Indians OVER 9.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: OVER is 7-3
    Last 20: OVER is 12-7-1
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games

    Cubs @ Rockies OVER 10.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 9-1
    Last 20: UNDER is 12-8
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games

    Washington @ Arizona UNDER 10 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 7-3
    Last 20: UNDER is 13-7
    Largest OVER streak is 2 Games

    Let's get back on track.
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    Running Total: 16-13-2
    Overall Chase System: 16-1 (+14.8 units)

    Well, I made a mistake picking the LA/Cincy series. Said from the beginning that I was relaxing my criteria, and what do you know, it ended up being a loser. Game 3 was a loss. However, it was never posted due to the fact that my internet was cut off last night at midnight. Luckily, I didn't get it back until about 2pm today, and did not bet the game. I have acknowledged the 3.7 unit loss on Game 1 and 2. If you bet Game 3 on your own, you know that you would have bet to win 5.2 units, and the system unit amount would be at +9.8 units.

    No more relaxing criteria:

    Yankees @ Indians OVER 9.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: OVER is 7-3
    Last 20: OVER is 12-7-1
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games

    Cubs @ Rockies OVER 10.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 9-1
    Last 20: UNDER is 12-8
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games

    Washington @ Arizona UNDER 10 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 7-3
    Last 20: UNDER is 13-7
    Largest OVER streak is 2 Games

    Let's get back on track.
     
    DeltaSigChi4
    DeltaSigChi4
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2006
    Posts: 1038
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 5:08 PM ET #71

    I didn't play the game either because I had minor surgery this morning. I was very uneasy about it -- the game, not procedure -- the fucking Dodgers didn't score a run in the first two [2] games. I was planning on loading it up on the UNDER, and I'm not just saying that because of the outcome I just read. The LAD were really pissing me off and I had lost all confidence in their bats.

    But it's all good. I believe in the system [results speak for themselves] and it is understandable that those who jumped aboard just for that LAD/CIN series is going to be bitter. But it's not about one game or one series. It's a grind and that's what we're here for.

    Back on track fellows.

    E
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    I didn't play the game either because I had minor surgery this morning. I was very uneasy about it -- the game, not procedure -- the fucking Dodgers didn't score a run in the first two [2] games. I was planning on loading it up on the UNDER, and I'm not just saying that because of the outcome I just read. The LAD were really pissing me off and I had lost all confidence in their bats.

    But it's all good. I believe in the system [results speak for themselves] and it is understandable that those who jumped aboard just for that LAD/CIN series is going to be bitter. But it's not about one game or one series. It's a grind and that's what we're here for.

    Back on track fellows.

    E
     
    Obe1Kanobe
    Obe1Kanobe
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    Joined: Mar, 2007
    Posts: 2236
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 5:48 PM ET #72

    Cubs @ Rockies OVER 10.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 9-1
    Last 20: UNDER is 12-8
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games
     
    Is this a typo??
     
     
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    Cubs @ Rockies OVER 10.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 9-1
    Last 20: UNDER is 12-8
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games
     
    Is this a typo??
     
     
     
    TheBigDaddy33
    TheBigDaddy33
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 2261
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 6:02 PM ET #73

    E  - Sorry to hear about your surgery, hope you feel better.
     
    Obe - Yes, sorry about that. Here is the correct post.  The Cubs series starts tonight at 8.
     
    No more relaxing criteria:

    Thurs

    Cubs @ Rockies OVER 10.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: OVER is 9-1
    Last 20: OVER is 12-8
    Largest OVER streak is 2 games

    Fri

    Yankees @ Indians OVER 9.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: OVER is 7-3
    Last 20: OVER is 12-7-1
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games


    Washington @ Arizona UNDER 10 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 7-3
    Last 20: UNDER is 13-7
    Largest OVER streak is 2 Games
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    E  - Sorry to hear about your surgery, hope you feel better.
     
    Obe - Yes, sorry about that. Here is the correct post.  The Cubs series starts tonight at 8.
     
    No more relaxing criteria:

    Thurs

    Cubs @ Rockies OVER 10.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: OVER is 9-1
    Last 20: OVER is 12-8
    Largest OVER streak is 2 games

    Fri

    Yankees @ Indians OVER 9.5 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: OVER is 7-3
    Last 20: OVER is 12-7-1
    Largest UNDER streak is 2 games


    Washington @ Arizona UNDER 10 (1.1/1)

    Last 10: UNDER is 7-3
    Last 20: UNDER is 13-7
    Largest OVER streak is 2 Games
     
    ethancraft50
    ethancraft50
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2006
    Posts: 524
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2007 - 10:03 PM ET #74

    like the idea.
    if this works so well if all sports, you think you will try it when NHL rolls around?
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    like the idea.
    if this works so well if all sports, you think you will try it when NHL rolls around?
     
     
    lpforsythe8
    lpforsythe8
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 378
    Posted: Aug. 10, 2007 - 1:08 AM ET #75

    Damn  I missed the Cubs/Rockies play
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    Damn  I missed the Cubs/Rockies play
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