Posted:
#76
A very nice 3-0 last night, bringing us to 9-4 for the week. Hope everybody made a few bucks last night, back in a bit with tonight's action......
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College hoops system......give it a look
Posted:
#78
"The public loves faves, as EVERY favorite in all 16 games received >50% of spread bets, in most cases to the tune of 65-80%. You can't tell me Vegas does'nt shade the lines to take advantage of this, thus giving our doggies added value....."
Agreed Kenkean89, yesterday is a perfect example of that with Iowa State, Kansas, & Maryland all losing. The public lost alot of money yesterday~
Agreed Kenkean89, yesterday is a perfect example of that with Iowa State, Kansas, & Maryland all losing. The public lost alot of money yesterday~
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Posted:
#79
Guys, I've been wanting to look at how these Dogs are doing against the spread in each half and how they're doing on Over/Unders. My theory was, that these teams would also be profitable to bet in the second half, because of the home crowd getting into it more when their scrappy team is hanging in there with better competition.
I just started putting it together today so I'm not caught up all the way, but what I have so far is every game from Jan 1 through Jan 5. Below are the records through those few days, and later tomorrow I will post the complete record from Jan 1st through today's games.
ATS:
Game: (9-6) 5 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (7-8) 5 ML wins for dogs (3 of these won ML game)
2nd Half: (9-5-1) 6 ML wins for dogs (4 of these won ML game)
Over-Under:
Game: (9-6)
1st Half: (6-9)
2nd Half: (11-4)
If anyone can think of any other useful parameters to add to my spreadsheet, let me know and I'll look to add it. I won't start exploring too much into half bets and o/us just yet, but once I have the full 2 weeks of data there may be a trend building.
GL tonight!
I just started putting it together today so I'm not caught up all the way, but what I have so far is every game from Jan 1 through Jan 5. Below are the records through those few days, and later tomorrow I will post the complete record from Jan 1st through today's games.
ATS:
Game: (9-6) 5 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (7-8) 5 ML wins for dogs (3 of these won ML game)
2nd Half: (9-5-1) 6 ML wins for dogs (4 of these won ML game)
Over-Under:
Game: (9-6)
1st Half: (6-9)
2nd Half: (11-4)
If anyone can think of any other useful parameters to add to my spreadsheet, let me know and I'll look to add it. I won't start exploring too much into half bets and o/us just yet, but once I have the full 2 weeks of data there may be a trend building.
GL tonight!
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Posted:
#84
Thanks Kenkean for your effort in posting and system theory. Not to dialed in on CBB as it certainly takes a tonne of effort to attempt to keep an edge. Always willing to invest a little on practical and equitable ideas which I beleive you have and have proven over the past few weeks. Love the theory and results so far, GL and look forward to future positive results.
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Posted:
#87
No plays today or Friday, leaving us at 23-12 (66%) after the first two weeks. In following some trends, this is where we are:
-Double digit dogs are now 7-3
-Small pups (4 points or less) are 9-2
-$100 played on on the ML on every dog would have you up approx $1,370 to this point.
-I noticed we seemed to be doing better on weekdays than on weekends. So far, weekend plays are 7-7 overall, while weekday
plays are 16-5. I have no explanation for this trend, just an observation.
So far, I like where we are heading. Playing dogs, taking the contrarian view, being on the opposite side of Joe Public is typically the way I play. Generally, if these plays lose, the books are losing as well. See you Saturday morning.
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'dogs'
Posted:
#90
[Quote: Originally Posted by kenkean89] No plays today or Friday, leaving us at 23-12 (66%) after the first two weeks. In following some trends, this is where we are:
-Double digit dogs are now 7-3
-Small pups (4 points or less) are 9-2
-$100 played on on the ML on every dog would have you up approx $1,370 to this point.
-I noticed we seemed to be doing better on weekdays than on weekends. So far, weekend plays are 7-7 overall, while weekday
plays are 16-5. I have no explanation for this trend, just an observation.
"So far, I like where we are heading. Playing dogs, taking the contrarian view, being on the opposite side of Joe Public is typically the way I play. Generally, if these plays lose, the books are losing as well" See you Saturday morning.
[/Quote] Appreciate your effort on 'statistical tracking' Your ideology is a bullseye, good stuff all the way around.
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Posted:
#92
Week three starts now, five plays at the moment:
G'town +7
Georgia +2
Marquette +7
Kansas St. +2
Auburn +12
At the moment; both Clemson and Texas Tech, although both dogs, are receiving a majority of spread bets. After Clemson handled Duke Wednesday night, looks like the squares have jumped on their back. If either of these games fall into our parameters before tip, I will post it. Good luck today guys!
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Posted:
#93
Quote Originally Posted by kenkean89:
Week three starts now, five plays at the moment:
Week three starts now, five plays at the moment:
G'town +7
Georgia +2
Marquette +7
Kansas St. +2
Auburn +12
At the moment; both Clemson and Texas Tech, although both dogs, are receiving a majority of spread bets. After Clemson handled Duke Wednesday night, looks like the squares have jumped on their back. If either of these games fall into our parameters before tip, I will post it. Good luck today guys!
kenkean89...any chance you could post the Rotation # along with the plays?
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Posted:
#95
Georgetown...Big East
Georgia...SEC
Marquette...Big East
Kansas State...Big 12
Auburn....SEC
Oil, you're better off locating the desired matchup by conference..Using the rotation # you still have to scroll, and it takes twice as long. go to NCAA BB click conference, and voila! there you have your game. listed under the conference of choice
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Posted:
#98
I'm not real familiar with conferences and who's where, I generally don't follow college sports. So the conference thing would take me just as long. Thanks s_N for the advice.
If you get to these plays late and don't have time to dick around and scroll through a zillion college games ROT#'s would help. No biggie I'll make due just a thought.
If you get to these plays late and don't have time to dick around and scroll through a zillion college games ROT#'s would help. No biggie I'll make due just a thought.
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