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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    I have a brilliant new system

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    dj_destroyer
    smitler
    sportzmaniac
    LasVegasSystems
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 3962
    Posts: 82
    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: May. 18, 2010 - 2:39 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    How dare you come in here and hi-jack my thread.


    I go where the money goes.
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    How dare you come in here and hi-jack my thread.


    I go where the money goes.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 19, 2010 - 1:08 AM ET #27

    Chase 2, Game 2
    May19_NYY___ml_-155_4.5_unit_to_get_2.9_unit
    May19_NYY__-1.0_-110_2.6_unit_to_get_2.0_unit
    May19_NYY__-1.5_+135_1.5_unit_to_get_2.0_unit

    I'm choosing -1
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    Chase 2, Game 2
    May19_NYY___ml_-155_4.5_unit_to_get_2.9_unit
    May19_NYY__-1.0_-110_2.6_unit_to_get_2.0_unit
    May19_NYY__-1.5_+135_1.5_unit_to_get_2.0_unit

    I'm choosing -1
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 19, 2010 - 1:14 AM ET #28

    Correction:
    May19_NYY__-1.0_-110_2.6_unit_to_get_2.4_unit
    Since I only lost 1 unit tonight I will only go for 2 units tomorrow.
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    Correction:
    May19_NYY__-1.0_-110_2.6_unit_to_get_2.4_unit
    Since I only lost 1 unit tonight I will only go for 2 units tomorrow.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 20, 2010 - 12:03 AM ET #29

    No time to list all choices except the one I just made

    May20_NYY_-1.0_-105_4.2unit_to_get_4.0unit
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    No time to list all choices except the one I just made

    May20_NYY_-1.0_-105_4.2unit_to_get_4.0unit
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 20, 2010 - 12:08 AM ET #30

    The units above are for the Martingale method.
    I am playing to just get my $ back.
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    The units above are for the Martingale method.
    I am playing to just get my $ back.
     
    sportzmaniac
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    Posted: May. 21, 2010 - 10:02 AM ET #31

    what about using the top run differential team at that time or at the start of a new series?  right now it is tampa.
    Top run diff
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    what about using the top run differential team at that time or at the start of a new series?  right now it is tampa.
    Top run diff
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 21, 2010 - 12:05 PM ET #32

    Figures NYY stop wining, but their -1.5 win ratio is still intact.

    Chase 2, Game 4
    May21_NYY_-1_-130_10.14unit_to_get_my_money_back_7.8unit

    I'm backing off  -1.5 for now with the injuries and mini-slump.
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    Figures NYY stop wining, but their -1.5 win ratio is still intact.

    Chase 2, Game 4
    May21_NYY_-1_-130_10.14unit_to_get_my_money_back_7.8unit

    I'm backing off  -1.5 for now with the injuries and mini-slump.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 21, 2010 - 12:25 PM ET #33

    I'm gonna post my SWAG series chases in here to. They have been doing ok. I want to see if they also crash and burn once I start posting them.
    A_Tex_-150_15-10
    A_Chw_-120_12-10
    A_Col_-115_11.5-10
    A_Tor_+135_10-13.5
    A_Det_+160_10-16
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    I'm gonna post my SWAG series chases in here to. They have been doing ok. I want to see if they also crash and burn once I start posting them.
    A_Tex_-150_15-10
    A_Chw_-120_12-10
    A_Col_-115_11.5-10
    A_Tor_+135_10-13.5
    A_Det_+160_10-16
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 21, 2010 - 10:35 PM ET #34

    That was sure nice of NYY to give up a run in the bottom of the ninth.
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    That was sure nice of NYY to give up a run in the bottom of the ninth.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 22, 2010 - 11:41 AM ET #35

    Push last nite with NYY -1. This chase currently down 7.8 units
    Chase 2, Game 5
    May22_NYY_-1_-138_5.4unit_to_get_1/2_my_money_back_3.9unit

    B_Col_-125_15-12
    B_Tor_+115_10-11.5
    B_Det_+130_10-13

    Trend play from another forum PHI u10.5
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    Push last nite with NYY -1. This chase currently down 7.8 units
    Chase 2, Game 5
    May22_NYY_-1_-138_5.4unit_to_get_1/2_my_money_back_3.9unit

    B_Col_-125_15-12
    B_Tor_+115_10-11.5
    B_Det_+130_10-13

    Trend play from another forum PHI u10.5
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 24, 2010 - 2:28 AM ET #36

    Chase 2 Game 6
    May23_NYY_-1_Loss Played to win 2 units
    This expirement has gone to shit in a hurry.

    Phi u10.5

    B_Col
    C_Tor
    C_Det
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    Chase 2 Game 6
    May23_NYY_-1_Loss Played to win 2 units
    This expirement has gone to shit in a hurry.

    Phi u10.5

    B_Col
    C_Tor
    C_Det
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 25, 2010 - 5:40 PM ET #37

    Down about 16 units on this current stupid NYY chase.
    Second chase record is 0-5-1.
    Chase 2, Game 7
    May25_NYY_-1_+110_4.3_to_get_back_4.7_of_16

    SWAG Chases (5-0):
    May25_A_Phi-135_1.35unit to get 1
    May25_A_Sea_+105_1unit to get 1.05
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    Down about 16 units on this current stupid NYY chase.
    Second chase record is 0-5-1.
    Chase 2, Game 7
    May25_NYY_-1_+110_4.3_to_get_back_4.7_of_16

    SWAG Chases (5-0):
    May25_A_Phi-135_1.35unit to get 1
    May25_A_Sea_+105_1unit to get 1.05
     
    LasVegasSystems
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    Posted: May. 25, 2010 - 7:19 PM ET #38

    The system you want to use with NY (and one other team that has a better w/l % is to wait for two losses and then start the chase.

    Last season, NY had 2 consecutive losses that were followed by 7 "a" wins. There were 3 instances of 3 consecutive losses followed by 3 "b" wins. There was 1 instance of 4 consecutive losses by 1 "c" win and 1 instance of 5 consecutive losses followed by 1 "d" win. So the most consecutive losses last season for the Yankees was 5.

    This season, they have lost 2 straight and covered twice. They have lost three straight twice and covered both time. Tonight, they are an "a" bet as they have lost 2 straight. Money in pocket in this series of games.
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    The system you want to use with NY (and one other team that has a better w/l % is to wait for two losses and then start the chase.

    Last season, NY had 2 consecutive losses that were followed by 7 "a" wins. There were 3 instances of 3 consecutive losses followed by 3 "b" wins. There was 1 instance of 4 consecutive losses by 1 "c" win and 1 instance of 5 consecutive losses followed by 1 "d" win. So the most consecutive losses last season for the Yankees was 5.

    This season, they have lost 2 straight and covered twice. They have lost three straight twice and covered both time. Tonight, they are an "a" bet as they have lost 2 straight. Money in pocket in this series of games.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 26, 2010 - 12:59 AM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Down about 16 units on this current stupid NYY chase.
    Second chase record is 0-5-1.
    Chase 2, Game 7 Try again
    May26_NYY_ml_+100_4_to_get_back_4_of_16

    SWAG Chases:
    May25_A_Phi-135_1.35unit to get 1
    May26_B_Phi_-115_2.7unit to get 2.35
    May25_A_Sea_+105_1unit to get 1.05 6-0
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Down about 16 units on this current stupid NYY chase.
    Second chase record is 0-5-1.
    Chase 2, Game 7 Try again
    May26_NYY_ml_+100_4_to_get_back_4_of_16

    SWAG Chases:
    May25_A_Phi-135_1.35unit to get 1
    May26_B_Phi_-115_2.7unit to get 2.35
    May25_A_Sea_+105_1unit to get 1.05 6-0
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2010 - 8:48 AM ET #40

    SWAG chase record is 6-1. Should have known to play Phi not to score a run the entire series.

    I have recovered on the NYY and am now up 7.5 units.
    May26_ ml_+4u_-_16u_=_-12units
    May28_-1.0_+6u_-_12u_=_-6units
    May30_-1.5_+4u_-_6u_=_-2units
    May31_-1.0_+6u_-2u_=_+4units
    Jun01_-1.0_+3.5u_+4u_=+7.5units

    Once I start posting I'm sure I will go on another losing streak.
    Some people have luck on their side. Unfortunately I Don't.
    This season looks like the only way to make any money is on the NYY and I'm gonna start fading the Cubs.
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    SWAG chase record is 6-1. Should have known to play Phi not to score a run the entire series.

    I have recovered on the NYY and am now up 7.5 units.
    May26_ ml_+4u_-_16u_=_-12units
    May28_-1.0_+6u_-_12u_=_-6units
    May30_-1.5_+4u_-_6u_=_-2units
    May31_-1.0_+6u_-2u_=_+4units
    Jun01_-1.0_+3.5u_+4u_=+7.5units

    Once I start posting I'm sure I will go on another losing streak.
    Some people have luck on their side. Unfortunately I Don't.
    This season looks like the only way to make any money is on the NYY and I'm gonna start fading the Cubs.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2010 - 10:02 AM ET #41

    Unit total: +7.5

    Jun2_-2.5_-110_1.1u_1.0u
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    Unit total: +7.5

    Jun2_-2.5_-110_1.1u_1.0u
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2010 - 11:36 PM ET #42

    Jun02_NYY_-2.5_-110_1.1unit_1.0unit

    Unit Total: +8.5
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    Jun02_NYY_-2.5_-110_1.1unit_1.0unit

    Unit Total: +8.5
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2010 - 9:41 AM ET #43

    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit

    NYY can't win em all.

    SWAG chase (6-1)
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit

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    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit

    NYY can't win em all.

    SWAG chase (6-1)
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2010 - 1:41 AM ET #44

    NYY Plays
    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit Unit Total 8.5 - .5 = 8
    Jun04_NYY_-1_-100_1.0unit_to_get_1.0unit
    Jun04_No score in 1st Inning to get 1 or 2 unit depending on line

    SWAG Chase
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit SWAG chase (7-1)
    Jun04_A_Cin_-105_2.1unit_to_get_2.0unit
    Jun04_A_Min_-110_1.1unit_to_get_1.0unit
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    NYY Plays
    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit Unit Total 8.5 - .5 = 8
    Jun04_NYY_-1_-100_1.0unit_to_get_1.0unit
    Jun04_No score in 1st Inning to get 1 or 2 unit depending on line

    SWAG Chase
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit SWAG chase (7-1)
    Jun04_A_Cin_-105_2.1unit_to_get_2.0unit
    Jun04_A_Min_-110_1.1unit_to_get_1.0unit
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2010 - 1:37 PM ET #45

    Jun04_NYY_No_score_1st_inning_1.2_to_get_1.0 (unit total = 0)

    "No" chase season record is 18-0 on 3 and 4 game series. 1-1 on 2 game series.
    "Yes chase season record is 17-1 on 3 and 4 game series. 1-1 on 2 game series.
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    Jun04_NYY_No_score_1st_inning_1.2_to_get_1.0 (unit total = 0)

    "No" chase season record is 18-0 on 3 and 4 game series. 1-1 on 2 game series.
    "Yes chase season record is 17-1 on 3 and 4 game series. 1-1 on 2 game series.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Jun. 5, 2010 - 10:17 AM ET #46

    NYY Plays
    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit (Unit Total 8.5 - .5 = 8)
    Jun04_NYY_-1_-100_1.0unit_to_get_1.0unit
    Jun05_NYY_-1_-100_2.3unit_to_get_2.3unit
    Jun04_NYY_No_score_1st_inning_1.2_to_get_1.0 (Unit Total = 1)
    Jun05_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_-105_.55unit_to_get_.50unit

    SWAG Chase
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit SWAG chase (7-1)
    Jun04_A_Cin_-105_2.1unit_to_get_2.0unit
    Jun05_B_Cin_-125_3.125unit_to_get_2.5unit
    Jun04_A_Min_-110_1.1unit_to_get_1.0unit
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    NYY Plays
    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit (Unit Total 8.5 - .5 = 8)
    Jun04_NYY_-1_-100_1.0unit_to_get_1.0unit
    Jun05_NYY_-1_-100_2.3unit_to_get_2.3unit
    Jun04_NYY_No_score_1st_inning_1.2_to_get_1.0 (Unit Total = 1)
    Jun05_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_-105_.55unit_to_get_.50unit

    SWAG Chase
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit SWAG chase (7-1)
    Jun04_A_Cin_-105_2.1unit_to_get_2.0unit
    Jun05_B_Cin_-125_3.125unit_to_get_2.5unit
    Jun04_A_Min_-110_1.1unit_to_get_1.0unit
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Jun. 5, 2010 - 10:23 AM ET #47

    SWAG chase record is 8-1, (Units = -.50)
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    SWAG chase record is 8-1, (Units = -.50)
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2010 - 12:08 PM ET #48

    Quick Stats:
    "Yes" is 7-2 this season when Pettitte starts.
    "Yes" is 1-2 This season on the road when Pettitte starts.
    "Yes" is 2-4 This season with Romero at Home

    These stats indicate a "No" so I am only going .5 unit for this "Yes" chase. 
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    Quick Stats:
    "Yes" is 7-2 this season when Pettitte starts.
    "Yes" is 1-2 This season on the road when Pettitte starts.
    "Yes" is 2-4 This season with Romero at Home

    These stats indicate a "No" so I am only going .5 unit for this "Yes" chase. 
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Jun. 6, 2010 - 12:16 AM ET #49

    NYY Plays
    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit (Unit Total 8.5 - .5 = 8)
    Jun04_NYY_-1_-100_1.0unit_to_get_1.0unit
    Jun05_NYY_-1_-100_2.3unit_to_get_2.3unit
    Jun06_NYY_-1_-108_3.5unit_to_get_3.3unit
    Jun04_NYY_No_score_1st_inning_1.2_to_get_1.0 (Unit Total = 1)
    Jun05_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_-105_.55unit_to_get_.50unit
    Jun06_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_will only be for about a half unit. Numbers slightly favor No, but chasing Yes.

    SWAG Chase
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit SWAG chase (7-1)

    Jun04_A_Cin_-105_2.1unit_to_get_2.0unit
    Jun05_B_Cin_-125_3.125unit_to_get_2.5unit

    Jun04_A_Min_-110_1.1unit_to_get_1.0unit

    Swag Chase Record is 9-1 (-0.1 units)
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    NYY Plays
    Jun03_Bal_+270_.5unit_to_get_1.3unit (Unit Total 8.5 - .5 = 8)
    Jun04_NYY_-1_-100_1.0unit_to_get_1.0unit
    Jun05_NYY_-1_-100_2.3unit_to_get_2.3unit
    Jun06_NYY_-1_-108_3.5unit_to_get_3.3unit
    Jun04_NYY_No_score_1st_inning_1.2_to_get_1.0 (Unit Total = 1)
    Jun05_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_-105_.55unit_to_get_.50unit
    Jun06_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_will only be for about a half unit. Numbers slightly favor No, but chasing Yes.

    SWAG Chase
    Jun03_A_Atl_+120_1unit_to_get_1.2unit SWAG chase (7-1)

    Jun04_A_Cin_-105_2.1unit_to_get_2.0unit
    Jun05_B_Cin_-125_3.125unit_to_get_2.5unit

    Jun04_A_Min_-110_1.1unit_to_get_1.0unit

    Swag Chase Record is 9-1 (-0.1 units)
     
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2010 - 12:43 PM ET #50

    Jun06_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_-120_.84unit_to_get_.70unit
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    Jun06_NYY_Yes_1st_inning_-120_.84unit_to_get_.70unit
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