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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Kelly Criterion put to the test.

    «First Previous 91011 ... 181920 Next Last»
    kreatture
    mtp104
    mickjam
    IPICKGAMES
    Participants:
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    Views: 63035
    Posts: 484
    «First Previous 91011 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 6:53 PM ET #201

    Crazy game so far.. gonna be one helluva finish!
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    Crazy game so far.. gonna be one helluva finish!
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 12:38 AM ET #202

    Record 18-9-1

    Balance: $3666.84

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    Record 18-9-1

    Balance: $3666.84

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 11:07 AM ET #203

    Alright Guys:

    Bears -10 -110

    Risking 124.67 to win 113.43

    54% kelly wager

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    Alright Guys:

    Bears -10 -110

    Risking 124.67 to win 113.43

    54% kelly wager

     
    mickjam
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 8:22 PM ET #204

    You da man.  Damn, they took their foot off the pedal a bit too early though, eh?  I was afraid Seattle would go for a two pointer to get it to 10.
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    You da man.  Damn, they took their foot off the pedal a bit too early though, eh?  I was afraid Seattle would go for a two pointer to get it to 10.
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 9:23 PM ET #205

    19-9-1

    Bankroll $3,780.68

     

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    19-9-1

    Bankroll $3,780.68

     

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:01 PM ET #206

    NCAAB

    Pittsburgh -6 against syracuse

    55% Kelly wager         

    Risking $207.94 to win $189.04

     

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    NCAAB

    Pittsburgh -6 against syracuse

    55% Kelly wager         

    Risking $207.94 to win $189.04

     

     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:06 PM ET #207

    Ha, am just about to post this pick for myself, been waiting for this game for a couple weeks.

    Good to know you're on the same side!

    Go Panthers! 

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    Ha, am just about to post this pick for myself, been waiting for this game for a couple weeks.

    Good to know you're on the same side!

    Go Panthers! 

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:12 PM ET #208

    Go Panthers!!!

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    Go Panthers!!!

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 9:42 PM ET #209

    Record 20-9-1

    Bankroll $3969.72

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    Record 20-9-1

    Bankroll $3969.72

     
    mickjam
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:05 PM ET #210

    You are absolutle money in the bank.  If only all my investments could be as reliable as you.
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    You are absolutle money in the bank.  If only all my investments could be as reliable as you.
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 5:21 AM ET #211

    I get charged 2-3% per year for RRSP's that have anemic returns.  And they call sports betting a racket.
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    I get charged 2-3% per year for RRSP's that have anemic returns.  And they call sports betting a racket.
     
    IPICKGAMES
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 6:00 PM ET #212

    Which Kelly calculator are you utilizing? Is there a good one available on the web?
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    Which Kelly calculator are you utilizing? Is there a good one available on the web?
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 6:43 PM ET #213

    I use an excel spreadsheet that calculates it for me!! 

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    I use an excel spreadsheet that calculates it for me!! 

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 7:09 PM ET #214

    Patients!!!

    We are beating the books right now and they dont even know it!!!!

    LOL 

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    Patients!!!

    We are beating the books right now and they dont even know it!!!!

    LOL 

     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 7:31 PM ET #215

    I have a Pavlovian Response to your thread. 

    When I see there is a new posting, I start to salivate at the thought of making cash!
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    I have a Pavlovian Response to your thread. 

    When I see there is a new posting, I start to salivate at the thought of making cash!
     
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 9:35 PM ET #216

    RUFF RUFF!!! Haha thats funny I like your style MickJam

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    RUFF RUFF!!! Haha thats funny I like your style MickJam

     
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 5:55 PM ET #217

    Packers +3 Steelers +3

    -120

    57% kelly wager

    Risking $127.03 to win $105.86

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    Packers +3 Steelers +3

    -120

    57% kelly wager

    Risking $127.03 to win $105.86

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 5:57 PM ET #218

    56% Kelly wager sorry typo
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    56% Kelly wager sorry typo
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 6:12 PM ET #219

    This is a 6 point tease, I assume?  Can you get it at this?  I would have it at +2.5 each.
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    This is a 6 point tease, I assume?  Can you get it at this?  I would have it at +2.5 each.
     
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 6:15 PM ET #220

    6.5 point teaser

    6 point tease would put the odds at -110 the extra half point puts it at -120

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    6.5 point teaser

    6 point tease would put the odds at -110 the extra half point puts it at -120

     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 6:19 PM ET #221

    What book is that?  I get it at -130 on Sports Interaction.
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    What book is that?  I get it at -130 on Sports Interaction.
     
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 6:20 PM ET #222

    beted

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    beted

     
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 6:21 PM ET #223

    shitty book but I always get paid!!!
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    shitty book but I always get paid!!!
     
    mtp104
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 11:31 AM ET #224

    Packers +3 Steelers +3

    57% Kelly wager

    Risk $127.03 to win $105.86

    I hope everyone continues to follow and gain profits from this thread.  I want to point out as most followers know this is a very agressive form of investing.  I have already begun to scale down my wagers.  I will continue to push for 55% winners and those are going to be the majority of the wagers going foward.  I will still aim for 57% on my big plays but the bottom line is WE DONT WANT TO OVERBET.  Kelly wagering can be volatile if not used correctly.  Im no professional but I feel that years watching and soaking in all the information I know today will only lead to my success in this business.  I have a passion for this and hopefully going foward we can all continue to learn.  I hope that doubters will continue to become believers.  Its easy to pick winners but difficult to invest your $ correctly.  Good luck guys.  I just felt like talking today so there it is!!! 

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    Packers +3 Steelers +3

    57% Kelly wager

    Risk $127.03 to win $105.86

    I hope everyone continues to follow and gain profits from this thread.  I want to point out as most followers know this is a very agressive form of investing.  I have already begun to scale down my wagers.  I will continue to push for 55% winners and those are going to be the majority of the wagers going foward.  I will still aim for 57% on my big plays but the bottom line is WE DONT WANT TO OVERBET.  Kelly wagering can be volatile if not used correctly.  Im no professional but I feel that years watching and soaking in all the information I know today will only lead to my success in this business.  I have a passion for this and hopefully going foward we can all continue to learn.  I hope that doubters will continue to become believers.  Its easy to pick winners but difficult to invest your $ correctly.  Good luck guys.  I just felt like talking today so there it is!!! 

     
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 11:48 AM ET #225

    Good to see some emotion from you mtp! I was beginning to think you were an Autobot! HAHAHA 

    I love this play as I see both teams winning outright. It's going to be 2 very entertaining games tomorrow!

    Enjoy your weekend! 

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    Good to see some emotion from you mtp! I was beginning to think you were an Autobot! HAHAHA 

    I love this play as I see both teams winning outright. It's going to be 2 very entertaining games tomorrow!

    Enjoy your weekend! 

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