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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Mlb chase underdog system

    «First Previous 123 ... 678
    dumazz
    RyanOJ24
    msucurt
    pazim
    Octo31ber
    ...
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    «First Previous 123 ... 678
     
    dumazz
    dumazz
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2018 - 3:58 PM ET #176

    White Sox are 3-7 last 10 games so wouldn't qualify as a play under original system filter.

    Historically speaking...

    Rockies are 61% at Nationals (yes, I double checked that)
    Padres are 56% hm vs Giants

    I may wait for the Friday games as I'm not real fond of those 'D' bets.
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    White Sox are 3-7 last 10 games so wouldn't qualify as a play under original system filter.

    Historically speaking...

    Rockies are 61% at Nationals (yes, I double checked that)
    Padres are 56% hm vs Giants

    I may wait for the Friday games as I'm not real fond of those 'D' bets.
     
    dumazz
    dumazz
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2018 - 1:02 PM ET #177

    I'm on the Atlanta Braves this time around
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    I'm on the Atlanta Braves this time around
     
    RyanOJ24
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2018 - 5:03 AM ET #178

    Quote Originally Posted by dumazz:

    Posted: Apr. 13, 2018 - 2:02 PM ET "Quote" I'm on the Atlanta Braves this time around

     

    Looks like you nailed it in game 1 Dumazz!! Excellent choice.

    I had a large bet on the Yankees-Red-Sox over on Thursday night. Was so caught up in it that I completely forgot to submit my underdog system play. Hit the Dbacks tonight. So now we catch our breath, and wait for some new series to begin on Monday.

    BOL Dumazz and anyone else following/running this system. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by dumazz:

    Posted: Apr. 13, 2018 - 2:02 PM ET "Quote" I'm on the Atlanta Braves this time around

     

    Looks like you nailed it in game 1 Dumazz!! Excellent choice.

    I had a large bet on the Yankees-Red-Sox over on Thursday night. Was so caught up in it that I completely forgot to submit my underdog system play. Hit the Dbacks tonight. So now we catch our breath, and wait for some new series to begin on Monday.

    BOL Dumazz and anyone else following/running this system. 

     
    msucurt
    msucurt
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2024 - 9:11 AM ET #179

    Anyone giving this a whirl in 2024?
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    Anyone giving this a whirl in 2024?
     
    pazim
    pazim
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2024 - 1:48 PM ET #180

    Does anyone keep track and have numbers for winning percentage on b and c bets. Usually c bets have better winning percentage and it would be better to just bet those. 

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    Does anyone keep track and have numbers for winning percentage on b and c bets. Usually c bets have better winning percentage and it would be better to just bet those. 

     
    Octo31ber
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2024 - 11:08 AM ET #181

    @msucurt

     

    I'm giving it a whirl this year, so far so good, 3-0 on series I've picked. Wouldn't mind a little collaboration on picking the teams. 

     

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    @msucurt

     

    I'm giving it a whirl this year, so far so good, 3-0 on series I've picked. Wouldn't mind a little collaboration on picking the teams. 

     

     
    Voges
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2024 - 5:53 AM ET #182

    @Octo31ber

     What’s up brother. I am about to try this system out for 2024. What teams have won for you so far, and what parameters did you use for these? Thanks 

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    @Octo31ber

     What’s up brother. I am about to try this system out for 2024. What teams have won for you so far, and what parameters did you use for these? Thanks 

     
    Octo31ber
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2024 - 11:26 AM ET #183

    A's @ Rangers , Pirates @ Phillies, National @ Dodgers all won either game 1 or 2. I'm using A's @ Guardians series starting tonight. Just using the basic premise outlined, picking a road dog that will probably be a dog all 3 games that is at least 4-6 in the last ten games, not on a 3 game or more losing streak, and at least a .400 win % on the road VS a favorite that is no better than 6-4 in their last 10 and not on a winning streak of 3 or more. I'm trying to get a feel for it, but so far I've been identifying any game 1 series that fit the criteria then compare home/away win %, record against the opponent, etc. then kinda use my gut to pick whichever series I think is best. I had it narrowed down to A's (+140)@ Guardian or TB(+130) @ Yanks, and ultimately chose to roll with the A's for tonight. 

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    A's @ Rangers , Pirates @ Phillies, National @ Dodgers all won either game 1 or 2. I'm using A's @ Guardians series starting tonight. Just using the basic premise outlined, picking a road dog that will probably be a dog all 3 games that is at least 4-6 in the last ten games, not on a 3 game or more losing streak, and at least a .400 win % on the road VS a favorite that is no better than 6-4 in their last 10 and not on a winning streak of 3 or more. I'm trying to get a feel for it, but so far I've been identifying any game 1 series that fit the criteria then compare home/away win %, record against the opponent, etc. then kinda use my gut to pick whichever series I think is best. I had it narrowed down to A's (+140)@ Guardian or TB(+130) @ Yanks, and ultimately chose to roll with the A's for tonight. 

     
    Octo31ber
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2024 - 11:27 AM ET #184

    @Voges

     A's @ Rangers , Pirates @ Phillies, National @ Dodgers all won either game 1 or 2. I'm using A's @ Guardians series starting tonight. Just using the basic premise outlined, picking a road dog that will probably be a dog all 3 games that is at least 4-6 in the last ten games, not on a 3 game or more losing streak, and at least a .400 win % on the road VS a favorite that is no better than 6-4 in their last 10 and not on a winning streak of 3 or more. I'm trying to get a feel for it, but so far I've been identifying any game 1 series that fit the criteria then compare home/away win %, record against the opponent, etc. then kinda use my gut to pick whichever series I think is best. I had it narrowed down to A's (+140)@ Guardian or TB(+130) @ Yanks, and ultimately chose to roll with the A's for tonight. 

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    @Voges

     A's @ Rangers , Pirates @ Phillies, National @ Dodgers all won either game 1 or 2. I'm using A's @ Guardians series starting tonight. Just using the basic premise outlined, picking a road dog that will probably be a dog all 3 games that is at least 4-6 in the last ten games, not on a 3 game or more losing streak, and at least a .400 win % on the road VS a favorite that is no better than 6-4 in their last 10 and not on a winning streak of 3 or more. I'm trying to get a feel for it, but so far I've been identifying any game 1 series that fit the criteria then compare home/away win %, record against the opponent, etc. then kinda use my gut to pick whichever series I think is best. I had it narrowed down to A's (+140)@ Guardian or TB(+130) @ Yanks, and ultimately chose to roll with the A's for tonight. 

     
    SportScientist2
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    Posted: May. 3, 2024 - 1:37 PM ET #185

    @Octo31ber

    @msucurt

     

     Hey! I've been running this system the past 2-years (and have backtested it in R for the past ~4yrs). Have some people collaborating but would love to have more and build this into something. Currently, there is 2 of us running and posting picks here. When I run the code each day I webscrape data from other sources to track exploratory variables and then in the offseason I see if there are opportunities to improve the systems performance. It is very time consuming (though my rcode automates itself now) but would love to collab with other's who are familiar with either coding or statistical analysis. Follow/message me here:https://www.reddit.com/user/Sport_scientist21/ . I run my code in R and post on reddit.

    I c

     

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    @Octo31ber

    @msucurt

     

     Hey! I've been running this system the past 2-years (and have backtested it in R for the past ~4yrs). Have some people collaborating but would love to have more and build this into something. Currently, there is 2 of us running and posting picks here. When I run the code each day I webscrape data from other sources to track exploratory variables and then in the offseason I see if there are opportunities to improve the systems performance. It is very time consuming (though my rcode automates itself now) but would love to collab with other's who are familiar with either coding or statistical analysis. Follow/message me here:https://www.reddit.com/user/Sport_scientist21/ . I run my code in R and post on reddit.

    I c

     

     
    nmgolf57
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2024 - 6:45 AM ET #186

    Appreciate you taking the time to implement the system in code.  I'm going to keep an eye on it, and maybe play a few series.

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    Appreciate you taking the time to implement the system in code.  I'm going to keep an eye on it, and maybe play a few series.

     
    apeters2539
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2024 - 8:05 PM ET #187

    I have officially read every post in this thread dating back to 2014... I am extremely intrigued !  Definitely starting this after the all star break.  Who is with me in 2024?  Shout out to the original poster this seems like a great system.

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    I have officially read every post in this thread dating back to 2014... I am extremely intrigued !  Definitely starting this after the all star break.  Who is with me in 2024?  Shout out to the original poster this seems like a great system.

     
     
    Dan1970
    Dan1970
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    Posted: Mar. 30, 2026 - 5:55 PM ET #188

     

    @apeters2539

     Track it ..I'll be happy to follow along ..

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    @apeters2539

     Track it ..I'll be happy to follow along ..

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