Critique My Method (NBA)

I've got enough data now to begin sharing my NBA picks.  I've posted extensively on my methods during the MLB and NFL seasons.  No touting here, I'm just posting my daily picks as I play them.

The model is logical regression.   10 seasons of data are used to formulate the model, then tested against current season data to determine the mean error, bias, etc.

Reminder:  I recommend a 50 unit bankroll, that's 2% per event, and I focus on the maximum number of opportunities.  I don't shop lines, I pick from one of three books I use.  The lines available to you may be better or worse.

Cleveland -7
Detroit -4.5
Chicago +1

regular -110 odds?

interesting

I will attempt to post daily.  I am doing NHL as well now, check that thread with a corresponding title if you're interested.  It is a underdog-only system.

YTD: 3-0

BOS -10
ORL +1.5
IND -1
MIL +4.5
MIA -6.5
ATL -3.5

Gasman, you might want to check your math, we're 6-3 (66%) in two days.  Nothing to brag about yet, but it's a start.  Check back in a month and see where we are then and decided whether it's 'worth following'.

15 Nov:

ATL -10
IND +6.5
UTA +10.5
MIL +8.5
POR -1.5

YTD 8-6

16 Nov:

CHAR +6.5
DEN -9
NY +2
DET +2
SAC -2.5
TOR -4.5

17 Nov:

SA +2.5
HOU -8
PHX +1

YTD 10-7

18 Nov:

BOS -8
MIL +9.5
POR +1
CHI +13
TOR +6.5

YTD 13-9

19 Nov:

ATL -7.5
HOU -4.5
PHI -3.5
CHI +7
MIL +10

Osiris, the short answer is no.  You could say I use a similar methodology in that it is all statistics based.  One thing that I do not do with any of the sports is watch the developments you just mentioned.  I simply can't keep up with all of it.  No doubt the numbers would improve significantly if I could weed out and/or handicap better rather than just running the numbers.

NHL will probably perform similar to the MLB, so check that thread.

20 Nov:

Det +7
Phx +4.5

21 Nov:

ATL -8
MEM +9.5
IND +2
BOS -6.5
SAC +4.5
UTA +4.5
NJ +8.5