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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    I have a brilliant new system

    1234 Next Last»
    smitler
    keldrin
    therizz
    nolemonasses
    kreatture
    ...
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    1234 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 14, 2010 - 10:28 PM ET #1

    Bet on the NYY -1.5 every fricken game.
    They are 22-12 and every win has been by 2 or more.

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Bet on the NYY -1.5 every fricken game.
    They are 22-12 and every win has been by 2 or more.

     
    keldrin
    keldrin
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    Posted: May. 15, 2010 - 12:49 AM ET #2

    Hmm, not very scientific because this trend could change at any time but you are correct, every win so far this year has been by at least 2. Based on the fact that they win about 2 games for every one loss, you would come have come out ahead quite nicely so far.

    Might be worth riding this streak...

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    Hmm, not very scientific because this trend could change at any time but you are correct, every win so far this year has been by at least 2. Based on the fact that they win about 2 games for every one loss, you would come have come out ahead quite nicely so far.

    Might be worth riding this streak...

     
    therizz
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 15, 2010 - 2:19 AM ET #3

    only consistent team thus far, seems like a good idea.
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    only consistent team thus far, seems like a good idea.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 15, 2010 - 11:58 PM ET #4

    nyy wins by 1 run = 0
    nyy win by 2 or more = 23
    Losses = 12

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    nyy wins by 1 run = 0
    nyy win by 2 or more = 23
    Losses = 12

     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 16, 2010 - 12:10 AM ET #5

    That should be 24 by 2 or more.

    Average win streak is 3 games
    Average losing streak is 1.5 games

    How's that for science keldrin?
    I'm a damn genius.
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    That should be 24 by 2 or more.

    Average win streak is 3 games
    Average losing streak is 1.5 games

    How's that for science keldrin?
    I'm a damn genius.
     
    nolemonasses
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: May. 16, 2010 - 8:14 AM ET #6

    They will lose or not win by 1.5 the first time I start betting them
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    They will lose or not win by 1.5 the first time I start betting them
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 16, 2010 - 9:35 AM ET #7

    It started out as a joke but maybe we can make a buck. I will start tracking this deal and post results.

    Chase game 1 of infinity.

    May15_NYY_-1.5-+125_1.00unit_to_get_1.25unit
    May15_NYY__ml_-145_1.45unit_to_get_1.00unit
    May15_NYY_-1.0_-108_1.08unit_to_get_1.00unit
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    It started out as a joke but maybe we can make a buck. I will start tracking this deal and post results.

    Chase game 1 of infinity.

    May15_NYY_-1.5-+125_1.00unit_to_get_1.25unit
    May15_NYY__ml_-145_1.45unit_to_get_1.00unit
    May15_NYY_-1.0_-108_1.08unit_to_get_1.00unit
     
    keldrin
    keldrin
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    Posted: May. 16, 2010 - 4:34 PM ET #8

    You just had to start betting them eh nole?
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    You just had to start betting them eh nole?
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 16, 2010 - 6:11 PM ET #9

    May15_NYY_-1.5-+125_1.00unit_to_get_1.25unit_____-1.00u
    May15_NYY__ml_-145_1.45unit_to_get_1.00unit_____-1.45u
    May15_NYY_-1.0_-108_1.08unit_to_get_1.00unit_____-1.08u

    Thanks nole!

    Its ok though they can't win every game. May have to drop back to 1/2 unit after they get the first two of a series.
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    May15_NYY_-1.5-+125_1.00unit_to_get_1.25unit_____-1.00u
    May15_NYY__ml_-145_1.45unit_to_get_1.00unit_____-1.45u
    May15_NYY_-1.0_-108_1.08unit_to_get_1.00unit_____-1.08u

    Thanks nole!

    Its ok though they can't win every game. May have to drop back to 1/2 unit after they get the first two of a series.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:08 PM ET #10

    May17_NYY___ml_-200_5.0unit_to_get_2.50unit
    May17_NYY__-1.0_-150_3.0unit_to_get_2.0unit
    May17_NYY__-1.5_-100_2.0unit_to_get_2.0unit

    I choose -1.5.
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    May17_NYY___ml_-200_5.0unit_to_get_2.50unit
    May17_NYY__-1.0_-150_3.0unit_to_get_2.0unit
    May17_NYY__-1.5_-100_2.0unit_to_get_2.0unit

    I choose -1.5.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:11 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    May17_NYY___ml_-200_5.0unit_to_get_2.50unit
    May17_NYY__-1.0_-150_3.0unit_to_get_2.0unit
    May17_NYY__-1.5_-100_2.0unit_to_get_2.0unit

    I choose -1.5.


    I chose Boston.. LoL

    Good Luck 
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    May17_NYY___ml_-200_5.0unit_to_get_2.50unit
    May17_NYY__-1.0_-150_3.0unit_to_get_2.0unit
    May17_NYY__-1.5_-100_2.0unit_to_get_2.0unit

    I choose -1.5.


    I chose Boston.. LoL

    Good Luck 
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:17 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    I chose Boston.. LoL

    Good Luck 


    How dare you come in here and start trashing my system. 
    Your punishment is one of these  stupid things
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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    I chose Boston.. LoL

    Good Luck 


    How dare you come in here and start trashing my system. 
    Your punishment is one of these  stupid things
     
    electricladylnd
    electricladylnd
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:28 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Bet on the NYY -1.5 every fricken game.
    They are 22-12 and every win has been by 2 or more.

     

    brilliant, lemme know when u buy ur yacht and retire

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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Bet on the NYY -1.5 every fricken game.
    They are 22-12 and every win has been by 2 or more.

     

    brilliant, lemme know when u buy ur yacht and retire

     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:30 PM ET #14

       LoL  Sorry Smit!

    How about.. the Yankees can win by 2, but not until late.. like after Dice K goes 7 innings and strikes out 10.. Against better judgement I decided to start him in one of my Fantasy Leagues.. how foolish is that!!?!  HaHa

    Should be an exciting 2-game series!

    Cheers 
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       LoL  Sorry Smit!

    How about.. the Yankees can win by 2, but not until late.. like after Dice K goes 7 innings and strikes out 10.. Against better judgement I decided to start him in one of my Fantasy Leagues.. how foolish is that!!?!  HaHa

    Should be an exciting 2-game series!

    Cheers 
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:34 PM ET #15

    Based on this 1st inning alone.. I think it was VERY foolish to start Dice..

    At the very least it would be nice if the outs were of the K variety.. but that would require getting SOMEONE.. ANYONE.. out.

    Yikes, this is ugly so far!!

    Damn the Yanks are just unstoppable it seems.
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    Based on this 1st inning alone.. I think it was VERY foolish to start Dice..

    At the very least it would be nice if the outs were of the K variety.. but that would require getting SOMEONE.. ANYONE.. out.

    Yikes, this is ugly so far!!

    Damn the Yanks are just unstoppable it seems.
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 7:43 PM ET #16

    You should start looking at the -2.5 on these games.. 18 of their 24 wins have been by 3 or more runs.

    And, believe it or not.. 15 of those 18 wins were by 4 or more.

    That is just sick. Can you get -3.5??? LoL
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    You should start looking at the -2.5 on these games.. 18 of their 24 wins have been by 3 or more runs.

    And, believe it or not.. 15 of those 18 wins were by 4 or more.

    That is just sick. Can you get -3.5??? LoL
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 8:02 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by electricladylnd:

     

    brilliant, lemme know when u buy ur yacht and retire



    Ok.
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    Quote Originally Posted by electricladylnd:

     

    brilliant, lemme know when u buy ur yacht and retire



    Ok.
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 8:37 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by keldrin:

    You just had to start betting them eh nole?

    Sunday's loss is not my fault, I swear. I did not bet them. I already have too many chases going on right now to add on another.

    I do follow many to see how they are doing, and find this one to be one of the more interesting. Even if it started as a joke. -Which has inspired me to do a "Top 10 MLB chase systems" based on whims, humor etc.

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    Quote Originally Posted by keldrin:

    You just had to start betting them eh nole?

    Sunday's loss is not my fault, I swear. I did not bet them. I already have too many chases going on right now to add on another.

    I do follow many to see how they are doing, and find this one to be one of the more interesting. Even if it started as a joke. -Which has inspired me to do a "Top 10 MLB chase systems" based on whims, humor etc.

     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 11:14 PM ET #19

    BRS 9, NYY 11
    May17_NYY___ml_-200_5.0unit_to_get_2.50unit_____+1unit
    May17_NYY__-1.0_-150_3.0unit_to_get_2.0unit______+1unit
    May17_NYY__-1.5_-100_2.0unit_to_get_2.0unit______+1unit

    Let's look at this in the simplest terms.
    NYY have the best players money can buy and the boss is getting the most out of his players right now.

    Probably get paid again tomorrow.

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    BRS 9, NYY 11
    May17_NYY___ml_-200_5.0unit_to_get_2.50unit_____+1unit
    May17_NYY__-1.0_-150_3.0unit_to_get_2.0unit______+1unit
    May17_NYY__-1.5_-100_2.0unit_to_get_2.0unit______+1unit

    Let's look at this in the simplest terms.
    NYY have the best players money can buy and the boss is getting the most out of his players right now.

    Probably get paid again tomorrow.

     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 17, 2010 - 11:17 PM ET #20

    Hell of a rally smit!  This is a great system, if nothing else you will get credit everytime the yanks win!  Did the same thing with PHI tonight
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    Hell of a rally smit!  This is a great system, if nothing else you will get credit everytime the yanks win!  Did the same thing with PHI tonight
     
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 18, 2010 - 12:35 AM ET #21

    Chase 1 clears on game 2.  All choices are at +1.0 unit
    New chase game 1:
    May18_NYY___ml_-190_1.9_unit_to_get_1.00_unit
    May18_NYY__-1.0_-140_1.4_unit_to_get_1.00_unit
    May18_NYY__-1.5_+105_1.0_unit_to_get_1.05_unit
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    Chase 1 clears on game 2.  All choices are at +1.0 unit
    New chase game 1:
    May18_NYY___ml_-190_1.9_unit_to_get_1.00_unit
    May18_NYY__-1.0_-140_1.4_unit_to_get_1.00_unit
    May18_NYY__-1.5_+105_1.0_unit_to_get_1.05_unit
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: May. 18, 2010 - 1:46 AM ET #22

    I'm in... I normally hate chases but the Yankees are just too good. I'm also going to be adding the -2 and -2.5 plays to the chase for a 5-play chase.

    May 18th
    NYY ML  [-180] Risking 2 units to win 1.12
    NYY -1   [-132] Risking 1.5 units to win 1.14
    NYY -1.5  [+115] Risking 1 unit to win 1.15
    NYY -2   [+150] Risking .75 units to win 1.13
    NYY -2.5  [+179] Risking .50 units to win .90

    GL
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    I'm in... I normally hate chases but the Yankees are just too good. I'm also going to be adding the -2 and -2.5 plays to the chase for a 5-play chase.

    May 18th
    NYY ML  [-180] Risking 2 units to win 1.12
    NYY -1   [-132] Risking 1.5 units to win 1.14
    NYY -1.5  [+115] Risking 1 unit to win 1.15
    NYY -2   [+150] Risking .75 units to win 1.13
    NYY -2.5  [+179] Risking .50 units to win .90

    GL
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: May. 18, 2010 - 9:30 AM ET #23

    How dare you come in here and hi-jack my thread.
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    How dare you come in here and hi-jack my thread.
     
    nolemonasses
    nolemonasses
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    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 2231
    Posted: May. 18, 2010 - 11:10 AM ET #24

    The Yankees OWN the Redsox!
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    The Yankees OWN the Redsox!
     
     
    keldrin
    keldrin
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    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 106
    Posted: May. 18, 2010 - 1:00 PM ET #25

    I am really digging this strategy so far. Thanks smit!

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    I am really digging this strategy so far. Thanks smit!

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