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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Hockey & Baseball Mathematics

    12 Next Last»
    timc9842
    Dutch1976
    HECTAR
    PuckHog
    boycali01
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2500
    Posts: 36
    12 Next Last»
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 5:26 PM ET #1

    I am a math teacher that loves dealing with numbers.  I am just crunching numbers and trying to find value plays in both hockey and baseball.  The statistics I am using will not come into play until 25 baseball games have been played.  I am starting off with my first hockey play tonite.  I am using "Kelly Criterion" in a unique way.  I will explain if I start doing any good.

    I am going to have a $1000 bankroll.  I am only goofing around, so don't follow me and just sit back and watch.  This thread may flame out early, or it may last a long time.  Who knows?

    Risking $120 to win $144 on Phoenix Coyotes.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I am a math teacher that loves dealing with numbers.  I am just crunching numbers and trying to find value plays in both hockey and baseball.  The statistics I am using will not come into play until 25 baseball games have been played.  I am starting off with my first hockey play tonite.  I am using "Kelly Criterion" in a unique way.  I will explain if I start doing any good.

    I am going to have a $1000 bankroll.  I am only goofing around, so don't follow me and just sit back and watch.  This thread may flame out early, or it may last a long time.  Who knows?

    Risking $120 to win $144 on Phoenix Coyotes.
     
    Dutch1976
    Dutch1976
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 1934
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 6:26 PM ET #2

    Good luck. I'll be paying attention.
    Reply
    Good luck. I'll be paying attention.
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:15 AM ET #3

    1-0 ATS

    $1144
    Reply
    1-0 ATS

    $1144
     
    HECTAR
    HECTAR
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2009
    Posts: 406
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 8:42 AM ET #4

    Oh boy another math teacher...lol  Just like this guy thought his math teaching would help him win, now he's under 50%carljamestaft.com   This is sports betting not a math test.

    Reply

    Oh boy another math teacher...lol  Just like this guy thought his math teaching would help him win, now he's under 50%carljamestaft.com   This is sports betting not a math test.

     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:13 PM ET #5

    Hectar, a math teacher with a wealth of sports knowledge..lol.

    Taking Pittsburgh +170 over Chicago Blackhawks, so

    risking $190 to win $323 on Pittsburgh Penguins
    Reply
    Hectar, a math teacher with a wealth of sports knowledge..lol.

    Taking Pittsburgh +170 over Chicago Blackhawks, so

    risking $190 to win $323 on Pittsburgh Penguins
     
    PuckHog
    PuckHog
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    Joined: Jan, 2009
    Posts: 1109
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:14 PM ET #6

    Hey give the guy a break...maybe he will come up with a winning system and lead us to the big bucks....
    Reply
    Hey give the guy a break...maybe he will come up with a winning system and lead us to the big bucks....
     
    boycali01
    boycali01
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    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 3719
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:28 PM ET #7

    Reply
     
    paul_scholes
    paul_scholes
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    Joined: Oct, 2010
    Posts: 1003
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:40 PM ET #8

    Reply
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 10:14 PM ET #9

    1-1 ATS

    $954...had a shot at it.  Penguins lose it in OT.  I will be back.  I know it is a grind.
    Reply
    1-1 ATS

    $954...had a shot at it.  Penguins lose it in OT.  I will be back.  I know it is a grind.
     
    dvw5bf
    dvw5bf
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 3:36 PM ET #10

    Always interesting with mathematics applied... any reason for limiting to only baseball and hockey? Clearly you have not explained anything of your "system" so I am just curious as to why it would only be limited to the non-spread major 4.
    Reply
    Always interesting with mathematics applied... any reason for limiting to only baseball and hockey? Clearly you have not explained anything of your "system" so I am just curious as to why it would only be limited to the non-spread major 4.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 5:30 PM ET #11

    MLB and NHL are considered to be the 2 "easiest" sports to make profits in. This is what a lot of real Sharps focus on and in all reality it should be the only thing we wager on, as well.

    Spread sports are bogus and I've always known this, altho I can't seem to stay away from them. Who cares if a team can win by 11 points, or 12 points.. it's just about who wins.

    Vegas makes their existence off NFL and NBA bettors.. they wouldn't be nearly as rich if neither of these Sports were available. An entirely new topic opens up from that, as the looming Lockouts appear on the horizon. Personally, I doubt it will happen.

    Good Luck  tim 
    Reply
    MLB and NHL are considered to be the 2 "easiest" sports to make profits in. This is what a lot of real Sharps focus on and in all reality it should be the only thing we wager on, as well.

    Spread sports are bogus and I've always known this, altho I can't seem to stay away from them. Who cares if a team can win by 11 points, or 12 points.. it's just about who wins.

    Vegas makes their existence off NFL and NBA bettors.. they wouldn't be nearly as rich if neither of these Sports were available. An entirely new topic opens up from that, as the looming Lockouts appear on the horizon. Personally, I doubt it will happen.

    Good Luck  tim 
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 5:34 PM ET #12

    dvw5bf, let's just see how it goes for the time being and if it is worth explaining later then i will.  Tonite we are:

    risking $95 on Pittsburgh Penguins to win $118.75 
    Reply
    dvw5bf, let's just see how it goes for the time being and if it is worth explaining later then i will.  Tonite we are:

    risking $95 on Pittsburgh Penguins to win $118.75 
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 11:47 PM ET #13

    1-2 ATS

    $859 ... I am down a little but not out yet.

    Reply

    1-2 ATS

    $859 ... I am down a little but not out yet.

     
    michael550
    michael550
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    Posts: 298
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 7:03 AM ET #14

    Reply
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 6:15 PM ET #15

    Alright, it is time to get this thing back on the right track!  I will be:

    risking $69 to win $82.80 on NY Rangers (+120)

    risking $43 to win $43 on Dallas (EVEN)

    Reply

    Alright, it is time to get this thing back on the right track!  I will be:

    risking $69 to win $82.80 on NY Rangers (+120)

    risking $43 to win $43 on Dallas (EVEN)

     
    timc9842
    timc9842
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:00 PM ET #16

    2-3 ATS

    $898.80...down $101.20...I am not out of this yet...Rangers pull off victory in 2OT...Dallas continues skid...Michael550, don't be so quick to burn that money!
    Reply
    2-3 ATS

    $898.80...down $101.20...I am not out of this yet...Rangers pull off victory in 2OT...Dallas continues skid...Michael550, don't be so quick to burn that money!
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 25, 2011 - 7:04 PM ET #17

    risking $107 on Pitt +130
    and $126 on NYR +140
    Reply
    risking $107 on Pitt +130
    and $126 on NYR +140
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
    Prospect
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 25, 2011 - 7:18 PM ET #18

    and risking $107 on Tampa Bay -120...this is the night I turn it around!
    Reply
    and risking $107 on Tampa Bay -120...this is the night I turn it around!
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 25, 2011 - 11:37 PM ET #19

    4-4 ATS

    $1057.37...oh yeah, i am back in the "+" !  Hitting mostly dogs!
    Reply
    4-4 ATS

    $1057.37...oh yeah, i am back in the "+" !  Hitting mostly dogs!
     
    boycali01
    boycali01
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    Posts: 3719
    Posted: Feb. 25, 2011 - 11:59 PM ET #20

    Reply
     
    sabia
    sabia
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    Posts: 10444
    Posted: Feb. 26, 2011 - 4:19 AM ET #21

    Reply
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 26, 2011 - 10:58 AM ET #22

    Up to this point, I have risked $857 to win $57.37 for a:

    ROI= 6.7% 

    I will get my calculator out and hopefully have some plays today.
    Reply
    Up to this point, I have risked $857 to win $57.37 for a:

    ROI= 6.7% 

    I will get my calculator out and hopefully have some plays today.
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 26, 2011 - 11:24 AM ET #23

    Risking $137 on Pittsburgh Penguins +135 and 
    $85 on Detroit Red Wings -125
    Reply
    Risking $137 on Pittsburgh Penguins +135 and 
    $85 on Detroit Red Wings -125
     
    timc9842
    timc9842
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Feb. 26, 2011 - 11:23 PM ET #24

    Penguins and Red Wings for the sweep!

    6-4 ATS  

    $1310.32

    and yes a 28.8% ROI so far...risking $1079 to win $310.32
    Reply
    Penguins and Red Wings for the sweep!

    6-4 ATS  

    $1310.32

    and yes a 28.8% ROI so far...risking $1079 to win $310.32
     
     
    JoshLewis
    JoshLewis
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    Posts: 477
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2011 - 2:22 AM ET #25

    nice work
    Reply
    nice work
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