All Forums | Systems & Strategies

MLB 4-game system

...

Participants:

Posts: 126

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 10, 2017 - 8:39 AM ET #51

Cubs clear on Game 2.

Record: 8-0
Game 1 wins - 4
Game 2 wins - 3
Game 4 wins - 1

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 14, 2017 - 9:05 AM ET #52

Indians and Mets on Game 1s Sunday

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 15, 2017 - 7:29 AM ET #53

Indians clear on Game 1. Mets to Game 2 after blowing 7-1 lead.

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 15, 2017 - 7:31 AM ET #54

Record: 9-0
Game 1 wins - 5
Game 2 wins - 3
Game 4 wins - 1

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 16, 2017 - 6:03 AM ET #55

Will count Mets against system but not playing them for these last two games. Also officially dropping them and will start using Nationals and Yankees now as replacements.

DME12

Prospect

Joined: May, 2017

Posts: 1

Posted: May. 16, 2017 - 1:24 PM ET #56

Hey guys,

I was reading about your system and its looking pretty good so far. Question for you, would you add Balt. to your list? They are on a 4 game slide currently and have Miley pitching @ DET. Thoughts?

Pendo

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2011

Posts: 3644

Posted: May. 16, 2017 - 2:20 PM ET #57

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 17, 2017 - 8:31 AM ET #58

Mets on Game 4 - Wouldn't bother. This will be a loss and I am dropping this team.

Dodgers on Game 1

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 17, 2017 - 7:40 PM ET #59

As expected, Mets lose again to give system first and what I bet will be only loss of season. Never dealt with really high juice so not that bad.

Record: 10-1
Game 1 wins - 6
Game 2 wins - 3
Game 4 wins - 1

BangBang12

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2016

Posts: 3

Posted: May. 18, 2017 - 12:37 AM ET #60

Thanks for keeping this thread up! I took your 7 game theory and changed it up a little bit. I've been running a 4 game chase on teams who's RPI is still in top 12 after losing 3 games in a row and their next opponent is not a top 5 RPI team. It is also undefeated so far this season. The only team that has reached game 7 was the Chicago white sox.

CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1047

Posted: May. 18, 2017 - 9:08 AM ET #61

Good stuff there BangBang12

sabs5000

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2014

Posts: 50

Posted: May. 20, 2017 - 7:28 AM ET #62

Hi BangBang12

Sounds like something that I've been looking into as well. Over the past few seasons I looked at the winning % when a team lost their 3rd straight game as well as the RPI difference between them and their opponent for the next game. Today I have Washington and St. Louis. I'm using a winning % of 52.8 and an RPI difference of 0.023. This may change but it's what I'm using right now.

CKP22, I agree with removing the Mets from our list. For what it's worth I've been keeping an eye on Houston, Colorado, NY Yankees, Baltimore, and Boston.

I have another system that I'm looking into. It's how teams are performing against the run-line. It can paint a totally different picture. I'll get back to you on this when I have more data.