why would you capp a team (dog) to WIN, include it in a parlay system only to totally devalue it by the [+1.5] RL this makes no sense whatsoever, understanding the most overvalued wager in baseball is the RL [+1.5] this wager is seldom used, if at all, based on the statistical fact that 54.4% of all MLB games are won by 2 runs or more over the past 4 seasons, or aprx 7,620 games. interesting thread, a lot of good parlay hits, continue to prosper
joe,I agreewith that butif youtake awaythat54.4%ofthe gameswere won bythedogs straight up,that percentagewould dropconsiderablyIthink.
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
why would you capp a team (dog) to WIN, include it in a parlay system only to totally devalue it by the [+1.5] RL this makes no sense whatsoever, understanding the most overvalued wager in baseball is the RL [+1.5] this wager is seldom used, if at all, based on the statistical fact that 54.4% of all MLB games are won by 2 runs or more over the past 4 seasons, or aprx 7,620 games. interesting thread, a lot of good parlay hits, continue to prosper
joe,I agreewith that butif youtake awaythat54.4%ofthe gameswere won bythedogs straight up,that percentagewould dropconsiderablyIthink.
so what strategy do you consider better this or you 2 win straek parlay ??
I would go with a RLD P 5-win chase strategy or the RLD P 2-win streak strategy. Either one works for me so far. The threads speak for themselves. Even the other two strategies that didn't work, and I stopped it, then I used 5-win chase and recovered most of the money so far.
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Quote Originally Posted by jcpicos:
so what strategy do you consider better this or you 2 win straek parlay ??
I would go with a RLD P 5-win chase strategy or the RLD P 2-win streak strategy. Either one works for me so far. The threads speak for themselves. Even the other two strategies that didn't work, and I stopped it, then I used 5-win chase and recovered most of the money so far.
joe,I agreewith that butif youtake awaythat54.4%ofthe gameswere won bythedogs straight up,that percentagewould dropconsiderablyIthink.
If you look at my picks and if I just did a straight up Dogs parlay this would have been over a long time ago and all that money would have been gone before the summer started. Believe me, I tried dog parlays several years ago, and they are not long term. But hey, to each his own, if you want to try it feel free to do so, maybe you'll have better luck with it than me. I just feel I can't sustain straight up Dogs in parlays for the whole entire season.
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Quote Originally Posted by jcpicos:
joe,I agreewith that butif youtake awaythat54.4%ofthe gameswere won bythedogs straight up,that percentagewould dropconsiderablyIthink.
If you look at my picks and if I just did a straight up Dogs parlay this would have been over a long time ago and all that money would have been gone before the summer started. Believe me, I tried dog parlays several years ago, and they are not long term. But hey, to each his own, if you want to try it feel free to do so, maybe you'll have better luck with it than me. I just feel I can't sustain straight up Dogs in parlays for the whole entire season.
If you look at my picks and if I just did a straight up Dogs parlay this would have been over a long time ago and all that money would have been gone before the summer started. Believe me, I tried dog parlays several years ago, and they are not long term. But hey, to each his own, if you want to try it feel free to do so, maybe you'll have better luck with it than me. I just feel I can't sustain straight up Dogs in parlays for the whole entire season.
Ithinknotexplainwell,what I meanis that betthe RL dogis a good betbecause manydogs win straigth up also
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Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:
If you look at my picks and if I just did a straight up Dogs parlay this would have been over a long time ago and all that money would have been gone before the summer started. Believe me, I tried dog parlays several years ago, and they are not long term. But hey, to each his own, if you want to try it feel free to do so, maybe you'll have better luck with it than me. I just feel I can't sustain straight up Dogs in parlays for the whole entire season.
Ithinknotexplainwell,what I meanis that betthe RL dogis a good betbecause manydogs win straigth up also
I would go with a RLD P 5-win chase strategy or the RLD P 2-win streak strategy. Either one works for me so far. The threads speak for themselves. Even the other two strategies that didn't work, and I stopped it, then I used 5-win chase and recovered most of the money so far.
i stared taling you last weekend ,what system do you suggest me play if you have to chosse one ??
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Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:
I would go with a RLD P 5-win chase strategy or the RLD P 2-win streak strategy. Either one works for me so far. The threads speak for themselves. Even the other two strategies that didn't work, and I stopped it, then I used 5-win chase and recovered most of the money so far.
i stared taling you last weekend ,what system do you suggest me play if you have to chosse one ??
i stared taling you last weekend ,what system do you suggest me play if you have to chosse one ??
You can choose either one Jcpicos. Both are working right now. You can tail me on either one.
But let me also suggest to you to try it yourself without relying on the forum. My suggestion to you is take a look at the matchups between 10AM and 11AM if you can (for the weekend games, and Wed & Thurs), if not that is okay. You can look at the matchups before 6:30 PM when the first games are at 7PM.
Then take a look at three underdog teams that you like the matchups taking into consideration obviously the starting pitching. Then look at each team's relief pitching and see how they have done the last 10 days. Then take a look if their bats have been warm, or hot, or cold in the last week to week and a half. Take a look at matchups where the underdog is in the hunt for the playoffs. Also take a good look at a key infield injury such as a shortstop on the favorite team. This is because a replacement shortstop might be prone to error and can throw an error on a grounder and overthrow it and can cause a favorite team to give up an Unearned run. That one is a biggie.
Now, there is only a month left of regular season. My suggestion is you can place small bets, or not bet at all, and just play your hunches and see how you do from August 27 all the way to the end of the regular season. Then see how your performance on either one. Then you get to experience it so you have a feel for it. Then you are ready for 2015 season. I did this last year. That is why I feel I am more prepared for this thing this season. Practice.
I have matchups printed in 2012 and 2013 with no results. And I practice picking one and see how I do on a set of 1 to 3 months. Just like anything else, practicing improves your preparation and chances of winning escalates.
Good luck to you.
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Quote Originally Posted by jcpicos:
i stared taling you last weekend ,what system do you suggest me play if you have to chosse one ??
You can choose either one Jcpicos. Both are working right now. You can tail me on either one.
But let me also suggest to you to try it yourself without relying on the forum. My suggestion to you is take a look at the matchups between 10AM and 11AM if you can (for the weekend games, and Wed & Thurs), if not that is okay. You can look at the matchups before 6:30 PM when the first games are at 7PM.
Then take a look at three underdog teams that you like the matchups taking into consideration obviously the starting pitching. Then look at each team's relief pitching and see how they have done the last 10 days. Then take a look if their bats have been warm, or hot, or cold in the last week to week and a half. Take a look at matchups where the underdog is in the hunt for the playoffs. Also take a good look at a key infield injury such as a shortstop on the favorite team. This is because a replacement shortstop might be prone to error and can throw an error on a grounder and overthrow it and can cause a favorite team to give up an Unearned run. That one is a biggie.
Now, there is only a month left of regular season. My suggestion is you can place small bets, or not bet at all, and just play your hunches and see how you do from August 27 all the way to the end of the regular season. Then see how your performance on either one. Then you get to experience it so you have a feel for it. Then you are ready for 2015 season. I did this last year. That is why I feel I am more prepared for this thing this season. Practice.
I have matchups printed in 2012 and 2013 with no results. And I practice picking one and see how I do on a set of 1 to 3 months. Just like anything else, practicing improves your preparation and chances of winning escalates.
You can choose either one Jcpicos. Both are working right now. You can tail me on either one.
But let me also suggest to you to try it yourself without relying on the forum. My suggestion to you is take a look at the matchups between 10AM and 11AM if you can (for the weekend games, and Wed & Thurs), if not that is okay. You can look at the matchups before 6:30 PM when the first games are at 7PM.
Then take a look at three underdog teams that you like the matchups taking into consideration obviously the starting pitching. Then look at each team's relief pitching and see how they have done the last 10 days. Then take a look if their bats have been warm, or hot, or cold in the last week to week and a half. Take a look at matchups where the underdog is in the hunt for the playoffs. Also take a good look at a key infield injury such as a shortstop on the favorite team. This is because a replacement shortstop might be prone to error and can throw an error on a grounder and overthrow it and can cause a favorite team to give up an Unearned run. That one is a biggie.
Now, there is only a month left of regular season. My suggestion is you can place small bets, or not bet at all, and just play your hunches and see how you do from August 27 all the way to the end of the regular season. Then see how your performance on either one. Then you get to experience it so you have a feel for it. Then you are ready for 2015 season. I did this last year. That is why I feel I am more prepared for this thing this season. Practice.
I have matchups printed in 2012 and 2013 with no results. And I practice picking one and see how I do on a set of 1 to 3 months. Just like anything else, practicing improves your preparation and chances of winning escalates.
Good luck to you.
thanks for the good tips
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Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:
You can choose either one Jcpicos. Both are working right now. You can tail me on either one.
But let me also suggest to you to try it yourself without relying on the forum. My suggestion to you is take a look at the matchups between 10AM and 11AM if you can (for the weekend games, and Wed & Thurs), if not that is okay. You can look at the matchups before 6:30 PM when the first games are at 7PM.
Then take a look at three underdog teams that you like the matchups taking into consideration obviously the starting pitching. Then look at each team's relief pitching and see how they have done the last 10 days. Then take a look if their bats have been warm, or hot, or cold in the last week to week and a half. Take a look at matchups where the underdog is in the hunt for the playoffs. Also take a good look at a key infield injury such as a shortstop on the favorite team. This is because a replacement shortstop might be prone to error and can throw an error on a grounder and overthrow it and can cause a favorite team to give up an Unearned run. That one is a biggie.
Now, there is only a month left of regular season. My suggestion is you can place small bets, or not bet at all, and just play your hunches and see how you do from August 27 all the way to the end of the regular season. Then see how your performance on either one. Then you get to experience it so you have a feel for it. Then you are ready for 2015 season. I did this last year. That is why I feel I am more prepared for this thing this season. Practice.
I have matchups printed in 2012 and 2013 with no results. And I practice picking one and see how I do on a set of 1 to 3 months. Just like anything else, practicing improves your preparation and chances of winning escalates.
I will call this a year for this strategy as it doesn't seem to work. Perhaps next year again.
So this is -1,666 Loss.
Need to recover the loss as I started this with a 3,000 Capital for the year. Instead of 5-win streak strategy using the RL Parlay, this will be a Limited Chase Parlay.
The first bet will be N Units amount. If it wins, then the next bet is the same amount at N Units. Basically after a winning bet, then the following bet is automatically the same amount N Units.
If it is a loss then you increase the bet incrementally until the fifth bet as follows: 2nd bet N*1.4 Units, 3rd bet N*1.29 Units, 4th bet N*1.22 Units, and the final 5th bet is N*1.18 Units. Obviously after a win then it goes back to N Units bet on the next bet after the win.
July 11th was when I said that the RL Underdog 5-win streak strategy is not working and called it quits at the time. The YTD 23-22 -1,666 Loss.
That was July 11th also that I announced on this thread that I will recover this -1,666 Loss in another strategy. And as of tonight, August 27, 2014, I have not only recovered the -1,666 Loss, I have won it all back plus another +64 with a total of +1,730 on that particular strategy. It is all documented here.
This thread is ending here, and on a positive note as the goal was achieved to recover the lost money. The season ended with a positive winning amount money of +64.
For those who are still interested in the RL Underdog 5-win chase strategy you can still follow it on the thread that started that particular strategy. Here is the link below:
I will call this a year for this strategy as it doesn't seem to work. Perhaps next year again.
So this is -1,666 Loss.
Need to recover the loss as I started this with a 3,000 Capital for the year. Instead of 5-win streak strategy using the RL Parlay, this will be a Limited Chase Parlay.
The first bet will be N Units amount. If it wins, then the next bet is the same amount at N Units. Basically after a winning bet, then the following bet is automatically the same amount N Units.
If it is a loss then you increase the bet incrementally until the fifth bet as follows: 2nd bet N*1.4 Units, 3rd bet N*1.29 Units, 4th bet N*1.22 Units, and the final 5th bet is N*1.18 Units. Obviously after a win then it goes back to N Units bet on the next bet after the win.
July 11th was when I said that the RL Underdog 5-win streak strategy is not working and called it quits at the time. The YTD 23-22 -1,666 Loss.
That was July 11th also that I announced on this thread that I will recover this -1,666 Loss in another strategy. And as of tonight, August 27, 2014, I have not only recovered the -1,666 Loss, I have won it all back plus another +64 with a total of +1,730 on that particular strategy. It is all documented here.
This thread is ending here, and on a positive note as the goal was achieved to recover the lost money. The season ended with a positive winning amount money of +64.
For those who are still interested in the RL Underdog 5-win chase strategy you can still follow it on the thread that started that particular strategy. Here is the link below:
NHL I just play it straight up. I have a better winning percentage that way. As for the NBA, I don't really have anything for that as but I tend to believe it is a streaky ATS sport. You just have to ride the hot ATS team regardless of the winning percentage (winner/loser) of the team.
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Quote Originally Posted by jcpicos:
do you have any for nba /nhl ??
NHL I just play it straight up. I have a better winning percentage that way. As for the NBA, I don't really have anything for that as but I tend to believe it is a streaky ATS sport. You just have to ride the hot ATS team regardless of the winning percentage (winner/loser) of the team.
I know I have closed the picks for this thread as I have recovered the lost money already. However, I am really curious about tonight's pick. All season I may well be most interested in tonight's action than any other all season. Why? Originally, this thread is a 4-win and 5-win RL Underdog Parlay streak strategy. The 4-win streak was achieved last night with that win and for the first time all season I won 4 straight RL Underdog Parlay wagers. Tonight, if I win, I would have won 5 straight RL Underdog wagers. Just to see what would have happened. I am posting my RL Underdog Parlay pick from my 2-win streak and 5-win chase here just to see if I win or lose.
RL Underdog Parlay Tampa Bay +1.5 -195 and LA Angels +1.5 -165.
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I know I have closed the picks for this thread as I have recovered the lost money already. However, I am really curious about tonight's pick. All season I may well be most interested in tonight's action than any other all season. Why? Originally, this thread is a 4-win and 5-win RL Underdog Parlay streak strategy. The 4-win streak was achieved last night with that win and for the first time all season I won 4 straight RL Underdog Parlay wagers. Tonight, if I win, I would have won 5 straight RL Underdog wagers. Just to see what would have happened. I am posting my RL Underdog Parlay pick from my 2-win streak and 5-win chase here just to see if I win or lose.
RL Underdog Parlay Tampa Bay +1.5 -195 and LA Angels +1.5 -165.
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