Posted:
#26
Final Score:
Kansas City 8 Cleveland 2
Philadelphia and the LA Dodgers are currently in the 3rd inning. Here's looking to a favorable result once entering the final inning of this game.
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MLB 2014 RL Parlay (Double down bets & cap after a win 4 times & 5 times)
Posted:
#27
It's the top of the 9th inning and it's a tie score of Philadelphia 2 and LA Dodgers 2. The only way for this Underdog RL Parlay to not connect for tonight is for a multiple run home run by the LA Dodgers at the bottom of the inning to win the game. It is still possible, but it is extremely rare to happen in games.
This is almost a win, and just awaiting the final result. So the win yesterday won +153, and if tonight hits it is +377. Therefore tomorrow's wager for the attempted third straight RL Parlay win will be the winning amount of the two days plus the initial 100 capital. Hence 100 + 153 + 377 = 630. This will be the wager amount for tomorrow's RL Parlay.
Here's to Philadelphia holding on to a 1-run loss or win for this game.
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Posted:
#29
It's 2:25 PM EST.
RL Parlay Kansas City +1.5 -200 and Philadelphia +1.5 -165 Risk 630 To Win 888.
The starting pitching is solid on both teams, Hamels is a long time ace for Philadelphia and finished his rehab minor league outings of 17 innings with 12 Ks and just 1 BB and an ERA of 2.12 and is making his 2014 MLB debut tonight against the LA Dodgers. He has a career 1.76 ERA against the LA Dodgers. Vargas has been phenomenal this year in 4 starts with an ERA of 1.24 while pitching 29 innings and 16 Ks and just 6 BBs. Vargas's 4 starts resulted in 2 wins and 2 losses by 1 run each, therefore it looks good as an RL Underdog play on this parlay. The opposing pitchers are no slouch either with Masterson and Greinke. Looking forward to a 3-win streak here.
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Posted:
#32
It's 5:11 PM EST
RL Parlay Milwaukee +1.5 -165 and Colorado +1.5 -195 Risk 100 To Win 143
Milwaukee is 9-1 away this year and Gallardo has been pehnomenal ERA 1.42 in 31.2 innings with 23 Ks and 9 BBs. OBP is .270 against him. This Brewers team has looked like a contender so far in one month's play in the season.
As for Colorado, they are 10-4 in road games where they either win the game or lost by 1 run. Arizona on the other hand is 2-12 at home for the season. Colorado leads the NL in batting .294 overall but only .247 on the road. But that is still potent against a hapless Arizona team. Although Wade Miley had solid starts against Colorado in the past, both relief pitching for both teams have been suspect as Colorado is third to last and Arizona is second to last in relief pitching. Gut feeling here says go with the hotter team and against the team that has been hapless especially at home.
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Posted:
#34
It's 6:49 PM EST.
RL Parlay NY Mets +1.5 -190 and Milwaukee +1.5 -160 Risk 243 To Win 360.
Good pitching matchup on these games. Milwaukee is still one of the hottest teams in the league. Lohse is starting for them against his former team, and Lohse is 2.38 ERA in 34 inning while surrendering only 25 hits while fanning 31 Ks and only 10 BBs. Relief pitching for Milwaukee is 2.18 ERA as compared to St Louis's relief pitching which has 3.95 ERA. Opposing starting pitcher Lynn is no slouch either, he's 3.30 ERA in 30 innings surrendering 28 hits while fanning 36 Ks and 9 BBs. Hitting these two teams are almost even. I am leaning with the hotter team with the better starter and better relief pitching staff.
Niese is starting for the surprisingly red hot Mets, and he's 2.45 ERA in 25.2 innings and only surrendering 22 hits with 19 Ks and only 7 BBs. Cole Hamels is just having his second start after coming back from injury and has a 3.00 ERA in 6 innings and giving up 6 hits with 5 Ks and 1 BB. The main reason I am backing the NY Mets on this one is Philadelphia has a league leading relief pitching ERA of 5.14 and that's really high. Philadelphia has the edge in hitting in this game, but relief pitching will be their downfall in this one.
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Posted:
#35
The NY Mets are leading 6-1 in the bottom of the 8th inning and Philadelphia is batting with a man on 2nd base with 2 men out. This game is 99% over and the RL Underdog wins this game.
Milwaukee and St Louis are tied 4-4 in the top of the 9th inning. This game is 90% over and the RL Underdog should win this game, and the only way to lose this is for St Louis to score on a multiple run home run to win the game. That is a very very rare occurrence to happen in the MLB.
Therefore tomorrow's wager would be the winning money so far along with the initial 100 capital outlay. So it is 153 + 377 + 100... tomorrow's RL Parlay wager will be Risking 630.
Of course the only thing standing in the way is a St Louis multiple run home run from now until that game is over.
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Posted:
#37
It's 5:51 PM EST.
RL Parlay Atlanta +1.5 -230 and Colorado +1.5 -200 Risk 630 To Win 725.
It's a great pitching matchup with Atlanta's Harang having a phenomenal CY Young caliber yearso far with a 0.85 ERA in 31.2 innings surrendering only 15 hits and fanning 33 Ks and 13 BBs. Eovaldi is no slouch for Miami either. He has a 2.87 ERA in 31.1innings and surrendering 31 hits and fanning 30 Ks and 4 BBs. Relief pitching is almost the same for both teams with Miami having a slight edge in the hitting department. Miami had 3 shutouts for the year before yesterday. The 3 games following that shutout win was followed by 2 losses and 1 win by only 1 run. On the other hand, Atlanta has had 4 shutout losses this season. And they followed each shutout loss with a win on the next game.
Colorado has been one of the top hitting teams in the league so far this year. Arizona has been horrendous. Arizona is favored in this game, my gut feeling is Colorado RL Underdog on this one. After all Colorado is 18-10 RL for the year and Arizona is 9-21 RL for the year. Going with the gut feeling on this one.
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Posted:
#39
It's 6:30 PM EST.
RL Parlay Miami +1.5 -150 and Milwaukee +1.5 -210 Risk 100 To Win 148.
It's another great pitching matchup between Atlanta and Miami, but I am going with Miami to either win and sweep Atlanta tonight or lose by 1-run in the game.
Atlanta and Miami's last 7 series, including all 6 series played last year, has at least 1 RL Underdog or ML Underdog winning one game in each series. Tonight concludes the 8th series between the two teams and so far the RL Favorite has won the two games. I'm backing the trend on this one.
Red hot Milwaukee is on the road and will try to continue with their success in Cincinnati. Milwaukee is 11-2 on the road and have defeated several quality pitchers on the road. Plus Milwaukee has one of the most solid relief pitching staff in the league with an ERA of 2.45 compared to Cincinnati's relief pitching staff ERA of 4.82 which is a big difference in this game in the later innings.
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Posted:
#40
Final Score:
Miami 5 Atlanta 4
Cincinnati 8 Milwaukee 5
Updated RL Parlay YTD: 6-9 -927
That Milwaukee game was closer than what the score indicated. They just had to finish the bottom of the 8th inning and it would have been an almost sure win. Unfortunately, one of the best bullpens in the league all year surrendered 5 runs in the bottom of the 8th inning. It just happens... bad beats.
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Posted:
#41
It's 6:55 PM EST.
RL Parlay Chicago White Sox +1.5 -150 and Oakland +1.5 -180 Risk 100 to Win 159.
Cleveland is not having the same success against the White Sox this year. Johnny Danks and the crew are playing better than Cleveland as Cleveland seems to have gone back to the Cleveland tams of yesteryear that underperformed.
Hot stuff Oakland at Boston. Great pitching and great hitting as an underdog, you have to go with them on thisone. Boston's run scoring machine last year has significantly depowered bats this year.
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Posted:
#42
Final Results yesterday:
Boston 7 Oakland 1
Cleveland 12 Chicago White Sox 5
Updated RL Underdog YTD: 6-9 -1,027
Play for Saturday-May 3, 2014
RL Underdog Parlay Oakland +1.5 -165 and Milwaukee +1.5 -190 Risking 100 To Win 145.
Same play as yesterday. Great pitching matchup, with bats to back up the RL Underdogs on the road. Got a beatdown yesterday, but it shouldn't continue all weekend.
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Posted:
#44
RL Underdog Parlay Oakland +1.5 -165 and Milwaukee +1.5 -190 Risking 100 To Win 145.
OK pointing out to you why the Vegas casinos stand taller and grow fatter every day YOUR ML Dogs became chalked taking the RL even tho you risked only 1 unit to win 145 look at it this two single bets on the dogs s/u and smaller bet on the DOG ML parlay would have cut your losses in half and 1 win would put you close to profit's.
See it's like this Books want you to win less money on the DOGS thats why they offer the optional RL bets.
MY sports book hates my guts when i bang a dog it's gang busters baby hit two or 3 teamer DOG parlays already this year for like $20 plus single bets each one even if i lose the praly i still win money 1 day i went 1 -2
but the biggest DOG won +220 broke even
yes i parlay 2 chalks cuts the risk and rewards are higher.
BUT i never touch the RL ever zero in my betting life i never use it.
Years ago back in 80's all we had was locals I loved a DOG + 290
call up bookie he says it's 2 1/2 runs .i say HUH what the f u cck is that?
HE says the favored team has to win by 3 runs or more
BUT i say i want the DOG to win at +290
HE comes back it's -110 either way i curse him and hang up
go to other local get the same story i scream ..........
OK i had another small dog i liked at +175 is that a even money too the favored team laying runs for -110 no he says thats reg. bet
I say gimme the D rays for a duece ......
call back other bookie i do same bet Drays smoked them over priced Yanks 12-4
the BIG dog won also s/u winner 7-3
so after that incident called up my buddies in Vegas said lets set up a proxy syatem so i stopped getting screwed by these scum bag locals
open up accounts in some bank the same one just for betting we both have access to it!
You take out your pay for placing my bets daily and i get the money after i win you deposit it next day or just use that cash to make bets and deposit what's left.
local asked me what happened after 1 week no action saw him at local diner sitting at counter Told him after that day you hit me with a bad line i called up buddy in vegas and now bet there.
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Posted:
#45
Quote Originally Posted by hitithard:
OK pointing out to you why the Vegas casinos stand taller and grow fatter every day YOUR ML Dogs became chalked taking the RL even tho you risked only 1 unit to win 145 look at it this two single bets on the dogs s/u and smaller bet on the DOG ML parlay would have cut your losses in half and 1 win would put you close to profit's.
See it's like this Books want you to win less money on the DOGS thats why they offer the optional RL bets.
MY sports book hates my guts when i bang a dog it's gang busters baby hit two or 3 teamer DOG parlays already this year for like $20 plus single bets each one even if i lose the praly i still win money 1 day i went 1 -2
but the biggest DOG won +220 broke even
yes i parlay 2 chalks cuts the risk and rewards are higher.
BUT i never touch the RL ever zero in my betting life i never use it.
Years ago back in 80's all we had was locals I loved a DOG + 290
call up bookie he says it's 2 1/2 runs .i say HUH what the f u cck is that?
HE says the favored team has to win by 3 runs or more
BUT i say i want the DOG to win at +290
HE comes back it's -110 either way i curse him and hang up
go to other local get the same story i scream ..........
OK i had another small dog i liked at +175 is that a even money too the favored team laying runs for -110 no he says thats reg. bet
I say gimme the D rays for a duece ......
call back other bookie i do same bet Drays smoked them over priced Yanks 12-4
the BIG dog won also s/u winner 7-3
so after that incident called up my buddies in Vegas said lets set up a proxy syatem so i stopped getting screwed by these scum bag locals
open up accounts in some bank the same one just for betting we both have access to it!
You take out your pay for placing my bets daily and i get the money after i win you deposit it next day or just use that cash to make bets and deposit what's left.
local asked me what happened after 1 week no action saw him at local diner sitting at counter Told him after that day you hit me with a bad line i called up buddy in vegas and now bet there.
RL Underdog Parlay Oakland +1.5 -165 and Milwaukee +1.5 -190 Risking 100 To Win 145.
OK pointing out to you why the Vegas casinos stand taller and grow fatter every day YOUR ML Dogs became chalked taking the RL even tho you risked only 1 unit to win 145 look at it this two single bets on the dogs s/u and smaller bet on the DOG ML parlay would have cut your losses in half and 1 win would put you close to profit's.
See it's like this Books want you to win less money on the DOGS thats why they offer the optional RL bets.
MY sports book hates my guts when i bang a dog it's gang busters baby hit two or 3 teamer DOG parlays already this year for like $20 plus single bets each one even if i lose the praly i still win money 1 day i went 1 -2
but the biggest DOG won +220 broke even
yes i parlay 2 chalks cuts the risk and rewards are higher.
BUT i never touch the RL ever zero in my betting life i never use it.
Years ago back in 80's all we had was locals I loved a DOG + 290
call up bookie he says it's 2 1/2 runs .i say HUH what the f u cck is that?
HE says the favored team has to win by 3 runs or more
BUT i say i want the DOG to win at +290
HE comes back it's -110 either way i curse him and hang up
go to other local get the same story i scream ..........
OK i had another small dog i liked at +175 is that a even money too the favored team laying runs for -110 no he says thats reg. bet
I say gimme the D rays for a duece ......
call back other bookie i do same bet Drays smoked them over priced Yanks 12-4
the BIG dog won also s/u winner 7-3
so after that incident called up my buddies in Vegas said lets set up a proxy syatem so i stopped getting screwed by these scum bag locals
open up accounts in some bank the same one just for betting we both have access to it!
You take out your pay for placing my bets daily and i get the money after i win you deposit it next day or just use that cash to make bets and deposit what's left.
local asked me what happened after 1 week no action saw him at local diner sitting at counter Told him after that day you hit me with a bad line i called up buddy in vegas and now bet there.
Thanks for the pointers hitithard. Any insight is always appreciated.
I still have this gut feeling that by the end of the season, I'm going to be way ahead for some reason. It's only been a little over 1 month so far, so there's still a lot of baseball to go. The only thing is that I only have a 6K bankroll for this, so if I don't hit any four straight or five straight by June, then I'm in trouble.
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Posted:
#47
So here's a breakdown... on what looks to me like a generous average line that you are getting on your parlay of +150
Game 1 - $100 to win $150
Game 2 - $250 to win $375
Game 3 - $625 to win $925
Game 4 - $1,550 to win $2,325
Game 5 - $3,875 to win $$5,800
So in summation what you are looking at to be profitable is...
Hitting a 4 game streak before you take 20 overall losses
or...
Hitting a 5 game streak before you take 50 losses
Not sure what the chances are of doing so... but I wish you luck... and if you hadn't figured this out yet I figure you might have liked to know...
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