Posted:
#26
If you drop a piece of toast does it really always land buttered side down? more deep thoughts later.....
0
How do you learn to become a capper?
Posted:
#28
quote from nd2000 from some other forum
" The real secret of course lies in the power ratings. All the casinos are doing is taking the lines generated from the LVSC power ratings and making minor adjustments here and there after LVSC releases the opening line. It is the job of the handicapper to decide if that power rating is accurate or not."
" The real secret of course lies in the power ratings. All the casinos are doing is taking the lines generated from the LVSC power ratings and making minor adjustments here and there after LVSC releases the opening line. It is the job of the handicapper to decide if that power rating is accurate or not."
0
Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by kevk87:
quote from nd2000 from some other forum
" The real secret of course lies in the power ratings. All the casinos are doing is taking the lines generated from the LVSC power ratings and making minor adjustments here and there after LVSC releases the opening line. It is the job of the handicapper to decide if that power rating is accurate or not."
quote from nd2000 from some other forum
" The real secret of course lies in the power ratings. All the casinos are doing is taking the lines generated from the LVSC power ratings and making minor adjustments here and there after LVSC releases the opening line. It is the job of the handicapper to decide if that power rating is accurate or not."
Well, I do remember how many open-ended trails I chased when I first started gambling. This wasn't one of them, but in a word, run away from this like the Black Plague.
0
Posted:
#32
I believe you start with stats to give your self a starting point on a prediction. Then you apply all the subjective and emotional or motivational situations to the preliminary #s. I come up with my own line in every game I play. Then if there is enough difference between my # and the posted line I make the play. Go to Professionalgambler.com and look over the free articles and you can teach your self with good reading materials found on that site and listen to the many (respectable people here) How ever!!!!! Ignor the Idiots. There are 1000's of those here and elsewhere too!
0
Posted:
#33
A capper? I'm not quite sure exactly what a capper is. Here's how I think the successful professional gamblers do it.
1 - They stick to the sports they know.
2 - They become experts on the teams and players.
3 - They analyze many, many games. NFL? - all of them.
4 - They are good at factoring in injuries into a team's performance.
5 - Outdoor sports: They will have an eye on the weather forecast.
6 - Most important - They only bet on the few games they feel good about.
7 - They practice good money management and they don't chase iffy bets when they hit a bad streak.
The real trick, of course, is to identify just one to three games that you feel is going to turn out a *lot* differently than the Vegas lines or odds would indicate. In the NFL, I'm talking about 1 to 3 games a week. Never more than three. Your weekly best bets should always do better than your shotgun picks on the entire league.
I guess the difference between the best and the rest is that the best will hit at a 60% to 70% clip.
I don't bet money on games, although I'm going to start. That's why I'm reading these threads on covers. I've picked NFL games on paper for 6 years. I'm a huge NFL fan, but I do have a 9 to 5 job and I don't spend more than 15 hours a week looking at the NFL. This year, my 29 best bets over the 17 weeks (which were all on paper), went 20-9. I don't consider myself a capper, but I would have made some good money if I had bet these 29 games evenly.
.
1 - They stick to the sports they know.
2 - They become experts on the teams and players.
3 - They analyze many, many games. NFL? - all of them.
4 - They are good at factoring in injuries into a team's performance.
5 - Outdoor sports: They will have an eye on the weather forecast.
6 - Most important - They only bet on the few games they feel good about.
7 - They practice good money management and they don't chase iffy bets when they hit a bad streak.
The real trick, of course, is to identify just one to three games that you feel is going to turn out a *lot* differently than the Vegas lines or odds would indicate. In the NFL, I'm talking about 1 to 3 games a week. Never more than three. Your weekly best bets should always do better than your shotgun picks on the entire league.
I guess the difference between the best and the rest is that the best will hit at a 60% to 70% clip.
I don't bet money on games, although I'm going to start. That's why I'm reading these threads on covers. I've picked NFL games on paper for 6 years. I'm a huge NFL fan, but I do have a 9 to 5 job and I don't spend more than 15 hours a week looking at the NFL. This year, my 29 best bets over the 17 weeks (which were all on paper), went 20-9. I don't consider myself a capper, but I would have made some good money if I had bet these 29 games evenly.
.
0
Hot Forum Topics
