IRAGE ODDS BUSTER STRATEGY

irage, I don't see how Phillie would be a play, they currently sit at about +120, I know game time isn't for a few hours but still..

You're right, they were a play this morning, but then the odds shifted around 10a making them not a play. I didn't like them anyway. Smelled funny.

THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team. Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.

6/3 - Phillies - LOSS
6/3 - Brewers - LOSS
6/3 - Rangers - WIN
6/3 - Cardinals - LOSS
6/5 - Toronto - WIN
6/5 - Padres - WIN
6/8 - Washington - WIN
6/8 - Tampa Bay - WIN
6/10 - Cleveland - WIN
6/10 - Dodgers - WIN
6/12 - Oakland - WIN
6/12 - Philly - LOSS
6/13 - Boston v Miami - NO PLAY Weird Line Movements
6/13 - Brewers - LOSS
6/15 - Brewers - WIN
6/16 - Phillies - LOSS
6/18 - Brewers - WIN
6/18 - Giants - WIN
6/22 - St. Louis - WIN
6/22 - Seattle - LOSS
6/23 - Houston - WIN

RUN LINE STRATEGY
Take favorite RL between -180 and -230

INTERLEAGUE
6/9 - WhiteSox - WIN
6/10 - Yankees - LOSS
6/13 - Giants - WIN
6/14 - Detroit - WIN
6/15 - Texas - WIN
6/16 - Texas - WIN
6/17 - Detroit - WIN
6/17 - St. Louis - LOSS
6/17 - Texas - WIN
6/18 - Yankees - WIN
6/18 - Arizona - WIN
6/19 - Philadelphia - WIN
6/19 - WhiteSox - LOSS
6/19 - Angels - WIN
6/22 - Boston - LOSS
6/22 - Yankees - LOSS
6/22 - Texas - WIN
6/23 - Cincinnati - WIN
6/23 - Arizona - PENDING

13 - 5

That's one made up from yesterday.

so then this RL strategy will close out tomorrow since interleague ends after tomorrow?

 Run lines will continue, Interleague just happened to produce alot of winners.

RUN LINE STRATEGY
Take favorite RL between -180 and -230

INTERLEAGUE
6/9 - WhiteSox - WIN
6/10 - Yankees - LOSS
6/13 - Giants - WIN
6/14 - Detroit - WIN
6/15 - Texas - WIN
6/16 - Texas - WIN
6/17 - Detroit - WIN
6/17 - St. Louis - LOSS
6/17 - Texas - WIN
6/18 - Yankees - WIN
6/18 - Arizona - WIN
6/19 - Philadelphia - WIN
6/19 - WhiteSox - LOSS
6/19 - Angels - WIN
6/22 - Boston - LOSS
6/22 - Yankees - LOSS
6/22 - Texas - WIN
6/23 - Cincinnati - WIN
6/23 - Arizona - WIN

14 - 5

Winners all around yesterday. That was nice.

RUN LINE STRATEGY
Take favorite RL between -180 and -230

INTERLEAGUE
6/9 - WhiteSox - WIN
6/10 - Yankees - LOSS
6/13 - Giants - WIN
6/14 - Detroit - WIN
6/15 - Texas - WIN
6/16 - Texas - WIN
6/17 - Detroit - WIN
6/17 - St. Louis - LOSS
6/17 - Texas - WIN
6/18 - Yankees - WIN
6/18 - Arizona - WIN
6/19 - Philadelphia - WIN
6/19 - WhiteSox - LOSS
6/19 - Angels - WIN
6/22 - Boston - LOSS
6/22 - Yankees - LOSS
6/22 - Texas - WIN
6/23 - Cincinnati - WIN
6/23 - Arizona - WIN
6/24 - Detroit - PENDING
6/24 - Texas - PENDING

14 - 5

I quickly went through and did some backed testing.  Request someone confirm or deny these results of testing the RL line.  Using last yrs closing odds listed on covers under the baseball scores matchup for RL.  This excluded interleague..using the parameters -180 to -230.

May 2011

wins 8 and loses 22

June 2011

8 wins and 5 loses

July 2011

15 wins and 17 loses.

 

 

Obviously, we need to apply some filters to improve the numbers.

April 2011

4/1 - Colorado -200 - LOSS
4/2 - Yankees -182 - WIN
4/2 - Tampa Bay -184 - LOSS
4/3 - Philadelphia -200 - WIN
4/5 - Yankees -203 - LOSS
4/5 - Philadelphia -181 - LOSS
4/6 - St. Louis -185 - LOSS
4/10 - Angels -190 - WIN
4/13 - Philadelphia -183 - LOSS
4/14 - Yankees -183 - LOSS
4/16 - Boston -200 - WIN
4/17 - Boston -227 - WIN
4/17 - Atlanta -188 - LOSS
4/17 - Philadelphia -182 - LOSS
4/19 - Philadelphia -200 - LOSS
4/19 - Florida -194 - WIN
4/19 - Texas -180 - LOSS
4/20 - Philadelphia -190 - LOSS
4/22 - Milwaukee -202 - WIN
4/23 - Texas -202 - WIN
4/24 - Texas -204 - LOSS
4/24 - Philadelphia -182 - WIN
4/25 - Yankees -196 - LOSS
4/27 - Detroit -207 - LOSS
4/28 - Boston -181 - WIN
4/28 - Yankees -200 - WIN
4/29 - Boston -180 - LOSS
4/29 - Colorado -190 - LOSS
4/30 - Philadelphia -199 - LOSS
4/30 - Boston -181 - LOSS

11 - 18

texas still a play ?

If it's in the list it's a play. If it changes I will update the play.

WTF, Rangers shutout Colorado for 8 innings and now they let them score. Some games are just a head scratcher.

That wraps up the inter-league play. Not a bad run.

RUN LINE STRATEGY
Take favorite RL between -180 and -230

INTERLEAGUE
6/9 - WhiteSox - WIN
6/10 - Yankees - LOSS
6/13 - Giants - WIN
6/14 - Detroit - WIN
6/15 - Texas - WIN
6/16 - Texas - WIN
6/17 - Detroit - WIN
6/17 - St. Louis - LOSS
6/17 - Texas - WIN
6/18 - Yankees - WIN
6/18 - Arizona - WIN
6/19 - Philadelphia - WIN
6/19 - WhiteSox - LOSS
6/19 - Angels - WIN
6/22 - Boston - LOSS
6/22 - Yankees - LOSS
6/22 - Texas - WIN
6/23 - Cincinnati - WIN
6/23 - Arizona - WIN
6/24 - Detroit - LOSS
6/24 - Texas - WIN

15 - 6

today?

irage - lots off potential plays on the docket - but wihout your filters - not sure which to play

THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.

6/3 - Phillies - LOSS
6/3 - Brewers - LOSS
6/3 - Rangers - WIN
6/3 - Cardinals - LOSS
6/5 - Toronto - WIN
6/5 - Padres - WIN
6/8 - Washington - WIN
6/8 - Tampa Bay - WIN
6/10 - Cleveland - WIN
6/10 - Dodgers - WIN
6/12 - Oakland - WIN
6/12 - Philly - LOSS
6/13 - Boston v Miami - NO PLAY Weird Line Movements
6/13 - Brewers - LOSS
6/15 - Brewers - WIN
6/16 - Phillies - LOSS
6/18 - Brewers - WIN
6/18 - Giants - WIN
6/22 - St. Louis - WIN
6/22 - Seattle - LOSS
6/23 - Houston - WIN
6/25 - Angels - Check lines during warmup
6/25 - Tampa Bay - Check lines during warmup
6/25 - Minnesota - Check lines during warmup
6/25 - Seattle is off, unless Oakland becomes the DOG

Personally, I like Tampa Bay and Oakland. I am staying away from the Yankees game, they should crush the Indians, but something stinks here and AROD is not in the lineup.

Correction, should be Dodgers not Angels.

6/25 - Dodgers - Check lines during warmup

971972

White Sox (Peavy, J)	-1½ +150	OV 7½-110	-108
Twins (Liriano, F)	+1½ -170	UN 7½-110	-102

CWS went from -130 to -108. Liriano has had 2 good outings. MIN should be a play. No?

Wow, when did that line drop. It must of happened shortly before game time. Did you jump on that? That's a no brainer when lines drop close just before game, it means the action increased on the DOG.

Oh I did have that game.

OAK just became the dog!

Now both -103??? wierd...

I hammered Oakland.

6/25 - Kansas City - WIN
6/25 - Minnesota - PENDING
6/25 - Oakland - PENDING

I thought you are taking TB????

 

 

This system is fuking awesome but we don't get plays until like 1 min before game